HW+ homes las vegas

During 2021 and into 2022, the surveys on whether it’s a good time to buy a house have simply collapsed. This did ring some alarm bells last year as many housing crash addicts used the results of Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index to call for an epic crash in the second half of 2021. That didn’t end well, but let’s take a deeper look at what is happening here.

One thing is certain: potential buyers of all ages are not happy about the current market conditions. From Fannie Mae:

Recently, the percentage of people who said it was a good time to sell fell as well. So what is going on here? How can we drop buying and selling conditions in the same report?

Last year, many of the second half 2021 housing crash bears were using the collapse of this index to say housing was done; nobody wants to buy a home. This was never the case, as purchase application data never once showed a noticeable decline in the data once you made COVID-19 adjustments. 

Another interesting fact about 2021 was that certain people put a lot of weight on housing being held up by investors or iBuyers, reflecting that buying conditions had deteriorated so much in the survey in 2021. That same group of individuals was also shocked to see that mortgage demand picked up very noticeably toward the end of the year in 2021; even I labeled the existing home sales market as outperforming due to mortgage demand, which makes the survey look incorrect.

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So what is the issue here? It’s simple: inventory levels were at all-time lows in 2021 and they just got worse in 2022, don’t make it any more complicated than that.

Nobody likes competition when buying a home. It can be stressful enough when the markets are regular, like they were from 2014-to 2019. Now we’re in years 2020-2024 and not only has inventory dropped to all-time lows, but we’re also dealing with the most significant housing demographic patch ever recorded in U.S. history: move-up buyers, move-down buyers with a lot of cash, investors and all-cash buyers. This survey was never about people saying they never want to buy a home; just that the conditions for buying a home are terrible — and I agree with them.

By the summer of 2020, I started to worry about inventory levels getting dangerously low. What happens when you have the best housing demographics ever, the lowest mortgage rates ever, and all-time lows in inventory? Unhealthy home-price growth, and it got worse and worse as the year went on.

As someone who never believed in the forbearance crash bros and their premise of collapsing demand, which would require a massive number of Americans walking away from their homes, the real fear was realized when total inventory levels never reached above my critical 1.52 million during the spring and summer of 2021. I knew the fall and winter fade of inventory was coming. To make matters worse, mortgage demand picked up in the second half of 2021. The entire housing crash 2021/FOMO premise fell flat on its face, and now we enter 2022 with fresh new all-time lows in inventory.

To make matters worse, home-price growth in 2020 and 2021 was so high that it surpassed the five-year price-growth model of 23% I had set for 2020-2024, and that was just to be in an OK position going into 2025. So, I agree with the consumer survey and keep saying this is the unhealthiest housing market post-2010. When prices are rising so quickly, you can understand why homebuyers are stressed.

Buying a home isn’t like buying an iPhone or an Xbox; you need somewhere to live every day, and with so much price inflation and meager inventory, you would be stressed too, especially if you keep losing bids. We always talk about the stress of home buying, but we should also include sellers in that discussion. Unless they choose to rent after the sale or sell their investment home, a seller becomes the next natural homebuyer. I know some people can get an extended lease and live in the house after the sale. However, with inventory so low and high competition, there is no guarantee they will get the home they want either.

On the surface, the survey looks correct; demand for housing is at pre-cycle highs, and total inventory is at all-time lows with unhealthy home-price growth in the last two years.

Also, unlike stocks, the chances of the home you want to buy falling 20% after a bad earnings report are zero. So, it’s a much different sector of our economy because housing is the cost of shelter to your capacity to own the debt; it’s not an investment.

Currently, the only solution to create more days on the market is for mortgage rates to rise high enough to facilitate that, and so far, this hasn’t been the case. However, if the 10-year yield can create a range between 1.94% – 2.42% with duration, this should do the trick. If 4% – 4.5% mortgage rates can’t generate more days on the market from this very meager level, then I don’t see anything else in 2022 that will do this.

Eventually, prices will get too high, and natural inflation demand destruction will occur; we are just not at that point currently.

To wrap it up, I believe the survey is an accurate reflection of the sentiment of homebuyers in America; it’s brutal out there. I disagree with people who said this survey was calling for a crash in demand in 2021 and 2022. We have accurate models to track when housing and the economy are getting weaker; we just don’t have flashing signs of that now.

The post Is it really the worst time ever to buy a house in the U.S.?  appeared first on HousingWire.



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With Caliber Home Loans and Genesis Capital LLC in the fold, real estate investment trust New Residential Investment Corp. reported $160.4 million in net income in the fourth quarter, a 10% increase from the prior quarter.

In a period largely defined by integration and transition at NRIC, gain-on-sale margins for the mortgage business actually increased in Q4. That’s despite origination volume beginning to slow, as it has for most originators.

In total, NRIC funded $38.1 billion mortgages in the fourth quarter, the first quarter with fully combined reporting between Caliber and its mortgage arm NewRez. The filings show that in the third quarter, Caliber originated $19.8 billion in mortgages and NewRez funded $25.5 billion, for a total of $45.3 billion. But in the fourth quarter, Caliber funded $16.7 billion and NewRez funded $21.5 billion in mortgages.

That drop in volume resulted in reduced profit for NewRez’s originations business to $101.5 million in the fourth quarter, down 42.8% quarter-over-quarter, according to the earnings report.

Origination volume for the full year reached $178 billion, which makes NewRez the fourth-largest nonbank originator in the country. And there are reasons to be optimistic – it has begun to reduce costs, has managed a 51% purchase mix in the fourth quarter, restructured retail leadership by redistributing territories, and has growth opportunities in wholesale and direct-to-consumer.

Overall, NewRez reported that its total gain-on-sale margin improved from 1.61% in the third quarter to 1.65% in the fourth quarter. In 2020, the gain-on-sale margin reached 2.04%. In its fourth quarter earnings presentation, the company said that increased rates impacted margins and production volumes during the period. 

Michael Nierenberg, chairman and CEO, said in a statement the company “will continue to prioritize reducing expenses and achieving synergies across all of our operating businesses.”

Since the acquisition of Caliber Home Loans in August for $1.675 billion, the company has laid off 386 employees, about 3% of its mortgage business’ total workforce. In 2021, the integration of Caliber Home Loans guaranteed $90 million of run-rate cost “synergies,” including personnel reductions, reduced cost of funds and consolidation of vendors. 

Regarding the servicing business, the REIT’s portfolio increased in the fourth quarter, growing to $483 billion in UPB, up 1.5% quarter-over-quarter. The segment pre-tax income was $127.5 million, up from $15 million in the third quarter.

Nierenberg said the company is well-positioned to benefit from the high-rate environment given the extensive portfolio of MSRs. The company’s MSR portfolio totaled $629 billion in December, compared to $635 billion in September. NRIC is the largest nonbank mortgage servicer in the country

In the first quarter of 2022, the company estimates it will originate between $25 billion and $30 billion in mortgages. The servicing portfolio will be between $490 billion to $500 billion. 

Regarding its overall mix of mortgage and financial services,­ NRIC posted a net income of $705.5 million in 2021, compared to a loss of $1.46 billion in the previous year.

The company highlighted the acquisition of Genesis Capital LLC, a fix-and-flip lender, from Goldman Sachs. New Residential’s results for the fourth quarter and full year include the financials of Genesis beginning on December 20, 2021. The transaction included a $1.5 billion portfolio of 100% performing business purpose loans, NRIC said in its earnings presentation. 

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America suffers from a severe shortage of affordable homes. This development did not occur overnight: Over the past 20 years, we have “underbuilt” housing by at least 5.5 million homes.   

Policymakers are rightly focused on helping people afford to purchase or rent a home through down payment assistance, housing vouchers and other programs. The unfortunate truth is that too many households lack sufficient income to cover their housing needs, a situation exacerbated today by high inflation.

But these “demand-side” efforts treat only half the problem. Pouring money into programs that help families afford homes will have little effect if there are too few homes available to move into. “Supply-side” solutions that focus on new construction and the preservation of the existing housing stock are equally important.  

Low housing inventory

The lack of adequate supply to match demand is at the core of today’s housing-affordability crisis. In 2021, the overall rental vacancy rate dropped to 5.8%, the lowest level since the mid-1980s. At the bottom end of the income spectrum, the supply shortage is particularly acute: For every 100 low-income households, there are only 55 affordable rental homes available on the market; for every 100 extremely low-income households, there are just 36.

In many communities, lower-income households now find themselves competing with higher-income households for the limited number of rental homes.   

Crushing housing costs

This demand-supply imbalance has led to crushing housing costs that cannot be sustained over time. Today, nearly one quarter of all renters, some 11 million households, are considered “severely burdened,” paying more than half their incomes just on housing. Not surprisingly, the lowest-income families are the most dramatically affected, accounting for 86% of the households with severe rent burdens. Many of these households include older adults and children.  

The supply of homes for sale is limited as well. At the beginning of 2022, active home sale listings fell below 500,000 for the first time. The quantity of new, entry-level homes has been falling sharply since 2008. In 2020, just 65,000 entry-level homes were built compared to 420,000 in the late 1970s, a decline of more than 80%.  

A perfect storm

As the supply of homes to buy has dwindled, prices have risen, preventing potential first-time homebuyers from entering the market. Despite unprecedented demand for new housing, just 28% of sales in the last 12 months went to first-time buyers, the lowest level in the past six years. Throughout the top 100 metropolitan areas in the U.S., a median-priced home was unaffordable to nearly 13.4 million Americans67% of potential first-time buyers.  

When potential first-time homebuyers cannot find a home in their price range, they remain renters, putting even more pressure on the already limited supply of rental homes and driving up rents. In 2021, median rents grew by 17.8%, another unprecedented increase.   

With housing costs skyrocketing, expanding the supply of affordable homes – both for rent and sale – must be a national priority. So, what can we do?  

On the rental side, we should significantly boost federal support for the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, a program with a long history of success in supporting the construction and preservation of rental homes affordable to low-income families. We should also create incentives for more landlords to participate in the Section 8 Housing Choice Voucher program, while identifying new ways to encourage private developers to invest in “mixed-income” housing in resource-rich communities. 

To help build up the stock of for-sale housing, Congress should enact the Neighborhood Homes Investment Act that would encourage the construction and rehabilitation of housing stock in distressed communities and thereby create opportunities for first-time homebuyers.  

On top of these efforts, there must be a national commitment to reform our land use and zoning practices that too often act as barriers to the development of affordable housing. We can also invest in and deploy new construction technologies, like 3D printing, which could save time and reduce costs.  

Taking these steps has an added benefit: a stronger, more vibrant economy. According to one estimate, building 550,000 new homes annually over the next 10 years would generate $411 billion in new economic activity through greater labor mobility, new tax revenue, and associated economic growth.  

Increasing the supply of affordable homes is a moral and economic imperative. It’s past time to push for bold, bipartisan solutions to get the job done.  

Ron Terwilliger is chairman emeritus of the Trammell Crow Residential Company and the founder of the J. Ronald Terwilliger Center for Housing Policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of HousingWire’s editorial department and its owners.

To contact the author of this story:
J. Ronald Terwilliger at ron@rterwilliger.com

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Sarah Wheeler at swheeler@housingwire.com

The post Ron Terwilliger on how to make more affordable housing appeared first on HousingWire.



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Powerhouse lender and servicer New Residential Investment Corp. has reduced hundreds of job positions in its mortgage division, less than a year after acquiring the multichannel lender Caliber Home Loans.

In total, NewRez LLC, the publicly traded company’s mortgage arm, is laying off 386 employees, about 3% of the division’s workforce, a company spokesperson confirmed Tuesday.

“As we continue to create synergies between companies, we are creating a structure to streamline business channels and create long-term growth,” the NewRez spokesperson wrote in an email to HousingWire.

News of the layoffs comes just weeks after Sanjiv Das stepped down as CEO of Caliber Home Loans. Citing sources, HousingWire reported in late January that Das’ resignation was always expected following the acquisition.

NewRez agreed to acquire Caliber in a deal valued at $1.675 billion in April and closed the deal in August. The deal came together after the previous owner, private equity firm Lone Star Funds, failed to take Caliber public due to instability in the market. NewRez was also considering an IPO of its mortgage division after a difficult 2020.

Caliber was a heavy-hitter across multiple origination channels, with $80 billion in originations and $153 billion in servicing in 2020. Caliber was best known for its distributed retail footprint and its fair amount of business in correspondent and wholesale channels. 

When he announced the deal last year, Michael Nierenberg, head of New Residential Investment Corp., said that Caliber would add customer-retention capabilities (it had a 54% recapture rate in 2020), a network of talented underwriters and back-office staff, plus a relevant servicing book.

According to Inside Mortgage Finance, NewRez/Caliber had 3.7% of market share in 2021, putting the company as the sixth-largest mortgage originator by volume in America. Before the acquisition, the company was ranked the 16th-largest lender.

Gain-on-sale margins have narrowed significantly for mortgage originators in the last two quarters, and numerous other lenders have also begun to lay off workers and streamline operations.

The post NewRez lays off 386 following Caliber acquisition appeared first on HousingWire.



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HW+ home appraisal

Desktop appraisals arrived in March of 2020, allowing the housing market to keep humming while many stayed indoors to prevent the spread of COVID-19.

Allowing appraisals without a walk-through was one of several flexibilities the Federal Housing Finance Agency allowed in light of the pandemic. Use of desktop or exterior-only appraisals peaked in April 2020, reaching a share as high as 17% in some places. By the end of 2020, FHFA signaled publicly it was considering hybrid appraisals on a permanent basis, following proposals from both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

In a December 2020 request for information, FHFA highlighted potential benefits of desktop appraisals, including assisting training of new appraiser trainees, and alleviating appraiser shortages in rural and high-volume areas. It also pointed out potential pitfalls of a non-traditional approach.

There were risks, FHFA wrote, because a ”uniform regulatory framework does not exist at both the state and federal levels that holds non-appraisers accountable for their work on appraisals.” A recent federally commissioned report further detailed the appraisal industry’s dysfunctional regulatory regime.

But any risks appear to have been resolved. In October 2021, FHFA Acting Director Sandra Thompson announced to a crowd of mortgage industry professionals that desktop appraisals would become permanent, starting early in 2022. In January, Fannie Mae said it would start accepting desktop appraisals, where an appraiser need not perform a walk-through, for some agency-backed loans after March 19.

The option is limited to purchase transactions, secured by a one-unit principal residence with a loan-to-value ratio of no more than 90%. Loans for second homes, investment properties, cash-out refinances, construction loans, multi-unit properties, renovation loans, condos, co-ops or manufactured homes are not eligible. Any loan application flagged as ineligible by Fannie Mae’s automated underwriting system will have to use a traditional appraisal.

A Fannie Mae spokesperson said that appraisal modernization and digitization, and specifically the launch of desktop appraisals, can offer different career opportunities for a new generation of appraisers. Appraisers could earn more by doing more appraisal reports, the spokesperson said, spend less time and money traveling to appointments, and could more easily work from home, assisted by remote data collection.

The new policy is welcomed by lenders, who often view appraisals as a “pain point” and have sought to reduce turn-times. But there is at least some skepticism of desktop appraisals from appraisers themselves.

D. Scott Murphy, CEO of D.S. Murphy and Associates Real Estate Appraisers and Consultants, raised concerns about bearing the liability for an appraisal, but relying on second-hand information. Desktop appraisals, he said, still hold the appraiser responsible for getting the correct information.

“The only difference is that the appraiser is not required to visit the property,” Murphy said. “That is completely different from doing a traditional desktop appraisal which is done on an abbreviated form with all kinds of exceptions and clauses to protect the appraiser when he has to make certain assumptions.”

Although appraisers can do desktop appraisals from a remote location, they must have accurate floor plan data. Where they get a reliable floor plan sketch is somewhat of a gray area, however. Few listings — only about one in 10, according to Ken Dicks, director of appraisal compliance and initiatives at Reggora — include that data.

The need for accurate floor plan data could indirectly spur the appraisal industry to replenish its dwindling ranks, by giving something for appraiser trainees to do. Trainees could collect the data, and be paid for providing a useful service. Since trainees are not allowed to do appraisals without the supervision of a licensed appraiser, appraisers have little incentive to take them on.

But relying on other sources for the data needed to conduct a desktop appraisal, the listing agent, for example, could be risky. Listing agents have a clear motivation to provide information that might pad an appraisal.

“If the Realtor says there are hardwood floors throughout, and the appraiser puts that in the appraisal report and it’s not the case, that’s a problem,” Dicks said.

Some have also touted he cost benefits that desktop appraisals could bring.

A Fannie Mae spokesperson said desktop appraisals “could help make the appraisal process more efficient in a safe and sound manner and have the potential to reduce costs and time for homebuyers, homeowners, and appraisers.”

Lenders, the spokesperson added, are keen to “understand how to operationalize desktop appraisals because they appreciate the process efficiencies and potential cost savings for borrowers.”

But Sean Pyle, president of appraisal management company Valutrust Solutions, says he’s already dealing with pressure from lenders who are expecting desktop appraisals to reduce their costs, too.

“My counsel to clients I speak with is, ‘Don’t think about this in any other terms than potential time savings,’” Pyle said. “Don’t try to wrap cost savings into this.”

There’s an assumption, he said, that because appraisers could produce an appraisal more quickly, it should be cheaper. But appraisers, not lenders, assume the liability for producing a complete report.

“There’s still some battle scars from 2006 to 2009 where appraisers were made to be the scapegoats,” Pyle said. “But it wasn’t an appraiser deciding to loan 125% of a home’s value for a 3/1 adjustable rate mortgage. The lenders may not like the appraisal process, but they aren’t the ones taking on the risk.”

Appraisers are also likely to balk at another pay cut. In the years after the great recession, appraisal management companies proliferated, which ate into appraisers’ compensation.

Lisa Rice, CEO of the National Fair Housing Alliance, has observed in many sectors of the mortgage industry that cutting costs can also come at the expense of quality. Oversight, in those cases, becomes extremely important.

“Every time you’re paying someone on the ground less, what does that mean about the quality? That lets you know that you really have to be on your p’s and q’s to make sure the quality is there,” said Rice.

For now, however, industry observers are taking a wait-and-see approach with desktop appraisals. Kroll Bond Ratings Agency, in a January 2022 pre-sale report, said they gave a “broad valuation haircut” to all loan pools with appraisal waivers.

Jack Kahan, senior managing director for residential mortgage-backed securities at Kroll, explained they performed the haircut because “there is no third-party value provided to KBRA to substantiate the lender value.”

For loans with desktop appraisals, however, Kahan explained there is no discount, although he said that for loans with desktop appraisals or appraisal waivers, it’s possible that could change “in either direction for either product” as they evaluate performance over time and gather more data.

“For loans with desktop appraisals, since they are performed by licensed appraisers, follow appraiser independence requirements, among other reasons, we generally do not haircut values.”

The post Like it or not, desktop appraisals are here to stay appeared first on HousingWire.



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HW+ Feb magazine

Larry Goldstone is tired of being ghosted. He is used to it by now, but the problem has only gotten worse since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. Goldstone has tried contact via phone calls and emails consistently. If necessary, he even knocks on doors — without success.

He has talked openly about it but is still trying to understand the reasons and potential solutions. Goldstone’s case is not related to the world of bad Tinder dates, where the colloquial term “ghosting” is popularly used when someone cuts off contact without warning or explanation. Goldstone is an executive at a mortgage servicer company trying to reach out to homeowners.

“We know who the borrowers are. We service their loans. We have their email addresses. We have their phone numbers. We know where they live. But we’re having a hard time reaching out to them,” he said during a panel at the annual Residential Mortgage Servicing Rights Forum held in New York City in October.

Servicers, lenders and investors dealt with a tsunami of 7.7 million forbearance programs throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, reaching 1.5% of the U.S. population. Most homeowners who stopped their mortgage payments have successfully arranged a graceful exit from forbearance. In general, servicing executives are relieved not to have to re-live another foreclosure crisis. But there will be some fallout. And for the hardest cases, the biggest problem for servicers right now is simply establishing communication with them.

Over the course of three months, HousingWire interviewed about a dozen servicers, housing counselors, academics and lawyers to drill down on how big the ghosting problem is, why it happens, and what the consequences could be for both borrower and servicer.

An army of door-knockers

Goldstone, who is president of Capital Markets & Lending at BSI Financial Services, estimates that between 20% to 25% of borrowers in BSI’s servicing portfolio have been non-communicative, he told HousingWire. Consequently, they built an additional foreclosure and loss mitigation capability, added staff and rethought processes to contact borrowers.

The company serves a $50 billion loan portfolio. Investment firms that purchase mortgage loans in default also face the same challenge. Bill Bymel, managing director at Spurs Capital, an investment manager specializing in distressed mortgages, said that about 15% of the overall portfolio during the pandemic contained non-communicative borrowers, up 50% compared to the same pool of borrowers pre-COVID.

One reason homeowners have not responded to the company was the foreclosure moratorium that went into effect in March 2020.

“Without any enforcement action on the foreclosure side, it has opened up a new level of borrowers’ belief that they can just kick the can down the road and ignore the problem,” Bymel said.

According to Bymel, the situation began to change as a key Dec. 31 deadline neared, the date by which the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) rules stipulate that servicers redouble their efforts to work with borrowers to prevent avoidable foreclosures. Borrowers started to reach out knowing that foreclosure processes would soon resume, said Bymel.

Another Bymel business, First Lien Capital, a mortgage and real estate investment platform, is increasing the number of workers who knock on doors and negotiate with homeowners due to the lack of communication via phone or email.

“We would normally have about 150 people nationwide, and we are probably going to have about 200 people knocking on doors looking for solutions,” Bymel said.

The reasons for the lack of communication between borrowers and servicers are numerous. Ellie Pepper, deputy director at the National Housing Resource Center (NHRC), an advocate for the nonprofit housing counseling industry, said the past still looms large for many borrowers. Some are especially haunted by the Great Recession between 2008 and 2011.

“Borrowers had different interactions with their servicers, and some ended up not really trusting their servicers,” she said. “Servicers are under different rules and are trying to be more open to interacting with borrowers in a better way. But the bottom line is that homeowners are scarred.”

Besides fear and lack of trust, Pepper said it may sometimes be difficult for homeowners to understand mortgage terms, particularly if English is not their native language, so they avoid contacting their servicers. To Dana Dillard, principal advisor at Housing Finance Strategies and a 25-year mortgage industry veteran, the ghosting problem happens, among other reasons, because homeowners deny the reality or feel overwhelmed with their debts — especially if they lost a relative or friend due to COVID-19 or are unemployed for a while.

Jackie Boies, senior director in partner relations at credit counseling consultancy firm Money Management International, said that people fear talking with their mortgage servicers because they have never had to speak to them before in many cases.

“When the pandemic hit, and they put their loan into forbearance, it was quite easy. Most servicers allow you to go online and just sign up for a plan. And now to exit it, if you are not somebody who is just returning and paying it all in full, it is a little scary.”

The latest Black Knight data show that there were still about 1 million active forbearance plans in October. Among over 6 million borrowers who exited the plans, 76% performed or paid off their debt. Another 7% were in loss mitigation plans, 3% were delinquent and less than 1% were in foreclosure — the three categories accounted for 854,000 homeowners in aggregate.

“That’s what you’re seeing: a huge drop in forbearances as people are being forced off, but some borrowers are not responding to their servicers,” said Matthew Tully, vice president of agency affairs and compliance at servicing SaaS Sagent. Tully said that homeowners are “putting their heads in the sand,” not realizing that the foreclosure moratorium went away, and servicers can begin foreclosure operations throughout the country.

The situation is more delicate for servicers focused on loans with Ginnie Mae guarantees. In this case, the share of borrowers in loss mitigation plans, delinquent or foreclosure increased to 16% in September (or 411,000 homeowners), according to Black Knight data shared with HousingWire.

For example, with Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans, 1.5 million homeowners became delinquent and entered forbearance between March 2020 and November 2021, the end of the fiscal year. In November, 387,488 homeowners were still in forbearance, and 79% of them were seriously delinquent.

The FHA has a total portfolio of 660,000 seriously delinquent loans. According to mortgage analytics firm Recursion Companies, Freedom Mortgage had the highest number of COVID-related forbearance plans for Ginnie Mae loans, with 41,204 in total in October. The company said the share of borrowers ghosting them is a minority, but declined to provide a figure.

“When customers are behind on their mortgage, they are concerned, and they don’t know exactly what to do,” said David Sheeler, executive vice president of correspondent lending and servicing finance at Freedom Mortgage. “We certainly have had some challenges. But I think, for the most part, being very proactive in sharing the message around what’s available to customers [after forbearance] has helped.”

Servicers are looking for different ways to connect with borrowers. Pepper, from the NHRC, mentioned that they are working with the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development approved housing counseling agencies to do more effective outreach to some of the harder-to-reach borrowers.

Dillard, from Housing Finance Strategies, recommended that servicers work with nonprofit organizations, community leaders and other trusted partners in areas where the problem is more evident.

“We’re going to have a small pocket of customers who still need our help [after forbearance plans expire],” she said. “I do think it’s a small share of them, but it’s challenging, and it is time-consuming for servicers.”

Consequences

Ghosting doesn’t bring many practical consequences in the dating world. Ghostees and ghosters can move on with their lives after interrupting romantic texts and sweet dates. In complete silence, they deal with their own internalized emotional conflicts.

It is not that simple when the relationship is between mortgage servicers and borrowers. Failures in communicating and finding a solution for a mortgage loan in default can lead, in the worst-case scenario, to foreclosure. That is exactly what millions of forbearance plans and a federal moratorium were designed to avoid during the pandemic.

But in 2022 these safeguards are not in place anymore, forcing companies and homeowners to face the problem. A caveat: A backlog of foreclosures from the last two years will make the process longer and more expensive.

During the pandemic, the CARES Act banned foreclosures for 16 months — from March 2020 through July 2021 — to protect homeowners experiencing financial hardship. Also, servicers were not allowed to execute a foreclosure-related eviction until September 2021.

The rules were only applied for federally backed mortgages, about 75% of all mortgages. But to simplify their operations, servicers voluntarily offered the safeguard for all borrowers, not only those who had loans guaranteed by government agencies, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These agencies also took additional steps to limit mortgage defaults and foreclosures, expanding repayment options through December 2021.

Who’s afraid of the CFPB?

After the federal foreclosure moratorium expired in July, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) launched rules limiting foreclosures through Dec. 31. Servicers had to give borrowers a meaningful opportunity to pursue affordable loss mitigation options quickly and without exhaustive paperwork.

One of the options was a deferral: resuming regular payments but moving missed bills to the end of the mortgage. Another possibility consisted of changing rates, principal balance or length of the mortgage via a loan modifi cation. In addition, homeowners could sell their homes if they had sufficient equity.

But according to the CFPB, foreclosures could start for borrowers who were more than 120 days behind on their mortgage before March 1, 2020, more than 120 days behind and had not responded for 90 days (the ghosting cases), or evaluated for all mitigation options without success.

Servicers, afraid of CFPB enforcement actions, were resistant to start new foreclosures until the rules expired, according to industry executives and lawyers. The moratorium kept new monthly foreclosures cases artificially low at 7,132, on average, between March 2020 and July 2021, down from 28,877 before the pandemic, according to a report from ATTOM Data Solutions.

But new cases increased when the federal moratorium ended, from 6,572 in July to 10,471 in November, the latest data available. Still, monthly foreclosures were half the pre-pandemic levels.

“We anticipate seeing an uptick in foreclosure activity in the first quarter, partly because the CFPB rules will have expired, partly because there is always an uptick after the holidays,” Rick Sharga, executive vice president at RealtyTrac, said to HousingWire.

He follows, “We expect to see another uptick, probably late summer, as servicers will have gone through all of the loss mitigation options with borrowers who have been delinquent and not been able to get back on track. But we don’t expect to see normal levels of foreclosure activity until late in the year.”

Sharga’s worst-case scenario predicts foreclosures at 1.5% of total loans in the next 12 to 18 months, which would change if another recession happened. To compare, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) data, new foreclosure cases were at 0.8% of total loans before the pandemic, after achieving almost 5% during the Great Recession.

Federal laws aren’t the only ones servicers have to contend with. States also launched new rules to prevent foreclosures during the pandemic. The National Consumer Law Center (NCLC) identified executive declarations and court orders in 34 states as of April 2021. Some states have imposed a moratorium after the federal safeguard ended in July.

In Oregon, the deadline was Dec. 31, 2021. New York banned residential and commercial foreclosures until Jan. 15, 2022. According to Geoff Walsh, staff attorney at the National Consumer Law Center (NCLC), some states hadn’t reacted to the pandemic and created more restrictions to foreclosures, such as Oregon and New York, because they hadn’t seen new cases — as servicers were afraid of the CFPB rules.

“Each state has the authority to implement laws for servicers to review borrowers’ situations before foreclosure, and I expect states to strengthen their laws,” Walsh said. Foreclosure rules change according to where the borrower lives.

For example, Alabama, California and Texas are administrative foreclosure states, which means the process will take less time because it does not need to go through a judicial process. In this group, states with the shortest average foreclosure timelines in the third quarter of 2021 were Montana (94 days) and Wyoming (102 days), according to ATTOM.

Judicial states such as Florida, New Jersey and Connecticut require a court decision, which means that the process can take years. The ATTOM data shows that the judicial states with the most extended average foreclosure timelines were Kansas (1,901 days) and New York (1,659 days).

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, foreclosure processes have become longer. Properties foreclosed across the country were in the process an average of 924 days in the third quarter of 2021, up from 830 in the same period of 2020.

“We already know that government staff were low, to begin with. A lot of people left work and didn’t come back during COVID. Now we’re going to need more staff to deal with the backlog of foreclosures coming down the pipe,” Bymel, at Spurs Capital, said.

Bymel expects a timeline extension between 12 and 18 months in states with judicial foreclosures. Because the timeline is longer, Bymel said the cost of a foreclosure process will increase for servicers and investors.

“I usually figure a cost between 4% to 5% of the loan balance per year to property taxes, insurance, legal, servicer, inspections, in the judicial states, and between 2% and 3% in administrative states.” Sharga, from RealtyTrac, said that he expects that states will bring retired judges back to handle foreclosures, as happened during the Great Recession.

“But, coming out of a pandemic, the general feeling is to do everything you can to protect the homeowner from losing a house because a lot of these people probably wouldn’t be losing a house except for the pandemic. So, I don’t expect to see a lot of activity in courts or in the legal system to accelerate the foreclosure process.”

This article was first featured in the February HousingWire Magazine issue. To read the full issue, go here.

The post When borrowers ‘ghost’ their servicers appeared first on HousingWire.



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2022 Home equity
San Francisco-based fintech firm Unison plans several securitization deals to market in 2022, with private label offerings backed by home-equity assets.

San Francisco-based fintech company Unison recently completed a $443 million private-label offering backed by an emerging class of home-equity assets in which investors and the homeowners share in both the upside and downside of a property’s value over time.

Unison expects to bring three additional securitization deals to market in 2022, according to a company executive. The company, through its fintech platform, offers homeowners the opportunity to tap their home equity without taking out a loan — via Unison’s shared home-equity product called a residential equity agreement (REA).

Unison, launched in 2004, joins another California-based fintech competitor, Point, in pursuing efforts to tap the secondary market to create more liquidity for the financing of shared home-equity contracts. This past fall, Point partnered with Redwood Trust to complete what they described as a first-of-its-kind $146 million securitization deal backed by contracts that are similar to REAs. 

Bo Stern, head of portfolio strategy and risk for Mill Valley, California-based Redwood Trust, described the Point securitization deal at the time as involving “a new asset class that allows both consumers and investors to access one of the biggest markets in the world” — specifically, the massive homeowners’ equity market.

“Home prices have been increasing rapidly over the past year, creating a record $24 trillion of wealth,” Unison said in announcing its new securitization transaction, which closed in late December 2021. “… This transaction offers the opportunity for investors to access residential real estate equity and increases liquidity for homeowners across the country looking to monetize the equity in one of their most valuable assets — their homes.”

The joint underwriters for the Unison securitization deal, conducted through the conduit Unison 2021-1, were Nomura Securities and Barclays Capital. Matthew O’Hara, head of portfolio management and research at Unison Investment Management, which is under the Unison umbrella, confirmed that three additional securitization deals are in the works for this year.

“They probably won’t be as big as the current one,” O’Hara said, “but … assuming home prices continue to appreciate as they have been historically, then the [securitization] deal side will have to grow commensurately.”

Unison, through an REA contract, advances the homeowner a portion of the equity in the property in exchange for a lien position and a share of the home’s future appreciation. Unison also shares some of the downside if the property loses value over the course of the contract.

Unison, through its recently announced offering, Unison 2021-1, is securitizing existing REA assets it originated and are now held in an investment fund managed by the company. O’Hara said Unison is currently in discussions with a couple of bond-rating firms to help determine the best framework for rating future REA securitizations — with the goal of having a rating-agency review Unison’s third REI securitization planned for this year.

“Mortgages have existed for 2,000 years, and there’s even a reference to them in Roman writings,” O’Hara said. “So, the idea of a mortgage is well understood and it’s a huge multitrillion dollar market.

“We [the shared home-equity industry] are not a multi-trillion market. We’re smaller and, as a result, they [rating agencies] have to understand what the [REI] contracts are, and how putting them into a pool, chopping them up and selling it in bonds behaves on top of those contracts.”

The total value of homes Unison has invested in across some 200 metro areas exceeds $5 billion, according to its website, and those assets continue to grow. The company currently has some 8,500 residential equity agreements in place, according to O’Hara, and that number is projected to approach 12,000 by year’s end. 

The total asset value of Unison’s REA assets now stands at $1.3 billion, according to the company, up from $165 million as of the first quarter of 2018 — with the annualized net return on REA assets under management since 2010 averaging 16.3%, according to the company.

“So, I’m responsible for Unison Investment Management, which is part of Unison, and what we do is we raise money from institutional investors primarily,” O’Hara said. “That’s where the money comes from to fund them, [the REAs].”

As part of a Unison’s REA product, the company will invest up to 17.5% of a home’s value after a 2.5% risk-adjustment haircut on the value of the property. The company and homeowner then share in any appreciation, or depreciation, of the home’s value over the course of the contract. 

The homeowner has up to 30 years to pay off the initial investment, plus Unison’s appreciation cut, through a sale or refinancing of the home — or through a contract buyout after three-year lock-in period. As part of the REA, Unison’s share of the home’s appreciation can range from 20% to 70%, depending on size of the equity investment advanced.

“We’re sitting in an equity position side by side with the homeowner,” O’Hara said. “So, if the price goes up, the homeowner benefits, and we benefit as well. 

“If the price goes down, the homeowners are losing some of their equity, but we are also losing equity in our position at the same time.”

Although each has slight variations, Unison’s REAs are similar to shared home-equity contracts offered through other companies competing in the space, including fintech Point, which describes its product as a home-equity investment contract, or HEI.

The Redwood/Point HEI-backed securitization deal, which closed in late September 2021, involved issuing $146 million in securities through a conduit dubbed Point Securitization Trust 2021-1. 

“We expect to be back in the market sometime next year,” Redwood’s Stern said in 2021 at the time the deal was announced. “Since this [HEI securitization] deal was the first of its kind, we are still determining the next deal size and frequency of future securitizations. The decision will be contingent on many factors, including market conditions, origination outlook, etc.” 

Like the Redwood/Point offering, the bondholders in the Unison deal will get paid a monthly coupon from the cash flow generated by contract pay-offs. O’Hara said the Unison securitization deal assumes an annualized REI contract turnover rate of 12% to 15%.

“If payments come in earlier or there’s a higher HPA [home price appreciation] that will be used to pay down the bonds ahead of the expected call dates,” O’Hara said.

As for Redwood, officials there declined to discuss at this time whether the company is pursuing any HEI-backed securitization deals for 2022. “Redwood has an earnings release on Wednesday (February 9) and won’t be able to comment,” a company spokesperson said. 

O’Hara added that in the case of Unison, the securitization market is an optimal way for the company to decrease its cost of financing while also creating more liquidity, with the goal of lowering REI costs for homeowners.

“Obviously, we want to be able to finance our positions less expensively,” O’Hara said “The goal here, however, is not to make it cheaper for us to maximize the return. Rather, it’s to lower the cost of financing [and thereby] lower the cost to homeowners over time, so more people will find it attractive to do an REA contract. 

“The investors will still get a return similar to what they’re getting today, but homeowners get a better deal, so it’s cheaper for them. And everybody’s happy.”

The post Home-equity investment pioneer Unison taps the secondary market appeared first on HousingWire.



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The 1% rule, HELOCs, BRRRRs, cash-out refinances, and cash flow are all topics on this episode of Seeing Greene. As always, you’ll be joined by our jiu-jitsu loving, metaphor-creating, top-tier agent and investor, David Greene as he takes questions submitted via video, on YouTube, and through the BiggerPockets forums. With so many new investors getting into real estate, there is no better time than now to sit down, relax, and get into the mind of an expert.

If you’re a rookie figuring out how to get financing for your first real estate deal or a veteran investor debating cash flow vs. appreciation and the usability of the 1% rule, be sure to stick around. David touches on all these topics and more as he dives deep into some of the most asked questions around the real estate community.

You’ll hear about out-of-state investing, the best real estate investment for cash flow, the implications of partnering with a romantic partner, ADUs (attached dwelling units), and how to get around the dreaded six-month seasoning period of cash-out refinances. If you’d like to ask David a question, be sure to submit yours here!

David:
This is the BiggerPockets Podcast show 567. What’s going on everyone? It is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets Podcast, here with a Seeing Greene episode. Now, you know it’s Seeing Greene because I’ve got a green light behind me, a green shirt on, and Greene as my last name. And we are going to get into some awesome stuff, but first, you know you’re in the right place if you’re here to find financial freedom through real estate. That is exactly what we help you do. We do that by bringing on different guests that have achieved this for themself, that have found success in areas, have made mistakes, and share how they made them. And then ask questions that you yourself are thinking.

David:
I want to try to give you as much educational help as I possibly can so you avoid making bad decisions and make good ones instead. And today’s show is full of just that. Now, if you’re new here and you like today’s show, check out biggerpockets.com, it’s a free one-stop-shop for all things real estate investing to help you save time and money, avoid mistakes, and tap into the wisdom of two million fellow members. Another little piece of advice for you, if you like the show and you like getting these questions answered, go check out the forums on BiggerPockets. It is full of people asking questions just like this and other members of BiggerPockets answering them.

David:
Now, today’s show is pretty awesome, and we cover a lot of really good stuff. Some of the best stuff would be, how to get a hard money lender to give you capital. We get into trying to figure out how you can get approved for that loan to get started. There’s a really good question about why certain asset classes cash flow much better than others that I think gives a lot of insight into how to pick the right one for you. And then one listener points out that BP seems to have changed their stance on something that has been preached here for a very long time. And I give some insight into why at one point that is what was being told. Now, it’s a little bit different, but most importantly, why that’s happening and how the changing of your strategy can help you be successful in an ever growing and changing market.

David:
Now, if you want a chance to ask a question yourself and tell your friends that you are featured on the BP Podcast, don’t just send me an Instagram DM, go to biggerpockets.com/david and put your question there. You can be a featured guest on the biggest real estate investing podcast in the world. You can also find the link in the description to do just that. Now, before we get on with the show, a quick word from today’s show sponsors. All right. Thanks to our show sponsors as always. For today’s quick tip. We want to know what have you thought abour our recent co-host?

David:
We had a great time with Henry Washington, Craig Curelop, and Rob Abasolo. If you have feedback on what cohost you’ve enjoyed, please let us know on the show notes page, biggerpockets.com/show567, that’s the web page, and you can add some notes about what you thought about the co-host and what you’d like to see more of. All right. That’s all I got. Without further ado, let’s get into today’s questions.

Daniel Jewel:
Hey, BiggerPockets. My name’s Daniel Jewel. I’ve got a question in regards to proof of experience. Right now, the deal that I have worked out with my mentor/boss/partner is I get paid $25 an hour to do work on his rentals or on flips. Now, if it’s flip, I get 10% of the end profits. Now, I don’t have to have anything invested or anything else like that, but I’m trying to branch off and do things on my own because he’s going in a direction where, he’s just going a different direction, but I don’t want to bring him along with me because he want to go that way, I want to go this way, but I don’t have a lot of proof of experience.

Daniel Jewel:
I got pictures, I got invoices and all that other stuff, but when I am approaching a hard money lender, they want to see more. They want to see more like JV agreements and everything else like that, but I don’t have that. So is there any other kind of paperwork apart from title, which he won’t let me be on, that I can get in the future or if anybody else has this same situation, maybe they can prevent this.

David:
All right, Daniel, thank you very much for your submission there. I see the quandary that you have found yourself in. Basically, what it sounds like is you’ve been working for a flipper and this is how you’ve been learning the business. He pays you $25 an hour, and then as a kicker, you get a 10% cut of the profit of the flip. This is a great way to learn the business. This is a great way for you to contribute to the motto without having to take risks. Like you said, you’re not putting any money in. I think more people should do what you’re doing rather than trying to go borrow money from someone that they know and possibly risking it. It’s better to work with somebody else who’s doing it and learn the business that way.

David:
The downside, like you’re seeing, is you didn’t get this documented that great. So you have been being paid $25 an hour, I’m sure there’s some kind of documentation for that. Your bonus probably won’t be able to be documented very well. I think the key here is you’ve talked to hard money lenders that want to see a JV agreement. I’ve dealt with many of them that don’t ask for that. This might be as simple as just finding a different hard money lender that doesn’t have those same requirements or maybe opening the conversation with, “Hey, I have been working for someone else doing flips for a long time. I’m ready to do one as the main person instead of as the JV partner, what do you need from me in order to move forward with approving me for the loan?”

David:
And if they tell you, “Well, we need all this stuff.” I would probably just move on and find a different one. Now, look, in today’s market, it is very hard to find deals, it’s very hard to find contractors. It’s not very hard to find money. Money is everywhere, that’s what’s fueling a big part of this rise in prices that we’ve seen in real estate. So look for the money because that’s the easiest thing for you to find. I would start off by looking for different hard money lenders and not just working with one that says we need a JV agreement. Now, if you can’t do that, let’s talk about a couple of options that you might have.

David:
The first is you find a different partner that does have the experience doing flips that you don’t and you bring them in as your JV. So imagine you find an experienced flipper that’s not your partner, because like you said, you two are going different ways. You find somebody else and say, “I will give you 10% of the profit on my flip, you don’t have to do anything. I just need you to be a partner on the deal so that the hard money lender will approve my loan.” Problem solved. You might only have to do that one time because now that you’ve flipped this house as the main person in it, you have proof to go to the next hard money lender and you can do it yourself. This is probably a problem you’re only going to have to deal with once, and if you can overcome it, I think that you’ll be okay.

David:
All right. Our next question comes from Tim Mitchell. Tim says, “I’ve seen several of your Q&As. And an episode 4887 and 501, you answered questions on when to do a cash out refinance versus a HELOC. You emphasize that for keeping property after purchasing it, a cash out refi is better. And for short term investing like flips or rehabs, a HELOC is better. I just wanted to know if my purpose is to BRRRR a property, which of the two would you recommend?” All right, Tim, well, there’s a little bit of ambiguity in the question. I’m not sure if you’re saying once the property is already rehabbed, should I take out a HELOC on it or should I refinance it? Or if you’re saying, “I want to use the money to buy the property that I’m going to BRRRR.”

David:
I’m going to assume that you mean the second one because most of the refinances in a BRRRR are going to be a long term loan, not a short term HELOC. Here’s what you have to ask yourself, a lot of us associate in our head, “I’m going to take money out of this deal to put it towards this deal.” And it makes sense when we think that way. I refinanced this one and I bought that one. And oftentimes teachers like me when we’re explaining how this whole thing works, we do share it that way because it’s easy to digest. But in reality, I don’t know that I ever take funds from one thing and put them into another. I take out the funds and then as opportunity comes, I send out the funds.

David:
I have money coming in from real estate sales, from loan commissions, from flips that I did, from short-term rentals that I own, from long-term rentals that I own, from book royalties that I write. There’s all this income that comes in and then I just keep it in different places and then invest it into properties when they come. So the first thing I want to say is, free your mind from looking at it like, I took money out of this house and into the next one. Money’s money and you can get it from a lot of places and you can invest it in a lot of places too. Now, you probably don’t have a ton of money and that’s why you’re refinancing the property to get the money out. So that’s why you’re looking at it the way that you are.

David:
But I want you to understand that money is money for a specific reason. If you do a long term refinance, let’s say you pull $100,000 out of a property on a cashout refi, and now you have that loan locked in place for that $100,000 that you borrowed against the property. Now, keep in mind, it’s 100,000 extra maybe, maybe you already had a loan on there and when you did a cash out refi, you owed money and now you’ve added $100,000 to the balance. You can use that money for everything. You can use it for anything. You can use that money to buy your BRRRR. And then when you refinance it out, you could just buy the next BRRRR with that money.

David:
If you do the HELOC, you can use that money to buy the next property, and then when you get it back, you can pay it off and then you can wait until you need it again and go get the next deal. So HELOCs are nice for what you’re talking about because you’re only paying the interest on the money when you’re using it. If you do the cashout refinance, you’re going to be paying interest on that money all the time. Now, there’s a couple downsides to the HELOC. Usually, the interest rate is higher, so even though you’re not paying to use that money all the time, when you are using it, you’re going to be paying more.

David:
A HELOC is typically adjustable rate, so if interest rates go up, the amount that you owe on that HELOC can go up and it can go up quick. So I wouldn’t say that there is a certain way that you should be doing it versus what you shouldn’t be doing. The question is, “How quickly am I going to use that money? What is the velocity of that capital that you’re pulling out of your deal?” If you know you’re going to be turning it over really quick, you put it in the property, you refinance, you rehab it, you refinance it, get it out. You just go by the next property, do a long term cash out. If you’re going to be using it seldomly, you’re just waiting for the perfect deal to come along, use the HELOC so that you can pay down the money that you borrowed to do your BRRRR once you refinance it, and you could wait until the deal comes along to pull the money out.

David:
So it doesn’t matter what type of asset you’re spending the money on, what matters on is how quickly you’re going to be using that money. Now, I tend to use both. I usually do the cash out refi first because the rates are better. If I can lock it in at a lower rate, that’s better than having a HELOC that’s adjustable and can bounce around. And then after I’ve cashout refied my properties, I take a HELOC on the equity that is left. So I always start with the big rock, that’s going to be the cash out refinance. And then I move on to the HELOC afterwards, and that’s money that I just basically have interest that I’m running all the time and I use it for flips or investments into businesses, stuff like that.

David:
I hope that helps. Now, if you reach out to a loan officer, they can usually explain to you what the cost of each one would be. So when you do a cash refinance, you’re typically going to have higher closing costs, but you’re going to have a better rate and it’s locked in. HELOCs are going to be higher rates and they’re adjustable, but the closing costs are significantly less. Happy to help you with that. If you want to reach out to me, I’ll get you in touch with one of my guys, if not, just make sure you find a good loan officer that has both products that can explain to you how they work.

David:
And a lot of these questions, if you find the right person, they can give you the details on it.

David:
All right. We’re going to have a bonus question here from our producer, Eric. Eric was listening to me talk, and he had a personal question of his own that has to do with, when should you consider the cost of capital? So you often hear it said that if you refinance a property over 30 years, what’s the total interest that you’re going to be paying on that money. A lot of people’s minds go to that. They say, “Well, should I do it? Because over 30 years, I’m going to be paying this much more interest.”

That’s an important question when you are doing it on your primary residence and you’re going to refinance it to spend on like a boat, a car, a vacation, because you’re just spending money so you need to know how much it’s costing you over a long period of time. If you’re reinvesting that, the question becomes, “How much money am I going to spend over 30 years to borrow it? Versus, how much money am I going to make over 30 years if I reinvest it?” And you make so much more, it’s not even worth wondering what you’re paying on it.

David:
All right. Our next question comes from Zaid K. Zaid asks, “I’ve been looking at triple net properties and evaluating deals, and the cashflow flow returns are lower than what I’m currently doing with my residential stuff. They’re a higher risk, because it’s a recourse loan since I’m a beginner, and significantly higher debt. I am a little perplexed on how this type of investing is efficient to scale, but yet seems riskier and less efficient to me. I’m not sure what I’m missing and would appreciate your thoughts and input. PS, I have read commercial real estate investing books and I have been networking with broker and other investors.”

David:
I really like this question, Zaid, and I’m glad that you asked it. And for those that are about to listen, I’m going to give you a different perspective at which you should look at your opportunity and the deals that you’re looking at and the strategy that you’re going to take than you’re probably using, and Zaid’s question is going to allow me to do that. Basically Zaid, what I hear you saying is, I’m told that I can scale triple net better and faster. But when I look at it, the returns are lower and the risk is higher. So why would I want to scale that?

David:
Now, it sounds like Zaid is thinking the same thing we all think when we get started, “What am I doing wrong? This doesn’t work. I was told to look for cashflow.” And so I’m looking for cashflow, but I can’t find it anywhere. I was told to look for a lot of equity in the deal because you make your money when you buy, but there’s no deals out there with equity. This is a very frequent thing that comes up all the time. And because I run the David Greene team, I have to deal with clients that have these same questions constantly, and I’m very well equipped to answer this question.

David:
Here’s what you’re missing, Zaid. You’re assuming, my guess is, based on the way you asked the question, you have this presupposition, that all real estate is basically the same. You’ve got short term rentals, long term rentals, commercial, triple net, flips, maybe not flips, but any like buy and hold real estate. It’s all apples and apples. And so I’m just basically comparing the return and the risk on every property and finding the best one, but it’s not. Real estate actually works on a spectrum, it has a personality to it. So when you’re investing in, say, a short term rental, on that spectrum, cashflow is super high, but convenience is super low. It’s a lot of work to run a short-term rental, it’s more like buying a job. It is not passive income.

David:
Having a business is just like owning real estate, but business is less passive, it’s way more active than owning real estate, but it also gives you a higher upside, you can make a lot more money. It’s a spectrum. Triple net investing where your tenant is basically paying for most of the expenses, they’re paying the property taxes, they’re paying for a lot of the maintenance, they’re paying for the insurance, and then they’re also paying you rent. It’s very convenient. Triple net investing means you don’t have to pay for a lot of things. The tenant has to cover almost all of it. That’s the benefit of it.

David:
This is why people say it can scale because you don’t do a whole lot of work. Unless you have a vacancy, there is nothing to worry about. I recently bought a $60 million commercial property that was triple net just like what you’re talking about, and I was floored at the analysis of it. I was expecting it to be incredibly complicated because it was such a big property and so expensive, but there was almost nothing to. It was, “Here’s the income that’s coming in. Here’s what we have to pay for property management. And here’s what your loan amount is going to be and the debt you’re going to have.” And that was about it.

David:
The diligence on this deal came from looking at the tenants. The leases is where the work was actually put in. Now, if you can understand that, it makes sense why the returns are lower. You’ve got to something up to get something. If you want to get the convenience and scalability of triple net investing, what you have to give up is the return. You want to hire a return, get into short term rentals. Now your risk profile will go up and the amount of work you’re doing will go up, but you will make more money. What I want every listener to understand is so many people get stuck, not taking action because they haven’t accepted that all of real estate operates on a scale. And the further you go in one direction, the further away you go from other things.

David:
I see this phenomenon with things like cashflow versus equity. In most markets, you’re going to get more appreciation where there’s less cash flow in the beginning and you’re going to get more cashflow in the beginning if there to be less appreciation. I see this constantly. I see that returns can be really high in really bad areas where you have to spend a lot more time managing the property. So you’re giving up time and you’re giving up convenience to get that higher return. And this is why people get into bad deals, is they look at a spreadsheet that says, “I’m going to get a 25% ROI.” And they get really excited and they buy the at turnkey property in a terrible area.

David:
And then they spend all their time trying to keep a tenant in there and they go, “Real estate sucks. I hate it.” But if you had walked into it knowing that you were buying real estate that was going to suck and you were going to hate and you were willing to endure that in order to get the 25% return, you wouldn’t have been upset.” Now, this is something I’ve learned just from dealing with clients who come to me with these pie in the sky expectations, “Hey, I want to buy Bay Area real estate. I see the renter going up, I see the property values are going up. Interest rates are really low. I really want to be able to borrow $900,000 at a super low rate and I can get really high rent.” And they’re right about all of it.

David:
But what they’re giving up is the ease of buying it. It’s very difficult. You’re going up against a lot of other are people that want those same properties. So in the beginning when you’re first on the hunt, you’re going to work a lot harder than the person that just goes to Indiana or Detroit and you can find a property right off the bat. But the upside, once you get it, is huge. You’re never going to regret it. So the reasons, Zaid, to sum this up, that you’re having such a hard time understanding it is because you’re looking at all real estate like it works the same, but it doesn’t. All real estate has a personality, just like all kids.

David:
Some kids are very strong willed and it drives you nuts, but then they become great leaders and they accomplish great things because their will overpowers it. You can’t have a person who is very agreeable and doesn’t really push for anything, and then also want them to go push through obstacles. That’s how personalities work, you have to give and you have to take. The reason they say it scales is because there’s not a lot of work you do, so there’s less time involved, and the less time is involved, the more scaling can happen, but the returns going to come down as well. Hope that helps, Zaid, and everyone else.

David:
All right. We asked for your comments and feedback and you gave it, and I’m so pleased that I’m going to be able to share some of it. It has been overwhelmingly positive, it seems that people are loving this show format. And that makes me really happy because we put a lot of work into collecting all this information and setting it up so that I can answer it and making sure that I answer it well. So I’m really glad that you guys are liking it. I want to take a minute to share some of the feedback that we’ve been receiving. First comes from Dave H. You asked for comments and feedback. This series of detailed Q&A has been some of the best content for a newbie like me.

David:
Some of the questions are exactly what I would’ve asked. Other questions from more experienced investors get me thinking about things I hadn’t considered. Keep it coming. Dave, thank you. That is literally what I’m hoping for. I’m hoping that I can answer questions that newbies would have, because those are typically the people that bring it up, but do it in a way that experienced investors gain some insight into what’s going on behind the scenes. In fact, the whole idea of seeing Greene, is that you’re seeing it from my perspective, and I can offer practical insight and practical solutions, but I also like to peel back the layers of the onion and show you what goes on in the industry behind it so that more experienced investors can gain from it.

David:
Ogres are like onions, they’ve got layers and Shrek was green just like this green light behind me. Next from [Jusoh Sol Walled 00:19:51], “Absolutely love this format. Please keep it up. It would be helpful to hear advice on scaling, particularly as it applies to financing debt, to income loan type, etc, and how to balance debt load versus risk.” I love that question, I love talking about it. If somebody wants to submit a question specifically on that, go to biggerpockets.com/david and let me know what you’re trying to figure out with your scaling. Jusoh here has actually inspired me to make a video and I’m going to make one and put it out that talks about how I personally manage risk and reward in my own portfolio.

David:
This works with business, it works with real estate, it’s really a principle I’ve developed that keeps me safe so that I can aggressively scale without having to worry about losing everything. So thank you for that, I’m going to work on that video today. Next is from Michael Randall, and this is great, “I don’t mean to be argumentative, but I thought I’d share my thoughts.” It’s like when you say, “No disrespect, but,” the whole Ricky Bobby thing, except Michael actually wasn’t being disrespectful, I just thought that was funny, “I don’t mean to be argumentative, but I’m about to argue.”

David:
“All I would ever hear on BiggerPockets for years was to focus on cash flow and betting on appreciation and inflation, etc was a gamble. And that was a big no-no. Now, you guys are saying the opposite. Sure, over 30 years, real estate will work out as an investment, no one ever argues that, and a deal today will most likely be a good investment in the long term. That is the only part that makes sense to me.” All right. Here’s why I love this question. It is absolutely indicative of the culture and the background of BiggerPockets in general. And if you’ve been listening to all the episodes that have ever been made like many of you awesome fans do, you’re probably thinking the same thing.

David:
In fact, I had to wrestle with this very hard. So I’m going to do my best to give you some insight as to where the advice came from, why the advice has changed. Now also to be fair, not everyone on BiggerPockets agrees with me. Brandon and I have a way of looking at the economy in real estate and developing our strategies that some people don’t have. So this isn’t the opinion of necessarily of BiggerPockets, this is the opinion of David Greene. And because you hear my voice on BiggerPockets all the time, I want to take a second to give you some background into why this is the way that I’m thinking.

David:
First off, you got to understand the history of where BiggerPockets came from. Josh Dorkins started this company after having a terrible experience owning rental property himself, I believe in Southern California, and he had questions about what to do when things were going wrong and he had nowhere to go. So he started an online forum for real estate investors to come and ask questions so they could get answers that he never got. And that really hits close to home for me because that’s how every business I ever started was. I had a problem, it was causing me pain, it was hurting me and I was frustrated, and instead of just being mad about it, I went out there and tried to create the solution and Josh did the same thing and it grew up to this behemoth that BiggerPockets is now.

David:
Now, Josh ended up, I believe losing those properties because they didn’t cash flow. And this happened at the same time as a lot of other people are losing property. So if you’re younger and you don’t remember, right around the years 2000 to 2006, loans were being given to people that they could not afford and they were giving artificially low interest rates that would reset later so they could afford the house on day one, but they couldn’t afford it two years later. And everybody started to lose their properties because they could not rent them out for as much as they had to spend on the loan and they could not sell them because the value of the properties was dropping too fast.

David:
So you ended up being left with a property that was going to bleed you dry every month or just let it go. And when the value of your property is less than what you owe on it and you’re losing money every month, the majority of people didn’t see any reason to keep it. So they all sold it, it flooded the market with inventory, tons of foreclosures. Most of these houses were in disrepair and we walked into what I would say now is like the golden era of real estate investing. There was ton of supply and very little demand. Now, there were certain challenges to that market, there wasn’t a lot of money going around, it was hard to get financing because banks were so gun shy by giving loans to people after seeing how many people had defaulted.

David:
But if you had the money, if you had a job at that time, that was consistent and if you had the wherewithal to buy properties, that’s when I got started, it was great. The reason all of the advice that was coming out of BiggerPockets and probably everywhere else was cash flow, cash flow, cash flow, is because at that time, people were buying properties that did not cash flow and they didn’t even know they were supposed to cash flow. They didn’t even understand that cash flow was a term. They were buying for pure speculation, “I’m going to buy at this price, I’m going to sell it when it goes up.” They were treating real estate like stocks. They were not listening to podcasts of people that talk about how to own property, how to analyze property, how to manage property.

David:
They weren’t educating themselves. They just saw that everybody else was making money and they said, “Oh, I think I’ll go do it too.” They were just hoping that it would work out. And nobody lost the house to cash flow. The only people that lost house is didn’t cash flow. So the overwhelming advice, like imagine where a general is going to send their troops, they’re going to send reinforcement to wherever the line is the thinnest and they need the most help. And everyone was making the mistake of buying property that didn’t cash flow, they just assumed it would always go up, and cash flow is what will keep you safe when values go down.

David:
Now, let’s fast forward all the way up to 2022 where we are now, you’re hearing us say, I should say, you’re hearing me say, “Hey, if a property doesn’t cash flow a ton, that’s okay. I’m still buying it. Here’s all the reasons why I would, and it’s going to cash flow in five years. It’s going to cash flow in three years.” Basically it’s because the rules of the game have changed. There is now way more inflation than there was back then. We had more fiscally conservative policies than what we have now. People didn’t just create money out of thin air and dump it into the economy.

David:
The reason that prices were going up so fast back then is because the loans were bad. The loans are actually good now, it’s the money that we are spending is worth less. And people don’t understand that. So a million-dollar property might be worth like a $600,000 property back then, there’s been that much inflation. So it gives us this idea that everything’s getting expensive, but it’s really not, our money’s just becoming worth less. And if you look at saving money in the bank now, your money’s becoming worth less and less and less as inflation eats it, saving money in the bank back in 2010 was different.

David:
It was better to save money because that money could stretch, it could go really far. You could buy a property for 100 grand instead of 300 grand. So you wanted capital to do it. Fast forward to now, the price of the assets are going up so quickly that if you wait too long to buy them, they just become more expensive, and the money that you’re saving in the bank is becoming worth less and less and less. You actually make way more money owning assets in an inflationary period than you do saving money. When there’s not a lot of inflation, assets are riskier, they’re more work. You’re going to spend your money on that asset, and if you’re only going to get a 7% return, well, you could go get that on the bank and do no work, so why would you go buy real estate?

David:
Well, now you can’t get a 7% return on the bank, you’re going to get a 1% return. And the value of that real estate is going up much faster as well as the rents, as well as the cash flow in the future. So I’m not telling people to buy properties that don’t cash flow, I can do that because I have enough other properties that do cash flow, it’s fine, or I have money coming in it from other areas. But that doesn’t mean that everybody else can do that. What I am saying is don’t look at cash flow as the only reason to buy, and don’t assume it’s going to be your savior. You don’t make very much money in real estate from the cash flow.

David:
You make money from paying down a loan, having appreciation and your rent’s going up every single year. Your cash grows, it very rarely is a significant impact in year one. So I hope that makes sense, is if you listen to older episodes, there’s tons of talk about cash flow is cash king, cash flow is cash king because that’s what would’ve saved you, that’s what was hurting people. We were very worried about people buying properties that didn’t cash flow. In today’s environment, it’s different. There’s not as much worry about people losing their jobs as it was back then, properties are going up in value so that if something happened, you can sell them much easier.

David:
And it’s not guaranteed, you still should be looking for cash flow in a property. But I don’t think the ROI on your money is the number one factor that matters, I think buying in the right area is much more important than the ROI right now. I think looking at the ROI 10 years from now is way more important than looking at the ROI right now. Think the story of the tortoise and the hare. The hare shut out the gates right away, that’s like buying a turnkey property in an area that is not going to appreciate and is tough to own. You’re getting cash right off the bat and you feel good about yourself, but that tortoise just kept steadily going and going and going, and eventually, it ended up passing the hare.

David:
That’s what it’s like when you buy in a great area with a solid tenant base, with a lot of great jobs moving in and rents going up every single year. Because of it, your cash flow catches up to that hare pretty quickly and then passes it and keeps going where the hare stopped. That’s where the advice is coming from, that’s why you’re feeling confusion. I really appreciate you asking that question, Michael and I hope that my answer helped.

Carly:
Hi David, thank you for taking my question. I’m currently located in the Greater Boston area, but have a six unit in Upstate New York where I’m originally from. My family is actually planning to relocate back to the Upstate New York area. And we plan to use some of the profit from our primary residents for investment purposes. If our goal is to increase our monthly cash flow, what type of investment asset classes and strategies should I be considering? Should I look to partner with someone who has more experience to get into larger commercial deals, look into syndications, maybe venture into self-storage, how should I be thinking about this? Thanks so much.

David:
Thank you very much, Carly [McKay Love 00:29:25] moving from Boston back to New York. This is a good question. Here’s what I hear you saying. We’re selling a property, we’re going to have some equity. If our goal is primarily cash flow, where should I be looking? There’s all these options. The short answer to that question is, if you’re just looking for the most cash flow you can get and you’re relatively new of an investor, the best asset class for you is small multifamily. That’s your two, three and four unit properties. Why, you ask? Well, the financing is really easy. You can get Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac loans at 30 year fixed rates, even though they function a little bit more like commercial property because they’re meant to generate income.

David:
If you buy them as a primary resident, you can get away with putting way less money down. You could put down as low as like 5% on a lot of those properties if you get the right loan officer that finds you the right product, we do that pretty frequently with my team. They’re also the easiest to manage and they’re very easy to analyze. So you can get a property manager that will just manage it for you. You don’t have to do a whole lot of work. And the analysis is pretty simple, it’s like taking the analysis of a single-family home and it’s almost the same thing. What’s the rent? What are the expenses? You can find the rent of each of the units. That’s really, the only difference is you’re doing it for four different units instead of just one.

David:
And then there may be a couple additional expenses, maybe you’re paying for the water or you’re paying for the garbage. It depends on the area that you’re in, I don’t know what it’s like in New York, but that would be really simple. Your questions about syndication and self-storage, those are niche strategies. I don’t know that they would get you as much cash flow as benefit in other ways. So let’s say for instance that you got into self-storage, that probably give you a much more value-add component. I don’t know that the cash flow would be the same, but it’ll be a lot more work. You’re buying a business, you’re not buying real estate when you get into self-storage, you’re buying real estate as a business would be the best way to look at it. But you’re running that business by owning that real estate.

David:
That’s a lot more time, not like buying small multifamily. A syndication of value is that you spend no time, you don’t do hardly anything. And you can get a good return, the problem is you don’t get the long term benefits of real estate ownership, because the syndication’s going to sell those properties in order to pay you back. You’re just going to be getting some money over a short period of time. So you’re not actually owning real estate so to speak as investing in a business that owns real estate, that’d be a better way to look at it. So if it’s purely cash flow you’re looking for and you’re new, this is the best way to get started.

David:
This is like having a bike with training wheels, you could fall, but it’s a lot tougher to fall. You’re not going to go super-fast, but that’s okay when you’re new, you don’t need to be going really fast, and you learn the fundamentals of riding the bike. And once you get good at that, you can start looking at some of these other niches and other strategies taking off those training wheels and riding faster.

Alex:
It’s Alex here from the west side of Cleveland. Hey man, I just want to let you know, I love your stuff, I follow you and Brandon, you guys have awesome books and awesome feedback and I’ve gained so much knowledge from you guys. So thank you for that. I’m wondering, I’m looking to start investing out of state, when you’re investing on a state and you’re finding your deal finder, do you let them know that you’re an agent? The reason I ask is, currently I’m an assistant to a real estate agent and I’m looking to get my license and I plan to become a realtor.

Alex:
Do you feel that it helps you letting the other real estate agent know that you are a realtor or do you suggest not letting them know? I appreciate your feedback, man. Thank you so much. And again, thank you for everything you’ve done for all us rookies out there. Appreciate you.

David:
Well, thank you Alex. That’s actually some very nice things that you said. All right. This question’s pretty simple and there’s a couple of things that I’m going to cover when I answer it. It’s if I am investing out of state and I’m an agent in the state I’m in, do I tell the other person on the other end that I’m an agent? First off, what a lot of people do is they go to the agent that they are having represent them and they ask for a referral fee, they ask for a percentage of the commission back to them. That can be customary in the world of real estate agent. So if somebody is in Texas and they say, “Hey, I need to sell my house in Texas and I want to move to California.”

David:
There’s agents in Texas that will say, “Hey David Greene, I have somebody that’s moving to California. If you give me 25% of the commission, I’ll let you work with them. And this does happen pretty frequently. So what a lot of people will do is they’ll ask for that same bonus back from their realtor. I rarely ever do that. I only do that when I’m buying very expensive property like over a million, oftentimes around like one and a half to two, two and a half million dollars. And we’re the easiest clients ever, because we don’t need that much work. So typically if you work with me, if you’re a realtor, I in the very beginning, I will ask you some questions that have nothing to do with analyzing the deal.

David:
I want to know about the area, I want to know about what resources that you have to help me with this thing, I want to know about what type of people live in that community, what they do for work, what they do for fun, how many people are moving in there, maybe a little bit about what the city is building or not building, that type of stuff. And the rest I can do. I understand how the contract works, I understand how to do everything. I’ve done it so many times. So I’m the best client you could ever have. In those cases, I’m okay asking for a referral feedback that I put towards down payment.

David:
But when I was first starting off and I wasn’t buying expensive property, I never did that. I wanted the deal much more than I wanted the little bit of money that was going to come my way. And I didn’t want the realtor to not work for me because they were going to be making less money. So I don’t ask for the referral fee, except in very specific cases. I do let them know I’m an agent and that’s mostly because I’m usually telling them, “Here’s what I want you to do, and I’m coming from the perspective of an agent.” Let me give you an example. I have an agent in Phoenix that I recently was talking to about a deal that a partner and I were looking into that was very expensive.

David:
And I told him, “Here’s what I want you to do, I want you to call the listing agent and find out why it was pulled off the market.” He did, he got back to me. I said, “Okay. She sounds like she was pretty eager from how quickly she called you back to put her under contract.” He said, “Yeah, she wants to get this thing sold.” I told him, “All right, here’s what I want you to do. I want you to call her back and I want you to make the case that you are trying to sell your client on the property.” And the reality was, I was going to him and saying, “I want to look at it.”

David:
But I said, “Call the agent and say, ‘I’ve got a buyer for you. They do this all the time. They will close on this deal. I just need to know if we can come to terms on the price before I bring it to him. You guys are currently listed at 1.8, you’ve been on the market for 63 days, what are the odds we can get this thing below 1.7. I don’t want to waste your time?’” And I said, “I want you to tell me what her tone sounds like if she’s like, ‘man, I don’t know, but I really want to try,’ that let’s know that the sellers are ready to get moving and she wants to get it sold.

David:
If she laughs at him and hangs up, that lets me know that there’s not a whole lot of interest there and if we’re going to write an offer, it’d have to be higher. So I tell them I’m an agent because I’m often giving them direction on how I want the negotiation to go because I know how to do that as an agent. Here’s the danger in it. If you tell them I’m an agent, they often assume that means you know how the contract works. And I got burned on this one time. I bought a property in Florida, now in California, if you have an inspection period of 12 days, on day 12, you get a notice to perform. And then 48 hours later, you have to decide, do I want to move forward with the deal or do I want to back out and get my money back?

David:
But if nobody may makes you perform, your deposit is never at risk, you can just get it back if you back out. In Florida, that doesn’t work that way. On day 12, you can no longer get your deposit back. So because the realtor in Florida assumed I knew how contracts worked there, they didn’t know that it was different in California, I didn’t know it was different in Florida, I never waived my inspection contingency and I assumed that that meant I could get my $5,000 deposit back. Well, 30, 40 days into escrow, they’re asking me why we’re not closing and I had literally forgotten I’d put it under escrows buying so many houses.

David:
So I looked at it and I realized that I can’t buy it. There’s a hole in the roof, it had been raining, nonstop, the entire inner workings of the house, the studs themselves had dry route, the whole thing would have to be torn down and rebuild. I said, “I can’t buy it.” But I didn’t realize I wasn’t going to get my deposit back. Now, the only reason my realtor wasn’t hounding me saying, you need to move on,” This is she, thought I already knew that. So that’s an example of how if you tell someone you’re a realtor, they might assume you know certain things that you don’t. So I would say, yes, tell them you’re a realtor, but be very clear that you want to be treated as if you’re not a realtor unless you tell them any different.

David:
Our next question comes from Jared, “I’m currently house hacking, having trouble finding properties within the 1% rule that won’t require lots of maintenance and repairs. And even though it’s very cheap to borrow money, I’m not sure how to go about my next deal. I have MLS searches all around Michigan with real estate agents, but they agree that the market just isn’t great right now deal wise. Should I wait for rents to appreciate the way housing prices have or is staying patient through these important years a potential mistake?” Very good question. And I think Jared that this applies to a lot of people who are listening that are in this same boat.

David:
Let’s start off with what you are using to refer to a good deal. It sounds like you’re looking for something that meets the 1% rule. Now, the 1% rule is more of a 1% guideline, and it states that if a property will rent for 1% every month of what you paid for it, it will likely cash flow. So if you buy a $200,000 house, it should rent for $2,000 a month. That would be the 1% rule. That’s not a rule that I believe people should use to make their investing decisions. It is a rule they should use to decide, do I want to even look at it if I need it to cash flow? So I will do this in my head all the time, I’ll be looking at a deal and I’m like, “Okay, that’s a $400,000 house, the 1% rule is 4,000. The rents are 3,200.”

David:
That is close enough to it that will cash flow. I will actually analyze this deal and see how much the ROI would be. Let’s say that it’s a $400,000 house and the rents are 2,000, that’s half of 1%, it’s not even close. It’s not going to cash flow at all, I won’t even look at it unless I’m looking at it from the perspective of how I would increase rents. That’s how the 1% rule is meant to be used. It’s a very initial once over to see if you like this thing, not something you should be using to decide, is it a deal? I think Jared what you need to do is to get clear with yourself on what a deal means.

David:
If you’re looking for something that cash flows a ton and is relatively easy, you’re not going to find that in hardly any market. There is not enough inventory. You’re competing with people that just want to buy a house because the rents are going up on them every single year and they’re tired of it. And you’re trying to get a deal that makes you money while they’re just trying to spend less money. Your competition is making this a lot harder for you. I do tend to look at long term, I don’t think you buy a house for one year, so I don’t see why you look at the cash flow for one year. You’re buying a house for a long time.

David:
So I look at owning that property over a long period of time what’s going to make more sense. If you’re waiting for rents to appreciate along with prices like you mentioned, it won’t happen, they never do. Prices always outpace rents. So what happens is both prices and rents continue to rise together typically, but prices go up faster and faster and faster. And then prices drop, but rents mostly stay the same. Sometimes they even go up. And then when the market turns around, rents go up and prices go up and then they end up catching rents and then they end up passing them and then we have the next collapse and then they drop it, rent stay the same.

David:
That’s typically the cycle of what it looks like. So I don’t think you should wait for rents to appreciate because they won’t keep up. And the simple reason is, if rents just kept keeping pace with price, eventually you’d be spending so much money on rent that it would make more sense to just buy the house. And that’s what people do. And so renters are always in a certain price point because if they were able to afford more, they would become buyers. Another thing to consider, the 1% guideline that we’re talking about here becomes less strict at higher price points and with lower interest rates.

David:
So what I’m getting at is if you have a $100,000 property, it needs to bring in $1,000 a month for the 1% rule to apply. But if interest rates drop from 12% to 4%, you get a lot more slack as far as how much you need to stick to the 1% rule, it might be 0.8, 0.7 and be fine because rates are so low. So as rates drop like you said, money’s cheap, the 1% rule might drop to the 0.8% rule. That might make more sense. The other thing is that as the price goes up with low interest rates, the 1% rule becomes less and less applicable. So what I’m saying is if I’m going to buy a $50,000 house, it better bring in $500 a month if I want it to cash flow.

David:
But if I’m going to buy a $900,000 house, it does not need to bring in $9,000 of rent to cash flow. It might cash flow at 6,000 or 6,500, which would be more like the 0.65 rule. So at that very low price points, that guideline is very, very solid. You got to pay attention to it if you want it to cash flow. At higher price points, it becomes softer and softer and softer. And that’s something that a lot of people don’t realize. So they go around looking at a $10 million property and wondering why it’s not bringing in $100,000 a month like apartment complexes and stuff like that.

David:
The next question comes from Craig D., “David Greene is a lifelong bachelor, is it better to never be married and be a real estate investor or be married and be a real estate investor? Oh boy, this is really funny. I don’t plan to be a bachelor for my whole life, I just haven’t found the right person yet. We can’t all be as lucky as Brandon and Heather. As far as is it better to be an investor when married or when not married, let’s look at some of the differences here. So I’m looking at buying a property with a friend of mine and he is married.

David:
And so every question that we normally would just sit down and talk about and come up with a solution for how we’re going to use the property to move on, there’s another layer of complexity, we have to now go to his wife who doesn’t understand real estate investing and isn’t looking at this at all like an investment, who’s actually much more concerned with the fact that she gets to say what paint color we’re going to use than is the property’s going to make money. So in that sense, I think being married can be tougher because you have a whole other person you have to respect who’s in this deal.

David:
I think the tax benefits might be a little bit better being married in general, and that probably does apply to real estate. So let’s go advantage marriage when it comes to the tax advantages of owning real estate. I think if your partner in this deal, your spouse wants to be a part of it, I think it can work for you if you split up the responsibilities. This person collects the rent, this person sets up the systems. This an advertise unit for rent, this person talks to the contractor. Having different skill sets can help just like having any other partner. I think that when there’s a difference of opinion, having a marriage partner involved can make it a little more complicated, which is the same reason that I very rarely ever buy properties with partners.

David:
This is something I’m just now starting to do this year, because for the most part, I don’t like when I want to go this way and they don’t because they’re newer, they’re not experienced, they don’t see why I would want to go that way. A lot of the time, the newer investors that I know are just saying like, “What’s the revenue? What’s the revenue? What’s the revenue? What is the cash flow?” And they would buy a property in a swamp if the calculator show that it would make sense, which is funny, because Shrek comes from a swamp and we talked about Shrek a little bit earlier in this show.

David:
And I’m more looking at it from long term perspective. I want to buy an area that isn’t going to cause me a headache, is going to appreciate over long period of time. The rents are going to go up every single year, the value of the property and the ease of owning it is going to go up every single year. The revenue itself in the beginning doesn’t matter, but I want to know what the revenue’s going to be like later. So that often causes conflict between me and my partner. That’s an example of when you have different ways of looking at it, different priorities or different things you want, it could be trickier.

David:
So because I’ve only bought real estate as an unmarried person, I can’t answer all the questions, but I do pay attention to the other people that I see who are doing it with their spouses. And I would say if your spouse is on board, it’s probably going to become a superpower. You’re probably going to get further along than if you were single. If your spouse is not on board, it’s going to feel like you’re dragging somebody along who doesn’t want to be there and you’re going to run a lot slower. Funny question though. Thank you very much for that, Greg.

David:
All right. Next question here. Structuring on owner financing deal in Atlanta and there is a bit of land in the back that I would want to build on. Is that something I could get financing for or will I need to pay for that in cash assuming I got permission from the owners? PS, would be a cash loan property, short-term rental or long-term rental. Let’s talk about if you want to buy property and build because this is a very, very common question, especially that we get in the Bay Area where now you can build ADUs on your property. So a lot of clients come to me and they say, “Hey David, we want to buy this property. Look at all this land, I can build another property on it.”

David:
And it makes sense in theory, let’s talk about if it actually makes sense in practice. The first thing you have to understand is if we’re not talking about building an ADU, we’re actually talking about building a property, that is a huge, huge undertaking. You’re basically becoming a spec home builder. You’re going to have to get the land developed, you’re going to have to get permits with the city, you’re going to have to understand that process. You’re going to have to get a contractor that knows how to build a house from the ground up not just your standard contractor that doesn’t do that.

David:
And then another thing people don’t realize, tiny homes are very popular and everyone says, “Let me put a tiny home back there.” And they don’t think about the fact that you got to run electricity to that, you got to run water to that, you got to run a septic line to that. There’s a lot of infrastructure that goes into putting a property in the ground that the inexperienced investor doesn’t often think about. The financing is the other piece you have to think about. You’re probably going to either pay your own cash or find a source of revenue that’s not a Fannie Mae, Fred Mac loan. You might get a bank that gives you a construction loan, they’re expensive and they’re burdensome.

David:
They’re going to come out and check on the work constantly, they’re going to be talking to your contractor all the time. The contractor’s not going to like it, that before they can get their next draw from you because you’re going to get it from the bank that the bank has to come out there and inspect the work that’s being done and tell them what they want to do different. It makes it very complicated. What I often find is the person who wants to buy a house and then build 100 or $150,000 property on it, whether it’s an ADU or something else, could have taken that same $150,000 and put it as a down payment on a house that’s already built. And you’re getting a full home compared to the small ADU that you were going to build.

David:
You’re getting to leverage and borrow money against that home that you can pay down versus you basically, in a sense, once you’ve built that unit, your cash has just sunk in it, it’s not like you can refinance that one thing. You can maybe refinance your whole property and get some money out, but you very rarely add the same value to the property itself as you spent. Like if you spend $150,000 to build an ADU, you didn’t make your property worth $150,000 more in most cases. So you lose the power of leverage. You also lose the power of being able to sell it at some point. So if I buy my own property somewhere else, I can sell that, I can refinance it, I can split it into two units. I have all this flexibility with what I can do with it.

David:
If I build an ADU in my backyard, I sure I can rent out for extra income, but I can’t sell it individually, I can’t refinance it individually. There’s not a whole lot I can do with it. It’s not nearly as effective as buying real estate and using the bank’s very cheap money to do it. So I hate to be the bear of bad news, everybody comes to me with these really big ideas and I got to be the terrible person that says, I don’t think that’s the best use of your capital, but to be straightforward. It very rarely is. Now, if you find a company that will finance you building an ADU, they will let you borrow money over 30 years, and it actually works the same as if you bought a normal house. I would be completely on board and I would be putting ADUs on every single property that I owned. All right. We have time for one more video question, let’s take a look,

Speaker 5:
David, simple question. When I purchase a flip or a BRRRR, I have to wait six months before I’m allowed to refinance based on some seasoning in period, and this is in Georgia. I guess my question is, is there a way around waiting six months to do the refi or is there a trick to get money faster? Because if I do a hard money at first and then I want to refi once I am done with the rehab, is there a way to not have to wait full six months? Thanks.

David:
Yes, the dreaded six month on the refinance question, this one comes up all the time. Let me give you a little bit of background into why you typically wait six months. First off, this is not for every loan, this is for the best loan. If you want to get a Fannie Mae, Fred Mac product that has the lowest interest rate locked for 30 years, you often have to wait six months. This is because there’s a rule in place that if you do a deal with a lender and then you pay that loan back within six months, the lender has to pay back all the commission that they made on it. So if you refinance your house and then you go somewhere else and refinance it again, that first person that did all that work has to pay back the money, they don’t get anything.

David:
So what happens is many guidelines are put in place that says, we won’t do a deal if it’s been six months, because we know that we’re going to be screwing over the person that took it before. But that’s only for certain loans. These are like the government conventional type financing. Many credit unions don’t have that rule. Many savings in the loans. Institutions wouldn’t have a rule like that. Private lenders don’t have a rule like that. Like you said, hard money doesn’t have a rule like that. I don’t see any reason why you can’t refinance with hard money and then at the six-month period, do your normal refinance.

David:
Yeah, you’re going to pay a little bit more money up front, but if you need that capital that bad, you’re only paying that higher rate for a couple of months. What I would do is I would keep the points low and the interest rate high. So I’d go to them and say like, “I’ll give you a one point, but I’ll pay 12% interest or something like that if you can do this deal.” And I’d refinance it with hard money if I really needed the capital, and I’d only be paying that 12% for a couple of months before I could refinance it again with conventional. If you want the best loan product though, you are going to have to wait that six months.

David:
The question of, can I work around it, is you got to find something that’s not conventional financing. You either got to find a portfolio lender, you have to find a credit union, you have to find a private lending, you have to use a HELOC on another property. You’re going to have to do something like that if you want to get around the six months. All right. I really hope I was able to help some of you brave souls who took action to ask me questions, and I look forward to answering more of your questions this year. We covered quite a few topics, which is awesome. Some of them were about the six month seasoning period, people were curious if that will work, what type of investing we should get into as far as if I want cash flow, that was Carly I believe, should I get this asset class or that asset class?

David:
We talked about why you used to hear cash flow, cash flow, cash flow, and now you’re hearing there’s more than just cash flow. I hope that my answer there brought some clarity to the situation. We talked about triple net investing and how it can appear like it’s not as profitable, and just the confusion that comes from it, which a lot of people have, is they see, “Well, that person’s making $5,000 a month on their short-term rental, I can’t find a long-term rental that does better than $1,000 a month. What am I doing wrong?” Well, it’s because of the fact that real estate has personalities and you have to find the personality that fits for where you are.

David:
I want to thank you all for submitting questions. If you’re listening to this now, I want to hear from you, go to biggerpockets.com/david and submit your question there so that I can answer it the same as all these people did. There are no dumb questions, you’re thinking the same things that everybody else is thinking. Give me the opportunity to share that so that everybody else can hear. Also, if you are not listening to this on YouTube, please go subscribe to Bigger Pockets YouTube channel, and leave me a comment there. Let me know what you liked, what you didn’t like, what opened your eyes to something you might not have seen before and how this show is affecting you and your investing right now.

David:
As you see, I read the comments on air that we get there, so please keep that going. The funnier, the more insightful or the better the comment is, the higher the chance that we are going to read it on the show. I want to thank you all very much for taking this journey with me and for trusting me with your time and attention, please make sure you subscribe to this podcast on iTunes and anywhere else that you listen to your podcast, and I will see you on the next one.

 

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HW+ row of houses

Today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that 467,000 jobs were created in January. This was a big surprise as some people, including me, thought the rise in the number of sick days being reported could impact this month’s job report. One of the factors I’ve cited over the last few months is that we should see more positive revisions occur in the future. The total positive revisions in this report are 709,000.

To say that I was excited to see this report is an understatement. Since the economic lows in April of 2020, it has been a joy to see my country make the most significant economic comeback ever. What I wrote on April 7, 2020, I truly believe on the economic front: “My faith in America winning has never let me down because I always believe in my people and country. I can tell you now, this virus isn’t changing my view on that.”

One of the most significant differences between the recovery from the great financial crisis compared to the COVID-19 recovery is that the labor dynamics have been much different this time around. The truth was that we were never going to go into a job-loss recession in 2020 without COIVD-19 and job openings were near 7 million before COVID-19 hit us.

Before the job openings data took off, I was very adamant on Twitter that JOLTS would hit 10 million soon. Job openings are now near 11 million, as the U.S., just like many other countries, has an aging workforce that is difficult to replace. As you see from the chart below, the labor market dynamics from the end of the great financial crisis, where job openings were just a tad over 2 million, weren’t as positive as those we had right before the COVID recession.

Jobless claims data looks very solid. Even with all the Americans reporting sick due to Omicron, the need for labor in America is massive.

In addition to the America is Back recovery model, I made another call in 2021 on the jobs data. I believed that unlike other economic data, which recovered quickly, the jobs data was going to take some time to get back to pre-COVID-19 levels. So, the target that I set was for September of 2022 or earlier. Now this forecast was before Delta and Omicron. However, not once did I change this forecast due to those due new variants waves.

So, let’s take a look at the numbers today with eight months left until the September report.
—Feb 2020: 152,553,000 jobs
—Today: 149,629,000 jobs

That leaves us with 2,924,000 jobs left to make up with eight months to go, which means we need to average adding 365,500 jobs per month. The unemployment rate currently stands at 4.0%

Now this jobs report was such a shocker to the upside that it does have some risk of negative revisions, but still, the trend is your friend and we are still working to get all the jobs back lost to COVID-19. Here is a breakdown of today’s job data. Even though total construction jobs fell, residential construction jobs had another positive month.

Job openings for construction workers are still historically high today as the need for labor in America is very high. So much for the premise that robots and immigrants would take all the jobs in America.


Remember, when looking at jobs data, it’s always about prime-age employment data for ages 25-54. The employment-to-population percentage for the prime-age labor force is 1.4% away from being back to February 2020 levels. The jobs recovery in this new expansion has been much better than we saw during the recovery phase after the great financial crisis.


Education and employment

One giant fact that people tend to forget always is that a majority of Americans who want to work have always been working. The part of the labor force with the least educational attainment tends to have a higher unemployment rate. On Twitter, I started the hashtag A Tighter Labor Market Is A Good Thing to remind everyone that the economy runs hot when we have a tighter labor market. We want to see the kind of unemployment rates that college-educated people have spread to everyone because we have tons of jobs that don’t need a college education.

You would always rather have a tight labor market than high unemployment. Hopefully, businesses can invest to create more productivity because the baby boomers are leaving the workforce every month and certain parts of the U.S. don’t have much prime-age labor force growth. 

Here is a breakdown of the unemployment rate and educational attainment for those 25 years and older:

—Less than a high school diploma: 6.3%.
—High school graduate and no college: 4.6%.
—Some college or associate degree: 3.6.
—Bachelor’s degree and higher: 2.3%.

The 10-year yield and mortgage rates

My 2022 forecast said: For 2022, my range for the 10-year yield is 0.62%-1.94%, similar to 2021. Accordingly, my upper end range in mortgage rates is 3.375%-3.625% and the lower end range is 2.375%-2.50%. This is very similar to what I have done in the past, paying my respects to the downtrend in bond yields since 1981.

We had a few times in the previous cycle where the 10-year yield was below 1.60% and above 3%. Regarding 4% plus mortgage rates, I can make a case for higher yields, but this would require the world economies functioning all together in a world with no pandemic. For this scenario, Japan and Germany yields need to rise, which would push our 10-year yield toward 2.42% and get mortgage rates over 4%. Current conditions don’t support this.

The bond market shot up higher as soon as the jobs report came in and currently, at this very second, the 10-year yield is at 1.93%. I totally understand why people are confused why bond yields are still below 2% with the economy running so hot and inflation data being as high as it is. However, as always, I have tried to stress, the trend is your friend. Bond yields and the 10-year yield are just following that long-term trend lower.  

With that said, what I want to see is the same thing I stressed in 2019. We need to see the 10 year yield close above 1.94% and follow-through bond yield selling to have conviction that bond yields can go higher. This jobs report was a very big positive for the Untied States of America and global yields, especially in Japan and Germany, are rising. This is the right backdrop for mortgage rates to rise and hopefully create some balance in the housing market because if this doesn’t do it, I see nothing else that can create more days on the market as we are starting spring 2022 with fresh new all-time lows in inventory.

Economic cycle update

Now for an economic update. Some of the economic data has been cooling off as expected. The surge in Omicron cases, while not being able to create the same fear and panic as we had in March and April of 2020, did impact some of the economic data. In general, the rate of growth in some economic data can’t be replicated in 2021, such as GDP and the rate of growth of retail sales. However, the U.S. economy is still in expansion mode with only one of my recession red flags raised. 

The St. Louis Financial Stress Index, a crucial variable in the AB recovery model, is showing a bit of life lately at  -0.4227%. The stock market has been more volatile lately and talks about how many rate hikes are coming in 2022 has perked up the financial markets from their bored state in 2021.

The leading economic index has been very solid lately. When this data line falls for four to six months straight, then the topic becomes different. However, this hasn’t been the case, it bottomed in April of 2020 and has had a sharp rebound.

Retail sales have slowed down, which should have been expected. The rate of growth toward the end of 2020 and 2021 was something spectacular to see — I had anticipated moderation in the data much earlier, but it’s only now showing up.

The personal savings rate and disposable income are healthy enough to keep the expansion going! Even though the disaster relief has faded from the economic discussion, both these levels are good to go as employment has picked up a lot from the COVID-19 lows with wage growth.

However, just like I had an America is Back recovery model on April 7, 2020, I have recession models and raise recession red flags as the expansion matures. I raised my first red flag when recently when the unemployment rate got to 4% and the 2-year yield got above 0.56%.

Once the Fed raises rates, the second recession red flag will be raised. My job is to show you the progress of the economic expansion, into the next recession, and out — over and over again. My models don’t sleep! Once more red flags are raised, I will go over each and every single one.

At some point in the future, I will be on recession watch, when enough red flags are up. However, we are not at that time yet. Even though I no longer say we are early in the economic expansion, we are still on solid footing. However, the more exciting thing for me is to see whether we can finally crack over 1.94% on the 10-year yield and try to bring balance to an extremely unhealthy housing market.

The post Positive jobs report sends bond yields higher appeared first on HousingWire.



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How many rental properties do you own? It could be one or one hundred rentals. But, whether you’re a rookie or veteran real estate investor, it’s hard to not be impressed by Jason Rash’s story. Jason has put off investing in real estate for most of his working life, focusing more on passive income streams like investing in stocks. This all changed when Jason saw tens of thousands in stock value disappear from his accounts.

He wanted something more reliable, stable, and calculated that he could control. Of course, real estate investing fits that criteria exactly. So what did Jason do? Did he go and buy one rental, wait a few years, and then try to buy another? Nope. Jason went and bought ten properties over the span of eight months. That more than one property a month within his first year of investing!

Be warned, there is a method to this madness. Jason has a tight control on his long-distance investing, having only the best agents, property managers, plumbers, electricians, and contractors on speed dial. This wasn’t a system he fell into, this was a system he intentionally built. Jason shares his six-part criteria that any new investor can use, especially when trying to minimize headaches and maximize cash flow.

David Greene:
This is the BiggerPockets Podcast, Show 566

Jason Rash:
When you’re investing in real estate, it should be the complete, exact opposite experience of you buying your personal home. Your personal home is your personal home like, oh my God, I want to live here. I want to know these neighbors. Oh my God, I love this countertop, I love these colors. Oh my God, the view’s amazing… When it becomes a rental, none of that matters. None of it matters, the only thing that matters is the numbers.

David Greene:
What’s going on, everyone? This is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets Podcast, where it is our job to teach you how to become financially free through real estate.

David Greene:
We believe real estate investing is the best way for ordinary people, just like you and me, to build wealth. And we prove it by bringing you stories of people who started out right where a lot of you are today. They’ve taken these concepts and applied them in a simple, but not easy way to find financial freedom for themselves. And I want the same thing for you and so does everyone at BiggerPockets.

David Greene:
Today, we have a fantastic show with Jason Rash. Now Jason ran into one of our producers, Eric, at BPCON21 and Eric was so impressed with Jason’s story that he invited him to come on the show.

David Greene:
Now Jason has been able to get 10, not doors, but properties over only eight short months, all in Alabama. He goes over his strategy, what he looks for in deals, some of the hurdles that he encountered doing this and how he was actually able to scale his portfolio safely and quickly. I think that that’s very important.

David Greene:
You’re not going to miss Jason’s strategies of what he looks for in a property specifically what he looks to say no to. So Jason talks about, he only wants to buy brick houses. He says no to homes with pools and a list of other things that he says, “Nope, that’s not going to work for me,” in order to make the yeses more clear.

David Greene:
You’re also going to see what he looks for in a deal to know that it’s going to work for him and how he negotiates hard, even in a hot market. He gives some very good practical strategies that anybody can use in most markets across the country today.

David Greene:
Finally, Jason’s going to share some of the detail that he looks for when finding property and managing property to make sure that he doesn’t have surprises like air conditioners, roofs, and furnaces that go out that he wasn’t prepared for. So Jason’s got some pretty good examples of the types of property he wants to find that’s going to keep maintenance and capital expenditures low so that his cash flow can stay strong for a good period of time. Without further ado, let’s get into our interview with Jason Rash.

David Greene:
Jason Rash, welcome to the BiggerPockets Podcast, my friend.

Jason Rash:
Thank you so much for having me, David.

David Greene:
All right. So why don’t you give us a brief overview of what your real estate portfolio looks like and sort of the business environment that you operate in, and then we’ll dig in from there.

Jason Rash:
Sure. So first of all, I want to say, thank you so much for having me on the show, David. I’m a big fan of the BiggerPockets and I’ve gone to the events, I’ve read your books. I’ve read a lot of the other books, just Rental Property Investing, How to Invest in Real Estate, things like that.

Jason Rash:
And so my portfolio honestly consists of single-family homes. It’s very simple, I’m not the smartest guy in the room, but I figured out, I hacked it pretty much said, okay, I can do single-family homes. It’s not that hard for me to understand it.

Jason Rash:
And so for me, the easy thing about building a business is having a simple formula, and single-family homes are what I feel comfortable with. And once you get one and you hit one, you do your first one, do your second one and then you can start doing it over and over. It’s the same exact thing over and over.

Jason Rash:
So I’ve been in real estate for about, I’d say less than a year. I did my first deal on February 5th, bought 10 homes in the first eight months of 2021. It was a hell of a ride. And here I am, man. I went to the BiggerPockets Podcast and bumped into Eric and the rest is history.

David Greene:
So where did you buy these eight homes in?

Jason Rash:
Yeah, so I bought the 10 homes in Montgomery, Alabama. I’m actually originally born and raised in Montgomery, Alabama and oddly enough, I surveyed land there. So I happened to pick up things about flood zones there, building types, socioeconomics, demographics, the way things are moving through the city. And I was like, man, I really don’t like living here. So I moved away but then I was like, I needed somewhere to invest. And I’ll talk about at that in a second how I got into this, but I was like, first spot Montgomery, Alabama. I was like, man, I know the area, I know everything about it and it felt very comfortable to me.

David Greene:
That’s right, you said 10 homes in eight months. Now in the book, Long-Distance Real Estate Investing, I actually talk about looking for a competitive advantage when picking your market. My perspective is too many people say, what is the next hot market? And they try to outsmart how the market works. And I say, no, just find a way where you have an advantage and you can pick a momentum. So if you live somewhere and you know the people that are there, you’re familiar with the market, there’s a comfort level. That’s where you start.

David Greene:
Would you mind sharing if that was like the similar mindset you were in and maybe what were some of the competitive advantages that you utilized to get such a nice portfolio so quickly?

Jason Rash:
Yeah. So first things first, you’re right on point, actually that is my next book to read is, Long-Distance Investing, oddly enough, I haven’t done it. I live in Colorado, I need to get around to reading now, that’s the next one on the list.

Jason Rash:
So number one, local knowledge is everything, like local knowledge from a realtor, local knowledge from friends, local knowledge from family or your own personal local knowledge of the area is gold. You can’t get a lot of the stuff that you can find on the internet, you can’t get hard data from like, hey, listen, these homes down the street that are not on the internet, that’s a crack house over there and four blocks over, you got some sketchy areas over there. You’re not going to see that on the internet, nobody’s going to put that out there.

Jason Rash:
So number one, I went to a real estate agent that I knew and trusted. She had actually sold my house when we moved out of Montgomery 11 years ago. I just connected with her, I said, “Hey, I wanted to check back in, see if you’re in real estate.” “Oh yeah. Oh my God. I’ve been in real estate, I’ve sold like a couple hundred homes, 500 homes, 600 homes since you moved away 10 years ago,” I was like, “Oh my God, yes.”

Jason Rash:
So, number one, I went with her. And then I explained to her, I said, “Listen, this is what I’m wanting to do with real estate. I want to come into the market, I want to buy these properties in these parameters, and this is what I’m looking for. Can you help me?” “Yes, absolutely. I can help you.”

Jason Rash:
So I went in, I leveraged that and then all of a sudden I found myself when I got knee-deep into the homes, “Hey, I need a painter.” “Hey, I need this.” “Hey, I need that.” My real estate agent helped me out with that. I had been living in the city for 31 years, I was also able to lean on some of those contacts, like yard guys, electricians, things like that and that’s all valuable.

Jason Rash:
That’s all valuable, when you’re looking to build a portfolio, like having trust in the people that are helping you repair or build or whatever it is you need to do to make ready, having that it’s gold. It’s worth its weight in gold.

David Greene:
That’s really good. So did you go in there knowing these are the pieces that I need to find to make this work, or did you just go buy a property and then figure it out from there?

Jason Rash:
So number one, I think if you’re going to go into real estate, you need to know what the backend looks like. So for me, I want to be hiking through the jungles of Tibet and I want to get a rental check, that’s me. For other people, they want to be more hands on, they want to do flips and things like that, right now in my career that’s not me.

Jason Rash:
So what I did was, I want to buy homes, I’m 1,500 miles away, I need a property management company, number one. So I found a property management company at the recommendation of my realtor. I have a long list of questions. I vetted her out, and I actually vetted two or three more. I don’t think anyone’s word is like gospel. So I had vetted her out, vetted out others, but I did wind up going with the one that she recommended.

Jason Rash:
Now, I knew that I needed a team. So I talked to my property manager, hired her, got a real estate agent, I got contractors, I have everybody in place. So I think that if you’re going to do something like this, that I’m attempting to do, you need people and you need people that you can trust.

David Greene:
That’s so funny. So it doesn’t offend me that you haven’t read Long-Distance Real Estate Investing, in case you’re worried. I’m actually fascinated when other people do the same thing I did, they invest out of state or in a different area and then they just naturally did the stuff that I put in the book. It’s almost a validation that I got it right when the people who did this well are doing the same thing.

David Greene:
So in the book I talk about the core four and it’s your property manager, your deal finder, usually your realtor, your lender and your contractor. And if you have those four pieces, you can put the whole thing together anyway. And what you mentioned is a big piece of how to do this right, is you don’t have to go find four of them.

David Greene:
You start with the realtor and they usually have a recommendation for a lender and a property manager. Property manager probably knows a contractor and you end up sort of vetting different people through the ones that you do like.

David Greene:
Can you just explain a little bit about the specifics of how that conversation went, like what did you say to your realtor to get the recommendation? And when you found your property manager, how did you explain to them what you were going to need to make this work as you were hiking through the jungle?

Jason Rash:
Sure. So when I talked to my realtor, I said, “Listen, here’s what I want to do…” I told her the plan, said, “I need a property manager.” So when I met the property manager I said, “Listen, here’s the deal. Number one, you know my realtor but I need to ask you these questions.” So she went through all the questions and I said, “Number two, I will be your best customer, guarantee you for a fact but the first thing I need to know is what is your biggest client and who is it?”

Jason Rash:
She’s like, “I’m not going to tell you who it is, but they have 30 homes. We have two clients here that have 30 homes with us.” I was like, “Cool. I will be your best client, guarantee you for a fact.” And I said, “Hopefully my actions will show you how serious I am,” number one.

Jason Rash:
Number two, since a couple of things started to break along the way I got them fixed immediately, and I think property managers really can stand behind you more and recommend your homes in front of other people if you’re willing to fix repairs that come up immediately, and you’re willing to be proactive. There’s a lot of people she explained to me that said, “Hey listen, they got molds in their house…” to let them live with, it’s not a big deal. “Hey, listen, we got a little water leak in there.” “We’ll get around to it.” A lot of people, they’re very nonchalant and that’s not me, I’m a very hands-on guy.

Jason Rash:
So I made a deal with my property manager. I said, “How much you charge?” She said, “10%,” “Okay, fantastic. When I get to a certain X-number of homes, because I will get to these homes with you. I want to drop it down to 8%.” She’s like, “Done, not a problem. You’re the only one I’m going to cut this deal for, but not a problem.” And so me and her have a great working relationship.

David Greene:
That’s exactly how I did it too. That’s so funny is, I didn’t just go in there and beat them up and say, “Drop your price.” I said, “Look, when I get to X-amount of homes, I’m going to expect you to do this.” And they said, “Hey, that’s fair.”

David Greene:
And that’s all it took was just setting that expectation in the beginning rather than waiting and then going to them with a sense of entitlement that usually just causes conflict.

Jason Rash:
Absolutely.

David Greene:
So tell me about this first house that you got, what are the details of it and what made you pick it out?

Jason Rash:
Sure. Give me one second, let me pull this up right here. So the first house… Now I want to backtrack this. Okay. So number one, I like to set goals and I set goals with a timeline.

Jason Rash:
So I got into real estate… I think this David, I think we need to back up to how I got into this. So my father passed away in June of 2020, and he had been telling me for a few years before, “Hey, you need to get into real estate. You need to get into real estate.” And so I’m like, “Okay, whatever dad, I don’t understand it.”

Jason Rash:
I made up all these excuses in my mind that I apparently didn’t have that investor gene, so to speak, or the math was too complex or whatever it may be. So I was like, okay, I’m just going to invest in the stock market.

Jason Rash:
Well, I got like three or $400,000 launched into the stock market. I lost 26 grand in eight minutes, poof, just like that it evaporated. And I think it was October 18th of 2020. And I was like, you know what? I feel like God’s trying to tell me something and I’ll be honest with you guys, I don’t know what you believe in, but I always feel like God, the universe, whoever you believe in is trying to talk to you.

Jason Rash:
So I thought about it, $26,000 out of 400, $350,000 is not that big of a deal but what if it was like $260,000 or $2.6 million in eight minutes, a lifetime of savings. And I was like, oh my God, I can’t control this. However good I think I am in picking stocks, I can’t control it. So immediately I started looking into real estate.

Jason Rash:
I hooked up with some friends and some other mentors outside of the BiggerPockets community. And they were like, man, this is a great idea for you to go into real estate and they kind of gave me some nudges as well in the right direction.

Jason Rash:
So in October actually I bought these books. I bought How to Invest in Real Estate and The Rental Property Investing book. I bought these books right here and I also bought Managing Rental Properties as well. And I gave myself a goal. I said, okay, here’s the deal… I’m an action-taker and if you’re out there doing real estate, you got to be an action-taker.

Jason Rash:
Number one, you have to overcome doubt and fear but number two, you got to overcome markets and changing market conditions as well. So what I did was I said, okay, I’m going to buy these books. I ordered them from Amazon, I think it was October 26th, 27th, is how fast I moved. And then I said, okay, I’m going to give myself 90 days. I’m going to close on the very first deal in 90 days. Okay, that’s how fast I was going to do it.

Jason Rash:
Keep in mind guys, I’ve never done real estate. I don’t have any idea how this thing works. So I’m like, okay, I’m going to absorb it. I’m going to invest my time and money. Okay, boom. I’m in the market by December 20, I’d say probably December 21st of last year, I started putting it out there on Facebook, “Hey, I’m going to be a real estate investor. I’m looking to buy homes. I’m looking to buy homes in this area.”

Jason Rash:
I just threw it out there in my hometown of Montgomery, Alabama, and this guy from school who I haven’t talked to in 20 years, reaches out to me and said, “Hey man, I might have a deal for you.” And I was like, “Really? Send me some details.” So he sent like an old Zillow listing of this house, I’m about to share with you. And he was like, “Listen man, this house, nobody lives in it. It’s got new appliances. It’s got a new roof. It’s got new flooring and a new HVAC. It’s three bedroom, two bath, 1,900 square feet.”

Jason Rash:
And I’m like, “Okay,” So I start running numbers on spreadsheets… We’re going to get to spreadsheets in a minute. But guys, I want you to understand something, if you’re out there trying to do your first deal, whenever you put it out there in the universe, you have no idea where people are at in their lives. You have no idea how much pain they have. They may just have this property they’re sitting on, it’s perfect for you, that they just want to dump.

Jason Rash:
I ain’t talked to this guy in 20 years, he just followed me on Facebook. He sends me the thing, he says, “Listen, I’ll sell you this house, because if you don’t want to buy it, I’m going to give it away to charity and turn it into a home or somebody’s going to turn it into a home.” He sent it to me, $63,750 for the whole entire thing, out the door.

Jason Rash:
And I was like, “What? You got to be kidding me,” I started running numbers. So I’m sitting here doing my numbers, right? If it’s $63,000 that’s going to give me about a 25.4% cash on cash return on investment. That’s long-term maintenance and everything’s factored in, and 10% vacancy.

Jason Rash:
And I’m looking at it and this is with $950 a month coming in. Okay, I can raise the rent to $1,000, maybe $1,100 a month. So I want you guys to understand something, the best deal might be right out there, off market, right underneath your nose that somebody’s just sitting on.

Jason Rash:
David, this is how fast it moved for me and I don’t know how it was for you when you went into new markets, but this is how it was for me.

David Greene:
All right, so when you saw that deal, what caught your eye about her? What made you think that’s a house that stands out amongst others?

Jason Rash:
Well, number one, it was like 63,750 bucks, I was like, well dude, if I screw it up, man, I only got $13,000 into it. I mean, I think the down payment was like $13,900 with closing costs and everything. And I’m like, I can’t mess it up too bad. And I’m looking at the mortgage payment, the mortgage payments going to be like $360, $370, something like that, with tax, title, insurance, mortgage payment, everything.

Jason Rash:
And I’m like, I can’t mess this up, there’s no way. I mean, my car payment’s more than this. If everything goes south, I’ll just pay the thing and just sell it. Right, I’ll pay the mortgage payment for a few months and sell it. That’s literally what went through my mind, I’m like, new roof, new appliances, new flooring, new HVAC, three bedroom, two bath, all brick in a great area. I’m like, this just seemed like a home run to me.

David Greene:
Okay, and then how did you research what the income was going to be, what you thought you could rent it out for and what your ROI would be?

Jason Rash:
Fantastic question. So I started going on Zillow and I just started looking around in the areas for rent. Then I just started doing some past stuff and Zillow actually had it all completely wrong, they were off by like a couple hundred bucks, but in the wrong direction. So they were saying you could get like $750 for this house, $850, stuff like that, was another company that I looked at, but I was like, if it goes for like 750, 800 bucks. So I just did the average, I’m like, I could still make this work. I mean, it just seemed like a no-brainer to me.

David Greene:
Did you take those numbers to your property manager and ask him to verify it?

Jason Rash:
So I didn’t have the property manager at the time, that’s how fast I was rolling. I was like, well, it looks good on the spreadsheet… By the way, let me be very clear, I did this first deal without a realtor. I did the whole entire thing myself.

Jason Rash:
And so what happened was I did all the documents myself. And by the way, I don’t recommend you doing your first deal by yourself with no real estate agent. I did the whole entire thing all by myself.

David Greene:
Okay. So on this deal, how has it worked out? Have you been happy with how it performed, have there been any hidden surprises that popped up that you didn’t expect?

Jason Rash:
So I flew in to do my first deal. Okay, I flew in and I actually made an offer on the second deal before I closed on the first deal. And I’ll talk about that in a minute, but real quick, I did hit the 90-day mark. Actually I missed it by one week only because of my lender. I was supposed to close January 26th and I missed it by one week only because my lender dropped the ball. I fired the lender, by the way, I was like, “Listen, this is unacceptable,” I went to a better lender, she’s way better anyway, she crushes it.

Jason Rash:
So the deal’s been fantastic. I’ve had a couple issues, we’ll say like maybe like a toilet leaking underneath and a flapper. They had to come in and put some drapes and stuff up, nothing major, nothing major at all. Fantastic, it’s cash flowed wonderfully for me and I can’t complain, it’s been absolutely magical. It’s been great.

David Greene:
Awesome. So is there anything that you would change with what you know now, if you went back, when you bought that first deal?

Jason Rash:
Probably would’ve negotiated it a little bit lower. I probably would’ve done five or $10,000 lower because I didn’t pick up on how much pain this guy was in, I think I wanted the deal more than he wanted to get rid of it.

David Greene:
Okay. So tell me how you would’ve gone about, or at least the attempts that you would have made to try to get that thing lower. And then also if you don’t mind, what did you see in that seller that made you think, “Ooh, there’s a little bit of blood in the water and I could have been more aggressive.”

Jason Rash:
So he had mentioned to me whenever he first sent me the deal, he’s like, “Hey, listen, man, if you don’t want to buy it, I’m just going to give it to a home.” Now keep in mind guys, this is February or whenever he offered it to me, December 21st 2020, we were in a very different market than we were just last year. Just six, seven, eight months ago, we were in a completely different market, in a lot of markets, for people that are listening to this.

Jason Rash:
So first things first, I would’ve negotiated with him. He would’ve thrown out $63,000, I would’ve said, “Listen, I’ll pay you $59,000 for it or $58,000 for it based on X, Y, Z.” All the home in the area we’re going for like $69,000, $70,000, $71,000, so it was still under market.

Jason Rash:
So I mean, I felt like I still got a great deal, but I would’ve just asked, just throw it out there, “Hey man, I’ll do the deal for $59,000, $58,000.”

David Greene:
Yeah, sometimes you’ll still do the deal at the price that they want, but there’s almost like, the couple thousand dollars isn’t going to make a difference especially if you’re financing it at this rate. I mean, we’re talking about like 10 bucks a month or something, maybe [crosstalk 00:17:37].

Jason Rash:
It’s close, it’s close.

David Greene:
Right, but the experience that you get, I feel like… I’m about to do it again, I can feel it coming, the Jui-jitsu reference. If you go roll with someone who’s better than you and you know you’re not going to win, but you learn something and it’s very similar. Like sometimes I will do the same thing as you, I will push, I will poke, I will negotiate harder. I’ll try to find where you see some softness in the other side, not because it mattered on that deal, but because that experience will help me on the $10 million deal where that is going to help, right?

Jason Rash:
Absolutely.

David Greene:
Can you share a little bit, because you seem like a similar mindset. Can you share some of the lessons you’ve learned when it comes to how to get a little bit more?

Jason Rash:
For sure. Can I talk about another deal I did?

David Greene:
Yeah, let’s hear about it.

Jason Rash:
So I mean I’ve gotten roofs, I’ve gotten HVACs, I’ve gotten all sorts of stuff from people, man, it’s unbelievable. So I want to say the third house that I did, they were real snobby to be honest with you, they were just like, “Ah, this is our house, blah blah,” and the market, by the way is starting to go up at this point, we’re talking like March, April, it’s starting to tick up a little bit.

Jason Rash:
And it’s like, I put the contract in for $100,000 and they’re sitting back, a week goes by, we’re in this deal, they want to get out of the deal because they’re like, “Hey, we can put this thing on the market for $120,000.”

Jason Rash:
They felt bad about it, number one. And I was like, “Listen, I got the deal. I got you locked up in the deal,” and it turns out from the inspection that there were some issues with the roof. It was old, it had some issues with the shingles and stuff like that. I can’t remember exactly what went wrong with it but the inspector was like, “Hey, listen, we need to have this roof replaced.”

Jason Rash:
So I just straight up said to them, I said, “Listen, I’ve met you on your terms. I told you I was going to close in 30 days. I’ve offered you full price for this house, I want the roof replaced.” And we went back and forth and they didn’t want to do it and I was like, “Listen, either I’m going to do it or somebody else is going to have to replace this roof. So what is it going to be? Because I’m going to close and the next person that you give…” By the way, the house has to go back on the market. So someone’s going to be asking, ‘Hey, what happened? What’s wrong with this house? Is there something wrong that the seller backed out?’”

Jason Rash:
So I mean it started to get to stigmatize the house, “Let’s just go ahead and do this deal anyway.” And they were finally just like “Okay, fine. You get the roof,” and they weren’t very happy about it, but it felt great.

Jason Rash:
There’s another one that I did that I got $10,000 out of. I don’t know if I was supposed to mention all this, but I’ll mention it anyway. So there was like a leak underneath the AC unit and it was just like a slow leak in the condenser line. And that was my assumption the whole time, I had an AC guy going there, he verified all the wood underneath the AC had been rotted.

Jason Rash:
And it was the foundation, it has like a little crawlspace underneath, like the wood underneath it started to rot. Anyway, this is probably I’d say June, July. So the market’s changed from March to June, July… This is a different house. And the selling agent wanted to sell this house so bad and my buyer agent was like, “Hey, listen, let’s just go ahead and just buy this house.” I was like, “No, no, no, no, no, no. There’s something wrong on with this. Let’s go and get this fixed.”

Jason Rash:
We were about to close, and the lender said, “Hey, listen, you got to get this fixed. You’re going to have to get this fixed or we’re not going to lend you the money.” So the seller’s agent went and got the first person he could find on the internet, which by the way happened to be the most expensive company. They came in and they were like, “Okay, we’re going to do this deal, but it’s going to be $10,000 to fix this thing.”

Jason Rash:
I guess the seller was like, “Okay, let’s do it, whatever.” So we wound up closing, turns out I got a different guy because the one that he quoted, was busy. It turned out to be only 1,200 bucks, $1,200 to get fixed. And so the other $10,000 went into other areas of the house, fixing it up. Unbelievable man, unbelievable.

David Greene:
So let’s break into some details there, with the house that you had the roof replaced, you said the seller replaced that roof themselves, right?

Jason Rash:
Yes.

David Greene:
Did you work anything in that they were required to have it done by a licensed company and you could check the work, or how did you work that out?

Jason Rash:
Absolutely. So whenever I put in any contract, I’m always saying, “Hey, the work must be performed by a licensed contractor,” this could be electrical, this could be plumber, this could be a roof. I mean, I don’t want their cousin coming up and putting a roof on the house. I also want a warranty, I asked for a warranty on the roof as well. So, warranty of the work, warranty of the shingles, all that good stuff.

Jason Rash:
So absolutely, every time I ask for a licensed contractor, and if they don’t do it, then we’ll just get it ripped out, rip out that work and we’ll do it again. Put somebody who’s licensed, I’m not afraid to go there if I have to.

David Greene:
Okay. And then sort of recap what you said, you went a little quickly on the second deal where it sounded like you negotiated a lot of repairs off of one sum of money.

Jason Rash:
Yeah. So there was a AC unit in the middle of the hallway and underneath, the condensation line apparently had gotten clogged up. So water had started dripping and over the years it just started to drip down, started to rot the wood underneath the subflooring, and then the foundational beams inside the crawlspace.

Jason Rash:
And so we’re at the very last day and my lender was like, “Hey, listen, we’re not going to close on this house because of these repairs, you’re going to have to get this repaired or get a seller credit.” So the guy, that’s the seller’s agent, my buyer’s agent didn’t do it. She put it on the seller’s agent to do it, “Hey, go get a repair. You need to get a contractor to estimate for this, so we can run this through escrow.” So he went and just googled somebody and he just picked the first one available, because that was just who it was, turns out to be the most expensive.

Jason Rash:
They came in and said, “We’ll do this job for $10,000,” And they were like, “Okay, all right.” Like I said, I guess the buyer was making enough on the sale to cover that, they ran $10,000 in escrow. I tried to call the same guy back, he was busy, wasn’t going to be there for a while. I’d say he was probably six weeks out from getting to it. So I just called somebody else, they were 1,200 bucks. So I ran gutters around the house, I got a whole bunch of electrical work done in the house with the rest of the money.

David Greene:
Okay, so you negotiated a chunk of money for repairs and then in this case you chose how to allocate as opposed to telling the seller, “Hey, you go fix the problem,” is that right?

Jason Rash:
Yes, correct. They didn’t want to have anything do it, they were just ready to be done with it.

David Greene:
So I’m curious, when you make that decision, do I ask for the repairs or do I ask for the request for a credit, are you doing that based on just whatever the seller says? Are you saying like, “Hey, I want you to fix it,” and if they say no, then you say, “Fine, give me the money, I’ll fix it.” Or are you kind of strategically looking at this from a financial perspective and saying, “I bet I could get this much money from them and use it more wisely than if I asked them to go make the repairs.”

Jason Rash:
So that’s a great question. So part of it is I live 1,500 miles away. And I will dive in on what I do on most deals, on a lot of deals, what I do is I actually will offer them what they want because I can tell the market was going up. I was like, I’m going to buy this house. It’s going to be worth $5,000, $10,000 more just in 45 days.

Jason Rash:
So like for instance, some of the deals I’ve asked them for full price, only, only, and this is the only reason I did this. It’s got a new HVAC, it’s got a new water heater, it’s got a new roof. Like I came across a deal, I offered $5,000 more because it had all that stuff. New flooring, new kitchen appliances. I was like, hey, listen, I’m going to get outbid on this. I know for a fact, I’m going to get outbid, I’m going to offer $5,000 more.

Jason Rash:
Now when it comes to repairs, I actually offered them full price but I said, “Here’s what we’re going to do. I’m going to meet your price, but you have to meet my terms,” because I’m not there. I can’t walk through the house, I can’t touch it, I can’t smell it. I’ve got to trust my real estate agent and I’ve got to trust my inspector.

Jason Rash:
So I send my inspector through there, I’ve got a great inspector and so he just bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang. I’ll come back with a list of 20 items and I’m looking for 50% of them to get done. The big ones to get done, they’re going to cost me. We’re talking like GFI outlets, I don’t want to have to hire a contractor to come in, an electrical guy to come in, like GFIs or new electrical boxes outside.

Jason Rash:
So I will ask the seller to repair this. Most of the time they push it back on me and say, “Listen, we’ll give you a seller credit, but you got to do the repairs,” and I’m like, “I don’t want to do the repairs because I live out of state.” So I want them to do the repairs within 30 days. So basically I can have it make ready. I’ve had the sellers get it make ready, and so I can push a tenant through there.

Jason Rash:
The only reason why I changed on that last one, because we had gotten down to like the day right before closing and that’s why whenever they had that water damage, the guy, he just pulled the first guy he could find, then it was the fastest way to get the problem solved.

David Greene:
Have you run into the situation yet where you negotiate a higher credit from the sellers than what you can actually allocate towards your closing costs?

Jason Rash:
I have not, have you?

David Greene:
Yeah, that one does come up, for our clients this happens pretty frequently. So a lot of people that are listening might not realize, you can’t get a seller credit of just infinite money because otherwise fraud could happen. You could say, “I’ll buy your house for a hundred grand and I want a credit from you of a hundred grand.”

David Greene:
And then the seller gets a hundred grand from the bank and you get a hundred grand from the seller, and then you just let the house go to foreclosure and the bank eats it. So lenders will limit how much closing costs you’re actually able… You can only ask for the amount of your closing costs from the seller.

David Greene:
So one of the techniques that we’ll use on the David Greene team is, in general, most of our clients know the money in the bank is better than the price on the house.

David Greene:
So if you’re going to buy that place for a hundred grand, you’re better off to buy it for $110,000 and get it $10,000 back as a credit because you can take that 10 grand and fix the house up to make it worth more. Maybe you can make it worth $30,000 with that 10 grand or you can keep that money in reserves in case something goes wrong.

David Greene:
You can use it to buy your next property. In today’s market with appreciating asset values and low interest rates, money in the bank is worth a lot more than the actual price on the house. That part makes sense so far?

Jason Rash:
Yeah, actually it does.

David Greene:
So what we’ll do is we’ll negotiate as higher of a credit as we can get and then if that’s more than their closing costs, we’ll use that money to buy the rate down with our in-house lending team that we have. So if your interest rate was going to be, say 3.5, we can now take part of your seller credit, apply it towards your closing costs, buy your rate down to 2.8. And that actually is going to save you money over the life of the loan even though you paid more to get the rate buy back.

David Greene:
And I’m always looking for little ways like that to make the deal more efficient for our clients. And so that’s what I love about what you’re saying is it sounds like you’re looking at it from the same perspective.

Jason Rash:
Yeah, I didn’t know all that, but yes. Yeah, absolutely.

David Greene:
Well, I’m encouraging people to think that way and especially here’s why, when you’re in the price point that you’re playing in, Jason, these repairs can make or break your deal. There is a small margin of error for maintenance vacancies, right? How much is your average rent that you probably get a month?

Jason Rash:
I’d say $950 to $1,000, we’ll say $1,000 for easy numbers.

David Greene:
So, that’s pretty solid. But I mean it’s not two grand or three grand, right? So a couple hundred bucks can make a huge, huge difference in your ROI.

Jason Rash:
I was going to say absolutely, man, like the main issue with some of the houses is I bought them with 1956 to 1954 era, and they’ve got that galvanized piping. And then I made 200 bucks here, 250 bucks there and it’ll eat it up.

David Greene:
One sewer line running under the house that needs to be repaired can screw you over. Sometimes just a tree removal that you didn’t see coming can crush you at that price point.

David Greene:
Now I don’t buy houses in that price point anymore, right?

Jason Rash:
Me neither.

David Greene:
This is going to sound weird, I don’t have to look at the details quite as closely when I’m buying a $2 million asset because the cash flow it produces will cover over a lot of what I miss. But this is why the market you’re in is so good to get started in, is because it forces you to be really, really tight with what you’re doing.

David Greene:
You build very good habits when you’re investing in those markets. Having to look at everything as closely as you are, and the price point is low enough that you don’t need as much money saved up to get entered into it. That’s the strength of the market you’re in, obviously the weakness is that much attention to detail can become very burdensome as you start to go into scale.

David Greene:
So at what point did you realize that and what did you transition into when you wanted to move out from these types of deals we’re talking about right now?

Jason Rash:
So here’s the deal. I went so fast that I haven’t bought any other homes in that price range, but I’m about to put an offer in next week on one that’s built in 2005. It’s a little bit more, but I’m not dealing with galvanized piping, I’m not dealing with plumbing issues in the house. I’m not going to deal with any of that stuff, it’s got all updated things.

Jason Rash:
That’s been my biggest issue in purchasing homes like that, and don’t get me wrong they haven’t been deal breakers. It’s just, “Hey, we had a plumbing issue,” Here’s 150 bucks. “Hey, we had to do this with the stink or shower head,” or something like that.

Jason Rash:
So I’m actually bumping up and I have a guy, who’s a friend of mine and he was like, “Hey, listen, you’ve done great to purchase the 10 that you’ve got. Now, what I would do is…” He’s actually made the suggestion. He said, “Bump up $40,000 more, $50,000, $60,000 more on a house and bump up an extra 40 years too.” And the 40 years is you’re going to have like PVC piping or have updated electric codes. Everything’s going to be a lot more modern and it’s going to flow better with less repairs.

Jason Rash:
And he’s like, “Listen, what do you want? Do you want to keep going down the road? This is totally fine if you want to, but you can expect some of those repairs or you can bump up $40,000 and it’ll be less of a headache. And you could still go march through the jungles of Tibet and get your paycheck without repairs coming off of it.”

David Greene:
That’s really good advice. I recently did a TED talk, it’s going to be released pretty soon here and in the talk, it was basically about how to be successful at anything, how to learn, how to do anything. There’s a pattern that anytime you’re building a skill you always see.

David Greene:
And one of the rules is that you’re trying to build momentum and so you’re lining up these dominoes to accomplish what you want, and people make the mistake of lining up the same size domino over and over and over. And you end up with a hundred single-family houses and yes, you are successful, but you’re sure not taking a hike into Machu Picchu with something like that.

David Greene:
You’re dealing with death by a thousand paper cuts when you have a hundred single-family rentals and there’s diminishing returns. What you want to do is stack your dominoes higher and higher and higher every time. And that’s what I love about your strategy is that you’re evolving into something that’s a little bit bigger.

David Greene:
With the stuff you’ve done, you seem like you pay a lot of attention to detail. Is there a spreadsheet that you’re using to kind of track everything that has to be done in every deal or is this just all still in your head?

Jason Rash:
So no, I use a spreadsheet. My friend actually made it up, I’m sitting here looking at it like everybody else can see it too, but it’s a very, very simple spreadsheet. I’ll be honest with you, before I got into real estate spreadsheets made my eyes glaze over, but the spreadsheet, it literally counts in vacancy, counts in long-term maintenance repairs, it gives me a breakdown.

Jason Rash:
And I didn’t invent this thing, by the way, just throwing that out there. It breaks down like this is your maximum cash flow if you have no repairs, and this is your… Forever until the infinity, until the end of time and everybody pays on time, all the time. That’s never going to happen, right?

Jason Rash:
So then it goes up to long-term maintenance cost, it counts that in. So that’s what I base everything off of is the long-term maintenance cost because I had heard or read somewhere that like 40% of all the money you make will go back into the house in repairs. Is that about what you’re coming up with too?

David Greene:
Sometimes more, when it’s older houses like this, I think it blows people away once they own real estate. See the problem with spreadsheets is that they give us the false sense of security that life can be figured out that predictably, right?

David Greene:
And what you find is if you buy a house built in 2000, 2010, just the amount of money you put back into it, pales in comparison to something built in 1940. But we rarely ever think when you’re looking at a 1940s house, I’m buying a money pit, right? The spreadsheet doesn’t tell you the difference, and so that’s one of the things that I’m constantly telling investors, you can’t be you one-trick pony. You cannot buy only for cash flow, just like you can’t buy only for appreciation. A lot of people lost money speculating in 2000 through 2006, that prices would keep going up and we all learned don’t bet on that.

David Greene:
You need cash flow to balance this out but I think the new mistake everyone’s making, is the pendulum swung too far and they’re only looking at cash low on a spreadsheet. And they don’t realize that even if that property’s making you $300 a month, if the air conditioner breaks after the third year, all of your cash flow is gone.

David Greene:
You don’t actually have cash flow, you have the appearance of cash flow. And so if your property appreciated 50 grand, when that happens, you’re okay. You can refinance it and put on a new roof and a new air conditioner, fix it all and your rent will have gone up. So it’s still going to cash flow.

David Greene:
I’m saying this because I think the word needs to get out there more that if you’re going to play the cash-flow game, you got to do it like you’re doing it, Jason. Incredibly focused on every little detail and it almost makes real estate investing not fun, if you have to be that way. And that’s why I like it to be a little more balanced, because then you can kind of live the life you want and let that property pay for it.

Jason Rash:
Yeah. So like for instance, we’re doing 20 single-family homes and then our next home, our 21st home will be in Airbnb where we want to vacation, let’s say Miami. Or I live in Colorado, so I mean I’m in the mountains already. So obviously it’s going to be a coastal town somewhere and definitely not California, just throwing that out there.

David Greene:
Man, low blow. What’s wrong with California, Jason?

Jason Rash:
Man, first rule of financial freedom is leave California.

David Greene:
That’s funny. Yeah, everything becomes a lot cheaper when you get out of here. I was just in Texas and I was looking at gas prices, were like $2 and something and I was hearing people complain about it. And I was secretly thinking ours are like $4.50 and I’m like, “Oh it dropped down to $4.30, gas is cheap.” You go to a restaurant and you can eat for like eight or $9, you can’t even get an appetizer for eight or $9 in California. Everything’s a lot more expensive.

Jason Rash:
You can’t ever get to the door, man. I just took my daughter to a concert out in LA, a BTS concert. I don’t know if you who they are, it’s like a mega Korean pop band. I took her out there, and man, gas was like four… I think it was like $5.25 or something like that, $4.89 or $4.99. I can’t remember but it was somewhere in there. Unbelievable, man. Unbelievable, what you guys are paying out there.

David Greene:
Yeah, I also talk about that in Long-Distance Investing, is that every market, any market, whether we’re talking at a macro scale like the economy or you’re talking about a micro scale, like a city, they have pluses and they have minuses.

David Greene:
So part of where my wealth came from was I worked in an area that is incredibly expensive to live in, the Bay Area in California, but the wages were also really high. So if you’re able to spend, like I did, a lot of my time working, making good wages and I didn’t go spend it on anything that was really expensive because I was working. I was able to save more money than everyone else and then go invest it into some of these other markets that made more sense and then I learned how to buy Bay Area properties that would still cash flow. And I had perfect the mix where I could buy a Bay Area property with cash flow, I could also invest into emerging markets.

David Greene:
So I’m always encouraging people, it’s easy to see the negative, like California’s very expensive but at the same time, I sell houses here that are a million dollars routinely, which is very good for business. The commissions are high enough that I can afford to pay salaries to people to kind of help run the team. So no matter where you are, there is a strategy that will work.

David Greene:
And I remember, I used to hear Brandon Turner say that all the time and I would roll my eyes, like not where I am, but now I look back and I realize he was kind of right about that.

David Greene:
So as far as the next stage of where you want to go, you said you want 20 properties, then you want to get an Airbnb. What is it about that number 20?

Jason Rash:
Number one, I think a lot of people got crushed during pandemic. I mean, I don’t think anybody saw what came coming in 2018 like, “Hey in two years now it’s going to be a pandemic, so you guys watch out.”

Jason Rash:
I think for me, number one, I like to have a foundation. I’ve got two kids, man, I need a solid foundation. So I figured out mathematically that if I just build a solid foundation of 20 single-family homes bringing me in roughly $10,000, $12,000, $13,000 a month, maybe nine, whatever, wherever I land, that’s going to be enough to offset the Airbnb if something were to happen.

Jason Rash:
I was standing at a spot, it was a multi-family unit and it was all Airbnbs but when the pandemic came along, he had to actually rent one of those out full-time, because he had an investor out of California. And he had rent one of those out full-time because he was getting crushed on all three other ones being vacant.

Jason Rash:
So I wanted, number one, I don’t know what the future’s going to hold. I know everybody’s like Airbnb, Airbnb, Airbnb but here’s the other thing, man. If I buy an Airbnb, buy a house with the intention of doing Airbnb, then all of a sudden this city over here, they change their laws. My business model’s rendered obsolete overnight, poof it’s gone, evaporated. And I can’t rent it out monthly for cashflow for long-term tenants, so I’ve got to have something to cover that shortfall. So I think it’s smart to have… By the way, it gives me targets. I mean, I got 11 properties right now, I’ve got to buy nine more before I get to the Airbnb.

Jason Rash:
Obviously I could buy the Airbnb right now, do the other nine afterwards. So I mean, I’ve got to have goals. I’ve got to have targets. I have to have something to shoot for. And the great thing about the Airbnb is my wife, she’s fantastic at like marketing material.

Jason Rash:
So we were going to do our Airbnb house, she had a theme, had it written up and everything, deal fell through, but she is not excited at all about real estate. She really doesn’t like it at all, to be honest with you but I said, “Hey, why don’t we do an Airbnb?” She’s like, “I like that.” It’s a way for us to get closer together too, man. That’s a fantastic thing, you can’t discount that marriage. You got to keep that growing too.

David Greene:
I haven’t had to deal with that problem yet because I’m not married. So, my heart goes out to the couples that are like, “I love real estate and my husband says, no, he thinks it’s a scam. I can’t get him into it.” It’s just a whole hurdle I’m lucky I haven’t had to challenge.

David Greene:
But when you were talking, I did start thinking about my mom. My mom has been bugging me for years to help her invest in real estate. And I know what that will turn into is, I will say, “Hey, you should look here,” and then she’ll start saying, “Well, what about this deal? What about this deal? What about this deal?” Eventually I will have to pick the house and negotiate it then I will have to run rehab, then she’s going to say, “Well, the property manager said, what do I…” I’m going to just basically take on all the work of doing a deal that isn’t mine.

David Greene:
But I do think my mom would be very good at running a short-term rental, she loves that attention to detail. She loves being hospitable. She has a very good eye for what people like and what people don’t like. And as you were talking about your wife, I started to think, oh, that’s how I’m going to get this monkey off my back, is I’ll buy an Airbnb with my mom and I will manage the financial side of it and I will let her pay attention to the throw pillows that we’re going to use and what pictures we’re going to put on there, because she’s going to love that.

Jason Rash:
Fantastic. Yeah man. I mean, you don’t want another job, we all don’t need another job. You know what I’m saying?

David Greene:
Amen to that, that is exactly right. All right, so what are some of the challenges that you faced building your portfolio to this point, especially having it happen over eight months that you didn’t foresee but that you’ve now corrected and you’re not going to make mistakes going forward?

Jason Rash:
First things first, I was like, “Hey, listen,” like I said earlier in the very beginning of this podcast, “I’m going to do single-family rentals.” One of the biggest challenges is I’ve had so many shiny objects coming at me like so many people, “Hey, you should do storage units. You should do multi-family. You should do that. Just drop all grandiose ideas of single-family homes and do this.”

Jason Rash:
That’s the first challenge is staying focused. It’s like, if I’m going to do something, I’m going to do it but a lot of people that I meet in real estate are not a master at anything. They kind of understand this business model of multi-family, maybe have an Airbnb over here, one or two single-family homes. And they just are kind of like floundering, I’m over here, like crushing it because I’m like the master of my universe of single-family homes. I mean that’s my thing, man.

Jason Rash:
That’s the first challenge, number one was just staying focused and being able to say no to everybody, that’s the first thing. The second thing was, I had to come up with hard-and-fast rules. I actually wrote them down over here. I was like, okay, what do I want in real estate? I want to control as many variables as I can, number one. I don’t want HOAs like condos and things like that. They can just drop, “Hey listen, now everybody’s got to pay 4,000 extra more dollars a year or,” whatever. So I was like, okay, no HOAs, no flood zones because it thinks flood, the house is going to flood but number two, they’re going to keep raising that flood zone insurance. They’re going to keep on raising it.

Jason Rash:
Number three, no pools. I don’t want to have that constant maintenance cost of a pool and by God, if a child died in that pool, I could never forgive myself. I’ve got two kids, I’ve been married 20 years next year so I couldn’t do that.

Jason Rash:
Number four, actually, no basements, with basements, it’s not a matter of if they leak but a matter of when, and last thing is no large decks. And I’d say the sixth thing, to be honest with you is all brick. I like all-brick homes.

Jason Rash:
So I was like, okay, I need to find these control costs something that when I say it’s going to be like this, it’s going to be relatively like this. And the other parameters, 3:2s and 4:2s. I’ve had a lot of people, “Hey man, I’ve got a 2:2 over here, I’ve got a 2:1 over here. I’ve got a 3:1 over here. You need to get it, the market’s going up.”

Jason Rash:
And this is a thing about a lot of investors, is a lot of people get emotional when it comes to investing. Number one, they think that nothing in that zip code’s ever going to come up again. This is the last house I’m going to be able to get, it’s the only one, I’ve got to buy it. And they get sucked into a deal.

Jason Rash:
You’re laughing, obviously you know what I’m talking… I’m a newbie, dude. I’m a newbie, but I’d say those are probably the two biggest things. Timing obviously, and I run another company. It’s a seven figure income stream every single year. So I run that with my wife, and it’s a sales team of people all over the globe.

Jason Rash:
Those are the two biggest things I could tell you that really, really became a challenge. The last thing I would say, is know your numbers. A lot of what’s happened in the marketplace, a lot of prices have been driven up just strictly through bidding wars.

Jason Rash:
And like I said, when you’re investing in real estate, it should be the complete, exact opposite experience of you buying your personal home. Your personal home is your personal home. Like, oh my God, I want to live here. I want to know these neighbors. Oh my God, I love this countertop. I love these colors. Oh my God, the view’s amazing… When it becomes a rental, none of that matters. None of it matters, the only thing that matters is the numbers.

Jason Rash:
I mean, yes, some of that matters. Neighborhood matters, yes, if there’s a car up on blocks next door, a meth lab down the street, all that matters. Right, but I’m just saying it should be almost a complete, actual opposite experience. And I think what we went through this year was just a lot of newbies getting into the market, emotional like teenagers, they just don’t have any numbers.

Jason Rash:
When they get sucked into a bidding war, they’re like, “Oh my God, okay, let’s keep going. Let’s keep going higher, higher, higher,” and their cash flow, it’s just dropping down. You know how it all goes, man, you got to be able to relate.

David Greene:
What you’re saying is absolutely right, there’s a couple points I want to highlight from it. As far as the last point you said, I think a lot of investors get very frustrated that other people are willing to pay more than they would. And I often hear them saying things like, “The seller needs to understand he’s being unrealistic,” or, “They need to realize their house isn’t worth what they say it is.”

David Greene:
But some other buyer is happy to pay that much money because they’re not going to rent it out, they want to live in it and it’s worth it to make your quality of life higher. Get in that school district you want, to have the house with the pool that you’re going to raise your kids in, and to you paying another 40 grand to have that is well worth it. So in a sense that house is worth whatever someone can get for it. It’s not worth it to us.

David Greene:
And that’s the key with not getting emotional, is if you know what you want, you can’t let yourself get attached to it. You have to know that doesn’t work for me and if you get frustrated that it didn’t work out, you were attached. You got to be able to say, “Hey, I’m happy some family wanted to pay 40 grand more for that house because they’re going to use it for a different purpose.”

David Greene:
And then maybe, how can I start looking for houses that a family might not want, that would be the way that I would approach that. I think that a lot of investors, they’re just not used to having to do something over and over and over before they actually find success and so they do get caught up.

David Greene:
Another thing you mentioned that I love, that I want to talk about on this podcast because I’ve never heard another podcast say it in the real estate space ever anywhere. When I was a new investor, I thought like every amateur thinks, and it’s just how low under market value can I get this house? And there’s nothing wrong with that, it’s actually a very good thing to look for.

David Greene:
But it was the only thing that I looked for. I just said like, “Where’s the deal?” And I found what I thought was a good deal. And then I said, “How do I try to justify buying this thing and making it work, even though I don’t have experience or resources or knowledge or any of the things that I would need to make it profitable.”

David Greene:
So I’d end up with the house that I got under market value and a list of headaches that I then had to learn how to go solve and it took a ton of time. What you said was, “I don’t want this, I don’t want this, I don’t want this, I don’t want this and whatever’s left is worth looking at it.”

David Greene:
And while it may sound odd to hear me say this, that is now how I approach real estate. So I like to find Bay Area properties that I can turn into more than one unit to rent out. Like if I can buy a house for $1.5 million, but I can turn it into three units or something like that and I can make it cash flow. Doesn’t need to cash flow a ton in year one, by year five, that thing’s going to be crushing it, but it brings a host of problems.

David Greene:
Where am I going to find a property that has enough parking spaces for all the people that are going to stay in those units? You don’t even think about that when you’re getting a regular house, right? Is this in a neighborhood that that’s going to piss off all the neighbors and they’re going to be calling it in because they don’t like all these renters in their neighborhood? Is the floor plan of the house itself conducive to how I would like to use it? If it’s like a track home, there’s no way to get anyone to the upstairs unless they walk through someone else’s bedroom, that’s not going to work.

David Greene:
So I’ve switched to looking at it like you, does it have all the pieces that I need? And if it does, I don’t necessarily have to get it at 100 grand less than what I think it will appraise for. I need to get that house, because that’s a rare gem that’s going to make me a lot more money. And I just want to encourage people when you can say no to what’s out there, the yeses become so much more clear as to moving forward and I want to give you a chance to kind of elaborate on that thought.

Jason Rash:
I was just thinking about my own house right here. I’m like, man, I should have David come and buy my house. I live at a three-level house. I have literally a million dollar view of the mountains, but what’s crazy about it is just there’s an access door back here. You could put a kitchen up here. There’s one down here. There’s a bedroom down here and down below, they’ve got a little kitchenette and I’m like, David would be the perfect buyer for my house. My house is going in the market actually. Anyway, so where were we? Sorry about that.

David Greene:
No, it’s just that idea that I look at real estate from a different angle than other people do, where every other investor is going out there saying, “How do I find something less than market value?” I’m happy to let them all fight over those same deals and then buy a house that you got for maybe 50 grand less than it’s worth, but it doesn’t accomplish the purposes you had of having cash-flowing real estate instead I look for nos.

David Greene:
I realize the reason that you’re saying, “I only buy brick homes,” is because you see that you’re cutting down on maintenance costs, right? So would you just mind sharing a couple of those reasons of what you look for in a house and how that’s going to save you money?

Jason Rash:
So I think, number one, I really pissed off my real estate agent. First of all, whenever I reached out to her and told her what I wanted to do. We started working together and she was like, “Hey listen, look this really isn’t going to work.” And I was like, “Listen, you telling me this isn’t going to work, isn’t going to work.” I’m like, “This is what I want and this is how it’s going to work.”

Jason Rash:
It was a little rough in the beginning, not really every real estate agent’s going to be about it. So we kind of had a little rough thing, but what it does, it narrows the field of vision. Like everybody’s like, “Okay, house over here, house over here, house over here, house over here,” and it brings it in where I can actually focus and I can run the numbers on those houses.

Jason Rash:
Another thing I forgot to mention, I don’t buy houses with large flower beds and gardens and all that stuff out front, anything that has a lot of outdoor maintenance, like gazebos and stuff, I don’t buy any of that stuff, no matter what the price is.

David Greene:
I’m looking for concrete as much as possible, tenants cannot mess that up.

Jason Rash:
Absolutely man, absolutely. I want something that doesn’t require a lot of attention. I don’t want something that requires a lot of maintenance, so that’s the whole behind the hard-and-fast rules.

David Greene:
That’s such a good… I mean, if you just think about after owning that property for 30, 40 years that you may get it for 30 to 50 grand less, but it has all these issues. You’re going to spend more than that fixing it up and repairing stuff that people messed up over that long period of time.

Jason Rash:
Absolutely.

David Greene:
So what’s something that you think every new investor who’s thinking, I’d love to do what Jason did, but I don’t know how to even get my first house, let alone my first 10. What did you do that you feel like worked out that many other investors don’t realize is possible?

Jason Rash:
Well number one, you have to have a system. You have to have a system. Like I mentioned before, me and my wife, actually we’re in network marketing and we run a company over here. And if you’re going to be successful at network marketing, you have to have a system like you have to have a system to move people around and close leads and things like that.

Jason Rash:
It’s the exact same thing in real estate. If you’re going to do this from either 15 miles away or 1,500 miles away, you have to have a system. The first system is, how are you going to get the money? That’s the first system, how do you get the money and repeatably get the money? Not just something like, maybe I can save $2,000 this month, or I could save $4,000 next month or $4,000 next year, whatever it may be. It needs to be consistently the same thing.

Jason Rash:
A system requires you to work the system, that’s how everybody becomes successful in business. Every business is a system like McDonald’s. David, let me ask you a question, can you make a better burger than McDonald’s?

David Greene:
I’m sure I could.

Jason Rash:
Absolutely man, we could blindfold you and just dump some ingredients in front of you and you just kind of do your thing, man, and whatever comes out, comes out. The question is how come you don’t have a billion dollars yet? Probably because you haven’t built a system around how to make burgers, right?

Jason Rash:
Same thing with real estate. If you’re going to jump into real estate and you’re going to get your first house, number one, narrow your parameters down. Do you want to do single family? Do you want to do long term? Do you want to do students short term. Do you want to do multi-family? Do you want to do storage units? I want to do storage units. I’m going to go into storage units probably in year five, that’s where I’m going to head to but I’m going to build that foundation first.

Jason Rash:
You have to have the system, so get the money right, narrow down the parameter and then build your team. That’s the first thing.

David Greene:
It’s very similar to how athletes don’t just walk in a gym and look at every machine or every exercise and just be like, “I’ll try that one. Now I’ll try this one.” If you’re developing your body for a purpose, you’re working out specific muscle groups in specific ways.

David Greene:
Business is just a different kind of sport and you play it with your mind, so I love what you’re saying. Probably part of the reason you were successful is because you had already done it in the business that you had and you took those principles and applied it to real estate, right?

Jason Rash:
Yeah, absolutely. Network marketing taught me that about business, like I’ve learned so much about how to speak to people, how to close leads, how to get what I want. I mean, that’s been helpful with my lender when my lender was like, “Hey listen, this isn’t going to work,” and I’m like, “Okay, let’s have a little chat here,” bang, bang, bang, bang, bang.

Jason Rash:
I’ve had to get on the phone a lot of times, negotiate with people, negotiate with lenders and negotiate with attorneys. I mean if the attorney’s like, “Hey listen, we can’t close that day,” and the lender will come back and say, “We can’t close….” I’m like, “Give five minutes, I’ll be right back.” So I get on the phone, I’m like, “What’s your name? Let me talk to you for a minute.”

Jason Rash:
And I get on there and I make it happen and my lender’s like, “What are you like Tony Robbins or something? How’d you make that happen?” I’m like, “Listen, you just got to know how to talk to people. Yo, that’s it.”

David Greene:
I think that’s an understated part of your success particularly, is I think there’s a lot of people that their agent says, “Here’s what’s going to happen,” and in their head they’re like, “No, that’s not what I want,” but they don’t know how to articulate that into words. And so it just turns into, “Fine, I’ll let my agent do what they want to do,” it doesn’t work. Whereas you said, “No, no, no. I told my agent, this is how it’s going to work and we kind of went back and forth, but ultimately we settled on the right solution.”

Jason Rash:
Right. Let me just say this for everybody doing their first deal or their 10th deal or whatever, business has to be great for both parties. Nobody can walk away feeling like that they got taken advantage of, no party should negotiate so much that either the buyer got taken advantage, the seller got taken advantage of.

Jason Rash:
Everybody needs to be able to make this work because you never know that seller may know somebody, “Hey, by the way, John’s selling a house down the street, since you did such good with me, John wants to work with you too. Since you close all the time, John wants to work with you too,” you never know. And that to me, David, is how real business works.

David Greene:
I think this is some very good advice. I hope everybody got something out of that. Just understanding if you feel trapped, you don’t know how to talk to people. You feel like you’re being dragged in a direction, you don’t want to go. That’s an opportunity to improve a part of yourself. Your ability to articulate, your ability to come up with a win-win that can help you get over that hurdle rather than just saying, “Oh, I guess I’m not good at real estate.”

David Greene:
And you often find the people that are most successful at this were successful at other things before they did this and this was just another domino in that stack of what they were knocking down.

David Greene:
So yep, that being said, I’m going to move us on to the next portion of the show. It is going to be the Deal Deep Dive.

David Greene:
All right, Jason, do you have a deal for us to dive deeply into?

Jason Rash:
So is this a deal that I currently did or one that I’m working on right now?

David Greene:
Could be either one.

Jason Rash:
I’ve got a deal that I did, okay? And this deal here is $99,000. Okay, I closed at $99,000, it rents out for $950 right now.

David Greene:
Well, hang on a second. I’ll ask you the questions, you can answer those, okay? So we’ll start with what kind of property is this?

Jason Rash:
So number one, this is a single-family home, three bedroom, two bath, all brick.

David Greene:
Okay, perfect. The brick special, how did you find this?

Jason Rash:
Actually I flew in to close on my first deal because I live in Colorado, I was closing in Montgomery, flew in for that first deal. And I came in a day early, I said, “Man, let me look at some properties,” call up my agent and boom, we found this deal. I made an offer on it right then and there. Then I was like, God, let’s roll.

David Greene:
Love it. Okay, how much did you pay? You said $99,000, so we got that. How did you negotiate that price?

Jason Rash:
Again, I didn’t negotiate anything. I looked around the whole entire thing, they were leaving the washer and dryer, they were leaving a really nice refrigerator. I looked around, I was like the AC’s been serviced, everything looks great. And I was just like, “Man, this is a pretty good deal. This is a pretty good deal.”

Jason Rash:
And I started running some numbers, talking to my property manager and she was like, “We can rent that out for $950 to 1,000 bucks, $900.” So I was like, “Okay, let’s just do $950,” and I was like, “All right. That’s not bad, 13% return on my money. That’s not going to be too bad. All right, let’s do it. Let’s roll.”

Jason Rash:
It was an old lady too, by the way. Listen, man, I will negotiate and I will go toe to toe with people like you but a little old lady who reminds me of my grandmother, man. Sorry, I just couldn’t do it, man.

David Greene:
Well it sounds like she already had it priced right, if she’s including everything and it was a good price. Sometimes you win by letting the other side win too.

Jason Rash:
Yeah, it’s worth about $120,000, $125,000 now. So I mean, did I get a good deal? I think so.

David Greene:
That’s exactly how I look at it, versus the person that tried to save another five grand, didn’t happen, they lost out on that 30 grand in equity. Did they get a good deal?

Jason Rash:
No.

David Greene:
Right? Now their money’s worth less because inflation’s worn it and all the other houses cost more and they lost the cash flow of three years. Yeah, taking action is often better than trying to just beat the other party, I agree with you. All right, so how’d you fund this deal?

Jason Rash:
So I literally just put 20% down. Our other business is pretty successful so I just literally put down. It wasn’t even that much $20,000, I think it was 421,000, $22,000 out the door, $22,500, closing costs, something like that. It wasn’t bad.

David Greene:
All right, and then what did you end up doing with it?

Jason Rash:
Rented it out. Literally within, I’d say a week and a half after I closed, boom, property manager came in, dropped the tenant, $950, we’re rolling. Literally no problems by the way, with this house. None. Zero, I’m talking zero.

David Greene:
That is awesome.

Jason Rash:
Fantastic, they pay on time. I mean again, did I get a bad deal? I don’t know maybe I should’ve negotiated at $5,000 but I got great tenants. I mean, no problems and they pay on time.

David Greene:
I just think in 30 years, you’re not going to remember if you paid another three, four or five grand, the house is going to be worth $300,000, $400,000 at that time. And so many things that we worry about during the moment don’t matter when you look at it over the bigger timescale.

Jason Rash:
True, so true.

David Greene:
All right. Last questions, what lessons did you learn from this deal?

Jason Rash:
It’s number one, trust in your gut. Trust in your gut, I would say that’s a big part of real estate. It’s like, you can do all the numbers, I looked at the spreadsheet, everything looked great, but I walked through it, I smelled it. This is one of the rare feelings, by the way that I was able to through before I closed on it. But I looked around, I just kind of looked under the sink, obviously there was no active leaks, no presence of any leaks.

Jason Rash:
I looked at the AC, I’m not an AC guy, I just kind of tinkered with it. I’m over there tinkering, what else am I going to do? I’m going to tinker throughout the whole house. And I’m just like, man, my gut’s telling me like, “This is a good deal. This is a good deal. This is a good deal.” And so I just went with it, man, trust your gut when it comes to real estate, just trust your gut.

David Greene:
I like it. Well, you trust your gut, but know your numbers, right?

Jason Rash:
Yeah.

David Greene:
They’re both kind of operating at the same time. And when you get it right, the numbers determine what your gut tells you and that’s when you can trust it.

Jason Rash:
Absolutely, man. And by the way, when I ask my property manager, “Hey, what’s it going to rent for? Give me the low, give me the high.” And I always shoot in the middle or I’ll shoot towards the low end, to be honest with you a lot of times. Now moving forward, I was a newbie back then, I still kind of am compared to you, David, but I was like, man, if all goes to hell, I can still rent it out for 900 bucks and still do pretty well, it’s not going to break the bank.

David Greene:
Well, it’s funny that you said that you’re a newbie. You’re probably a newbie compared to everyone because you’ve only been doing it for eight months, but you own more houses than the people that are not newbies. So there’s some irony there between, how are we going to define what newbie is?

Jason Rash:
Dude, action. Action. Action. Action. It’ll get you to your dreams faster than reading books and faster than anything else.

David Greene:
All right, well let’s get into the last portion of our show, Famous Four, where we ask every guest the same four questions to find out a little bit more about what makes them tick. So first question, what is your favorite real estate book?

Jason Rash:
Oh, I have to say by far, hands and away, I’d say the Rental Property Investing, this one right here, the BiggerPockets one, it’s by far… Dude, everything you need, by the way, to buy a single-family home and grow it to 10, right here. Right here, you ain’t got to buy anything else. I’m just saying, it starts right here.

David Greene:
Everything Brandon does is just good. He just does good work on everything he does, yeah. I think that’s the top-selling real estate book in the world.

Jason Rash:
It should be, I don’t see why it wouldn’t be. And I read the other one by the way, How To Invest In Real Estate by Brandon Turner and Joshua Dorkin. And this is by the way, let me just say it, it just confirmed everything that was in the other thing. It’s almost like the exact same book, maybe expanded in a few areas, but yeah.

David Greene:
Awesome. Okay, what’s your favorite business book?

Jason Rash:
Oh, yeah man. I mean, that’s a good one. I would say obviously a lot of people say, Rich Dad, Poor Dad, man, I would say honestly, Be Obsessed Or Be Average by Grant Cardone, by far hands down. That, or Sell or Be Sold, by Grant Cardone, because here’s the thing at the end of the day, you’re selling yourself to people every single a day. And if you get in there and you can’t sell yourself to the agent or you can’t sell yourself to the seller like, “Hey, listen, I’m your guy. I’m going to close. I’m going to make this happen. We’re not going to have any problems.” If you can’t deliver that with confidence to your people, and to your lender and everybody else, man, it’s going to be tough. It’s going to be a tough go.

David Greene:
I got to say, Jason. I don’t think a lot of our audience is shocked that you just mentioned Grant Cardone as someone whose business books you like, have you been told yet that you look like an NFT that was based off of Grant Cardone’s likeness?

Jason Rash:
Well kind of, yeah, I’ve been told that a little bit. Like dude, you’re like a younger version of Grant Cardone.

David Greene:
You can tell he’s influenced you for sure, your speech pattern, the way that you project yourself. It’s very professional, very high energy.

Jason Rash:
Thank you, I appreciate that. I haven’t always been this confident, man, to be honest with you. And I feel like he was the first person that came along in my life that gave me permission. Like, hey listen, I’m not different. I’ve always felt different. I’ve always felt like an outcast. I’ve had a hard time making clicks with some of the people, friends with all these clicks and stuff like that. And I realized the whole time, there was nothing wrong with me, there’s nothing wrong with me, man. It’s just, I’ve finally gave myself permission to be who I was born to be and I just stepped right up, man, and owned it.

David Greene:
That’s a great testimony to why we need to be ourselves because you never know who’s out there and sees you and says, “It’s okay that I’m like this because that person’s that way too.”

Jason Rash:
Yeah, it’s nothing wrong with big dreams, man. I’ve been told I was crazy my whole life, man. Like, “Who do you think you are? Do you know where you come…” I come from Wetumpka, Alabama, you ever even heard of that? Probably never ever.

David Greene:
Well, didn’t Grant Cardone come from Louisiana?

Jason Rash:
Somewhere in Louisiana.

David Greene:
I think it’s a similar background that you two both probably came from.

Jason Rash:
Yeah, I did a lot of drugs in my 20s, I’m 44 now, man. I mean, I was like, oh my God, this guy’s speaking my language, man. It’s crazy, man. This is crazy.

David Greene:
All right. So what are some of your hobbies today?

Jason Rash:
Oh my God, what are my hobbies? I would say, I like to hike, obviously I’m here in Colorado. I like hanging out with my kids, I really like doing that a lot. Other than that, business, I workout. I do… What else, man? What else? I’m just trying to think. That’s about all I got time for, to be honest with you just building businesses. I’m working on two more right now behind the scenes and playing with my kids, hanging out with my kids. My kid’s 14, I’ve got another daughter who’s 18 and she’s about to go off to college. So I’m going to cry like a baby, I’m just saying I’m going to cry so hard when she goes off to college. So right now, I pretty much put all the stuff that I like to do on the back burner, I really, really focused a lot of time on her.

David Greene:
All right, so in your opinion, what sets apart successful investors from those who give up, fail or never get started?

Jason Rash:
Oh man, this is an easy question, man. Super easy question, number one, get rich in the niche. Find out what you want to do, own it. That’s about as simple as I can make it. Don’t get distracted with all this other stuff.

Jason Rash:
A lot of people, I’ll be honest with you when I came to the BP conference back in New Orleans, man, I probably talked come to a couple of hundred people, made friends with a lot of them, great people. Everybody, no matter where they’re at on their investing journey including myself, feels like they’re behind the 8-ball.

Jason Rash:
There’s always somebody else to compare themselves to. So they feel like, well, what I’m doing’s not getting me there fast enough, so now I need to transition over here into this. I’m over here doing single-family homes, I must go into storage units or I’m here doing RV storage, I need to get into something else more magical.

Jason Rash:
And a lot of people just don’t ever stop to realize like, “Hey listen, right where you’re at right now, maybe you need to learn something where you’re at right now. Maybe you need to grow. Maybe you need to transition to be who you want to be.” Right? Because a lot of people out here they’re like, “Oh man, I want to make a million dollars. I want to make a million dollars.” Really? Really? You want to make a million dollars? I’m like, okay, you want to deal with family coming after you for money, making you feel guilty, the IRS, all this stuff?

Jason Rash:
And so you got like all these people that are sitting here and they’re doing something, they do it X but they think that the grass is greener on the other side because somebody is a little bit further along, even if they hadn’t started. By the way, I talked to two dudes who even started yet and one them say, “Well I’ve got $140,000 saved up.” “I’ve got $150,000 saved up, well I need to go over here and start saving up even more.”

Jason Rash:
It felt like this comparison game, and guys, if you’re listening to my voice right now, get rich in a niche, do something, own it. Be the master of the universe, so that nobody can ever take advantage of you, that you can get the best deals and so that you could teach other people to do the exact same thing.

David Greene:
Yeah, to your point, I don’t think any anyone at the time McDonald’s started ever thought you could be worth billions of dollars selling hamburgers. That was as a concept, no one had ever considered before, they got rich in the niche of hamburgers and now we got the golden arches everywhere

Jason Rash:
Yes, exactly. Exactly. That would be my biggest thing. And the other thing, I think, David, would be action, man. Like action, granted now listen. Here’s the thing guys, like I said in the very, very beginning, I bought all three of these books. I bought all three of these books, I put a timetable and said, “Listen, I’m going to buy my first house in 90 days.” I’d never done my first deal, had no idea how to do it. I just knew that, okay, I googled these real estate books. I didn’t even know who BiggerPockets was, by the way, let me just throw that out there. Sorry David, I didn’t know the BRRRRRRRR method, however many Rs there are, but I’m just saying I put a timetable on, okay, I’m going to read these three books and these three books only.

Jason Rash:
That’s where I put the cap on, I said, “No more learning, time to do. No more learning, take action. No more learning, let’s roll,” that’s just how it was. And so I said, 90 days, read these three books. If you can’t do it on these three books in 90 days, you don’t need to get into this Jason Rash, this is what I told myself.

Jason Rash:
So that’s the thing there, action is the barrier from where you’re at to where you want to be always, always, if you’re scared, do it. Like as the old saying goes, man, “That what you fear is what you must do.”

David Greene:
Great stuff. Last question of the show. Jason, where can people find out more about you?

Jason Rash:
Yeah. People can follow me, just google Jason Rash obviously, but Facebook, it’s just Jason Rash, and Instagram, Jason Rash. It’s not like pinksunset77… I was born in 1977, by the way, giving away my age. But it’s not pinksunset77 or realestateinvestor77, it’s just Jason Rash. You can find me there and that’s where I’m at. I don’t have any websites or anything like that yet, but I will, I promise.

David Greene:
Well, thank you very much for your time, your insight and for sharing some of the knowledge that you developed over the years, this was awesome. I believe you ran into our producer, Eric, at BPCON, right?

Jason Rash:
Yeah. What’s funny is they did the whole march line thing. We all went to the bars and everything and I was just standing out there talking to some guys and I turned around and this guy named Eric sitting here talking to me and all of a sudden he hands me a card, “Hey man, do you want to be on the podcast?” And here I am, I’ve had a lot of people reach out to me, by the way, a lot of people that are bigger investors than I am, go, “How’d you do that?” I took action, I went to the conference. I went out and meet people. I’m not scared. So many people, just take action.

David Greene:
Eric’s out there like Willy Wonka, handing out golden tickets at BPCON. That’s why got to go to BPCON in 2022, you never know if you’re going to bump into Willie Wonka and get your golden ticket.

Jason Rash:
Absolutely. David, thanks for having me, man. I really appreciate this.

David Greene:
My pleasure. Thank you very much. This is David Greene, you can follow me online @DavidGreene24 and be sure to follow BiggerPockets online as well on all social media. This is David Greene for Jason, 10X your life Rash, signing off.

 

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