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As the principal broker for a RE/MAX franchise in coastal Cannon Beach, Oregon, Alaina Giguiere’s typical responsibilities include marketing homes for sellers, touring homes with buyers, generating new business leads, managing client relationships, and drafting and reviewing contracts with buyers and sellers. Never in her decades-long career did Giguiere think she might be responsible for monitoring and reporting potential criminal activity in the real estate market.

“It is just ridiculous to put that on real estate agents and companies,” Giguiere said. “That is not the role of a real estate agent. There is already so much liability and so many things put on us, as agents, it should not be our job to keep track of who paid cash for a home and who didn’t.”

But she may soon not have a choice: In December, Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), a bureau within the U.S. Treasury Department, disclosed that new reporting requirements were coming for all-cash real estate transactions, with the goal of cracking down on individuals who use the U.S. real estate market to launder money.

According to the National Association of Realtors, all-cash purchases accounted for 23% of existing-home purchases or $518 billion out of the total of $2.25 trillion in existing home sales in 2021.

There are currently only 12 metropolitan areas in the U.S. in which title insurance companies are required by law to file reports identifying individuals who made all-cash real estate purchases exceeding $300,000 through shell companies. These metros are known as “geographic targeting orders” (GTOs) and include Boston, Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, Honolulu, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, New York City, San Antonio, San Diego, San Francisco, and Seattle. The GTOs and $300,000 reporting requirement were established in 2016 by FinCEN and were originally designed to target shell companies purchasing real estate in Manhattan and Miami.

The use of shell companies to purchase real estate and other assets in the U.S. and abroad by world and industry leaders was highlighted in the “Pandora Papers,” a trove of nearly 12 million confidential documents obtained and published by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists. It revealed how heads of state, celebrities, criminals and others shielded vast fortunes through secretive companies set up in tax havens around the world. 

Though shell companies are often used by bad actors to mask U.S. home purchases, there are plenty of legal and practical reasons for buying a home through an LLC or trust.

“There are buyers that use shell companies for privacy reasons,” said Michael Nourmand, president of Beverly Hills-based brokerage Nourmand & Associates Realtors. “And some buyers will use shell companies to limit their liability especially if it’s an investment property.”

FinCEN’s advanced notice of proposed rulemaking (ANPRM) looked at establishing more widespread recordkeeping and reporting mandates as authorized under the Bank Secrecy Act, for individuals involved in all-cash real estate transactions in both the residential and commercial real estate sectors.

“Increasing transparency in the real estate sector will curb the ability of corrupt officials and criminals to launder the proceeds of their ill-gotten gains through the U.S. real estate market,” Himamauli Das, acting director of FinCEN said in a statement. “Addressing this risk will strengthen U.S. national security and help protect the integrity of the U.S. financial system. We urge stakeholders to provide input to assist us in developing an approach that enhances transparency while minimizing burden on business.”

When the ANPRM comment period closed in late February, FinCEN had received over 150 public comments. While individuals involved in the industry and trade organizations, such as NAR and American Land Title Association (ALTA), support measures to curb money laundering in the real estate sector, they made it clear that they oppose the new reporting requirements.

In her 16-page comment on behalf of the trade organization, NAR president Leslie Rouda Smith noted the business group’s support for the Anti-Money Laundering Act of 2020 and the Corporate Transparency Act, as well as what she termed “FinCEN’s implementation of risk-based, pragmatic anti-money laundering (AML) and countering the financing of terrorism (CFT) solutions.”

Rouda Smith wrote that the current GTOs already provide an effective template for the collection and reporting of all-cash real estate transactions. “Implementing a nationwide recordkeeping and reporting requirement for title insurance companies, similar to those in place under the GTOs, would facilitate transparency in real estate sales and support law enforcement efforts to detect and stop illicit financial flows involving the real estate industry,” Rouda Smith wrote in her comment.

However, Rouda Smith also stated that she believes imposing these reporting requirements on real estate professionals would not be an effective strategy for achieving FinCEN’s anti-money laundering objectives and that FinCEN’s proposed establishment of mandatory filing requirement for Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs) “would be both overly burdensome and less effective” than the procedures currently in place with the GTOs.

Rouda Smith argued that real estate agents and brokerages’ limited resources and insufficient anti-money laundering expertise and experience “would make it nearly impossible for these practitioners meaningfully comply with a regulation that requires submitting SARs” or “conducting independent compliance testing pursuant to the Banks Secrecy Act.” 

NAR claims that such requirements would have a negative impact on the real estate market as a whole and potentially increase real estate costs, while providing little benefit in return.

“Real estate professionals should not be, in effect, ‘deputized’ to investigate and enforce money laundering laws because they are not well-positioned and lack the institutional experience to serve in a quasi-law enforcement, investigatory or regulatory capacity,” Rouda Smith wrote. “Requiring real estate professionals to submit mandatory SARs also will exacerbate the phenomenon of ‘defensive’ SAR filings and produce an overabundance of SAR filings that are not ‘highly useful,’ as required by the AML Act, thereby undermining law enforcement’s ability to accurately identify and prosecute bad actors.”

In addition, Rouda Smith noted that 87% of NAR’s members are independent contractors, small businesses and sole proprietors and, unlike banks, do not have the means to implement sophisticated anti-money laundering programs.

NAR, one of America’s biggest lobbying organizations, also stated that imposing reporting requirements on commercial real estate transactions is not appropropriate or necessary “given the lack of reliable data demonstrating the need for such requirements across an extremely large and complex industry.” In 2021, foreign homebuyers, defined as non-U.S. citizens with permanent residences outside of the U.S., non-immigrant visa holders, or recent immigrants, made up just 8.6% of all commercial real estate buyers, according to NAR. However, while 59% of commercial real estate transactions involving foreign buyers were all-cash purchases, this represented roughly just 5% of all commercial real estate transactions in 2021.

As the regulations currently stand, it falls on title insurers in the 12 GTOs to report these all-cash transactions. In its seven-page comment, authored by ALTA general counsel Steve Gottheim, the trade organization expressed that while it felt that the GTOs have proven “to be moderately valuable for law enforcement, the temporary nature of the regime and use of non-real estate specific forms and practices has made the GTOs costly and difficult to implement for the title industry.”

In its comment letter, ALTA suggested that FinCEN develops “tailored and specific transaction reporting requirements for the all-cash real estate transactions involving corporate entities, instead of imposing a traditional anti-money laundering regime like those imposed on banks.”

Like NAR, ALTA feels that asking individual title insurers to record and report every single all-cash transaction “does not make sense functionally and would be unnecessarily costly.”

According to ALTA, in the U.S., there are roughly 20,000 title companies, escrow companies and attorneys that conduct real estate settlements. Of all these title companies, 94% have fewer than 20 employees and 63% have fewer than five employees.

“It is certainly a burden,” Todd Ewing, the founder and CEO of Washington, D.C.-based Federal Title & Escrow said. “It is more labor, more time spent and more liability that we are exposed to. If we don’t complete the forms correctly or we misreport something or a bad actor passes through our office, even if we report everything accurately, we will be subpoenaed and have to seek counsel. It seems to be that there has to be a better way to monitor this than placing it on individual title companies. We are not a government entity, we provide title insurance.”

Instead of placing the burden on title insurers, ALTA recommends that FinCEN meet with the software companies used by title firms to prepare transaction documents and disclosures to “understand the data standards used by these systems and the types of data that is easily extractable for transaction reports under a permanent regulation,” as they feel that “title insurers are not in the best position to possess or collect the requested data.”

While there is still debate as to what these regulations will look like and who will be responsible for implementing them, Giguiere agrees that there should be anti-money laundering laws in place.

“We have a lot of cash buyers up here, but it is from people selling their software company or something like that,” Giguiere explained. “So in quiet Cannon Beach I don’t think it is really necessary, but in more active markets, I can appreciate why these rules would need to be in place.”

The post “It’s ridiculous”: Real estate industry opposes newly proposed cash-deal reporting rules appeared first on HousingWire.



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Passive income is the name of the game when it comes to real estate investing. While equity can help you build wealth, passive income is what can get you on the road to financial independence. But what if you got a late start in your investing career? With so many millionaire twenty-or-something-year-olds on the internet, it seems like you have to start investing at age eighteen to hit financial freedom.

This couldn’t be more wrong. Even if you feel like you’re a late bloomer when it comes to investing, you’re probably only a few years away from hitting FI—if you make the right decisions. This is the quandary that today’s guest, Nicole, finds herself in. Nicole has recently gone through a divorce and lost a good chunk of her net worth thanks to it. But, she’s poised on investing in real estate so she can hit financial independence sooner rather than later.

Thanks to her service in the military, Nicole has access to the ever-so-helpful VA loan, allowing her to purchase homes with little (or no) down payment. She also has a military pension that will kick in soon, allowing her to mitigate her cost of living even more. So, does Nicole have enough time to build her rental empire and enjoy the Floridian beaches on her time off?

Mindy:
Welcome to the BiggerPockets Money Podcast Show Number 282, Finance Friday Edition, where we interview Nicole and talk about investing in real estate even if you’re getting started a little bit late.

Nicole:
That’s when I thought about that goal that was kind of for me to live comfortably and be able to take vacations and do whatever I want to do with my daughter. That 4,000 would be comfortable for me. Even though I’m living below that now, it’s for a reason, but I don’t want to continue to live that low.

Mindy:
Hello, hello, hello. My name is Mindy Jensen and with me as always is my solves the Wordle on his first try co-host, Scott Trench.

Scott:
I don’t know about that Mindy, but I did get … I’d only done one Wordle and the word was moist last week. So I know that’s favorite word of many listeners.

Mindy:
That’s such a gross word.

Scott:
Wasn’t that your first word that you guessed in Wordle each time?

Mindy:
That used to be my first start word, and then I stopped and then it was the word and I was very upset. So now I have to find a new first word and someday I will get it on the first try. But I don’t right now. Anyway, Scott and I are here to make financial independence less scary. Less just for somebody else. To introduce you to every money story, because we truly believe financial freedom is attainable for everyone, no matter when or where you’re starting.

Scott:
That’s right. Whether you want to retire early and travel the world, going to make big time investments in assets like real estate, start your own business or start over after a divorce with a fresh financial start, we’ll help you reach your financial goals and get money out of the way so you can launch yourself towards those dreams.

Mindy:
Scott, I love today’s guest because she is not financially perfect but she’s doing a lot of things right. So we give her several things to look at, very … There’s a couple of research opportunities in there as well. And I’m excited for her trajectory. I think she has a lot of potential.

Scott:
You say she’s not financially perfect, but she’s pretty close, in my opinion, relative to where her current financial position is. She’s got complete control over her budget. She ends up a little over a median income, I would say around a median income, and doesn’t have much in the way of assets. But I think is really setting a financial foundation for herself that’s likely to be really strong. I think it’s just a great perspective and someone to learn from. I think we’re going to be all admiring her progress within the next three to five years, based on the trajectory that she’s set up for herself, and we heard about today.

Mindy:
I agree. And when I said she’s not financially perfect, I meant there’s things that we can suggest and there’s room for her to explore. And we were able to give her research opportunities, which I love. Okay, before we bring in Nicole, I have to tell you that the contents of this podcast are informational in nature and are not legal or tax advice. And neither Scott, nor I, nor BiggerPockets are engaged in the provision of legal tax or any other advice. You should seek your own advice from professional advisors, including lawyers and accountants regarding the legal tax and financial implications of any financial decision you contemplate.
Nicole is a recently divorced single mom looking to get started investing in real estate. She feels like she’s getting a little bit later start in life. But at age 35, I think she’s doing really well. Her monthly spending is tight. Her debts are low and getting even lower. And she’s got a military pension and a VA loan to help her on her way. Nicole, welcome to the BiggerPockets Money Podcast.

Nicole:
Thank you for having me.

Scott:
Nicole, before we get into your numbers, could we hear a little bit about your backstory and what’s happened over the past 10, 15 years to set us up for this conversation we’re going to have today?

Nicole:
My money journey, growing up, we had very little but we made ends meet. But I wasn’t really educated on finances and saving for the future. So I really had a lack of knowledge with that. I joined the military at 17 years old. After I graduated high school, I joined the army reserves. I’ve been in for 18 years now. Went to college, did not incur any college debt. Worked two jobs to pay for everything, and came out of that degree with zero debt. I had a full-time job, started working, but wasn’t really saving. Didn’t have a good understanding of saving for the future. I could have started a lot earlier.
About seven years ago, eight years ago now, I started my current W2 job and started saving for my future with their 401(k) program. So I was saving 10% of my income with that 401(k). I’ve been divorced for about two years now. Through that divorce, I lost quite a bit of money, $30,000 out of my 401(k), $20,000 in marital debt that I did not know about that I had to pay off. So that set me back a little bit. But through that divorce, I’ve regained that financial freedom. We were living off of my income, family of four. So it was very strapping and wasn’t able to really save as much as I wanted to. I just got back on my feet, was able to buy a home. I still have a marital home that I’m trying to get rid of. But was able to buy a home for my daughter and I, and on my way to financial freedom, hopefully.

Scott:
Nicole, would it be fair to say that following the divorce here, that’s when your money story really begins or the next chapter begins?

Nicole:
Yes, definitely.

Scott:
What’s happened since then from a financial perspective? Have you started learning more? Have you been taking different actions or changing up how you invest or save? What’s been the trajectory, if any, has changed?

Nicole:
I ended up living with my mom for about a year to get back on my feet. I was able to save up enough money to buy a home for my daughter and myself, and saved up that money for closing. I had to pay a little more over the appraisal rate. I started just building up my emergency fund. And I started listening to BiggerPockets about eight months ago. And it has just opened up a whole new world for me. I had always had a budget and lived frugally. But now I read Scott’s book about two months ago and I’ve really started on that plan and process to move forward, save as much as I can, lower my spending, and on that right track.

Scott:
Awesome. So let’s go through your numbers now with that back … Thank you for sharing that backstory. And let’s start off with the income statement. How much are you bringing in and where are you spending it?

Nicole:
All right. It’s about 4,000 for my civilian job and then 500 a month for my army reserve position. My monthly expenses, my mortgage is 895. Electric/water, 200, 113 for cell phone, 500 estimated for groceries. Current car payment is 181, gas is 120 a month, auto insurance is 99, gym membership, 30, miscellaneous entertainment, 150, internet, 54. And then I do have allotted 275 for credit card payment. I have $3,300 at 0% interest so I’ll pay that off within the year. That is included in my monthly budget. I have about $1,900 left over after my monthly expenses.

Scott:
Awesome. That’s a really tight budget. So you’re doing a phenomenal job on that front, at least my opinion on that. Where’s the money going? What are your assets, liabilities, debts?

Nicole:
Currently, I have two mortgages. The mortgage I live in, the house I live in right now, I pay. My previous mortgage that is still under my VA loan. My ex-husband assumed the mortgage so it’s a wash not paying for that. That will be refinanced and out of my name, off my debt to income in the next 90 days. That’s 188,000. The home I currently live in is 155. I have 3,300 in credit card debt. So that is my liabilities right now, my debts.

Scott:
Great. Do you have any investments in cash savings?

Nicole:
I have 12,000 in cash and 80,000 in my 401(k).

Scott:
Great. Any other assets or things that we should be aware of?

Nicole:
The one thing, I do have my military pension. Like I said, I’ve done 18 years. At 20 years, I’ll get my 20-year letter and I will be guaranteed that military pension. So current value is 325,000. And then when I complete my 20 years, it’s estimated at 387,000 and that’s in current value.

Scott:
Great. And how long to the 20 years?

Nicole:
October of 2024.

Scott:
You’re two years away from realizing this $354,000 asset.

Nicole:
I cannot collect that until age 58.

Scott:
Okay, great. Well, awesome. What is the best way we can help you today based on what you’ve told us?

Nicole:
I’ve made some adjustments to how I am in investing, I guess, in saving. I have a couple questions with that. And then also I would like to really start investing in real estate. Do I use my VA loan? Do I go conventional? What is your recommendation? I can start with the how I’ve changed my investing a little bit.

Scott:
Well, let’s zoom out a little bit. What’s the goal?

Nicole:
Short term, one year, I want to save at least $20,000 for this year. Starting with your steps and $20,000 to $24,000. Three years, I would like to have $2,000 in passive income. And then in five years, I would like to have $4,000 in monthly passive income.

Scott:
That’s fantastic. Thank you for being so clear about what it is you’re looking for. I love it. I think that these goals make a lot of sense. They’re ambitious, but definitely achievable. This will be fun. So that sounds like the first question is to save 20K, which you already have 12,000. You’re not even including the 275 you’re paying towards credit card debt, which I count as savings towards that savings number. And you’re accumulating 1,900 a month in cash based on what you told us from the budget. So you should absolutely crush that goal over the next 12 months. That would be 22,800. In additional savings, in addition to paying off your credit card, in addition to the 12,000 in cash over the next 12 months. Is that right?

Nicole:
Yes.

Scott:
Awesome. I love that. It sounds like the next question really then is the real estate side of things. You’re talking about using a VA loan. My belief is that VA loan will require you to move into the property so that implies you thinking about house hacking. Is that right?

Nicole:
Yes. To reference your book, currently I have two VA loans, the mortgage I’m living in now and then my previous home, so it’s tied up my eligibility. Once that other home is refinanced out of my name, I will gain that eligibility and then the eligibility I have currently in this home. So my question is this home that I have now, if I were … I’ve lived it in a year and after a year, you’re able to … You can rent it out. So I would still have VA eligibility left to purchase something else if I wanted to within a certain number based on how much eligibility I have left. Or I can keep it or I can sell it and purchase possibly a duplex house to make additional passive income. Because this would only produce probably $200.

Scott:
Yes. Well, I think that’s the first really smart question is what do you do with the existing home? And you have to run the numbers and analyze. And I think you say, “If I was starting over, would I buy this place as a rental property today?” What’s the answer to that question in your mind?

Nicole:
I think I bought it for too high to get enough passive income out of it.

Scott:
How long have you lived in the property?

Nicole:
A year.

Scott:
How many months?

Nicole:
April, it’ll be a year. So it hasn’t been a year quite yet.

Scott:
Okay. I love the way we’re thinking about this. The reason I’m asking that is because if you live in a place for more than two years, you can sell it and you do not have to pay capital gains taxes up to a certain threshold on that. So that’d be April of 2023. That might be too long in your position relative to the … Well, how much do you think the gain would be? What’d you buy it for? And what would you be able to sell it for in April?

Nicole:
There’s probably only $15,000 worth of equity in it.

Scott:
Okay. So to me, that’s too small of an amount to necessarily disrupt your whole strategy in order to realize the $3,000, $4,000 in tax savings you might have from the sale of that home. I like the instinct to potentially sell the property, but let’s do a couple more questions on it before we do that. How much would it rent for from a short term perspective? Would it make a good short term rental?

Nicole:
The area, I really don’t see that it would be a good short term rental.

Mindy:
What about a medium term rental? Do you live near a hospital? Do you live near a large corporate facility where somebody would need to be staying longer term? Do you live near an oil refinery? Is it Louisiana that does the oil refinery stuff? He’s got a bunch of properties that he rents to the people that are working in the oil refineries because it … The contractor’s down there.

Nicole:
Unfortunately, I’m in a location that is there’s tons of rentals and there’s really not a market for that. I have explored those options and there’s really not a market. So I’m leaning towards possibly just need to get out of it.

Mindy:
Okay. You would be, if you live in there for more than a year, but less than two years, you’re looking at short term capital gains, and that is taxed at approximately 15% depending on your financial situation. I think based on your financial situation, it would be 15%. So it’s 15% of the gain, which is going to be $2,200. Not an amazing amount, not a horrible amount.

Nicole:
What if I rented it for a year and then sold …

Mindy:
Same thing.

Scott:
You got to live in it for two of the last five years.

Nicole:
Your primary residence.

Mindy:
Unless you wanted a house packet and get a roommate for a year, then it’s still your primary residence. That could be an option. I don’t know if you have enough bedrooms to do that. That could be an option while you’re looking for your next property. But like Scott said, the VA loan is an owner occupant loan. You must live in there for the first year. So you can use your VA loan up to four units. It doesn’t just have to be a duplex.

Nicole:
Four doors.

Scott:
Let’s go through absent the financing for a second. What would a good house hack or investment property look like in your area or the areas you’re considering moving to?

Nicole:
There’s not an abundance of duplexes, triplex, complex in Central Florida. So it would really be a find if I did come across one, but it probably … Price point, is that what asking or …

Scott:
What’s a good deal look like to you?

Nicole:
There’s not even that many for research-wise, but I would probably be looking at 250 for a duplex, at least, would be a decent deal.

Scott:
What are the numbers? It doesn’t have to be duplex, right? There could be a single family where you live in one part of the house and rent out the other part or whatever. This is going to be turned into the first homework assignment I would have for you is I think you need to get clear on what a good move looks like. So you have three to six months to really prep yourself for, “Okay. What am I looking for here?” And if you’re going to follow the stuff and set for life, and thank you for mentioning the book a few times here, then you’d want it to make sense as a rental after you moved out. What’s the place that would produce the most income while you live in there and then be a great long term rental for you as soon as you leave the property?

Nicole:
Definitely would have to be a duplex or a triplex. Would definitely have to be that. Something else I was considering all over the place and what to do is possibly partnering with somebody for finding a short term rental and continuing to live in my current home. Because the mortgage isn’t too high.

Scott:
Well, let’s think about the financing here next. Within a year, you’re going to accumulate a total of about $30,000 to $32,000 in cash. And you could use 5% of that, if you bought a $250,000 property, for example, like you just mentioned, 5% down would be $12,500. So you have $20,000 left over, which I think is a really solid position to be buying a property from. If you have good credit, you have $20,000 in cash left over, you’re buying a house hack, that’s a really strong position for that. And that allows you to keep your VA loan. Why that might be interesting for you is because $250,000 is probably well within your purchasing power with your current income and situation. And if you were to get a tenant to rent from you, for example, for a year for half the duplex, you’ll have that rental history on your tax return.
And when you go to buy the next property, you might find, “Hey, I’m going to buy this quadplex for $700,000,” making that up. Well now, because you’ve got the income from the rental and you got a history there. Not only will you get to add that to your income and your salary and your military income, you’ll also be able to add the rental income and the projected future income of the property that you’re considering buying. So your VA loan may balloon in purchasing power on the second purchase if you were able to, for example, swing it to put down the 5% using an alternative form of financing. I’ve heard of military folks, for example, putting down the 5% when they’re stationed in Florida and using the VA loan for the San Diego purchase, for example.

Nicole:
That definitely makes sense. I was questioning that. Do I use it or do I save it? I definitely think that’s great advice as far as possibly the first purchase, saving it, not using it, and using the money that I saved to put that 5% down.

Scott:
I think you can’t make the decision about the … I like the instinct to house hack. It’s a great starting point for someone in your situation making around a median income, starting with relatively few liquid assets and you don’t have hundreds of thousands dollars to … You’re doing great, but you don’t have hundreds of thousands dollars to invest. And that’s just a really powerful tool in the kit. It’s likely to be a big winner for you. Even if it doesn’t produce cash flow or let you live for free, it’ll likely substantially reduce your month to month living expenses. So I love that. What does the short term rental look like?

Nicole:
I was possibly thinking of something local, beach-wise, but possibly partnering with somebody. Because short term rentals here are not $250,000.

Scott:
What’s local?

Nicole:
Beaches, New Smyrna east coast or west coast on Central Florida. So either coast.

Scott:
How far are these from where you live and work?

Nicole:
New Smyrna Beach is 30 minutes. The other coast is about an hour-and-a-half.

Scott:
Would you consider living in one of those places? For example, is there a duplex or a condo with one of the doors that locks off the other unit or whatever with that for a year? Would that be an option available?

Nicole:
I was looking at one of the beaches that’s close or 30 minutes away. They do have more duplexes there, and possibly being able to use one half as a short term rental and then live in the other half. So it would be house hack times two with the short term rental.

Scott:
Would you be required to commute every day?

Nicole:
I work remote. The only limitation would be my daughter and her school zone, which I could still commute with that. It would just add extra transit time for myself. But it would definitely, profit-wise, would be worth it.

Mindy:
I’m looking on realtor.com at some of these New Smyrna Beach houses. I like the idea of a duplex on the beach where you’re living in one portion of it and renting out the other portion short term. You can do the turnover so you are not paying somebody to clean. That is the biggest pain point in short term rentals is finding somebody reliable to clean the property on your schedule. There’s ways to do this, especially when you’re doing it yourself, there’s ways to do this where you just literally bring everything back to your house and take brand new over there, have two sets of everything so that the turnover is a lot easier. Now the schooling for your daughter, is she in a special school or could she go to … Could she just transfer to the school in New Smyrna Beach? I mean, she’s pretty young. I’m assuming she’s only in the first couple of years of school.

Nicole:
She’s in kindergarten. It’s a little bit difficult. Her father lives in that school zone and that’s what we’re going off of right now. It is something that could possibly work moving her, but I would probably keep her in her current school. But the drive wouldn’t be out of the question.

Scott:
I think, if I’m looking at this now that we’re a couple minutes in the conversation, I think the biggest challenge for you is you’ve got a really strong financial base. You got really clear goals here. And real estate’s your tool that you’re likely going to use. Your market seems, from my seat, to be one that is affordable and within your reach to buy properties in, you’ve got the VA loan, all this kind of stuff. I think what I would advise you to do at the highest level is I think you need to pay what I call the entry price into real estate investing, which I think is in about 250 hours, maybe more, of just listening to podcasts, reading books, analyzing deals.
I think you’re still exploring some of these concepts at a high level. And I think you need to get clear on what good looks like and you’ve got at least 90 days before you’re really able to make the decision. Or if I were in your shoes, I’d feel comfortable buying property until that mortgage is off of my name. I think that would be a really good thing is I’m going to walk away from … Today’s February 8th when we’re recording this. I’m going to walk away from end of April and I’m going to be super confident. I know what a good deal looks like. I can articulate it in crystal clear detail about what I’m going to do.
One of several options or one particular strategy, here’s a duplex, it’s $200,000. It was built in 1950. It’s two bed, one bath on each side. Or three bed, two bath on each side. The square footage is this. It’s got a garage, it’s got a yard for the dog, whatever it is that you want to, that you’re looking for, cash flows like this. And here’s what’s going to do for me when I move in, here’s what’s going to do when I move out. There are five to 10 of them that have sold in the last 90 days or that I’ve watched sell over those last 90 days. So I know that they’re likely to come on the market.
And here are the Airbnbs in New Smyrna Beach. They’re within my price point from a VA loan because I’m qualified there. And here’s what they would produce from income. That I have to commute 180 days a year to the school zone for that or whatever it is. I think that’s what I would love for you to be able to articulate something to that effect very confidently by end of April. And I think that’s a very achievable goal over the next couple of months, in my opinion, for you.

Nicole:
Definitely. I’ve just struggled with that. And finding what I want and what looks good. So that definitely helps me. Thank you.

Scott:
Since we already plugged my book, maybe this will be the show of plugs here. Maybe we could send you your pick of 10 BiggerPockets books. Any ones that look interesting to you, we’ll send your way in your preferred format. And I think we will also give you a pro membership. so you can use the calculators to analyze as many deals as you’d like in there to help with that search. But I think it’s a self education slog to …

Nicole:
I’ve definitely tried to continuously listen and educate myself. Sometimes it can be overwhelming. Like Mindy was saying, your position is different than everybody else’s. And when you’re listening to someone that is younger and in a better position, it’s sometimes discouraging but I feel like I’m on the right track.

Mindy:
You have a great track. That is the part that I think we have … We don’t spend enough time on this show saying you’re doing great. You are 35 and you don’t have a net worth of $7 million, but you also don’t have a negative net worth. You don’t have $400,000 in student loan debt or $300,000 in credit card debt because you went nuts with the credit card every day for seven years. You’re doing really well. Your expenses are super tight. Could you cut things? Sure. Let’s put you on beans and rice every single day for the next month-and-a-half. Let’s take away your cell phone and take away entertainment and take away your gym membership. We can get your $2,600 spend down to $1,500. We can really tighten that belt and make your life totally miserable or we can continue on a path where you are having a good life and saving and you’re still doing really well. Does your budget feel tight?

Nicole:
No, I think it feels comfortable. Like you said, I could definitely tighten it up.

Mindy:
You could also definitely loosen it. You have $1,900 every month at the end. Go on a vacation every single week or buy a house once a year.

Nicole:
There you go.

Mindy:
I think that you should connect with a real estate agent. I’ve got a note here to reach out to you after we’re done recording to get a list of books and to connect you up with the pro membership. Thank you, Scott, CEO of BiggerPockets for offering that. That’s very generous of you.

Scott:
This is who they’re for, right, is you. You’re getting some information together. You’ve got a good idea of how things look, but you need to push through to that, “What does good look like so that I can actually feel confident to make that?” You need to do that over the next … You can’t take action for the next 90 days so that says time to study up. Probably, in addition to that analysis and that education, it’s probably a good time to meet a couple of lenders and agents as well and pick their brand, and local investors. If there’s a local investor meet up or anything like that, those would be really good things to start paying attention to and learning about in your area.
Take everything with a grain salt. See if you can pick out who you think knows what they’re talking about and who you think is maybe a little too aggressive or doesn’t really know what they’re doing. Once you get to that point where you feel like you actually can make that distinction, that’s when you know you’re ready from an investment perspective, to make that next purchase and make it really good decision.

Mindy:
I’m going to go one further and say, if you are a New Smyrna agent who has information about the area, please reach out to me, [email protected] and I will connect you with Nicole. I think Seth Jones is a mortgage … I know he’s a mortgage broker in Florida. I think he’s all of Florida. So I will introduce you to Seth after the show as well.

Scott:
And we have no financial affiliation with Seth Jones or any of these other folks, right?

Mindy:
Correct. No, we don’t have any financial … I’m just a matchmaker …

Scott:
Members of the community.

Mindy:
… to members of the community. I love to connect people. It doesn’t do me any good to just hold Seth Jones to myself. He’s the not going to write me a mortgage, because I don’t invest in Florida right now. But just talk to an agent and see what’s out there. There are zero quadplexes in all of New Smyrna Beach. Okay, that’s good to know. Or there are 17,000 or they’re building new ones. I don’t know anything about New Smyrna Beach. I don’t even know where it is on the map. I’m sorry. I don’t know what coast it’s on either.
But it doesn’t matter because I’m not the one that can help you with this. I can just connect you to somebody who can. So find what’s there. I mean, if you’re looking for a duplex and there’s only two in all of the city, that’s a really great indication that we need to change our focus. Could you find a really large house and turn it into a duplex? Is that something that would be easy to do? Or maybe there is a large house that’s already a duplex that isn’t official and you go through that channel?

Scott:
I don’t like the large rehab project for her at this point with that. I think that’s a big thing, like, “It’s great. You put in $30,000, $50,000 and turn it into a duplex.” Well, that’s just not reasonable relative to Nicole’s position because she doesn’t have all that cash. I like the single for the first play here. And then after two, three years, do some of the work yourself, get good with that and then take on the bigger projects incrementally with each of the next two or three projects.

Mindy:
I sometimes get ahead of myself. I’m like, “Just do it yourself.” Not everybody’s been doing it themselves for that.

Scott:
That was a big worry for me, I remember because I was like, “I have $12,000 and no skills.” I don’t want to do that on this particular project.

Nicole:
I do want to invest in real estate. I do know that. And it is a little discouraging knowing that I don’t have an overabundance of liquid cash. So it is discouraging at times, but it can be done and working towards that.

Scott:
But that’s where you can look for the work that would be reasonable for you to do yourself like kitchen … When I bought my first duplex in a very similar financial position to what you’ve got here, my evenings were spent staining the kitchen cabinets, which came unfinished. And painting and installing blinds and doing those types of things. There was a plumbing project that I did have to spend $8,000 on and that was it, and I knew that going in. That level of work might be very reasonable for you and might be able to get you a good deal.

Nicole:
I’m definitely not above doing any of that work and do have a little bit of background in that. My dad used to flip houses when I was younger. So free work, free labor.

Mindy:
Paint can transform a house for $35 a gallon. It is amazing what you can do with a gallon of white paint.

Scott:
I feel like your instincts are … I’m completely aligned with your instincts and it sounds like Mindy is as well here. House hacking is a great next option for you. Your foundation is perfectly set up for that. And real estate is you’re perfect fairway for someone who might benefit from real estate investing. You’re willing to do the work yourself. You’re willing to learn about it. You’ve got the financing options, you’ve got a good job with all this. You’ve got a high savings rate. You want the passive income in a reasonably fast period of time, so I love that. What else can we help you with today from a strategic ..

Nicole:
So recently, I cut my contributions to the [inaudible 00:36:46] which is 4% at my work so that I can save as much as possible. And I switched that over to a Roth rather than the 401(k). Does that feel like that was a good move? Should I continue with that?

Scott:
If the goal is $20,000 in income in a year and $2,000 in passive in three years and $4,000 in passive in five years, then absolutely, that’s a great move. That’ll be really hard to do inside of your 401(k) in my opinion. I like the move to the Roth. Take the free money, put it in the Roth and then put the rest towards the fund to go after the real estate investments. I think that makes sense to me.

Mindy:
I’m wondering what your W2 job is. And are there any opportunities for advancement within your company? Are there any opportunities for advancement by, advancement meaning an increase in salary, by finding a new job if you’ve been there for a while? And are there any opportunities for generating any additional income as a side project, either through your W2 or through … maybe your fluent in, I don’t know, Swahili and you want to give Swahili lessons and that’s something that is going to be a lucrative side hustle. I wouldn’t necessarily suggest doing something that’s pretty low value like DoorDash that doesn’t really pay a lot. That’s a lot of initial cash outlay in the form of wear and tear on your car and gas into your car, and then you’re not making a whole lot of money on that. Are there any side hustle opportunities for you?

Nicole:
Over the past two years, you know, since my divorce, I’ve really tried to focus on getting my life back together and focusing on my daughter. So currently, I don’t manage anyone. There are opportunities I could go back and manage people and certainly increase my salary. So that is something that I have been contemplating going back into to make additional money. Also, I have explored an additional job, maybe cleaning. I used to take real estate pictures for foreclosures. And when people left and it was disgusting, I would go and clean houses and do that. You could pick and choose what you wanted to do, which I need flexibility when it comes to having my daughter. I would clean houses for that, again, just to make that additional money.

Scott:
I love it. I think it’s not a lot of folks would, I think, do that in your situation. And the fact that you’re willing to do that, the fact that you’re saying, “I want to become financially independent. I want to build wealth. I’m willing to house hack. I’m willing to clean. I’m willing to take on these jobs or fix it up myself.” As a single mom here with that, I think, is super impressive and something that five years from now, when we have you back on the show and you’ve got your $4,000 to $10,000 in passive income from this, you’re going to be an inspiration and very proud of that dynamic. I think it’s awesome and I love that.

Nicole:
I definitely want to make sure that I instill that in my daughter and she sees that hard work, too.

Scott:
All the right things are going on in your financial position. You have been sitting on this particular trajectory for a long time. And I’ve mentioned that before on some of the system of our guests where you come in, you’re eight, 12 months into really absorbing perspective on finance and learning about what good looks like from a personal finance position. You’ve set that up. And you just haven’t been sitting on it for two, three years to stockpile, to see the results of that piling up from a cash position and then in investment form.
So that’s why you feel like you’re behind. But I guarantee you … I don’t guarantee you. I think there’s a high probability that over the next couple of years, you will see the compounding benefits of what you’re doing here if you continue to keep this trajectory going and slowly accelerate it month to month. I think it’s awesome. We answered your question about the 401(k). What other questions do you have?

Nicole:
I haven’t calculated my FI number. Is that something that you could assist me with? And the best way to factor in my military pension.

Scott:
I wouldn’t worry about your FI number right now, honestly. I would worry about it in two years or three years once you’ve got the first $2,000 in passive cash flow. You can absolutely calculate your FI. I’ll give you the technical answer. Right now, you spend $2,600 a month. Therefore, your FI number is somewhere between years three and five when you hit $2,000 to $4,000 in passive cash flow from your real estate investments or other investments. Another way to calculate the FI number is to take the total amount of your assets, like your equity in the real estate, plus your stock market investments and boil it down to the 4% rule.
So right now, you spend 2,600 a month, 2,600 times 12 is going to be 31,200. Therefore, you need about 25 times that amount in assets. That’ll be $780,000. But I believe that as you go down this journey and build up some of those assets and get more confident with your real estate investing career and keep this going, that that number will expand to some degree and be a little higher than the $31,000, $32,000 in annual that you’re spending today. I think that’s why I wouldn’t worry about your number quite yet. I just worry about keeping the trajectory going and building the asset base.

Mindy:
Okay. I’m going to give you a completely different answer because yes, Scott’s right but also Scott’s wrong. So you are spending approximately $32,000 a year. $31,200, let’s round up to $32,000 just to make it easy. That is $780,000 is your FI number. I need to get to this so that I can start withdrawing according to the 4% rule. However, you have a pension. Your pension is $12,000 a year, approximately. So now we’re down to a $480,000 nest egg for you to withdraw from the 4% rule because of your pension. We did a show back on Episode 259 with Grumpus Maximus where he talks about pensions. Should you cash it out? Should you take it as it comes to you? Since it’s a government pension, I would not cash it out. I believe that’s what Grumpus said as well.
The government’s not going to go out of business. If they do, you’ve got way bigger problems than just the fact that your pension’s gone. So I would keep it the way it is. I would also not really worry about it. I say this flippantly and I don’t mean to, but it’s $1,000 a month. That’s not going to be hugely helpful in your … By the time you’re 58, your spending is probably not going to be just this $2,600 that you’re at right now. Maybe your mortgage is paid off and maybe it is only $1,600. And now you’ve got $1,000 from your pension and you need to cover up the $600, or make up the $600 difference and then it would be really helpful. I would keep it in the back of my mind as, “Yes, I will get this someday. But because it isn’t such a large amount of money, I wouldn’t be concerned with it so much. I wouldn’t really factor it in. I would just continue to …”
I mean, if you have $2,000 in passive income in three years and you have $4,000 in passive income in five years, you’re kind of already generating all the income you need without doing anything. You don’t seem like the kind of person who’s just going to be like, “Well, now I’m going to the beach every single day. I don’t have to do a thing for the rest of my life. I’m just going to sit around and do nothing.” I think that understanding the numbers behind the 4% rule are good. But I also think that your $4,000 in passive income goal in five years is not only doable but also a really good FI number for you in general. That’s already more than what you need to live right now.

Nicole:
When I thought about that goal, that was, for me, to live comfortably and be able to take vacations and do whatever I want to do with my daughter, that $4,000 would be comfortable for me. Even though I’m living below that now, it’s for a reason. But I don’t want to continue to live that low. Thank you. That helps me a lot with understanding with that perspective.

Scott:
It’s this trajectory of, “Hey, I’m going to spend at this very low level for a period of time in order to stockpile the asset base. And then as my asset base begins growing and compounding, and that’s a greater and greater percentage of my wealth accumulation, it’s not just coming from the spread between my income and my savings.” You can begin easing off and letting the assets pay for incremental lifestyle expenses. And that’s what I found to be true for my personal life.
I would never have been able to articulate that when I first wrote the book with that but I can see that now. That’s how I would think about the FI journey is. Get the first couple thousand in passive cash flow and then take a look in three, four, five years from position of even greater financial strength and say, “Okay. What is the end game now? And how do I make sure that I’m never dependent on wage income on a go forward basis?” But also have that trajectory to get in the lifestyle I do want at the end state.

Nicole:
Yes.

Mindy:
Okay. Before we let you go, I have one more comment about the VA loan. The VA loan is a wonderful tool for our veterans. I think that it is fantastic. And I think that it also has a lot of stigma around it from real estate agents who don’t necessarily understand what it is and what it does. It is a benefit to you. There’s not really a lot of downside to the sellers. And having a lender who specializes in the VA loan is going to help get your VA loan offers accepted more so than a lender who’s like, “I’ve done them before.” They can take a really long time. They can take forever because there’s all these little steps that you have to do. But a good VA lender knows that you can start all those steps as soon as you go to contract.
I have a VA lender who’s done three VA loans for me, 21 day closes. And that is kind of unheard of in lending in general. But in the VA loan world, I’ve seen people write 45 day VA loan closes. And they’re like, “Well, I hope I don’t have to extend this.” In this market right now, it’s unfortunate, sellers don’t have to jump through hoops and “deal with the problems I’m doing” for those of you who aren’t watching me on video. They don’t have to deal with the problems of the VA loan. There aren’t problems with the VA loan. I have had more problems with FHA loans than I have ever had with a VA loan. They’ve always been smooth sailing. But because there are so many agents who don’t deal with these loans on a regular basis, they can see one and maybe they have two identical offers.
But one is a VA loan and one is a conventional or an FHA. They’ll be like, “I’ve heard VA loans are terrible so I’m just going to go with this one.” So when you go to use your VA loan, make sure you’re using a lender who does them all the time, who knows all the … I don’t want to say loopholes, because that makes it sound like they’re doing something wrong. They’re playing by the book. I mean, it’s a government program. There’s rules and you can either follow them or not get your loan approved. But they jump through all the hoops in such a fashion that it doesn’t take forever to get it closed. That’s my rant. The end.

Nicole:
I actually had a nightmare with purchasing the home that I live in now. The credit union that should deal with lots of VA loans and I literally had to do the work myself to get my certificate of eligibility. They got the wrong one. It was a nightmare. And if you could send me that lender, that would be great because I will not use the lender I used before because I almost lost the house because of how poor of the process it was. And it was a 45 days and they wanted to extend it. It was just a horrible experience. Luckily, everything worked out. But I do not recommend the lender I use. It was a bad process. Like you said, there is a stigma around VA loans, but there’s nothing wrong with them. And the lender makes all the difference.

Mindy:
It really does. I will send you that when we’re off the call.

Nicole:
Thank you.

Scott:
You had at least one more question. I’m cheating here, looking at the notes since you haven’t asked yet. But I think you were wondering about whether 2022 is a good time to do all this stuff. Is that right?

Nicole:
Yeah.

Scott:
I love talking about this one because it’s always on top of everyone’s mind. I bought my first property, a duplex for $240,000 in Denver, Colorado when I was making $50,000 a year and saved up my first 20,000 in 2014. And everyone was talking about how the market had been going up for five, six years in a row, it was absolutely crazy. And there’s no cash flow left in the market in Denver. It was the peak of the market and the bubble was about to burst. I bought the property in November. All of 2015, I was worried about the crash. 2016, second property. 2017, I think it was. The next one, 2018 was the next one. Another one last year. And the whole time, you’re worried about the market conditions. Nobody can predict the market reasonably well.
I will try to pick the market for you anyways in a few seconds here. But I think that it’s just very hard to do that. And it’s like, “I’m going to base my investing philosophy over a lifetime because I would like to be financially free for the entire rest of my life. Not just the next couple of years with this.” So I buy one property every year or two, and don’t worry about the market conditions. I’m just consistent. The strong financial foundations, spending less than you earn and buying and buying and buying and buying. Never to the point where that property can bankrupt you, but always with the idea that long term, that property will go up in value, rents are going to increase. I’m going to pay down the mortgage and it’s going to be a long term winner.
That philosophy I think, is a really powerful position to not worry about the market. Because if the market tanks next year, great. You are going to buy property number two next year and you’re able to get that one at a lower value with that. It’s the dollar cost averaging with real estate, you’d know that long term over a five, 10-year period, if you sustain it, absent apocalypse, which is going to affect everyone, you’re probably going to be in a pretty strong position even if you do have to go through a couple of years of downturn.
That’s the risk we’re going to take with real estate if you’re going to use leverage to buy an asset. But I think that you can feel comfortable over a long period of time that you’re playing the long term averages reasonably well, or at least I do, with that. That’s my answer about the market. And I think that it’s much more predicated on your personal position, which I think is nearing a position of a really strong position to get into real estate with a strong savings rate. Plenty of down payment and $15,000, $20,000, $30,000 left over in cash in emergency reserve.
Now, second part of that, what do I think’s going to happen in 2022? The big question mark this year is interest rates, right? So the Fed is signaled that they’re going to raise interest rates in March and people are pricing in, I’m hearing, up to five interest rate hikes over the course of this year. Long term, the factor, if you forget about those interest rates, you think prices are going to rise. If interest rates were to stay flat, prices should rise. Because millennials are buying homes. There’s a ton of demand. There’s not enough land, there’s enough … The supply and demand factors are really strong for this. I mean, I’m interchanging them. But lots of people want homes. There’s no supply of labor, there’s not a supply of land, there’s not a lot of water in parts of the country. It’s just hard to get these properties built.
And I think Dave Meyer estimates that there’s four million, our VP of data analytics here, estimates that there are four millions home short of meeting demand in the country currently. It’s going to take eight to 10 years at current build rates to really catch that up. But interest rates rise, that can have a big impact on things. And so my prediction for 2022 is that I think interest rates will rise. I’m not clear on how much that will affect pricing. It could be that prices come down, it could be that they don’t appreciate quite as much as they did last year. It could be that they appreciate a tremendous amount because the interest rates don’t rise enough to offset those factors.
What I think might happen this year is that rates will increase, prices may not appreciate as much and rents will rise very quickly relative to that because of inflation. Is that the worst thing in the world if you don’t get that much appreciation? Or even if your property loses some of its value, but rents increase over the next couple of years, if you believe that. I wouldn’t make an investment decision based on a market forecast because no one can predict the market. But I do have fun talking about that and at least thinking through that. That’s my bold hypothesis, is that rent growth will outpace property growth in 2022 for the first time in a while but we’ll see.

Nicole:
After talking to you guys, I’m not going to let any of that hold me back and I’m definitely going to make that next step. Do my research like you said, and make that next step.

Mindy:
In addition to everything that Scott said, I think we still have low inventory. I’ve got a really great graph that I will include in the show notes, which can be found at biggerpockets.com/moneyshow282. You can also find it at fred.stlouisfed.org/series/houst or just click on the link here. Scott, I shared it in the show notes that we have, and it is showing housing starts dropping from … What is this? 2006. They just went down almost to nothing all the way down to 2009 and they have not come back up to where we were in pre-2006 levels. So I think that there is an enormous shortage of houses to be purchased. So I think that yes, interest rates are going to go up. The Fed has said they’re going to do that. That might cap the skyrocketing prices a little bit but I don’t think that the market is going to just stop. Of course, past performance is not indicative of future gain. Your mileage may vary. Insert other clever comments here.

Scott:
There are no guarantees but I’m planning to buy again this year per my strategy that I outlined.

Mindy:
I’m keeping an eye on the market. When something nice pops up, I might snap it. And if nothing else, I’m helping people buy.

Scott:
Any other questions or things that we can help answer or discuss today?

Nicole:
No. I think you guys really covered it all and gave me a better understanding of what I need to do and just the research I need to make for making that first step into real estate investing. So thank you, I appreciate it.

Scott:
Well, thank you for sharing your story here and for the great discussion today. Thank you for plugging the book and letting us plug a bunch of bigger podcast stuff today. Hopefully, that’s helpful to you. Really look forward to seeing what you end up deciding and doing over the course of this year. I’m very optimistic about the next couple of years from a success standpoint for you.

Nicole:
Thank you. I will keep you guys posted.

Mindy:
Please do. We would love to check back in with you in a few months … Maybe in a year. Let’s see what’s going on in a year.

Nicole:
Let’s go with a year.

Mindy:
Okay, great. Well, we will talk to you soon. Thank you, Nicole. Okay. Scott, that was Nicole. That was a great episode. That was a lot of fun. I’m super excited for all of the options she has available. She’s doing really great. I think that we stink at being supportive and celebrating all the great things that she’s doing. Her budget, her spending is so good without feeling unnecessarily restrictive to her. She’s doing awesome. She’s saving money every month and she’s got clear cut goals. I love her story.

Scott:
What I think was really important that we heard today was Nicole is willing to do whatever it takes to move her financial position to the next level. She is considering moving into a house hacks. She’s willing to move into an Airbnb. She’s willing to clean up really what sounded like horrible messes from foreclosure properties and those types of things to get ahead. She’s not above doing that. And I think that’s what it takes to really get the start of this grind over with. To be willing to take on that house hacks project and to earn those extra bucks by putting in the extra hours and doing the work that you don’t want to do for a couple of years to get that financial foundation. Over the hump where it can begin to support you in the asset base, it gets large enough to start snowballing you.
That asset base outside of your retirement accounts, outside of pensions that only come into play when you turn 58. That asset base that you can actually spend in your early or middle aged adult life with that. I think she’s doing all the right things to set herself up for that. What’s so hard and frustrating for many listeners who are probably in her position is because she’s only been on this trajectory for a year or two, really, and building that financial position, she feels like she’s behind. So just give yourself another one, two, three years if you’re in a position like Nicole’s because you will see those results or you will have very good odds, at least, of seeing those results carry through if you’re willing to pull those big levers and grind it out for a couple years, the snowball will start rolling down the other side of the hill with it.

Mindy:
If you’re listening to the show, if you’re thinking about your finances, if you are tracking your net worth, tracking to your spending, if you are even being conscious of the fact that money comes in and money goes out, you are so far ahead of the average American who doesn’t do any of those things. And she’s got a positive net worth, she’s got a plan, she has well-defined goals. She would really have to try not to succeed. She would have to try to sabotage herself in order to not succeed, just because she’s so driven and she’s going to do the work.

Scott:
But another thing you just said there that’s such a great point, clearly defined goals. It’s so hard to put together a good financial plan and say, “What should I do with my 401(k) or my Roth?” Well, it depends on your goals. “My goal is to save up 20,000. My goal is to get $2,000 a month in passive cash flow within three years. My goal is to get $4,000 within five years.” Okay, great. Now we can work with that and back into that and say, “Well, is that realistic? Well, if you’re willing to clean foreclosures on the weekends and house hack, it’s realistic. If you’re not willing to do those things and want to live in a nice house that’s a big percentage of your income and have your car payment, maybe that’s not realistic for you.” We can give feedback about that.

Mindy:
She doesn’t have the goal of $10,000 in passive income by the end of the year. That’s not a realistic goal. Her goals are realistic, her goals are doable and she’s taking steps to do them. Like you said, she’s willing to do the work. She’s willing to do, what is that phrase? Be willing to live like nobody else now so you could live like nobody else later. She’s willing to go above and beyond, to go extra, to do more so that when she’s a little bit older, she doesn’t have to go above and beyond.
She doesn’t have to do extra. She doesn’t even have to do the bare minimum. It does it for her. It’s called passive income. But you have to do the work now. You can’t just sit around and go on vacations all the time and eat bonbons and go to the beach every weekend. And all of a sudden, life is great and throwing money at you. That’s not how it works. You got to do the work at some point. And she’s ready. She’s willing. She’s going to do it. And she is going to be successful.

Scott:
Love it.

Mindy:
And we’ll check in with her in about a year. I can’t wait to see all of the successes that she’s had in the next year.

Scott:
Absolutely.

Mindy:
Okay. Scott, this was a super fun episode. Are you ready to get out of here?

Scott:
Let’s do it.

Mindy:
From Episode 282 of the BiggerPockets Money Podcast, he is Scott Trench, and I am Mindy Jensen saying, in honor of Girl Scout Cookies season, peace out, Girl Scout.

 

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As lender concerns about margin compression rise, why aren’t we seeking to better understand our mortgage application fallout rates to increase revenue?

For mortgage originators of all sizes, “fallout” is a word that induces headaches and nausea at roughly the same level as terms like “repurchase demand” or “regulatory audit.” We don’t often talk about it, but it’s a fact of mortgage lending. Far too many loan applications never make it to closing, falling out of a lender’s pipeline even after rate lock. And far too often, the response is a shrug of the shoulders and back to work finding new leads.

The MBA’s Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Performance Report for the first quarter of 2021 tells us that “the average pull-through rate (loan closings to applications) was 76% in the first quarter, down from 78% in the fourth quarter [of 2020].” So, mortgage lenders saw 24% of loan applications received fall out of their pipelines before closing.

The same report tells us that “total loan production expenses – commissions, compensation, occupancy, equipment, and other production expenses and corporate allocations – increased to $7,964 per loan in the first quarter, up from $7,938 per loan in the fourth quarter. From the third quarter of 2008 to last quarter, loan production expenses have averaged $6,621 per loan.”

It remains expensive to produce a loan, and it’s even getting more expensive.

As the overall mortgage market begins to shift from one dominated by refinance volume to one dominated by purchase mortgage volume — especially with some decline in overall volume expected —we’re already hearing about margin compression. Discussion will revolve around how lenders can better compete for market share; or how lenders can use technology or other strategies to attack the production costs seemingly rising to meet declining revenue. All of this is merited and even prudent.

Are you analyzing and attacking fallout rates

Why aren’t more lenders seriously considering more systemic and consistent ways to analyze and attack mortgage application fallout rates, perhaps even finding ways to recapture (or never lose in the first place) their wayward applicants? Wouldn’t this be a productive and effective way to nudge volume and revenue upward?

There is no warmer sales lead than a loan application. For the thousands (or even millions) lenders spend on creating new leads through lists, marketing campaigns and networking, there’s obviously no greater sign of interest in a lender’s product than a loan application. And yet, most lenders know little to nothing about why applicants are bailing out on their products before closing. Instead, they go back to the start, casting new nets for colder leads.

As an industry, we’ve upped our game (although there’s more to be done) in two areas of the transactional process. First, it’s admittedly much easier for a potential borrower to apply in the first place. Any number of online solutions allow borrowers to shop rates and lenders online, not to mention adding lending marketers and loan originators (LOs) to identify solid leads.

Second, although the overall mortgage process has a long way to go, loan origination systems (LOS) technology has advanced rapidly in just a few years, better integrating with other elements of the tech stack and automating a number of functions that not long ago were manual or shopped out to third-party providers. The result has been a better overall mortgage lending process.

We have a long way to go

One of the glaring shortfalls in terms of technology adoption in our industry is the use of technology to support the consumer experience. While other industries push forward to make closing a transaction as easy as the initial shopping, our industry still tends to rely on telephones, emails, letters and third parties to attend to the consumer as they wade through the complexities of closing a loan.

One extension of that shortfall applies directly to mortgage application fallout rates. We tend to assume that when an applicant drops out of the process, that applicant has either found a better rate or decided not to pursue the transaction at this time. But more lenders than not don’t actually verify that systematically. No survey. No follow-up. No solution to automatically measure variables indicating any kind of pattern in the type of applicant that tends to fall out, and where in the process that happens.

While it’s likely that market movement or changed life circumstances could make up a significant number of lost applications, many lenders don’t take the time or effort to find out, choosing instead to apply their marketing dollars and investments to procuring and converting cold leads. This would seem to fly in the face of an avalanche of existing research that it’s easier and more profitable to keep an existing client (or a lead familiar with your brand) than to find a new one.

We know, for example, that increasing customer retention rates by 5% increases profits by 25% to 95%, according to research done by Frederick Reichheld of Bain & Company. It wouldn’t be a stretch to apply that same principle to loan applicants who fall out of the mortgage pipeline if the lender better understood why that fall out occurred.

All indications are that the mortgage industry will be a far more competitive space in 2022. Many lenders are already gearing up their marketing machines to win new borrowers as origination volume leans more toward purchase mortgages. Competition often drives innovation, and in this purchase market, it would seem that comprehensively addressing lenders’ fallout rates would be as worthy as any other marketing investment, if not more so.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of HousingWire’s editorial department and its owners.

Jim Paolino is CEO and Co-Founder of LodeStar Software Solutions.

To contact the author of this story:
Jim Paolino at jpaolino@lssoftwaresolutions.com

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Sarah Wheeler at swheeler@housingwire.com

The post What about mortgage application fallout rates? appeared first on HousingWire.



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Each fall, trendsetters at Pantone decide on the next year’s “color of the year,” which they feel will define and influence the upcoming year. Whether the “color of the year” is a self-fulfilling prophecy or the trendsetters really are that on trend is currently unknown. Similarly, the mortgage industry has no shortage of trend predictions being made each month, quarter and year.

Unfortunately for lenders, these are never anything more than predictions as only time will tell how the markets will play out.

However, the mortgage industry is facing a shift in trend predictions this year, as experts unofficially name a “color of the year” in mortgage. Current buzzwords in the mortgage industry include affordable, underserved, accessible and equity. With the increasing regulatory focus on expanding affordable lending programs, mortgage lenders need to have a plan to serve the underserved.

Many lenders have historically shied away from offering a robust affordable lending product line, including down payment assistance (DPA) programs and ITIN mortgages. Surprisingly, risk isn’t the main factor affecting lenders’ appetite for DPA and affordable lending products today. What’s really holding lenders back are the challenges associated with DPA and affordable lending products.

Owning a house with the white picket fence may be a key part of the American dream, but lenders still need to make money in order to stay in business. At the end of the day, there must be a better balance between doing good for their communities and themselves at the same time.

Finding the ‘why’

The benefits of a lively and contemporary DPA and affordable lending program are far-reaching and untold, brightening the lives of many. However, those terms don’t always reflect well on a profit and loss statement, and many lenders need to define the benefits of offering these programs in terms other than pure numbers. While not the most altruistic motivation, meeting regulatory expectations is one advantage to offering DPA and affordable lending programs, as this would help align lenders with current federal-level directives to address the racial homeownership gap.

Through DPA and affordable lending programs, lenders have an expanded ability to fulfill their desire to help low-to-moderate income borrowers obtain the goal of homeownership, but these programs also allow lenders to reach borrowers that may otherwise be ignored or rejected, which can be the key to success in a contracting market.

For some lenders, this could mean introducing new products, such as ITIN mortgages, aimed at providing homeownership opportunities to non-U.S. citizens with an ITIN, or individual tax identification number. As evidenced by these two examples, doing good while deriving value need not be mutually exclusive aims when it comes to offering DPA and other affordable lending programs.

Where the rubber meets the roadblock

For many lenders, the challenges of offering DPA and affordable lending programs have long outweighed the potential benefits. The most prevalent arguments against DPA and affordable lending programs are they’re hard to do and require an inordinate amount of resources, ultimately resulting in nearly no profit for the lender.

Additionally, state housing finance authorities are the primary sources of most DPA and affordable lending programs, resulting in 50 different programs and 50 different sets of guidelines. Those 50 different guidelines lead to confusion, errors, delayed closings and lock extensions, all of which cost the lender money.

While Ginnie Mae loan programs offer another avenue for lenders to offer loan programs geared towards low-to-moderate income borrowers, the onerous approval process to become an approved Ginnie Mae issuer make this strategy a non-starter for many lenders. Thus, lenders need to think beyond the obvious strategies and outlets if they truly want to add DPA and affordable lending programs to their product line-up.

Think outside the box

One emerging source for DPA and affordable lending products is the correspondent channel. Correspondent programs are often well suited to offer these programs because they can go deeper and wider in credit offerings than state programs while still fitting Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac requirements. Furthermore, correspondents are in a position to minimize overlays on DPA and affordable lending products, making them more efficient and more profitable.

One common misconception is that DPA and affordable lending products can only be used for low-income borrowers. With expanded credit offerings, these products can help a multitude of next gen borrowers. Loan originators need to fully understand their options and how to get creative within the programs in order to help their borrowers.

For example, some DPA programs are based off the area or state median income (AMI or SMI), not the borrower’s income. With a DPA program based off AMI and an informed loan originator, a recent pharmacy school graduate with a 620 FICO score and a salary of $128,000 could purchase their first home with a DPA program. Yet, a less informed loan originator could think this borrower is not eligible for any of the state-sponsored DPA programs due to their income and look no further.

The goals of expanding homeownership and closing the racial gap in homeownership have taken center stage in the mortgage industry of late. As affordable housing becomes the topic that defines and influences the industry this year, lenders will have to reevaluate their DPA and affordable lending programs and get creative.

Roland Weedon is president and CEO of Essex Mortgage.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of HousingWire’s editorial department and its owners.

To contact the author of this story:
Roland Weedon at rweedon@essexmortgage.com

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Sarah Wheeler at swheeler@housingwire.com

The post Opinion: Affordable lending requires creative thinking appeared first on HousingWire.



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The first ever Crypto Real Estate Summit is not totally accessible.  

It’s actually, literally, a bit difficult to access. There are traffic cones and foreboding construction signs outside the Miami Beach Convention Center and the doors are locked. Once let inside, you must briskly walk to a crevice on the 2nd floor, past cracked, white-painted walls, and stained-ocean blue carpeting.

But it’s also challenging to understand the conference’s mission and forthcoming legacy – the dawn of a new real estate economy or curiosity coinciding with the president of the United States regulating cryptocurrency?

“This is like what the internet was in 1993, 1994,” said Suresh Nichani, managing director of I-Chain Capital, an investor in blockchain projects. “This is a very nascent industry.”

A bit more specifically the conference’s mix of investors, representatives from recently created companies, and real estate agents are divided about how traditional real estate would meld with transacting property sales on a blockchain platform.

Michael Arrington, founder of Tech Crunch and crypto-financed hedge fund Arrington XRP Capital (and investor in Propy, which is organizing the summit), kicked off the conference by declaring (jokingly?), “I always thought real estate people are lazy. Like, why are [they] getting 6%?”

That’s a reference to agent’s total commission per sale. Robert Wennett, a prolific Miami real estate developer then added (definitely not jokingly), “The idea of the whole commission structure is archaic. Real estate is controlled by a lot of older families who are not so technologically driven.”

Agents pointed out they have heard doomsaying before. “Microsoft [in the 1990s] said the Internet would take over,” and replace agents, said Randy Char, of Sotheby’s International Real Estate in Las Vegas. “It didn’t happen.”

Arrington and Wennett also examined President Joe Biden’s executive order Wednesday, declaring a “national policy for digital assets.” Biden wants federal agencies to spend 180 days on issues ranging from consumer protection to pushing “U.S. leadership in the global financial system.”

“We do not think the SEC [Securities and Exchange Commission] has any place in this,” Arrington said to some laughter before adding that the executive order does not say much.

“We were pleasantly surprised there wasn’t any teeth there,” he said, adding that “How government works is that everyone pays off politicians and we see who wins.”

Speakers and attendees later in the day took a wait and see view to Biden’s order.

“It’s a dot dot dot order to me, we’ll see in 180 days,” said Robin Sosnow, a lawyer at Sosnow & Associates who advises blockchain investors.

Louis Ledot, a lawyer at Foley & Larder, said gingerly exploring some regulations are better than none. “The fintech industry has lacked the clarity needed to know how to comply with legal norms,” he said.

Many agents, for now, say they view crypto assets and the block chain platform as something they need to learn more about than the latest purported technological threat to their livelihood.  One agent said that younger people she works with are less confident in traditional financial institutions than the generation before, and that prompted her interest in cryptocurrency.

Many agents privately expressed that they are in favor of any regulatory intervention of an industry that, presently, is parallel and redundant to the legal way of buying and selling property.

For example, a home sale in St. Petersburg, Florida involving an NFT, additionally involved the steps of a traditional real estate transaction, including deed transfer.

The juxtaposition between agents from companies like Keller Williams and eXp, tech entrepreneurs and investors at the conference was sometimes out of central casting.

In one panel, Hrish Lotlikar, CEO of augmented reality app SuperWorld, discussed real estate investment possibilities in the metaverse while wearing a SuperWorld hooded sweatshirt, jeans, and black hi-top sneakers.

Lotlikar was accompanied by Nina Fabbri, director of business partnerships at HomeServices of America, who wore buttoned down business attire. Amid Lotlikar’s pitch for different metaverse platforms, Fabbri slyly mentioned that some in the room “may have heard” of HomeServices’ parent Berkshire Hathaway.

The post Crypto and real estate awkwardly mingle in Miami appeared first on HousingWire.



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On Thursday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the same trend that all Americans have seen lately: the inflation rate of growth is rampant and doesn’t show any sign of easing up due to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine. The Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers “increased 0.8 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.6 percent in January…. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.9 percent before seasonal adjustment.”

As you can see below, the CPI inflation rate of growth chart looks like many economic charts during this COVID-19 recovery and expansion: a parabolic-type move deviated from recent historical norms. Our economy is running hot, and the labor market is getting hotter.

During the COVID-19 recovery phase, I predicted that job openings would break over 10 million. This week, we just broke to an all-time high in job openings with near 11.3 million.

What does that mean? Wage growth is going to kick up!

Early in 2021, I told the Washington Post that rental inflation was about to take off and will take the consumer price index up faster and last longer. For me, it’s always about demographics equal demand. Wages are rising, which means rent is about to get higher.

Shelter inflation, the most significant component of CPI, is making its big push as people need to live somewhere and that shelter cost is a priority over most things. Rent inflation on a year-over-year basis has been extreme in certain cities, averaging over double digits.

Now we can see that being a renter has been problematic because rent inflation is taking off, gas prices are taking off, and even though wages are up, the monthly items consumers spend money on have gone up in the most prominent fashion in recent history.

In some cases, seeing this type of rental inflation can motivate consumers to buy a home because renting a home isn’t as cheap as an option anymore. However, if you’re a young renter and looking to buy a house a few years away, this makes savings for a downpayment much more of a problem. On top of all that, since inventory is at all-time lows, it’s been harder and harder for first-time homebuyers to win some bids because they don’t have more money to bring into the bidding process.

As always, the marginal homebuyer gets hit with higher rates and higher home prices. Now, single household renters are paying more for their shelter, making the home-buying process more challenging financially.

What can Americans do to hedge themselves against this? In reality, being a homeowner over the past decade has set consumers up nicely during this burst of inflation!

How is that?

Housing is the cost of shelter to your capacity to own the debt; it’s not an investment. This has been my line for a decade now. Shelter cost is the primary driver of why you might want to own a home. The benefit of being a homeowner is that with a 30-year fixed mortgage rate, that mortgage payment is fixed for the life of the loan. Yes, your property tax or insurance might go up, but the mortgage payment is generally fixed. 

What has happened over the years is that American homeowners have refinanced time and time again to where their shelter cost got lower and lower as their wages rose over time.

We can see this in the data. It has never looked better in history with the recent refinance boom we saw during the COVID-19 recovery, since mortgage debt is the most significant consumer debt we have in America. 

This would imply that household debt payments are at deficient levels as well. Which they are, as we can see below.

In the last 10 years, the big difference is that we made American Mortgage Debt Great Again by making it dull. While wages rise, long-term fixed debt cost stays the same. It doesn’t get any better than that.  So how does this make being a homeowner a hedge against inflation?

As the cost of living rises, wage growth has to match it, especially in a very tight labor market. Companies can no longer afford not to increase wages to lure employees to work and retain workers. Wages are going up!

What doesn’t go up? Your mortgage payment as a homeowner. So, you can benefit from increasing wages while the most considerable payment stays the same. Why do I keep stressing that the homeownership benefit is a fixed low debt cost versus rising wages? While renters feel stressed about rental inflation and higher gas prices, homeowners never need to worry about their sub-3% mortgage rate increasing versus the 7.9% inflation rate of growth.

Some people who are surprised by all this inflation we have had over the last year are now asking how the U.S. economy can keep pushing along. Not every household is the same. If you’re a renter, your rents have gone up and that takes away from your disposable income and makes it harder to save for a downpayment as well. If you’re a homeowner, the inflation cost isn’t as bad, since you are benefiting from rising wages. That offsets the cost of living and you’re safe in your home with that fixed product.

This is great for a homeowner, but it contributes to a larger problem: The homeowner is doing a little too well and might have no motivation to move. Why would anyone want to give up a sub-3% mortgage rate and such a solid positive cash flow unless they’re buying something that will make their cost much cheaper? People move all the time for many different reasons. However, let’s be realistic here: housing inventory has been falling since 2014 and 2022 isn’t looking any better.


Also, investors that have bought homes for rental yield are enjoying the fact that wages are rising because it gives them a reason to raise the rent. In a low interest-rate environment, rental yield is a good source of income.

We haven’t had to deal with high inflation levels for many decades, and back in the late 1970s, mortgage rates were a lot higher, so it’s not an apples-to-apples comparison anymore. This is a brand new ball game with how beneficial it has been to be a homeowner in America. It’s not great news if you’re worried about inventory getting low, as I am.

I often make fun of my housing crash addict friends who have been wrong for a decade. However, now I tell them: you’re implying educated homeowners who have excellent cash flow will, for some reason, sell their homes at a 40%, 50% or 60% discount just to rent a home at a higher cost than what would have been the case for many years.

Human beings don’t operate that way. However, there is a downside to homeowners having such good financials: they don’t have a reason to give up a good thing. This is just another reason I keep saying this is the unhealthiest housing market post-2010. As you can see above with the FICO scores of homeowners, their cash flow looks great and against this burst of inflation, owning a home is a nice hedge.

My concern has always been with inventory going lower and lower in the years 2020-2024. Currently, with homeowners looking so good on paper, we have entered uncharted territory where mortgage rates for current owners are at the lowest levels ever recorded in history, inventory levels are at the lowest levels ever and now the cost of living from a rise in inflation has taken off in an extreme way. The biggest problem I see here is that this can make the housing inventory situation much worse as homeowners now have even more incentive to never leave their homes.

The post Why owning a home is the best hedge against inflation appeared first on HousingWire.



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Nonbank heavyweight loanDepot announced on Thursday an operational restructuring with the creation of a new business division called mello, under the leadership of the digital technology veteran Zeenat Sidi. 

The California-based lender plans to use mello to boost the development of innovative products and services in a market that has gotten ultra-competitive, with power buyers, real estate brokerage, mortgage lenders and fintechs all vying to create an end-to-end platform. 

Mello’s unit, which shares the name of the software platform loanDepot launched in 2017, will operate side-by-side with the company’s mortgage origination and servicing division.

Both units will report directly to Anthony Hsieh, loanDepot’s chairman and CEO. 

“Accelerating the delivery of multiple new products and services – above and beyond mortgage products – through our mello operating unit will allow us to give consumers access to a complete suite of digital-first homeownership,” Hsieh said in a statement. 

The new operations unit will include the customer contact center, the mello DataMart, and the performance marketing engine. These units are responsible for distributing 10 million data-enriched leads annually and connecting more than a million customers daily, according to loanDepot.  

Three adjacent businesses – mellohome Real Estate Services, melloinsurance, and mello title and escrow services – will also be under Sidi. 

Last year, loanDepot’s origination volume topped $137 billion in 2021, an increase of 36% from the previous year, though gain-on-sale margins, profitability and the company stock price all fell. The company achieved 3.4% market share for the full year, up from 2.5% in 2020.

A key strategic focus for loanDepot in the next few years is realizing business from its lead generation operations.

In January, Hsieh said in a statement that the industry is a cyclical one, but loanDepot’s business was “purpose-built with period of pressure in mind,” considering its proprietary tech stack, diverse mix of channels, and a marketing machine.

“We control our lead flow, our customer contact strategy and the point of loan origination. This is a critical competitive advantage, enabling us to pivot and adjust our production as market trends demand,” he said

Sidi has the resume for a digital products and services job. She has held roles with Royal Bank of Canada, Capital One, and Sofi, which she joined in 2018 to build the home loans business but ended as the head of enterprise lending and investment for Galileo (a company SoFi acquired in 2020). Prior to joining loanDepot, she was at the fintech company Mission Lane

LoanDepot also recently hired George Brady, a longtime executive at Capital One, as chief digital officer. He’ll focus on refining and building out the lender’s technology stack. LoanDepot’s former chief information officer, Sudhir Nair, left in January.

The reorganization comes about six months after loanDepot’s former head of operations, Tammy Richards, dropped a bombshell lawsuit that alleged that loanDepot, in a bid to drum up money during the refi boom and in preparation for its initial public offering, closed 8,000 loans without proper documentation at Hsieh’s behest.

Richards claimed she was demoted for not complying with Hsieh’s alleged demands to close loans without credit reports. After a stint on medical leave, Richards, who once oversaw 4,000 employees, resigned in March 2021.

LoanDepot disputed the claims made by Richards, who worked in senior roles at Wells FargoBank of AmericaCaliber Home Loans and Countrywide Financial (one of the bad actors in the subprime loan crisis) before joining loanDepot. 

The post LoanDepot restructuring creates new digital products/services unit appeared first on HousingWire.



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Incenter is adding a third-party due diligence review firm to its umbrella of companies.

Edgemac, which Incenter acquired at the end of last year, does due diligencing for mostly non-QM and jumbo loans, as well as private label reverse mortgages that could eventually be securitized. The firm, founded in 2008, also provides document management services for closing, purchase, sale and securitization of residential and business-purpose mortgage loans.

Edgemac and Incenter declined to disclose terms of the transaction.

Edgemac’s clients span banks, investment banks, Trustees, investors, government entities and mortgage companies. Its due diligence process looks at a loan from soup to nuts, verifying whether an appraisal is conducted properly, or making sure a loan meets the ability to repay standard.

Edgemac assesses whether the loan can be securitized after the loan is closed. Lenders can then receive a “reliance letter,” which allows them to securitize the loans more quickly.

Robin Auerbach, president and CEO of Edgemac, said that in light of rate hikes and compressing margins, lenders are especially interested in ways to shift some processes — such as document management — to another party.


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“Lenders are in a tough spot this first quarter,” Auerbach said.

Auerbach also said that being part of the Incenter umbrella of companies would allow Edgemac to draw upon expertise from Incenter’s other brands.

“This will compliment what we do and allow us to continue to provide more services to existing and new customers,” Auerbach said. “We’re different companies, but when customers ask us to engage someone else from our counterparties, we do not have to recreate the wheel.”

Edgemac will be the 11th company acquired by Fort Washington, Pennsylvania-based Incenter, which offers an array of services related to mortgage, including appraisal management, property tax analysis and trading and advisory services for mortgage servicing rights.

Rising rates tend to pull the value of mortgage servicing rights up with them, as the risk of mortgage prepayment declines. Mortgage rates are already on the rise, and despite being dampened in the short term by the conflict in Ukraine, will likely rise further as the Fed takes steps to reduce inflation.

The MSR market is already flourishing, as lenders with MSRs on their balance sheet cash in on more favorable pricing. Bruno Pasceri, president of Incenter, said that Incenter is “well-positioned” to help institutions capitalize on the active MSR trading, securitization and purchase markets.

“In an industry that is always balancing the competing needs for agility and risk management, Edgemac’s services are a welcome addition to Incenter’s offerings,” said Pasceri.

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From 2010 to 2020, middle-income households gained $2.1 trillion in housing wealth, according to a new study by the National Association of Realtors, released on Wednesday.

NAR’s Housing Wealth Gains for the Rising Middle-Class Markets study examined the distribution of housing wealth between 2010 and 2020 across income groups in 917 metropolitan and micropolitan areas.

The vast majority (71%) of the $8.2 trillion in housing wealth generated during this time period belonged to high-income households, while $296 billion, or 4%, was from low-income households.

During this 10-year period, nearly 980,000 middle-income households became homeowners and 529 of the 917 metro and micropolitan areas examined gained middle-income homeowners. NAR defined a middle-class homeowner as one earning an income of over 80% to 200% of the area median income.

The top 10 areas showing the largest increase in middle-class owner-occupied housing units in 2020 compared to 2010 were Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale (103,690), Austin-Round Rock (61,323), Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin (55,252), Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington (53,421), Houston-The Woodlands-Sugarland (52,716), Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell (48,819), Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford (35,063), Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro (34,373), Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue (31,284) and Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater (28,979).

On the other side of the spectrum, New York-Newark-Jersey City (-100,214), Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim (-73,839), Chicago-Naperville-Elgin (-34,420), Boston-Cambridge-Newton (-28,953), Detroit-Warren-Dearborn (-25,405) and Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington (-22,129), all saw a decrease in middle-income homeowner households over the past decade. Despite this decrease, some markets such as Los Angeles and New York, still saw housing wealth rise due to increasing home prices.

As of the fourth quarter of 2021, the largest price gains, as a percent of the purchase price over the last decade were in Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale (275.3%), Atlanta-Sandy Springs (274.7%), Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise (251.7%), Cape Coral-Fort Myers (233.9%) and Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario (207.6%).

“Middle-income households in these growing markets have seen phenomenal gains in price appreciation,” NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. “Given the rapid migration and robust job growth in these areas, I expect these markets to continue to see impressive price gains.”

Nationwide, the median single-family existing-home sales price rose at an annual pace of 8.3% from the fourth quarter of 2011 through the fourth quarter of 2021, according to NAR, and as of Q4 2021, the median single-family existing-home sales price rose by at least 10% in 67% of 183 metro areas tracked by NAR. This means that a homeowner who purchased a typical single-family existing home 10 years ago at the median sales price of $162,600 is likely to have accumulated $229,400 in housing wealth, with 86% of the wealth gain attributed to price appreciation.

“Owning a home continues to be a proven method for building long-term wealth,” Yun said in a statement. “Home values generally grow over time, so homeowners begin the wealth-building process as soon as they make a down payment and move to pay down their mortgage.” 

Although home prices fell roughly 30% during the Great Recession, home prices have grown at such a rate that a homeowner who purchased a home just five years ago would have accumulated $146,200 in housing wealth. As mortgage rates continue to remain low and housing inventory continues to decrease, NAR reported double-digit increases in the median single-family existing-home sales price in nearly two-thirds of the 183 metro areas it tracked.

While rising housing prices benefit homeowner, if prices rise too high they become unaffordable and low- and middle-income households cannot share in the wealth creation arising from homeownership.

“These escalating home values were no doubt beneficial to homeowners and home sellers,” Yun said in a statement. “However, as these markets flourish, middle-income wage earners face increasingly difficult affordability issues and are regrettably being priced out of the home-buying process.”

While the number of middle-income homeowners increased over the decade, they made up a smaller fraction of homeowners in 2020 at 43%, down from 45.5% in 2010. In 2020, just 27.7% of homeowners were low-income homeowners, down from 38.1% 10 years prior. Meanwhile, the share of high-income homeowners rose from 16.4% in 2010 to 29.8% in 2020.

According to NAR the homeownership rate across income groups has declined since the Great Recession. The largest drop was seen in the middle-income homeownership rate, which fell from 78.1% to 69.7%

The low-income and high-income homeownership rates fell two percentage points and four percentage points, respectively.

“Now, we must focus on increasing access to safe, affordable housing and ensuring that more people can begin to amass and pass on the gains from homeownership,” NAR president Leslie Rouda Smith said in a statement.

The post Homeowners gain $8.2 trillion in housing wealth over 10 years appeared first on HousingWire.



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We’re all aware that the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted real estate investments—it’s a reality many of us face on a daily basis. As a result, many investors have been forced to change their real estate investing strategies to deal with the economic effects of the crisis. 

And, investors are also facing new challenges as the country emerges from lockdown restrictions. One of the biggest challenges right now is soaring inflation rates. According to Trading Economics, the inflation rate hit 7.5% in January 2022—the highest inflation rate in 40 years. Adding to the issue is the fact that energy costs are skyrocketing—and there is a widespread labor shortage to contend with as well. 

So how are these economic trends affecting real estate investing strategies? And after the country shakes off the shackles of COVID restrictions, what do these trends—and the subsequent strategy shakeups—mean for property investment, especially in the rental property market? Well, while it’s not entirely clear what will happen to the real estate market post-pandemic, the good news is that investing in real estate post-COVID will almost certainly be a good idea. Here’s why that is—and information on what types of real estate investments may be a good idea after the coronavirus pandemic is over.

The effects of COVID-19 on the rental property market

The pandemic brought many uncertainties with it—and not just for investors. With shelter-at-home orders in force throughout the country, many people were confined to their homes, unable to go to the office, visit friends or family, make a quick trip to the grocery store, or take their planned vacations.

And, many people lost their jobs or saw significant decreases in income, which meant that rent was tough to pay for many tenants. To help avoid another economic crisis, eviction control measures were introduced on the federal level. These measures were meant to help renters avoid being evicted from their rental units. 

In turn, open units were a scarcity. According to a 2021 report on the pandemic’s effect on the U.S. rental market, rental listings were 26% lower in the first half of 2020 than they were just one year prior. Home sales transactions in large metropolitan areas also fell by 50%—and average sale prices declined by 18%.

And, according to some analysts, there were certain real estate investment market sectors were hit harder than others. For example, investment in senior care facilities, hotels, and gas- and oil-related properties posed a greater risk to investors than residential properties, and the sales data is evidence of these issues. This was almost certainly due to the uncertainty plaguing certain industries, like travel, at the height of the pandemic, but it had a big impact on how investors chose properties.

Much of the pressure on these industries has decreased significantly in the time since, but questions remain as to what the real estate investment world will look like after the pandemic is over. It also begs the question of what the best types of real estate investments will be at that point. While it’s difficult to predict what exactly will happen, there are a few real estate trends that may be worth keeping an eye on in a post-pandemic world.

3 real estate investment trends to watch for after the pandemic

What types of real estate investments have the potential to excel in 2022? And what are the trends to look out for as the country recovers from the pandemic? Here’s what you should know.

1. Real estate investment in rental properties will likely remain strong.

Despite eviction moratoriums, multifamily properties performed relatively well during the pandemic. At the height of the pandemic, many tenants received rental aid assistance and direct aid to pay monthly rent—which kept these types of investments appealing to savvy investors—and rental units have remained in very high demand in the time since.

Also, many landlords worked out payment plans with tenants to ensure that they continued to receive rent, and this also kept the rental market tight with few evictions. Furthermore, the ban on evictions didn’t wipe the slate clean with rent debts, so landlords who did not receive rent during that time will still be able to collect the rent they are owed from tenants. 

This is a good sign of what’s to come for multifamily units, as these investments weathered the tough times and are now incredibly lucrative for the right investor. And, it’s likely that these types of real estate investments will remain strong post-pandemic, too.

2. Commercial real estate will continue to recover.

There were mixed fortunes for owners of office and retail properties during the pandemic. Many offices were deserted as people were forced to work from home. There was talk that investment in office space would never recover.

However, the complete shift to working from home never happened—and it appears unlikely that it will. As such, office and retail properties are likely to be a good investment in a post-pandemic world, as the demand will likely be higher than once expected.

Another good sign? Retail properties stabilized as stores were able to open and resume trading during the last quarter of 2021—and will likely continue that trend throughout 2022. 

Related: A beginner’s guide to investing in office buildings.

3. Industrial real estate investments will remain strong.

During the pandemic, some of the best real estate investments in the commercial real estate sector were those connected with logistics and shipping. One of the main reasons for this was that e-commerce businesses were doing more business than ever thanks to an uptick in online shopping, and, in turn, needed a lot more storage and shipping space.

Many analysts say that the demand will remain high for commercial properties thanks to continued growth in e-commerce—which had been occurring well before the pandemic. The lack of in-store shopping options simply added more fuel to an already burning fire.

Other notable real estate investment trends in 2022

While industry experts agree that the pandemic affected real estate investment strategies, real estate and property investment remain a target for many investors. We’re already seeing positive trends in the first few months of 2022, including:

A shift in investment strategies

Right now, many real estate assets require repurposing and redevelopment due to the changing landscape. This is requiring investors to have robust strategies that allow them to understand the core aspects of their investment targets. In most cases, this means they are gaining access to data-driven analysis and in-depth marketplace insights—which helps to heavily inform their strategies. 

For example, one thing that the pandemic made clear is that rental property owners need to make analyzing tenant risk profiles a top priority to avoid losses whenever possible. After all, there was a potential for a crisis in the rental market at the start of the pandemic—which could have caused huge problems for many investors.

However, a surprising number of renters kept on top of rent payments—likely due to landlords and investors doing their due diligence on potential tenants. Thorough screening remains one of the best ways to protect your investment assets—and given the uncertainty of the future, will likely remain a trend in real estate for some time.

Demand for flexible spaces

The demand for office space is increasing as workers return to the office. However, commercial tenants now want flexible workspaces because hybrid models have become the norm. This requires repurposing existing office space to make it more accessible for hybrid work, which requires room for collaboration and meeting spaces. It may also require commercial property owners to redevelop office space with flexibility in mind.

Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) is a top priority

Sustainability and ESG are becoming priorities when commercial tenants are looking for new space. In addition, corporate clients must provide their socially-conscious investors with guarantees about operating sustainable businesses, which means there’s even more demand for these types of spaces. And, with many cities having ambitious net-zero emission targets, the demand for energy efficiency, cool roofs, and reducing wastewater continues to increase as well. 

Technology informs the way buildings operate 

The COVID-19 pandemic forced many investors, property owners, and tenants to rethink how they use technology. For example, many residential landlords switched to online rent payment and collection methods. They arranged virtual tours for potential tenants and started using e-signatures on electronic documents. In turn, landlords found that these new technologies helped to streamline their rental businesses

Related: Ways technology is overhauling property management.

Technology will continue to be essential in meeting tenants’ demands for commercial properties. Take, for example, the fact that during the pandemic, it became evident that robust air-filtration systems were important to help prevent the spread of coronavirus. There is also increased demand for touchless technology in buildings—which includes everything from hand sanitizer dispensers to automatic lighting and motion sensors. 

This shift in technology could lead to more workers using apps on their smartphones to control various systems in the office, whether the elevator, heating, or lighting controls. As such, investors who invest in smart building technology and ESG principles can typically command a premium for rent. 

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Final thoughts on real estate investing post-COVID

While there’s no question that the pandemic has had a major impact on real estate investing, many of the long-term effects it had on real estate investment strategies remains to be seen. Time will tell how the downtown office sector adjusts to a hybrid working model.

That said, there are already some prevailing trends to take note of. For example, residential landlords will continue to invest in new technologies to provide high-value tenants with a premium service—which may help to shape the way you invest, too. The trend of rising rental prices also means that landlords should recover losses incurred during the pandemic in time. 

And, it’s almost certain that investment in real estate will continue to remain attractive for many investors. That trend is not going anywhere in the near future—even if strategies shift over the long term.



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