For all the confusion and volatility that the pandemic caused the mortgage industry, it was clear that the near-zero interest rates were always going to be temporary. After many warnings, The Fed finally made its move in March 2022. Its aggressive inflation-crushing policy extinguished the greatest refi market in history – these days, nearly 90% of residential mortgage originations are purchase loans.

In April 2022, HousingWire published a feature about which lenders were well positioned to capitalize on the transition to purchase, and which companies would struggle. In this week’s edition of DataDigest, I’m going to examine which lenders have performed the best in purchase since the first quarter of 2022. 

For this exercise, I’ll be relying on Inside Mortgage Finance data and looking at origination volume, purchase market share percentage and the lender’s overall mix.

According to IMF’s data, United Wholesale Mortgage was the top purchase lender in the first three months of 2022. UWM originated $19.1 billion in purchase mortgages, good for 5.4% of the purchase market. The wholesaler’s mix was 49% purchase, 51% refis, about average. 

Next up? Pennymac, which originated $17.3 billion in purchase mortgages in the first quarter of 2022. The lender commanded 4.8% of the purchase market, and purchases represented 52.2% of its mix. 

And here’s the rest of the top 25 in Q1 2022 and Q1 2023:

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The data shows that a clear winner is UWM, which has pulled out all the tricks of the trade to juice its purchase business over the last year. UWM ended the first quarter of 2023 with a 7.7% share of the purchase market and nearly identical origination volume at $19.2 billion. While Pennymac topped UWM in both market share percentage (8.2%) and purchase volume ($20.6 billion), virtually all of its purchase business is buying loans through the correspondent channel. It’s a low-margin business and quite a different animal than retail and wholesale, though Pennymac should be given kudos for snagging market share from big banks. 

And what would a mortgage ranking be without Rocket Mortgage

In the first quarter of 2022, Rocket Mortgage originated $12.5 billion in purchase mortgages and captured 3.5% of the purchase market. Only 23% of its origination volume was purchase, in line with servicer/refi specialists Freedom Mortgage and Mr. Cooper. In the first quarter of 2023, Rocket originated $9.4 billion in purchase mortgages and its share of the purchase market increased to 3.8%. About 56% of the lender’s origination volume was purchase; only Mr. Cooper’s share at 52% was lower. So while Rocket did improve both its share of the purchase market and its mix, it was outpaced by arch-rival UWM and is still more reliant on refi business than its competitors. 

Let’s break the chart down further. In April 2022, we wrote that lenders with call center-heavy business models would likely struggle to adapt to the changing purchase market, which is heavily reliant on real estate agent referrals. By contrast, lenders with distributed retail and broker-reliant models would perform well. 

That has largely been true, but not entirely. I would have expected Guaranteed Rate, Fairway Independent Mortgage, Guild Mortgage, CrossCountry Mortgage and Movement Mortgage to increase their purchase market share percentages in the year since the rate hikes went into effect. Instead, Guaranteed Rate slipped from 3.1% purchase market share in Q1 2022 to 2.6% in Q1 2023. Fairway dropped from 2.4% to 2.2.%; Guild 1.1% to 1.0%; and CrossCountry 1.7% to 1.6%. Movement increased its purchase market share to 1.6% in Q1 2023 from 1.4% a year prior. 

Other notable changes: 

  • Homepoint generated $5.6 billion in purchases in the first quarter of 2022, but was all but defunct by spring of 2023. Much of the wholesaler’s business went to UWM. Can UWM keep that business going forward? 
  • Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase, which respectively had 4.7% and 3.5% of the purchase market in Q1 2022, both pulled back heavily on residential mortgages. They each ended the first quarter of 2023 with a 2.2% share of the purchase market. JPMorgan will likely climb the rankings in the coming quarters after having absorbed First Republic, which ended the first quarter of 2023 as the 23rd largest purchase lender in America. 
  • NewRez/Caliber commanded 4.0% of the purchase market after the first quarter in 2022, but a year later it declined to 2.3%. The firm has leaned into its robust servicing business, which has insulated it from the origination market’s chill. Its parent company Rithm Capital has also been greatly diversifying its business and is considering spinning off its mortgage business.
     
  • The homebuilder lending companies took full advantage of the frozen existing home sales market. DHI Mortgage, the lending arm of D.R. Horton, originated $4.5 billion in purchase mortgages in the first quarter of 2022, good for 1.2% market share. A year later, DHI Mortgage originated $5 billion in purchase mortgages in Q1 2023 and owned 2.0% market share. Lennar Mortgage had a similar story – its market share increased to 1.3% from 0.8% a year prior. 
  • Other big purchase market winners include Planet Home Lending, which has grown to become a top government correspondent lender. Planet ranked as the eighth-largest purchase lender in America in the first quarter of 2023 with $5.7 billion in purchase origination volume, capturing 2.3% of the market. It wasn’t even in the top 20 a year prior. The company picked up Homepoint’s correspondent business and has been also looking to acquire MSRs; in June it picked up a $10 billion portfolio of Ginnie loans.
  • LoanDepot fell from the 10th-largest purchase lender in America in the first quarter of 2022 with 2.2% market share to the 17th largest a year later with just 1.4% market share. Still, it has repositioned its business for the purchase market – 72% of its origination volume in Q1 2023 was purchase, up from 37% a year prior. After several quarters of financial losses, there are signs pointing to improvements at the California lender.

In our weekly DataDigest newsletter, HW Media Managing Editor James Kleimann breaks down the biggest stories in housing through a data lens. Sign up here! Have a subject in mind? Email him at james@hwmedia.com.



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Stavvy, a fintech company specializing in digital and remote collaboration for lending and real estate companies, acquired Brace, a digital mortgage servicing platform.

Terms of the deal were not announced.

With the acquisition, servicers and homeowners looking for mortgage assistance will have access to a streamlined platform that allows them to interact on their terms, fostering increased transparency and improved operational efficiencies, Stavvy said on Tuesday announcing the deal. 

“Stavvy and Brace’s unified services are set to deliver an unparalleled solution, encompassing every critical stage of default servicing – from the initial homeowner inquiry to the ultimate resolution,” Kosta Ligris, CEO and founder of Stavvy said in a statement. 

Homeowners can now apply, submit documentation, track progress, receive a prompt decision, and electronically execute relevant documents, the Boston, Massachusetts-based fintech said. 

Founded in 2018, Stavvy works to increase efficiency and transparency in real estate and mortgage lending. Its platform offers eClosing functionality, including eSign, digital notarization, and video conferencing designed for real estate and mortgage professionals.

In line with its goal to provide clients with digital closing solutions, Stavvy formed a partnership with WFG National Title Insurance Company (WFG) to provide the company and its customers with eClosing technology solutions in May. 

Stavvy has partnerships with Guaranteed Rate aimed at driving digitization in title and settlement agents to real estate professionals; and loss mitigation and loan modification solution provider Covius to offer RON and eSignature capabilities for all loan mitigation products, regardless of recording requirements. 

In 2021, Stavvy landed a $40 million Series A funding led by Morningside Technology Ventures, which it planned to use to triple its staff by the first quarter of 2022.

Stavvy went through a growth period in 2021 when it integrated with ICE Mortgage Technology’s Encompass Digital Lending Platform and became a MISMO-certified Remote Online Notarization provider.

Culver City, California-headquartered Brace was founded in 2017 by Amr Mohamed and Eric Rachmel and has received a total of about $30 million in funding, according to its website.

Companies that provided funding include Canvas Ventures, a San Francisco-based venture capital firm that had previously invested in real estate startup Flyhomes in 2019, as well as real estate investment marketplace Roofstock.



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Higher borrowing costs across the world took a toll on annual foreign investment in U.S. existing homes last year. Foreign buyers purchased $53.3 billion worth of U.S. existing homes from April 2022 through March 2023, down 9.6% from the previous year, according to a new report from the National Association of Realtors.

Foreign buyers closed on 84,600 properties, down 14.2% from the prior year. It was the lowest number of homes bought since 2009, when NAR began tracking this data. 

Overall, U.S. existing-home sales totaled 5.03 million in 2022, down 17.8% from 2021.

NAR’s 2023 International Transactions in U.S. Residential Real Estate report surveyed members about transactions with international clients who purchased and sold U.S. residential property from April 2022 through March 2023. 

“Sharply lower housing inventory in the U.S. and higher borrowing costs across the world have dented international buyers for two straight years,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “However, recovering international travel following the end of the pandemic will bring more foreign transactions in coming months and years.”

Meanwhile, the foreign buyer median purchase price leaped to $396,400 for an existing home, the highest price ever recorded by NAR. The average price was $639,000, increasing 8.3% compared to the previous year. 

The increase in prices for foreign buyers reflects the increase in U.S. home prices, as the median sales price for all U.S. existing homes in June was $410,200. 

Top foreign buyers

China and Canada remained first and second in U.S. residential sales dollar volume at $13.6 billion and $6.6 billion, respectively, a trend that goes back to 2013. Mexico ($4.2 billion), India ($3.4 billion) and Colombia ($0.9 billion) rounded out the top five.

In total, 15% percent of foreign buyers purchased properties worth more than $1 million from April 2022 to March 2023.

Top destination

Florida remained the top destination for foreign buyers for the 15th consecutive year, accounting for 23% of all international purchases. California and Texas tied for second (12% each), followed by North Carolina, Arizona and Illinois (4% each).

All-cash sales accounted for 42% of international buyer transactions compared to 26% of all existing-home buyers. Meanwhile, non-resident foreign buyers (52%) were more likely to make an all-cash purchase than resident foreign buyers (32%). 

For a breakdown by nationality, two-thirds of Colombian buyers (67%) made all-cash purchases, the highest share among the top five foreign buyer nations. Approximately half of Canadian (51%) and Chinese (47%) buyers made all-cash purchases. Indian buyers were the least likely to pay all cash, at just 15%.

Half of foreign buyers purchased their property for use as a vacation home, rental property, or both – up from 44% the previous year. Also, 76% of international buyers purchased detached, single-family homes.



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Today I’m going to focus on home prices around the country. How much will home prices climb over the next year? All year, the strength of home-buyer demand and the tight supply of homes for sale has meant that the market pretty rapidly found a floor on the home price correction of 2022. Even as mortgage rates rose, and affordability was pushed out of reach for many potential home buyers, there are still sufficient buyers who can afford these prices and these rates. 

The number of buyers has been surprising. If you were looking at the market in the fall of 2022, you would have expected home prices to continue to fall further in 2023. That’s what I was expecting. But, the price correction stopped right after December 2022. In July 2022, we talked about how it looked like home prices would be flat at best over the next year. After the mortgage rate spike in September 2022, we got significantly more bearish on home prices for 2023. That bearishness from late last year has reversed. Demand picked up this year and home prices stabilized.

So now the question is: What do we know for the next year? 

Zillow released a report that said they expect 6% home price gains for next year. If you haven’t been paying close attention to the data, that might seem shocking. So today we’ll look at the current price trends and the leading indicators to see if we can make some sense of where that comes from and what we can see already for 2024.

Prices

The leading indicators point to home prices at flat to slightly higher for the next 12 months. If mortgage rates decline say into the 5% range by next spring, I’d expect home prices to maybe appreciate 5% in that time. If mortgage rates stay near 7%, it seems hard for home prices to climb that much. If mortgage rates increase to the 7.5% or 8% range, then there is definitely downside risk for home prices. At Altos Research we do not forecast mortgage rates. But the forecasters we respect still seem to agree that rates have probably peaked and will be declining. That implies the higher end of our price forecast is likely.

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Home prices now are essentially unchanged from 2022. It turns out that’s exactly what we estimated in July 2022 — that they’d be flat at best by this summer. That was coming off two previous years of 12-15% annual price gains. The path from 2022 to 2023 had a bigger crash and a faster recovery than I foresaw, so part of being right in that prediction was probably pure luck. 

Nonetheless, the median price of single-family homes in the U.S. is $450,000. This is the median asking price, and it’s exactly flat from last year. That price is unchanged from the last few weeks. We like the median list price as a measure of the market better than the traditional view of median sales price because these are the homes you actually have to choose from if you walk into the market today. If you’re shopping for a home today, then the median price is $450,000.

The median price of the new listings this week is $399,900. That’s also at the same $400,000 level as in 2022 at this time. As the summer progresses, each subsequent week of new listings gets priced at a slight discount to the previous weeks. In August and September, the data will show if the discounts this year stay in line with the discounts for next year. Late in summer 2022 was when there were big mortgage rate spikes, a steep decline in buyer demand and quick discounts for the homes that were on the market. In the light red line of the chart, you can see how the seasonal discounting definitely accelerated in 2022. I think we’ll end the year with this leading indicator moving from flat to positive over 2022, meaning we’re set up for mild home price appreciation in 2023.

So our forecast for next year: Home prices are flat last year, but the annual comparisons get easier. By this time next year, home prices will be flat to slightly up over 2023.

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The next step in investigating the home price leading indicators is to look at the pending sales data. The median price of the homes in contract is $385,000. That number is unchanged from last week and almost 3% higher than a year ago. It is interesting that $385,000 this week is the high point for prices of the pending home sales for the year. Home prices peaked overall in June 2022 at just under $389,000. We didn’t re-reach that peak. Maybe we’ll pass it in 2024.

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When we look at the total pace of sales, you can see that we’re still running at 10% less than last year. We started 2023 with 30% fewer home sales than in 2022. There are now 376,000 single-family homes in contract. In 2022 there were 418,000. You can see the gap from last year was narrowing. The dark red line has been approaching the light red curve of the pace from 2022. This year’s pace of sales recovery got derailed a bit in June when mortgage rates jumped from 6% to closer to 7%. Mortgage rates have stayed elevated. We can see a slight slowdown in this year’s recovery when rates reach 7%. Home sales slowed down dramatically after September 2022, but we’ll see if this year our pace holds. Maybe by Q4, we’ll have more homes in contract than there were at the end of 2022. 

When you look at just the new sales each week, you can see how the pace of the market has recovered. The count of new contracts this week was just over 68,000 single-family homes. That’s still low, but the data has caught up with last year when the number of homes in contract was falling. See the last few weeks how the sales rate has been tracking just about the same as  in 2022? Both lines indicate about 70,000 contracts. This is after significantly fewer sales all year long. 68,000 homes went into contract this week, while last year’s end of July saw 67,000 new pending sales for single-family homes. Early 2022 sales were still carrying pandemic demand. That demand shifted in July 2022, so the new sales volume each week is now an easier comparison and we’re at the transition point where the sale rate starts to overtake the prior year. This trend is why we’ve called it a soft landing for the housing market. Prices are flat year over year and the sales rate is not falling, it may be starting to increase. 

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Inventory 

As a result, the seasonal inventory build is slow and on a normal cycle. There are 485,000 single-family homes on the market in the U.S. That’s up 1% from last week and is 10% fewer than in 2022 at this time. Inventory growth seems to have a few more weeks to go. Inventory will probably peak at the end of August like it did in 2021. In many years, the last week of July is the peak of inventory — like this week — but the data hasn’t shown a plateau yet so I expect we have a few more weeks of inventory growth. There are 50% fewer homes on the market now than there were in 2019. 

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When you want to look at home prices in the future it’s helpful to look at inventory levels now. Specifically, examine the year-over-year change in inventory to project home price changes another year out in the future. When inventory falls from last year, that means demand is greater than supply and therefore there is sufficient demand to push prices higher. Conversely, when inventory is up year over year, that implies demand is less than supply and prices will be more likely to decline another year out. During the GFC, inventory rose in 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010. Home prices declined subsequently. But since then demand has reversed, we were buying more homes than were available and inventory declined most years in the past decade. 

Mortgage rates rose during 2018 which tempered demand. By early 2019, there was more available inventory of unsold single-family homes. That shift in demand that is first evident in inventory is a year later evident in home prices. By early 2020, home prices were flat from the year earlier. It took the incredible shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic to turn 2020 into such a roaring year of home price growth. 

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In 2022, as it became clear that inventory was growing dramatically, we could see demand from buyers slowing in a bunch of metrics in the real estate market. That’s why we were able to foresee this year’s home prices would be down. Which they have been until right about now. 

Inventory is now 10% below this point a year ago. That tells us the housing market has more demand by buyers than supply from sellers. That dynamic helps us forecast that home prices will have upward pressure over the next year. 

Inventory is a leading indicator for home prices for about 12 months in the future. Price reductions are a more immediate leading indicator for home prices. When the supply of homes for sale rises and demand does not, the homes on the market have to take a price cut. There are always homes on the market with price reductions. As a rule of thumb, about one-third take a price cut before they sell. When the market is hot, fewer than a third need to cut prices. When the market cools, more than one-third start cutting their asking price to find the demand. Right now, 34.1% of the single-family homes on the market have taken a price cut. Price cuts climb in late summer, so this rate is perfectly seasonal. You can see how the dark red line in the chart is in line with many other years. In 2022, the light red line was rising incredibly quickly. That indicated home price declines to start 2023 which is exactly what we saw.

The takeaway with the price reductions leading indicator is that we can see plenty of demand to keep a floor on home prices. Sellers are in much better shape than they were last year. This means that the homes on the market now are priced well, they have buyers, and therefore we already know that the sales that complete in August and September have price support. Home prices are not falling. Even though mortgage rates are high. There are plenty of buyers who can afford to buy.

However, 34% price reductions is not low. It’s not a hot market. Demand is obviously way down from the COVID-19 pandemic frenzy. So there’s nothing in the data that says home prices are surging from here. There’s nothing in the data that makes me particularly bullish on home prices. The real estate market is much more balanced than it has been in many recent years.  When you see a forecast from a firm for example saying that home prices will climb 6% in the next year, I would presume that forecast includes assumptions that we avoid recession and that mortgage rates slide down from 7% to below 6%. When mortgage rates fall, that spurs demand, but not supply. Inventory will fall, buyers emerge and home prices will rise. At Altos we don’t forecast recessions or mortgage rates, so when we talk about our expectations for home prices in the coming year. We’re looking at the very direct data that’s already in the bag right now.

More next week.

Mike Simonsen is the founder of Altos Research



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Dallas, Texas-based Mr. Cooper Group on Tuesday announced it has completed the acquisitions of Home Point Capital and Roosevelt Management Company. With the deals, Mr. Cooper has moved closer to its $1 trillion mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio target. 

Mr. Cooper concluded on Monday a tender offer for Home Point’s outstanding shares after extending the deadline twice. According to Equiniti Trust Company, the depository and paying agent for the tender offer, 136,532,192 shares of Home Point were tendered and not validly withdrawn (98.5% of the total). Mr. Cooper paid $2.333 per share. 

“This acquisition adds scale to our platform, bringing us closer to our $1 trillion strategic target while enhancing returns due to attractive yields and positive operating leverage,” Jay Bray, Mr. Cooper’s chairman and CEO, said in a statement.

The deal – which will result in Homepoint becoming a wholly subsidiary of Mr. Cooper – was first announced in May and was expected to close in the third quarter of 2023. Mr. Cooper is paying $324 million in cash and assuming $500 million in outstanding Home Point 5% senior notes due in February 2026. 

“The transaction includes the assumption of $500 million in bonds with an attractive rate, and as a result, we do not expect the acquisition to have a material impact on the company’s liquidity, which remains at robust and near-record levels,” Chris Marshall, Mr. Cooper’s vice chairman and president, said in a statement. 

Also on Tuesday Mr. Cooper announced it completed the acquisition of Roosevelt and its affiliated subsidiaries, which include a registered investment advisor and licensed mortgage servicing rights (MSR) owner. The expectation was that the deal would close in the second half of 2023. The deal was announced in February.

The private New York-based company, founded in 2008, manages third-party capital on behalf of insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds and other investors. 

“We continue to see significant volumes of MSRs trading in the marketplace with attractive yields. Our asset management strategy is designed to make these yields available to institutional investors while continuing to grow our customer base and operational scale,” Marshall said. 

Mr. Cooper ended June with $882 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB), compared to $853 billion at the end of March, according to its second-quarter 2023 earnings released last week. 

The servicing portfolio grew because of Rushmore’s special servicing platform acquisition. But other deals may bring the servicing portfolio to $957 billion, including $83 billion from the acquisition of Home Point Capital and $25 billion in pending bulk acquisitions. 



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Finding a dream home for your buyers can be difficult in a market plagued by low inventory and high demand. So what do you do when your buyers include more than a couple looking for their starter home or a growing family looking to raise their children? Throwing grandparents, adult siblings or in-laws into the mix can create a daunting challenge for real estate agents. 

A recent report by Rocket Mortgage broke down the increasing trend in multigenerational living, so the next time you work with multi-generational buyers, you’ll have all the tools you need to find them the unique home that works for their family. 

The report from Rocket says, “In the last five decades, the number of Americans living with multiple generations under one roof has quadrupled, according to the Pew Research Center. More than 59 million people live in multigenerational households or a home that includes two or more adult generations.”

Most multigenerational households are using this living situation to save money. A few report living with family for child care or senior care. Regardless of the motivation, the most common multigenerational living arrangement is a combination of parents and adult children

Top of mind for these buyers is finding the balance between privacy and the joys of spending time with family. 

Privacy 

Key home features that could appeal to multigenerational buyers who value privacy could include: 

  • Basement apartment layouts
  • On suite bathrooms
  • Separate office spaces

“26.4% of respondents said privacy concerns are common,” the report said. Mitigating privacy concerns will often mean finding larger properties that can accommodate more family members. 

Common Spaces

Unlike younger respondents, 30% of the older, parental adults surveyed said, “The greatest advantage of living in a multigenerational home is the increased time spent with their family. Parental adults are more likely to experience positive improvement with their mental health.” 

Common spaces that can provide family time that is important to older adults could include:

When working with the increasingly popular multigenerational homebuyer, keep these two key factors in mind. These buyers have needs that may differ from the standard homebuyer, but finding their dream home is possible!



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You can build a multifamily real estate portfolio without a ton of money, risk, or time. Cody Davis and Christian Osgood built their multimillion-dollar rental property portfolio in a matter of years, using strategies that ANYONE, no matter their experience level, can use. But, how they do things is a little unconventional and probably goes against everything top real estate investors have been telling you.

While the world looked to lock down as much debt as possible during 2020-2021’s low mortgage rates, Cody and Christian sought something else. This dynamic investing duo wanted long-term debt on excellent properties that could be paid off quickly, enabling them to own their portfolio outright. This meant that Cody and Christian would have to sacrifice a substantial amount of cash flow, keep their spending low, and only buy the best properties out there.

How Cody and Christian bought the properties is a strategy you most likely haven’t heard of before. It’s so ingenious that if you follow the same steps as Cody and Christian, you’ll be able to get THE best properties, at the best price, from a seller who WANTS you to make money off them. Doesn’t sound possible in such a cutthroat industry, does it? Stick around to learn the EXACT steps Cody and Christian took to build their low-risk, high-reward, eight-figure portfolio.

David:
This is the BiggerPockets Podcast show, 799.

Christian:
People will seller finance if they trust you, and you get trust through having a relationship. You communicate who you are and your goals. So the first rule is that you’re not coming at these people like sellers. They are owners. You’re meeting them as an owner. You want to learn from them. You’re going to find someone who is done what you want to do in the market that you want to invest in.

David:
What’s going on everyone? This is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast, the biggest, the best, and the baddest real estate podcast in the world. I’m joined today by my partner here…

Rob:
Hello. Hello, hello,

David:
Rob Abasolo. In today’s episode, we interview Christian Osgood….

Rob:
… and Cody Davis.

David:
What’s the name you gave Christian today?

Rob:
Christian Os-great. We’ve rebranded him.

David:
Yes. Today’s show takes Christian from Osgood to Oz-great great, and you will be along for the entire journey as you learn about how Christian and Cody have scaled an incredibly impressed portfolio in one of the safest ways we’ve heard, that’s almost market agnostic. You’re going to love everything about today’s show, including Rob and I’s commentary, which was probably just gushing over admiration and surprise for how well this worked. What are some things that people should listen for in today’s show?

Rob:
All of it, all of it. This was one of my favorite episodes, and in retrospect, I feel like we should have been recording these intros across from each other. I’m looking over to you-

David:
Have you ever seen this angle, like the back of my ear like this?

Rob:
No, but I like your ears, man. They are very nice. But if you want to really learn the seller financing do’s and don’ts, this episode is going to teach you how to do it. They take us through their three lesson criteria. They take us through three lessons in the world of seller financing that I think anyone, whether you’re experienced or new, if you’re getting into this world, is going to be incredibly valuable for jumping in and really surviving in this current economic climate. How do you feel about that?

David:
That’s right.

Rob:
Is that alarmist enough?

David:
It’s more big words than I’ve heard you say in a really long time.

Rob:
Surviving the crashing and impending doom economy.

David:
And if you’re an experienced investor, you will love their strategy for taking out incredibly wealthy people, getting them to lay their guard down, learning about their businesses, and then buying deals from people based on the way that they were taught how to buy deals. It’s almost foolproof. It’s simply incredible and you are going to love it. You hear it only here at BiggerPockets, your real estate investing best friend

Rob:
Live from LA, by the way, at the Spotify Studios, because we’re fancy.

David:
Looking better than everything.

Rob:
Looking better than, not as good as your ears though, pal.

David:
Thanks, man. This is the best that Rob’s ever done at complimenting me. You can see he’s trying to work through this. Hopefully he does better with his wife.

Rob:
That’s all I can do is look at the back of you.

David:
If my dog was as ugly as you, I’d shave his butt and teach him to walk backwards.

Rob:
Hold on. What is that from?

David:
It’s from The Sandlot. Geez, man. Act like you’re an American. Before we get into today’s show, our quick tip is price is not the only thing that you can negotiate. It is important to negotiate, but there is more, and in today’s show, you will learn how you can do the same. Also, please, in the YouTube comments, let Rob know that The Sandlot is a common movie that many people have watched and there’s more to life than just Interstellar. He needs to get out there.

Rob:
Hey, I’ve seen Sandlot and I like it.

David:
Then why don’t you remember that line?

Rob:
Well, I don’t have it all… I don’t know all the quotes from it. I just know, “You’re killing me Smalls,” which you are.

David:
Be less of a dork. All right, let’s get to Cody and Christian.
Welcome to the show, Cody and Christian. Nice to have you guys back. Christian was previously on Episode 605, talking about always making sure that you have new problems. It’s one of your calling cards at the time.
And Cody, you blew up BiggerPockets on the YouTube algorithm on Episode 554, and you can hear how he scaled up without any bank debt. You’re here today to talk about seller finance deals and how to negotiate terms.
For any listeners who are new here, can you define what a seller finance deal is, Christian?

Christian:
Yeah. So seller finance, if you call conventional financing, you go to a bank, you get the loan, and that’s the conventional box. Seller financing is you’re going to replace the bank with the actual seller. They have equity in the property and they can finance the equity that they have to you via a note and deed of trust, exactly like a bank would.
The interesting thing with that, though, is that you get to choose all your terms. With a bank, you have a defined package of, “Here’s your interest rate, here’s the loan term, here’s what you’re working with.”
When you’re doing seller financing, you get what you negotiate. So the great thing with that is if you need a lower interest rate to make the price work, you can do that. If you need a longer note to finish your project, you can absolutely get that.
The danger of it, you don’t have an underwriting team, like a bank, who’s going to be looking over your shoulder on that. So you have to be careful, know what you’re doing, and buy on principles that will always work for you. That’s

Rob:
That’s pretty good. So basically you’re saying with the bank, there’s not a lot of room for failure because you have things like inspections, appraisals, guidelines that basically might stop a really, really bad deal, for example. But when it’s seller finance, it’s the wild west in that capacity?

Christian:
Yeah. The positives are you get what you negotiate, the negatives are you get what you negotiate. If you do a bad job negotiating, you can put yourself in the hole, but that’s the fun piece, is you get to just adjust the inputs and you have more inputs with seller financing than you would going in the conventional buy box.

Rob:
Yeah, love it. So why are we talking about these kinds of terms today? Why is it so valuable to know this right now?

Cody:
Well, right now, a lot of people are getting shocked by the fact that rates went up quite a bit.

Rob:
A little bit, just a little bit.

Cody:
A little bit.

Rob:
Yeah.

Cody:
The beauty of it is, though, is you can do this in every business cycle. And so what people are starting to realize with the hiked rates is that this is a winning strategy. It is a winning debt product because you get to name the terms, and as you mentioned in our BiggerPockets episode, the music doesn’t stop playing this game.

Rob:
Yeah.

Cody:
You get to name the rate, you get to name the payments, and any creative structures to make your deal work. And based on the environment, everyone’s starting to realize that this is doable, it’s repeatable and it’s simple.

Rob:
Do you feel like if the seller is really flexible, almost any deal could work? Or do you think that even with the best seller financing terms, some deals just aren’t meant to be had?

Cody:
You can make every deal work to an extent, and to that extent, means that your dividends have to be positive.

Rob:
Right, yeah.

Cody:
You can buy a negative cap rate deal. We’ve done that before. If you have a positive cap rate, you can make any deal cashflow if you borrow cheaper money.

Christian:
Good example, we looked at a deal in Missouri where someone said, “Hey, I’ll seller finance you guys 108 units. I think you have a ton of upside on these. Come out and see them.” I was like, “Okay,” so I hopped on a plane. They didn’t have roofs on them, they were falling in. They were dead birds, dead on top of the dead rats.

David:
That’s the upside. If you put a roof on it, you can get a tenant.

Rob:
It’s got no top side, so there’s a lot of upside.

Christian:
And they were just in terrible areas. It would’ve cost astronomically more to knock down the building than the new building would be worth. It was just a pile junk. You can make any deal.

David:
No, you can’t make that deal work. He just has to pay you a lot of money to… He has to pay you more than it’s going to cost you to not build-

Cody:
And we talked about that.

Christian:
The price can work.

Cody:
Yeah, we talked about him letting us take it over for free and him lending us money to fix it up, and we would do the asset management. Didn’t end up moving forward because it was Missouri, and Christian was allergic to that whole state.

Christian:
Entire state.

David:
Aren’t you from Missouri?

Rob:
What do you mean? Financially allergic or the pollen is-

Christian:
Like, I walked off the plane and my eyes were burning.

Rob:
Man. Really?

Christian:
Yeah.

Rob:
Oh, Missouri’s a great place. I’m a Kansas City guy.

David:
Rob just talked someone into investing in Kansas City three hours ago.

Rob:
That’s right, yeah.

Christian:
There we go. Make sure that you can breathe there. The air is toxic.

Rob:
Hey, the allergies are important when you’re negotiating a deal.

Christian:
Yes, they are.

Rob:
Okay, but would it have actually, possibly, have worked had it not been for that?

Cody:
If had systems and boots on the ground, absolutely. But jumping into a new market, we had no interest in figuring that out.

David:
Yeah.

Cody:
You can make any deal work.

David:
Okay.

Cody:
But when you figure out you can buy everything, you get to pick and choose, and that was not a project we wanted to take on.

Rob:
Sure, sure, sure.

David:
Well, this is particularly impactful to talk about in today’s market because we’ve had a bit of a… I mean, we’ve talked about how rates have gone up. They haven’t just gone up, they’ve gone up over a short period of time way too fast. You can’t have that much instability in commercial real estate, especially when cap rates and demand for these assets are so closely tied to the cost of debt.
So when you go from 3% to 8% interest rates over a short period of time, and you don’t have enough supply, what you find is a gridlock. The sellers are like, “Nope, don’t have to sell. I’m not going to sell for less just because rates went up.” Buyers want to buy them, but they can’t because of the cost of the debt.
So you’ve got an opportunity here where people want to sell their assets but they can’t sell them traditionally. People want to buy these assets, but they cannot buy them traditionally. So what are some ways that you guys have figured out how to identify properties where seller financing could work?

Cody:
Well, they have to have equity. You can finance what you own. I’ll give you an example. We’re buying a deal right now. We just went hard on earnest money over in Walla Walla, it’s wine country over in Washington. And they’ve got equity in their asset, but we’re buying half of that portfolio conventionally, and the other half seller finance, next to no money down because all their cash is coming from the conventional purchase.
So there’s lots of ways to play the game, but you just have to identify what percentage of the deal do they actually own? What’s their equity position? They could finance that, and then you just have to break off the other piece of that portfolio and do that conventional to knock out their debt.

David:
It’s a principle that shows up in real estate investing as a whole. People that have equity, you can use creative terms. If someone doesn’t have equity in their property, all this creative stuff we talk about, there’s almost no room to play within.
So it’s one of the first questions you should always ask when you’re meeting someone off market, “What do you owe?” If you can figure out how much space you have, you now can think about how many of the different tools can I fit into that space? And that’s where you guys are really excited. You’re smiling like this is-

Rob:
Yeah, you’re smiling. I want to know what, what, it’s not the best first question?

Cody:
I never ever ask that.

Rob:
Okay.

Cody:
I never have. I don’t view people as sellers. I view them as owners, and so we don’t care about their debt stack. What we do care about is how they built the portfolio because in that story, they’ll tell us what they did. Most of the big players pay off all their real estate, though. In the multi eight figure to nine figure space, we found everyone pays it off.

David:
How do you find it if you don’t ask them?

Cody:
Well, they tell us how they built their business model. That’s how we built our business model, anyway. We learned from the players in the space that had built nine figure equity positions and they built a portfolio, they stabilized it, optimized it, and then paid it off. And so they told us that without telling us.

David:
Oh, I see. So you don’t directly ask, but you’re still finding out the information.

Cody:
Correct. I want to know the business model because the overall business model will tell us a good summary of their portfolio.

Christian:
And if someone proposes a transaction and, say, we haven’t learned that piece of their story yet, this just hasn’t come out, what they owe on it, the question is always, you go through it, you’re buying it conventionally. I just want to know what the pieces are. So I don’t want to throw out like, “Oh, well it needs to be seller financing,” because I don’t know that. I don’t know what the opportunity is.
If they put a deal out there, the question’s always, “Well, how are we taking this down? Is this going to be a bank? Are you open to carrying a contract?” And then they will give you the rest of their pieces. But that is the only question we ever ask, exactly like that.
You get through the deal, you learn the opportunity, you get through the conversation. If they propose terms, you go, “Okay, how would we do that? Are you open to carrying a contract?” And they’ll give you the rest of the pieces there, almost every time.

David:
Have you guys tried to buy any residential real estate this way?

Cody:
We’ve bought a lot of duplexes, and they still work. I mean, our qualifications are how do we buy it? How do we never lose it? If we can answer those questions, we’re set.

David:
So are they on market deals or off market deals that you have?

Cody:
Both.

David:
Okay.

Cody:
Half of our deals have been on market. We did the resort that was on the MLS as well, and then about half the apartments were off market.

David:
So when you find a person who has a duplex on the market and they’re getting a lot of interest from other buyers, do these strategies still work there?

Cody:
Absolutely.

David:
Oh, really?

Cody:
Yes.

Rob:
Okay. So tell us a little bit about that process. Are you typically looking for properties, let’s say, on the MLS, that’s been listed for more than 60 to 90 days? Or are you hitting stuff that’s fresh off the market, too?

Cody:
You can do both. And what we found, and we didn’t know this to be true in the beginning, but what we found to be true from meeting with all these owners, is the unspoken objection is they don’t want their kids to have cash, which is a big thing. And they don’t want their kids to have property because they’ll soil both of them.
So what most people want when they’re aging out of the business is a accounts receivable, just a promissory note, backed by the real estate that they can pass to their kids, so when they blow the money, they get it again on the first. We’ve just found that to be consistently true.

David:
A governor on the wealth that would be hitting the kids that would pace it out.

Cody:
Absolutely. So they get to annuitize what they’ve built, and that way the kids can’t spoil it all. They can on a monthly basis, but they will have it coming in forever.

Christian:
So it’s worth asking, no matter how long it’s been on market. Now, some of the deals right now in our current economy, it’ll come up where they have been on 60, 100 days, and everyone who’s looked at it conventionally has looked at the price. And we talked about being able to choose your terms; a common talk track right now, when you’re having that conversation and they are stuck on price is, “Okay, I don’t have a problem with your price. Your price worked last year. It works on last year’s interest rate. If we can do that, we’re good to go.”

Cody:
On a long term fixed rate contract.

Christian:
Of course.

Cody:
It can’t be short term.

Rob:
Right, so you you’re saying no balloon.

Cody:
Well, maybe no balloon. We’ve done it where there’s no balloon, but it’s not an indefinite contract. It’s a review period. So instead of it ballooning, if you hit every criteria, there’s an automatic extension.

Rob:
Nice, okay. And is there a lot of friction with that with owners?

Cody:
Typically not, because again, that unspoken objection is they want their kids to have the payments. So as long as you make all the payments and you hit the requirements, they don’t want the money. So most people in that scenario are open to it going forever until it amortizes or if it’s just interest only. We met some people that have been interest only for 40 years.

Rob:
Really? Wow.

Christian:
And that’s why the long-term is so important because, say you pay a premium for the property, but you get excellent terms, the balloon, if all your value is in the terms, the length of those terms is all the value. As soon as those terms end, you’re stuck with whatever the market has.

Rob:
Yeah, because then if you have to refi out of it, if you’re going to refi into an 8% interest rate, then it wasn’t all that great of a deal.

Christian:
Yeah, and I’ve had people look at this and were like, “Oh my gosh, I can get this amazing interest rate on this three year balloon,” I’m like, “Well, I don’t know where the market’s going to be in three years. We didn’t know where the market was going to be last year. I mean, no one expected it to be where it is today. I just don’t know where it’s going to be in three years. But I do know that in a 10, 15 year period, we’re going to have downs, we’re going to have ups, we’re going to have opportunities to change your debt stack in a 10-year period.”
So the longer that debt, the more opportunity you have, and if you get a great debt product, extend that out as long as humanly possible because that is the value in your deal.

Rob:
Sure. So let’s walk it back a little bit where you said you’re talking to this owner and then you’re saying, “Hey, that price worked, but it also worked on last year’s interest rate.” What are they typically saying in response to that? Are they saying, “What do you mean,” and then at that point you’re saying, “I’m pitching you the idea of maybe you seller finance,”? How does that conversation usually go?

Christian:
That would usually come after we’ve asked, “Are you open to carrying a contract,” but sometimes that’s just how that question comes up. They’re like, “I need this price,” and it’s like, “Okay.” They know the deal doesn’t work. It’s been on market. They’ve had everyone look on it, especially in areas like… It’s a pretty hot market where we’re at, things typically go pretty quick. If it’s sat around a while, they’re aware that there’s some problem with what they’re asking for on the property.
If you have a solution that works for them, they might say, “Yes.” It’s one that works really well when interest rates spike because the price really isn’t the problem. It is the cost of capital. It’s a soft way to put it out there, and I feel like in our current economy, I see a lot of people get yes, based on that basic question of, “Is there a way we can get the interest rate down? How would we do that?” Well, if you’re able to carry a contract, that’s a discussion we can have. Are you open to the idea?

Rob:
Yeah. So let’s talk about this because I know a lot of people are… This is really great by the way. You guys are very, very smart and you articulate your points very clearly. So I just want to ask you some of the basics here. If you’re getting something off the MLS, for example, you got to talk to the realtor, right? So what’s that like? They’re obviously the gatekeeper in this scenario.

Cody:
Absolutely.

Rob:
So what do you pitch to the realtor in order to get through to the seller?

Cody:
Well, the main thing is everyone tries to jump straight into their pitch, and that’s a flawed business model because you get through your questions and then they say, “Well, actually, I forgot to update it. Sorry, this is unavailable, it just went pending.” Especially if it’s a deal that’s going quickly. So we always start with just general availability.
We do have some questions regarding the actual asset, about what they like or mainly don’t like about the asset, but wrapping up, would the owner be open to holding a contract. And it’s a yes or no question, and it doesn’t matter what they say. They could say, “Yes,” and then we’ll proceed. And they could say, “No, but,” or they could just say, “No.” No is a full sentence, so they could just shut it down.
Regardless of what they say, when we’re wrapping up the phone call, typically this is the first time I’m speaking to this real estate broker or the agent, so I’m going to say, “Is this the deal that we should start a relationship on, or is there something else that I should know about before making a decision?” And that’s how we wrap up the phone call.
Not every deal will come together. Not everybody can seller finance it. You can always get creative, but just because you can, doesn’t mean you should.

Rob:
Right.

Cody:
Simplicity matters a lot. And so I let them know that I’m interested in the asset, but if they can’t swing it, then I want to know if there’s something else that I should look at.

Rob:
Yeah. That way it shows at least good faith that like, “Hey, I’m really not here to waste your time on this. If you got other leads, let’s talk about those.”

Cody:
And it positions me as a logical buyer, and if you can become a logical buyer, you can get terms no one else can get.

Rob:
Very cool, very cool. So tell us a little bit about your personal experience doing this. What does your portfolio look like these days? Because I’m sure you’ve had a lot of growth since the last episode you were on.

Christian:
Yeah. So we started catching everyone up, if you haven’t seen the episodes yet. We started off primarily in Moses Lake, Washington, and Grant County, so the surrounding cities we’ve expanded to.
The first deal that we ever did together was a 38 unit building. Prior to that, Cody has done two twelves and a six. I had two duplexes. That’s where we partnered. Today we have, Cody’s our numbers guy, but we’re in the ballpark of about 130 multifamily units, under contract for another 60 and a 20 unit resort.

Rob:
Where at?

Christian:
That’s on the Hood Canal. It’s in Union, Washington. It’s a population of 1000, but gorgeous location, foothills of the Olympic Mountains. It’s fantastic. And, of course, purchased at seller finance off the MLS.

David:
How’s the resort work?

Christian:
The resort works with a lot of manual inputs. The project there, actually, the owners lived onsite, no matter who owned it. It’s passed hands, and I think we’re the fourth ever owner of it, for 88 years, they lived onsite and managed the resort.
When we came in, I’m not going to live in a town with 1000 people. I love it over there, to visit. So when we set this up, we had to build systems. So this first year, it’s been really intensive, finding the right staff, the right team, systemizing things that have never really been optimized. We’re just about to the point now where it’s really running smooth, but that was-

Rob:
Yeah, but something like that, I imagine, do you have an onsite caretaker that’s running it full-time?

Christian:
Yep. We have a onsite director, onsite head of maintenance, and then we’ve had to build staff around their needs. And a lot of it was figuring out, it’s trial and error. We put a team together and we’re like, “Where are the holes,” and there’s always something off. Keep tinkering with it. I think we finally have the team that works. If you’re looking to get in hospitality, don’t start with a small resort. It’s a huge project. I think it was overall a distraction from our multifamily, really profitable, a really fun project, but it was a fun project.

Rob:
Yeah, glad you did, wouldn’t necessarily do it again kind of thing?

Christian:
Exactly.

Rob:
Okay, cool.

Christian:
Super glad we did it. We learned a ton. I would not recommend that as a business strategy. If you’re investing in multifamily and you’re two years into your partnership, stay in your lane for the first five years.

David:
So it’s 20 different properties that rent sort of like a hotel?

Cody:
They’re cabins.

David:
Okay.

Cody:
So it is a cabin getaway. It’s on the Hood Canal. We’ve got the front dock, unobstructed water views from some of the rentals.

David:
And then you have a pool and a spa inside, or what are the other amenities?

Cody:
Everybody’s got just about their own hot tub, and then it’s in the woods.

David:
So you bought 20 vacation properties?

Cody:
Yep.

David:
Okay.

Christian:
Glamping.

Rob:
Nice, yeah.

Christian:
You would love it.

Rob:
Yeah. So tell me this, I mean, it seems like the idea of terms and really creating the term sheet and a deal that works for both of you, love the idea of it. Is it pretty tough in all actuality, when a lot of the people that are selling these properties are mom and pops with not updated books, and their books are written down on a napkin and their filing cabinet? How often is the actual business organization of the seller a problem for negotiating this type of stuff?

Cody:
Most people, even if they’re mom and pop, have bank statements, and I can always refer to that. There’s been maybe two people that didn’t, out of the whole portfolio. So most people at least have bank statements and I can go through that and verify just income and general expenses.

Rob:
Is that a bit more of a daunting or scarier task knowing that that’s all they have, versus going to someone who’s a little bit more polished or do you not mind?

Cody:
Well, I mean, it’s only an issue if you don’t see the value and the opportunity. If there’s enough value, if you can just look at the numbers, income less expenses equals cashflow, and if you can get enough cashflow off the bank statements alone, phenomenal. If you can’t, negotiate better debt products.

Rob:
Okay, awesome. Well, I want to get into this because I know that you’ve broken this process down, the seller financing process, down into three basic lessons, right? So can you walk us through those? I guess let’s jump into number one here: Tell us, what’s the first step or what’s the first lesson when getting into this world?

Christian:
Yeah. So the first and most important difference in mindset is people will seller finance if they trust you. There’s a lot of complications if they don’t know you, have no idea who you are, and there’s something that you say where they go, “Huh, I want to do a deep dive into everything about them.”
You want to get trust and you get trust through having a relationship. You communicate who you are and your goals. So the first rule is that you’re not coming at these people like sellers. They are owners. You’re meeting them as an owner. You want to learn from them. You’re going to find someone who has done what you want to do in the market that you want to invest in. You’re going to build a relationship with them by just authentically having a phone call, going out to coffee, communicating, “This is who I am, what I’m trying to build, and why I’m trying to build it. Tell me about your business.”
Good example: I started with a duplex. The next thing I did was call people with 12-plexes right down the street, “Hey, I’m your new property neighbor,” relatable point, “I’m trying to retire my wife, and my 10-year goal just became a one-year goal,” and most people laugh and they’re like, “I totally get that. She’s a kindergarten teacher. This makes sense.” “How did you scale to 12-plexes? I haven’t gone that big yet. I’d like to learn how you built your business.”
I mean, it’s a super easy conversation. It’s authentic. I do want to know. I never ask them to sell their property. And that difference between how I think a lot of people are doing it, just hammering the phone, “Hey, would you accept an offer? Hey, would you accept an offer,” you’re much less likely to get to negotiate your terms if you don’t have that relationship. And so I think that’s the first rule is they are owners, not sellers.

Cody:
And really what that means is as soon as they become a seller, it’s a transactional view. If you view them as an owner, there’s an opportunity to build a relationship because people that own real estate know people that own real estate, and that’s how you start building these relations.

Rob:
So tell us about the timeline of this, because it seems like it’s like the long game. So you call someone and, “Hey, I’m really interested in getting into that particular space. I’d love to buy you coffee and chat with it.” They’re probably going to be flattered, because not a lot of people in their life are probably all that interested in real estate. And then you ask and they tell you about the property, and then at what point are you like, “Yeah, so anyway, yeah, you want to seller finance it to me?” What is that transition and that timeline?

Cody:
Everything that we’ve done on market and off market has been under four years. I met him about three years ago and we partnered two years ago. We went from, I had 30 apartments and he had four, to now 130, about to be 190 and a resort, and that was in two and a half years, max. I think we partnered a little over two years ago.
So it doesn’t take forever, a couple years at the investment game is not a long time. The quickest relationship from an actual call, coffee meeting, transacted in about a month. And one that I was working on well before I met Christian took over two years. Still absolutely worth it because today, they still help me out.

Rob:
When you say it takes about a month, can you walk us a little bit through what does that look like? Is it like you have the coffee, you text them questions? At what point are you comfortable enough to really broach the subject of making an offer?

Cody:
We have this thing, oh, we don’t ask for an offer. They usually present it, but what we’ve mapped out is there’s a way that you build rapport at the highest level, and we call it the circle drill, and there’s three sectors: you’ve got relatable points, which is your past. People relate to you based on your past, and they’ll want to meet with you based on that. So that gets you to the coffee meeting. Goals, sector number two, gets them to want to meet with you and work with you. And then that last piece is significance, what changes for you when you hit your goals? Not while you’re doing what you’re doing, but what actually changes when you hit the goal?
And that is what creates buy-in, and that buy-in, at that point, once you’ve mapped that out for yourself and you’ve mapped out theirs, typically they offer to sell you assets.
And so if you can get through all that in a month, which is what I did on one of my relationships, they offered to sell me an asset in a month, and I bought a property. Some of them took a long period of time, because it took two years to get to the coffee meeting. They just were too busy.

Rob:
So it’s effectively, you’re really just trying to take as many of these calls as you can, building your deal flow and eventually, hopefully, all those leads start to kind of come to fruition and actually, I don’t know, offer to sell you one of their places, right?

Cody:
Yep. You build a sphere and you just try and keep it simple. You go in with an objective and walk away with a takeaway, and that leads into number two, rule number two is simplicity matters. When it comes to actually buying the real estate, how do you buy it? How do you never lose it?
We learned that through all these owner meetings. When we’re meeting up with these property owners, they taught us how they bought all their real estate. The beauty is they taught us how they bought their 12-plex, now I know how to buy that 12-plex. As we build the relationship, our rapport grows, it becomes a very easy transition. I become the most logical buyer, and now we do, for all their assets because we know how to buy those specific assets.

Christian:
Speaking of simplicity, the more simple it is, the more repeatable it is. We transact roughly every 45 days. That seems to be the trend, so a lot of consistency. We do the same basic thing. If you’re getting started, this is how I do it: if you make five calls in a week to owners in your market, so this is a very targeted, I’ve looked at people who own properties around where I want to buy, who’ve done what I want to do-

Cody:
On Google Maps.

Christian:
… on Google Maps. You can find them totally free. No skip tracing, you can just Google them. You find the people, five people, so you’re going to make five calls in a week. One of those people has to accept a coffee meeting with you.
Assuming that you take two weeks off, you’re going to meet with 50 owners in your market. If you meet with 50 owners in your market, learn how they played the game and communicate in 30 seconds or less, “This is what I’m trying to do and why I’m trying to do it. How did you build your business,” and you have an authentic conversation with them, the deal flow will come.
That is a lot of people who are invested in helping you, who you have spent time with. Some of those will be a 30-day turnaround, some of those will be a five-year turnaround, but when people are invested in helping you, there could be a deal that comes up, The Robin Hood, it’s on market. That was actually one of our friends who we’d met in the real estate space, we’ve done an owner meeting with. It was the wrong deal for him and he called us. He’s like, “You guys are young, you guys want to work really hard. I found a property that makes a ton of money and I don’t want to work this hard. You guys should take a look.”

Rob:
That’s the resort, the Robin Hood?

Christian:
That’s the resort.

Rob:
Okay, cool.

Christian:
That’s how that came up. But those relationships, I never asked to sell, I asked him to sell his stuff. He has a duplex in a city that I don’t want to own in. That wouldn’t make any sense. But the relationship yielded, to date, our largest asset.

David:
I can see a psychological benefit you have here, because if it’s a stranger that’s coming to you to buy your thing, you’re going to be looking at them as some form of an adversary, “You want to get my thing as cheap as you can. I want to sell it as much as I can.” You’re in a conflicting situation-ship.
When you say, “Tell me how you build your business,” and they say, “Oh, you always pay 80 cents on the dollar, and you always make sure you have this much in reserves, and seller financing makes it work,” and they give you the playbook and now they like you. How are they going to, in good conscious, come after and try to get as much money from you as they can? In a sense you’re like, “Yeah-

Rob:
Because they know that you’re trying to build your business.

David:
And they’ve already taken a liking to you and taught you what they did, so now they-

Rob:
They want to see you win.

David:
… they have to offer it to you, and they don’t have to, of course, but psychologically speaking, they will feel obligated because now you’re a friend, not an enemy, to say, “I’ll give it to you on the terms I taught you that you should buy.” It’d be almost be like if you had a mentor who said, “Always pay the 1% rule, always buy on the 1% rule,” and then they want to sell their property and they go to you and you know you’ve been trained by them to only buy on the 1% rule. They’re not going to ask what’s market value, and if they do, you’re like, “Well, based on your 1% rule thing, if I had seller financing, it would work the same way on these numbers.” You’ve avoided that entire Death Star shielding that they’re going to be putting up to protecting what they do.

Christian:
And they’re so excited when you pitch their terms back to them. They’re like, “You got the concept. Yes.” I mean, it’s exciting. It’s a win.

David:
It feels emotionally rewarding.

Christian:
Yeah.

David:
So now they don’t have to win financially as much to still be happy.

Christian:
Exactly.

David:
Especially if they own a property free and clear. Practically speaking, getting every single dollar they can isn’t as important.

Christian:
And if they happen to be seller financing to you, you want the person seller financing to be on your side. You want to be aligned, you want them to feel like they got a good deal. If you have someone who you’re writing a check to every month who hates you because they feel like you ripped them off, that’s an awkward relationship.

Cody:
And then, I guess, the last piece that we really have here is on that simplicity note, order of operations always is deal, then debt, then equity. People get this out of order all the time.
If you want to buy real estate, it’s not, “I need to find seller finance deals.” I need to find deals that I want to own. I need to find properties that I see on Google Maps or I see in person that the only way they could be better is if they have my name on title.
When you find that asset then you find the debt product. It’s not the seller finance game. I know we’re talking about that today, but if you want to own real estate, you need to find the deal you want to buy, and then the debt that allows you to cashflow on long-term fixed rate controlled pieces. We don’t use variable rate debt for that reason. A lot of people got a little bit burned on that recently. So deal then long-term fixed rate debt, and then you have to figure out the down payment, and that can also be debt if you have enough cashflow.

Christian:
Now a lot of people try to, at least I’ve seen a lot of people, try to raise the capital first and if you do that strategy because a lot of people buy that way, if you do that strategy, you don’t get to line up your debt product to your deal. So if you’re doing creative finance and you set your own terms for your debt before you find the opportunity, you’re going to limit the opportunities you can go after.
I have found that most people have a harder time finding the deal to put the capital to, so do the hard part and then line up the capital, whether it’s debt or equity. You customize all your terms to make sure that it works for the opportunity that you have.
I think that’s been a huge part of Cody and my success in consistently doing deals. We keep it very simple. We’re asking question… A basic question is, “How do I buy it and how do I never lose it?” It’s buy and hold. The answer to that is exactly like you said, it’s deal, then debt, then equity, always in that order. You follow that equation, that is an opportunity. Debt and equity is all the financing. When you have a fully funded opportunity that works, cashflows, long-term fixed rate debt, you are done, you own a property.

Rob:
So you keep saying, “How do I buy it and never lose it?” What does that mean?

Cody:
Well, if you figure out how to buy a bunch of real estate, that’s really cool, but most people can figure out how to buy it, but they can’t figure out how to hold it. They got to flip out of it, they got to self-syndicate to get cash out, they end up doing really expensive debt to try and hold it and eventually lose it. And there was a group in Texas that everyone saw that lost 3,200 units. There’s a lot more people like that. They can’t figure out how to hold the real estate forever.
And so what we’ve found from the big players is long-term fixed rate debt with cashflow margin and a way to pay off the obligation before it’s due. If you can figure that out, you’re done. That’s why we have debt payoff, our debt hammer, stage four of our business cycle, but most people, they want to scale indefinitely and they don’t have any metrics around margin.

David:
I can see a pattern in what you’re picking up here. So the traditional method would be I need to make 20% to put down on the next property scale. In order to get 20%, I have to either get a ton of equity in the deal or I have to take all my cashflow and put it towards the next deal, or I have to raise money.
If you raise money, you’re probably going to be borrowing debt to buy the asset, which puts you on the musical chairs game, which is what we’re finding now, is rates have gone up at the same time balloon payments are starting to come down. It puts any commercial operator in a very tough position, because they could have increased the NOI in their asset, they could be doing great, but if their balloon payment is coming due and rates have gone from 3% to 8%, it’s not going to debt service at today’s rates, now you have to sell it. Well, the person buying is buying it at 8%, so now they have to pay less, and even if you did everything the way you were supposed to do, you still lose the asset.
You’re describing a way of buying it that takes you out of the position where you’re in the musical chairs game. You don’t need the money for the down payment because you’re negotiating terms from the seller where there’s going to be less money down. You don’t worry about what interest rates are doing in the agency debt because you’re buying it on fixed rate. Is that what you’re describing? Am I getting it right?

Cody:
Absolutely. And the whole premise is a solid business strategy does not change if the market changes.

David:
Based on market conditions.

Cody:
Right. It should be able to work in any given market. Now people will lose real estate regardless of what strategy they use. Some people just buy too much too quickly. It happens and people go bust, but solid principles can help mitigate that risk.

Rob:
Yeah, okay. So you’re talking about negotiating these longer terms. What do you consider the minimum term for most of the deals that you’re going into?

Cody:
Well, it depends highly because we’ve done three-year debt products, but one month of income could knock out a bulk of the mortgage, the total debt. They’re small deals. On bigger deals, we want 10-years plus. We know that we can pay off any single mortgage we have within 10 years, just out of cashflow. In the beginning, we couldn’t do that.
So my first deal was a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, no balloon. That was on my 12-plex. I knew I could pay that off before it was due because the real estate would pay for it if I just made the mortgage payment. So then what we have to look at is your debt coverage ratio and for us, we like to see if my mortgage costs $10 grand a month, my net operating income has to be $15.

David:
So you’re looking at a 1.5 debt service ratio.

Christian:
That’s the ideal.

Cody:
Now we got a lot of stuff over two, which is more ideal. Every month, we can save an extra mortgage payment, but that’s stabilized. Most people aren’t going to get that day one unless they get really cheap debt.

David:
So how often are you buying properties that need some serious work to stabilize them? Is that part of where the deal’s coming from, or do you feel it’s more the relationship and it’s not the deal itself is a problem?

Cody:
The relationship is always senior to the real estate and that’s what, again, the buy-in from the significance allows us to get better terms than other people. We’ve done a couple value-add deals where we’ve had to put over half a million bucks in reno. Our 38-plex, the first deal we partnered on, and we were funneling over $50 grand a month into rental renovations for quite some time, and we passed well over $600 grand in reno on that one. We had to do that out of cashflow, so we were super negative on the portfolio. All of our cash went into it, but we don’t like to do that on every deal. We like most deals to be based on cashflow, day one, for equity growth, so we have to cashflow day one, and that one definitely didn’t.

Christian:
So we had to build a portfolio that cashflow-ed around it to support the reno, and away you go. You can’t take your global cashflow to zero because that’s the fastest way to lose.

Cody:
Which is why we bought all our units. I mean, we bought, I think, four or five deals within four months when we first started so that we had the cashflow to fix stuff.

David:
I refer to that as a portfolio architecture, I talk about, if you’ve built up cashflow from properties, you can take on something else that has a high upside but won’t cashflow right away, or you can buy properties with minimal cashflow, but a big equity position if you have a strong cashflow from something else. Then when you do build up that equity position, you can sell, you could take that money to pay down debt, and now your cashflow is even higher.
I don’t want to say it allows you to take more risk, but it does allow you to have more flexibility with different deals when money’s coming from somewhere. And I think people make a mistake when they look at every property as a standalone entity that doesn’t relate to all the other ones, because your portfolio’s like a breathing organism that has all the pieces. My hand isn’t the same as my foot, but my foot controls where my hand can go. And so when you look at it like you’re saying, I think you guys see opportunities that someone wouldn’t hit when they’re just looking at a calculator, “What’s my cash on cash return? Yes or no,” and then they move on to every single thing individually.

Christian:
Yeah, you want more pieces on the board so you can adjust your pieces. It’s like a board game.

David:
There you go. That’s a good way of looking at it.

Christian:
The more cards in the deck, the more combos you have. One thing, for everyone listening if you’re newer, that is a tactical mistake we made, is we bought the cash negative property early and then built a cashflowing portfolio around it. Just because it worked doesn’t mean that that is a good strategy.

Rob:
Right. You made it work.

Christian:
It did well.

Rob:
Russian Roulette will work four times out of five or whatever.

Christian:
Exactly.

Rob:
You don’t want to play that game too much.

Christian:
Exactly. The right way to do it if you’re starting this is you buy those four or five cashflowing properties first, then you buy this deal where the properties can sustain it. That is the correct order of operations. For everyone listening, being like, “Wait, didn’t they say to buy on cashflow?” Yes. That is why we learned that.

David:
Well, you said earlier you had a friend that would earn his snack; he wants to eat something bad, he’s got to go do some exercise first, right? You take on a challenging project like the one you described, and you dump $50 grand a month and it’s stressful and you’re, “Oh, we got out of that.” Well, assuming that that deal now has a lot of meat on the bone and is very profitable, you’ve earned the right to either take some time off and buy easier deals or take on another challenging project sheltered by the one you just did.
That is the benefit of that perspective of, “I’m going to earn the right to do something,” as opposed to, “I’m going to go raise a bunch of money from other people who don’t know any better as a syndicator. I’m going to throw it all into a deal,” even if you hit it right, that’s one of the things that concerns me with this market, is you see properties that operators literally increased their NOI, raised rents, did a great job, and they’re getting hammered because when the music stopped, there just didn’t happen to be a chair there on the refinance.
I know that business isn’t fair, but it feels unfair that you did nothing wrong, and just the way that the market worked out because of the balloon payment system, you’re getting hammered. What you guys are describing is like, “Yeah, we’re not going to play that game. You guys all walked that gauntlet. We’re going to go all the way around here and take a lot longer and buy a lot more coffee and eat a lot more pie and eventually we’re going to end up in a position where we’re not taking the risk that everyone else is.”

Christian:
Yeah. Well, we have the benefit of being on the backend of a really, really, really long market run. So when we’re looking at this, everyone since, I mean, 2015, has been like, “Oh, it’s the top of the market. It’s the top of the market. It’s the top of the market.”

Cody:
And we’re not addicted to just making money.

Christian:
Exactly.

Cody:
Because we hadn’t been making money hand over fist like everybody else.

Christian:
So when we’re looking at this, I’m like, “Well, everyone’s been saying it’s top of the market for the last half decade. At some point, it actually will be the top of the market and it will go the other way. Let’s build a business model where we can continue to get paid to wait for market cycles to change regardless of where we’re at.”

David:
And ideally buy some of those properties from the people that are in a position where they have no other option.

Rob:
At low percent interest rates, especially if you’re doing subject to assumptions, all that kind of stuff. I’ve got a few in my pipeline right now that are 3%, 3.5% and they’re just trying to get out because they know that they can’t sell it at the 8% because no one’s going to buy it at that price. And I’m like, “Phht.”

Cody:
But that’s not feasible. Those strategies aren’t-

David:
It’s commercial real estate.

Cody:
That’s not super feasible on those bigger deals.

Rob:
On commercial real estate?

Cody:
Yeah. And the people that are going to struggle are not the people you’re going to buy seller finance from because all the affluent people have equity. The people that are struggling aren’t going to be in a position to give you great terms.

David:
No, but if you’re in a very strong financial position with your own portfolio and somebody’s in a place where they have to offload something and you can’t buy it, you’re not going to be able to take over their low rate because they don’t have a low rate. That’s why they have to sell because their payment is coming to you. But the position of your portfolio can allow you to cross-collateralize.
You keep mentioning these options that you have when there’s space. The equity in your portfolio will allow you to go absorb some of these assets that someone else would not be able to. They’re toxic to the operator who bought it wrong.
I can see this could be a medicine that will be sorely needed in the commercial space because when things have been easy as they have been, it has been turbocharged commercial real estate investing for eight years. It’s one of the reasons I didn’t do much in that space because we can argue over why, but my perspective is we printed way too much money. That money needed to find a home. We kept on lowering rates. It was easier than ever to go raise $50 million, and then you could then leverage that so you could turn $50 million into $250 million and go buy one asset that a property management company could control and two people could control $250 million worth of business, which you couldn’t do in… You can’t go buy a $250 million company and manage it with two people.
It was like the golden era. Everything was perfect for commercial real estate, and now we’re seeing that the music is stopping. You’re seeing a screeching halt, the Houston operators losing their deal. You’re going to see more and more and more and more of this, big developers running out of time.
The syndication model worked great when there was wind at your back and it was just making everything easier, and it covered a lot of the stink. The syndication model is now getting exposed because of one stupid, tiny little change, which was just rates. It wasn’t like we have massive vacancy. It’s not like we’ve hit a economic recession. You’d expect those things to cause a crash. I don’t know many people that are struggling with vacancy. Occupancy rates are still high. Rents really haven’t come down a lot. It’s just that one tiny piece, like the hinge that moves the door. It’s such a small piece, but it controls where the door moves.
Your guys’ model is basically like, “We’re just going to get rid of the hinge if that’s where all the problems are coming from. Our doors are going to be fine.” Is that how you see it?

Cody:
Well, why keep the problems if you know how to get around it?

Christian:
And the timing just happened to be perfect. We started a year before rates changed. We look like heroes, but I mean, we just talked through, “How would you own it and how would you not lose this?”

David:
Actually, that came from the people you talked to.

Cody:
Yeah. There’s a logic test. The people that have been playing the game for 60 years are probably better off than the people that have been playing for five or 10. And all the people that have been playing for five or 10 are saying, “Get your variable rate because you’ll cashflow more. You can buy the lower cap rates because your cost of capital is lower, and you can own a bunch more real estate,” and it works till it doesn’t. All the people that have been playing the game for decades, they’re just laughing at them because they own all their stuff in cash.

David:
It’s funny, though, you guys, your model exposed you to those people. Those people are not coming on podcasts like this to talk about their model.

Christian:
No.

Cody:
They never would.

David:
No, you don’t even know who they are. They’re wearing overalls and they’re driving their tractor and they own $100 million dollars worth of real estate that’s paid off. They’re not running to go be on TikTok and tell everybody else about how to make a whole bunch of money.

Cody:
I met a guy who owns 900 units within miles of here, and you’d never know, and he’s less than 20% leveraged, playing the game at a really high level.

David:
Can you imagine-

Rob:
That’s crazy.

David:
… how nice would it be to be that guy, and not have to make TikTok reels?

Cody:
They’ve been doing it forever.

Rob:
Although, he probably would make the greatest TikTok reels, honestly.

Cody:
And he respects debt, which a lot of these people that are getting into the game don’t do. They don’t respect the leverage. They lever deals that they own with equity to buy more deals, and they don’t respect the relationship between the money that they’re taking on and the money that they actually have.

David:
That’s a great point. Debt lost, I don’t know how to put this, maybe before I even talk about debt, money lost its value when it comes in so easy. When you go from making $4 grand a month to $100 grand a month, you lose respect for money. There’s no way around it. It’s very difficult to have the same respect for how much money costs when you used to have to work 400 hours to make that, and now you can make it in five. You just start spending money on dumb things and you see this happen all the time. Why does someone need a Bugatti or a McLaren when a Mercedes would’ve been just fine? Because they can. That’s literally the only reason, right? You lose respect for money.
Well, I’ve noticed that happen with debt. When interest rates are 9%, 10%, which, frankly, that’s what I would need to let someone borrow my money. I wouldn’t let you borrow my money at 3% for 30 years at a fixed rate. That is stupid. But when the government offers that, we’re just like, “Yeah, I’m going to go buy a house worth $600 and I’m going to borrow $550.” I don’t think about, I’m borrowing $550. I think about, I have $50,000 in equity that I didn’t have to my net worth. That is the way it appears to your brain.
When the cost of capital rises this quick, the emotional relationship you have with debt changes drastically. You’re like, “This is now an anchor.” And it’s funny because I’m remembering in 2010 when I started buying real estate, nobody was excited about owning real estate. You did not hear people like, “Yeah, that’s great. I want to go buy a bunch of houses.” Buying a house in 2010 was just taking on a mortgage that you were stuck with. It was like marrying a girl you didn’t like. That’s what that was like. It’s like, “I have all these obligations and she’s not even pretty. I’m not excited about it.” That is how people looked at real estate.
I think there’s a very good chance that we’re heading back into an era like that. We’ve all made fun of Dave Ramsey a little bit for his whole, debt’s bad and you should never take on debt.

Rob:
Stupid.

David:
You may see a resurgence of that coming back as you see people get burned from some of these decisions.

Cody:
I love a lot of his business principles though.

David:
He’s a smart guy.

Rob:
Yeah, yeah, of course.

Cody:
He’s very intelligent.

David:
A very smart guy.

Cody:
That’s why we’re paying off all our stuff. We’re going to pay off all our real estate.

David:
Yeah. I think that you’re going to see the wisdom in what Dave Ramsey’s been saying when before, when the government’s printing money in quantitative easing and we’re just throwing business principles out the door and it’s just like a huge party, it doesn’t make sense that he’s the one person saying, “Don’t take on debt.” I understand the criticism, but now that the relationship with debt is changing, you said something, what was the word that you said? Was it lost respect for debt?” Is that what you said?

Cody:
People don’t respect the relationship with debt.

David:
You don’t think about, “I have to pay back this money that I borrowed.” You just think, “I just have it and it’s going to become worth less and less. The debt’s going to become worth less and less over time.”

Cody:
Yeah, I mean, you have your five metrics in real estate. You got your cashflow, appreciation, depreciation, debt reduction, and debt devaluation, and that’s what everyone was betting on, debt devaluation. But you do have to have cashflow to service the debt so that it can get devalued.

Christian:
One of the first things our accountant ever told us was, “All this debt you’re taking on, you do realize that you do have to pay it with money. At some point, you have to earn the money to pay it off.”

Cody:
Now it’s funny, but-

Rob:
Checking in, you do have to pay for that.

Cody:
… but most people don’t build a model where they can. They have to buy bigger deals to get bigger fees to buy out of the little deals, and then they can’t get out of the big deals unless the market carries them up to where they can exit. It works till it doesn’t.

David:
Yeah. And I think if you get fixed rate debt, that changes everything because you can get cashflow to pay back the debt.

Cody:
For a long enough term.

David:
Right.

Cody:
If it’s not long enough, it doesn’t matter.

David:
Yeah. It’s the adjustable rate debts on short-term balloon payments, and then no one saw it coming, that rates would just come up out of nowhere this quickly, right? Common sense did not let anyone know. I mean, look at banks that went under because they bought too many bonds. I can’t stop thinking how insane… If a Martian came to Earth and we said, “Our bank went under,” and they said, “How? Did you give bad loans to people? Did you not do due diligence? Were you giving out loans to tech companies that had bad business models?” “No, we just bought too many bonds. We ate too many vegetables and we got food poisoning. We needed more sugar.” It just doesn’t make sense, but that’s what happens when you raise rates this fast, and it’s sort of rippling through real estate now.

Rob:
Yeah. Well unfortunately, I think we have to come to a close, but this is perhaps… I mean, this is such a good… We could literally do this for hours at this rate.

David:
Your guys’ model is so sound and you’ve articulated it so well that you didn’t have to keep talking. In 20 minutes, you made an air tight case that couldn’t be argued, and then Rob and I, well, mostly me, just spent a bunch of time talking about how great it is.

Cody:
Yeah. I love this. When you guys think of holes in it, we’ll do another episode.

David:
I know. I mean, what if you don’t like coffee? That could be one problem with it.

Cody:
Tea.

David:
Yes.

Cody:
But I don’t like tea, so I do coffee.

Christian:
I had someone text me recently. They’re like, “London Fogs. I do London Fogs.”

David:
Is there a disease you can get from too much caffeine? That’s the one flaw in this whole model.

Rob:
Yeah, insomnia.

Christian:
Seattle’s going to be in trouble if that is the case.

Cody:
Seattle is already in trouble.

Christian:
That is also true. Maybe that’s the problem with Seattle. Maybe that’s how this all happened.

David:
So are you guys buying outside of Seattle because you think more people are going to be moving that want to stay in Washington, but they want to get out of city? Is that part of your-

Cody:
Buy in central Washington because the economy is at scale. We have some… Well, we have a significant market share in that area, and the stuff we don’t own, we influence.

David:
It as nothing to do with economics. It’s just economies of scale and simplicity, that you mentioned earlier.

Cody:
It’s very simple. People want to live there, and we mentioned this on the BiggerPockets episode, but people are happy. They take care of the streets, they take care of their yards. There’s pride of ownership. You will not find that in King County.

David:
Well, my thought would be the people that are pride of ownership folks are leaving the craziness that they see in some of the bigger cities and that’s where they’re going to go, and you just got ahead of it, so an emerging market in a sense.

Cody:
Absolutely, but again, I just bought the biggest deal in the best location I could. It doesn’t have to be central Washington. You buy based on cashflow for equity growth and you line up your deal, your debt and your equity, and as long as you have long-term fixed rate debt, cashflow and margin, you can buy anywhere you want. It could be in Seattle. That’s why we did the Tukwila deal, 4.5% down 3% interest. It’s 60% cash-on-cash.

Rob:
Nice.

Christian:
That one works.

Cody:
It still works.

David:
Are you going to be a commercial operator now? Are you going to get into multifamily?

Rob:
I’m going to need to listen to this episode a couple more times, really digest it, but yeah.

Cody:
The one nice thing, before we wrap up if we got one minute?

David:
Yeah.

Cody:
The nice thing about the commercial game, if you buy $1 dollar deal and you sell it for $2, what’s your ROI?

Rob:
100%?

Cody:
It depends. Most people are putting 40% down, so they’ll turn $400 into $1,000,004, net of fees, you got to net out of fees, but we put 5%, 10% down. We’ll turn our $50 to $100 grand into $1,000,050 to $1,100,000.

David:
Yeah, you guys are getting primary residence type debt on investment properties.

Cody:
But the beautiful part is the asset value. It’s easier to double the asset value. That’s what we’ve done with our 38 units. It’s worth over $4 million bucks, we bought it for $2 million. It was listed on the market for 13 years straight. It listed when I was eight, I bought it when I was 21.
It’s really easy to influence the valuation when it’s just controlled by the net income. That’s the beauty of it. It’s harder to do that on a RESI property, so if you’re doing it on a commercial-

David:
Oh, I see what you’re saying.

Cody:
… everyone’s putting 30%, 40% down.

David:
And they’re dependent on the comps around, that they have to go up to make money.

Cody:
Absolutely. If I can get it to operate better, then it goes up in value.

David:
Assuming cap rates don’t expand or something crazy that works against you, but at some point, that’ll probably stabilize too.

Cody:
However, if you can increase the net income high enough, in excess of everything that’s going on-

David:
You can overcome it.

Cody:
… you can overcome it. And if you’re putting 10% down and everyone else is putting 40%, your returns are 4X, everyone else has a return.

Christian:
And you get the same tax benefits that they would have, but with basically no money.

Cody:
So your cost SAG is four times as powerful.

David:
So debt’s not stupid, it’s just how you take on the debt.

Rob:
No, it’s super true, and that’s why we’re moving into development and stuff like that because the way we think about it is, like a glamping resort, let’s say 100 units, if you could increase your NOI by $100,000 bucks because you add food, maybe sell beer and wine on site, maybe you rent out kayaks, maybe you rent out whatever, it just increases the value of your property so much.

David:
Because you’re taking income without really additional expenses.

Rob:
Exactly. It’s just crazy how fast you can really build a machine if you’re really good at optimizing it.

David:
You know when I first learned that principle? This is going to sound silly to you. I was in college and I didn’t have a great grade, and I don’t remember why, but I remember the professor was like, “Look, if you write a paper on this, I’ll give you extra credit.” It might’ve even been in high school, and something clicked in my head when I realized, “This paper’s worth 10 points. So if I get a 10 out of 10, if it becomes a model of 100 and now out of 110, I got 10 more points, it’s not as significant as if I’m getting 10 points, but the base was only still 100.” Does that make sense? You could be at a C, like 70%, and if I get 10 extra points, it literally puts me up to a B, versus it would be a 1% increase if I got 10 out of 10 and the base went from 100 to 110.
Well, usually, in order to make more money with real estate, you have to buy more of it. You have to take on more debt, you have to take on more taxes, you have to take on more expenses in general. When you’re increasing NOI on a property that doesn’t involve having to put more money into it, it’s that same phenomena. I don’t know what mathematical term that would be, but when I realized that, I saw how powerful it was, and that’s what you guys have done here, is you figured out a way to increase the value of your property without taking on additional expenses to do it.

Cody:
And it’s not always just raising the rent. If you can make it more stable, you lower the cap rate and that’s your multiplier, and if you can lower the cap rate, which you can do in any given market, I don’t care. Some people say you can’t, but you absolutely can if you make the asset more stable. Someone will accept a lower return on a more stable asset. That increases your value even if rents can’t go up.

David:
That’s a good point. When I learned to understand that cap rates was just a function of demand for an income stream in that area, that’s all it is, you make it prettier, there’s going to be more demand. You make it easier, there’s going to be more demand. You make it more simple, like you guys are saying there’s going to be more demand. Now you can market yourselves as we’re able to actually change cap rates, which everybody else feels like they can’t do, in addition to the NOI, which can be done.

Cody:
Which is why on the resort, we’re focused on building systems. It is now an investible asset versus a job, cap rate way down.

David:
That’s exactly right. It’s more attractive if you’ve created systems. Someone else can buy it and they can just run with what you have.

Cody:
And if you can lower the cap rate 2%, 3% on multiple six figures of net income, the value goes up a little bit.

Rob:
Yeah, yeah.

David:
Rob, any questions? Is your mind blown? Your quaff is shivering right now.

Rob:
No, I love it. No, I’m in. I mean, that’s what I like. I mean, that’s what’s very appealing to me is that side of the cap rate conversation on commercial, because you have a lot of these Airbnb hosts that are like, “Yeah, my house made $100,000 dollars. I’m going to sell it to you at a cap rate and the house market value is $500, but because it nets $100, you have to pay me $900.” I’m like, “I’m not going to pay you, as a business, on one single short-term rental. Are you crazy? What happens when it’s regulated? It’s not a business anymore, but sell me a portfolio of short-term rentals, and then we can talk about cap rates.”

Cody:
Absolutely. And some people say that cap rates are irrelevant, that they don’t matter, but that’s your dividend expressed as a percentage, and if you just make sure your cost of capital is less than that, your cost of capital, which is your factor rate, not your interest rate, as long as that’s less than your cap rate, you make money on every dollar you borrow.

David:
That sounds like something you learned at one of these coffee talks.

Christian:
Yes.

David:
It’s really good stuff.

Rob:
I love it. Yeah, this is good. Yeah, bummed. Bummed, it’s over.

David:
Well, for people that want to find out more about you guys, where can they go? Christian?

Christian:
You can find me on Instagram @christianosgood. I’m lucky enough to have my own name, and you can check us out on our YouTube channel totally for free. It’s Cody and Christian Multifamily Strategy. Check us out there.

David:
Have you seen the movie with Bruce Willis, Unbreakable?

Christian:
I have not.

David:
The concept of Bruce Willis’s character can’t get hurt because Samuel Jackson’s character is hurt all the time.

Rob:
Yeah, unless he gets pushed into the pool, of course.

David:
Of course, right.

Rob:
Yeah.

David:
But the idea would be that this yin and yang thing, if someone gets a lot of something, someone else somewhere doesn’t, I’m wondering if there’s an Os-bad family running around out there that just has terrible luck because the Osgood’s are just crushing it right now with their real estate investing.

Christian:
Well, you just gave away my password on half my stuff, so thank you, David.

Rob:
We’re going to rebrand you to Christian Os-great. How about that?

Christian:
There we go.

Cody:
Christian Os-tastic.

David:
Cody, how about you?

Cody:
Yeah, my Instagram is @doingcodythings, because I’m, in fact, always doing Cody things.

Rob:
Great.

David:
Yeah, you were responsible for that nickname, weren’t you?

Christian:
I got the T-shirt. We actually had a boss, the same guy.

Cody:
He did not like me after I started buying more stuff, and so to spite him, he bought a shirt that said, “I’m Cody doing Cody things.”

Christian:
To match Cody’s shirt. And then we branded that, and then people who watch our YouTube channel started buying it on Amazon.

David:
You should get one that says, “Iron sharpens iron.”

Christian:
Oh gosh, that would be ironic.

Cody:
Ooh, that’s a deep cut right there.

Christian:
There we go.

Cody:
Yeah.

David:
Do you guys have a website or anything where people can go to learn about your partnership?

Christian:
They can, Multifamilystrategy.com.

David:
There we go. So check that out everybody. Rob, where can people find out about you?

Rob:
You can find me over on the YouTubes. I teach all things real estate, entrepreneurship, Airbnb, the pursuit of happiness and everything in between. You can also follow me on Threads if you want to be hip, and on Instagram, if you just want to be the status quo, @robuilt.

David:
How much of Thread’s popularity is just Twitter backlash? What do you think?

Rob:
Not a lot, I don’t think.

David:
You think it’s legit?

Rob:
Yeah. Well, I think it’s more based on Instagram popularity, but I think, yeah.

David:
I just feel like a disproportionate amount of comments on Threads that I’ve read are all just, “We hate Twitter.”

Rob:
No, I think a lot of people don’t like Threads too, but I like it.

David:
That’s normal being a human being, finding things you don’t like.

Rob:
Yeah.

David:
All right. You can find me at DavidGreene24 on all social media and DavidGreene24.com, and for now, I’m actually monitoring my own chat option, so go to the website and let me know your questions, and I’ll do my best to get back to them.

Rob:
Okay. Well, what’s the… DavidGreene24.com?

David:
That’s it.

Rob:
Great. I’m going to go chat with you right now.

David:
I’ll be able to watch you doing it. All right, guys. Thank you very much for being on the show.

Cody:
Thank you, this was awesome.

David:
This is David Greene for Rob, check his Threads, Abasolo. Signing off.

 

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Recorded at Spotify Studios LA.

Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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How important is cash flow when analyzing real estate deals? Many rookies zero in on this familiar figure when crunching the numbers, but there’s another metric that is FAR more important: cash-on-cash return. This simple but powerful equation can help you determine whether an investment property is worth buying!

Welcome to another Rookie Reply! Many rookies struggle to analyze deals when starting out. Fortunately, Ashley and Tony are here to show you exactly how to calculate your cash-on-cash return on a property. They discuss when to use lines of credit to help fund deals, as well as how to pitch seller financing options that make sense for both sides. They also talk about the home appraisal process and, finally, whether an offer on a property can ever be TOO low!

Ashley:
This is Real Estate Rookie episode 308.

Tony:
And I just want to define really quickly cash-on-cash return, because we’re talking about this as a metric. But for those that aren’t familiar with that metric, cash-on-cash return is a fraction. In the top of your fraction, you have profit for the year, how much profit did you generate over a 12-month timeframe. And in the bottom, in your denominator, you have your cash invested to acquire that property. So for us, on the short term rental side, that’s your down payment, closing costs. And we typically try to enroll any startup costs into that as well. But typically it’s your down payment in your closing costs, and then that top number is your profit.

Ashley:
My name is Ashley Kehr, and I’m here with my co-host Tony Robinson.

Tony:
And welcome to the Real Estate Rookie Podcast where every week, twice a week, we bring you the inspiration, motivation, and stories you need to hear to kickstart your investing journey. And today we are back with a Rookie Reply episode. And as always, I love to get into the nitty-gritty of these. Most episodes on Wednesdays, you guys to hear from amazing guests. On Saturdays, you get to hear me and Ashley blab for, I don’t know, 30 or 40 minutes about all things real estate investing. But we talk about a wide range of topics today. We talk about how to submit offers as a rookie and when is an offer too low and how do you kind of navigate those situations, which is a very important conversation. We talk about cash flow requirements, like how do I know what I should be looking for as a new investor in terms of what kind of cash-on-cash return makes sense? And we also define what cash-on-cash return means for our rookies that aren’t familiar with that phrase.

Ashley:
Then we touch on appraisals and how to get an appraisal done for your property and what are some of the steps you should take and really think about before you go and order your own appraisal. And then we talk about seller financing and how to do the math on seller financing. And we give you guys a couple tips and tricks to consider when discussing seller financing.
I want to give a social media shout out today to @TheFinanceDiaries. So I came across Stephanie’s account by using the hashtag #realestaterookie. If you guys are not already following Tony and I on Instagram, you can follow me @wealthfromrentals, and Tony, @tonyjrobinson. We’ve been going through and selecting somebody to give a shout-out to. So if you want a shout-out, make sure you’re following us and using the #realestaterookie hashtag. So Stephanie has been sharing about her personal finances and she was also sharing a rehab property that she recently did that’s going to be a rental. So she shared some before and after pictures that caught my eye and she talked about how she wanted to make the property into a clean, safe, dry, and structurally sound property for somebody to rent out from her. So a big shout out to Stephanie.

Tony:
All right. And before we jump in, I just want to give a shout-out to someone about the username of We Are Note, this person left us a 5-star review on Apple Podcast and the title says, “You are saturating my sponge.” This person says, “I’m the new real estate investor. Haven’t secured my first deal yet, but hopefully will this year. And I’ve learned so much from your podcast. The information is concise and relevant and easy to listen to and understand. Thank you so much and keep up the great work.”
So for all of our rookies that are listening, from the bottom of both mine and Ashley’s hearts, if you can take just a moment wherever you’re listening, whether it’s YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, leave a review, leave a comment, let folks know what you think about the podcast. The more reviews and comments and shares that we get, the more folks we’re able to reach. And the more folks we’re able to reach, the more we can inspire with the message that we have to share here at the Real Estate Rookie podcast, which is what we’re all about. So please take a few minutes, make that happen, and lighten up someone’s day with some good real estate investing tips.

Ashley:
Okay, Tony, let’s get to our first question. Today’s question is submitted by Vantage Surfboards.

Tony:
Love that name.

Ashley:
If you make surfing boards, please sponsor me. But the question is, “When submitting an offer on an investment property, how low of an offer do you generally ask for? For example, if a home was selling for 275,000, what price would be too low of an offer that it would be a waste of time?”
Okay, so the first thing that I see here is he says or she says, we’re just going to say he for now, whoever Vantage Surfboards is, is selling the home for 275,000. So this must be the asking price of it. I think it’s very important to differentiate that because just because a property is listed for a certain amount doesn’t mean that that’s what it’s going to sell for in a sense. I’m sure this person understands that, but I think getting into that mindset of just because a price or a property is listed at a certain price doesn’t mean that’s what you have to pay or even close to pay to that. Tony gave us an example a couple months ago of it was that property where you kept going back and forth over months and you got it for what? $100,000 less? Or what was that amount?

Tony:
It was originally listed for almost $400,000. We closed on it for 293,000. And then ended up making $40,000 on the flip because we got a price that made sense for us.

Ashley:
So right there, what Tony just said is the key. What price makes sense for you? And so I guess it depends on how much you actually want to profit on you. So where I would start with that as to like, “Okay, yeah, you could go on this $275,000 property and you could offer 100,000 and maybe that means you’re going to make $100,000 on flipping it.” But also you want to be competitive because there could be somebody else putting in an offer that’s higher than that. And so you want to find that sweet spot as to a number that makes sense for you as in what is going to be worth your time to acquire this property, to rehab this property, and then to sell this property again. So Tony just said that, for him it was a great deal, he made $40,000. Okay, so that $40,000, Tony explained to us why that was a great deal. Why $40,000 made you come to that price point?

Tony:
Yeah, I mean, we just have a minimum number on our flips that we want to profit and we usually don’t touch anything if it doesn’t at least get around that number. So we did our analysis, we said, “How much do we think we’re going to spend on the rehab? What are the ARVs that we’re looking at?” And we used that to kind of back into, “Okay, what is the maximum allowable offer that we have on this specific property?” And I knew what the number was, and it was actually 300,000.
So we got it for a little bit lower than what we wanted. But through our negotiation we were able to get it down. But basically, I saw what it was listed for. It was like almost $400,000. I submitted my offer, like 305,000 or whatever it was. They said no. It was still listed a few months later. They came back to us after it had been sitting stale and said, “Hey, would you take it for 350,000?” We said “No again, our offer’s 300,000.” They came back again and said, “Would you do it for 315,000?” We said, “No, we’ll do it for 300.” And then eventually they ended up accepting that offer.
So I think that we’re at a time in the market cycle where a lot of buyers have dried up. It is a bit more of a buyer’s market right now in a lot of different places. So I don’t think that there is an “offer” that would be too low, right? It’s like, “Okay, what is the offer that my analysis says makes the most sense?” And that’s kind of why I put my flag in the ground, my stake in the ground and say, “This is the highest number that I can go with.”

Ashley:
Yeah. So there is no offer that is too low. Yes, you may insult the sellers, but there are people out there that are going to tell you that, “I got the best deal because I submitted that low offer” where sometimes if I submit an offer and it’s accepted right away, my initial reaction is, “I offered too much.”
So I had this property that was listed at… It was a pocket listing actually. It hadn’t even gone on the MLS yet. And then an agent brought it to me and said, “If they get an offer before it gets listed, they’re probably going to take it.” And so they were going to list it for 159,000. I offered 150,000 and they took it right away. And even though that was $9,000 and it made my numbers work, $9,000 less than what they were asking and it made my numbers work, I still had that reaction of like, “Oh, I offered too much because they accepted it right away and didn’t counter.”

Tony:
I also think, Ashley, like so many new investors, they get hung up on this idea of like, “I don’t want to insult the seller.” But say you even came with an offer that was so incredibly low that the seller didn’t even bother to respond to you. I don’t think there was a number that’s so low that if you came back the next day with a full price offer, they would say no to you, right? So say that I offered them a dollar today. I say, “Hey, I want to buy your property for $1,” and they would laugh, they wouldn’t even entertain that. But if I came back the next day at full price, they would entertain it because that’s the number that they’re looking for. So I don’t think for the vast majority of sellers that you can come with a number that’s so low that they would bar you or ban you from ever making another offer on that property again. So I think we just need to let go of that fear of insulting the seller and just know it’s a numbers game and they know that.

Ashley:
And I think an appropriate way to follow up with that as putting in the offer, they have made it clear that they’re insulted by it or whatever, is just kindly let them know like, “Okay, if you ever want to reconsider or maybe there’s some negotiation here, please contact and reach out to us. We’re very interested.”
I have an example where a property I looked at, I put in a very low offer compared to what they’re asking and they didn’t counter it and they’re like, “No, we’re not even going to entertain that offer” and I just was like, “Okay, whatever” and I didn’t follow up. I didn’t do anything with the property. It sat for sale for a little bit longer. I didn’t follow up again where I should have, and it ended up selling less than what my offer was. I was kicking myself like, “Oh my gosh, why didn’t I keep in touch?” It was on the MLS so I could have just had my real estate agent do it, like, “Hey, just ask the seller’s realtor, like ‘Hey, do you think there’s room for them to come down to this offer now that it’s been sitting for 100 days or whatever it was’.” Yeah, so my mistake there.

Tony:
So Vantage Surfboards or whatever your real name is, don’t be afraid. Do your analysis. Use the BiggerPockets calculators. Understand what your maximum allowable offer is. And whatever that is, put that number in. Like Ashley said earlier, the 275,000, that’s just their listing price. And a listing price isn’t always a good representation of what a property is actually worth. And you’ll have agents that’ll attest that too. Sometimes you have agents who put up a list price that they don’t even feel comfortable at, but because the seller was adamant about, “I want this number,” even if it’s not rooted in reality, that the agent’s still going to listen at that number. So the listing price, when I’m analyzing a deal, I don’t even account for that. I don’t have anywhere on my analysis where I say, “What is the listing price?” All I put is, “What am I offering?” And that’s how I analyze my deals.

Ashley:
And that’s why I also love to meet with the seller’s agent at a property. If it is an on market deal, is seeing if there’s a chance to get the seller’s agent there because they’ve talked directly to the seller so they can answer some questions for you that my agent has no idea. They’ve never seen this house before, they’ve never talked to the seller before, where I can pick the brain as to like, “How much wiggle room is actually here as to why are they selling?” And you can find out some information as to… Or one way to even put into your contract, some kind of negotiating technique as to like, their mother passed away, they don’t want to clear out the property. So maybe if you put into your offer, they can leave everything and you’ll dispose of it for them. That might be something to just them be like, “Yep. You know what? Your offer is less, but we don’t want the headache of clearing it out. We’ll take that.” And I’ve had that happen to me before.
Or saying that the tenants can stay and I will take care of resigning their lease or get getting them out of the units, whatever that is, they don’t have to worry about that, where maybe other offers were like, “No, we want the place vacant.”And especially if someone’s going to house hack that property, they would definitely need one unit vacant, where if you’re an investor you can kind of deal with the tenants that are in place.
Okay. Our next question is not from Vantage Surfboards, but from Elizabeth Jane. Elizabeth said, “Do you have a minimum cashflow requirement to meet on a single family home before putting in an offer? If so, what is your requirement? Thanks.”
So Tony, you kind of just talked about this in your last question that for your flips you have a minimum amount that you want to target for flips. And what about short-term rentals? Do you have a minimum amount of cash that you’re looking for?

Tony:
I do, yeah. But before I give my number, I just want to say everyone’s number is going to be different because everyone’s motivation for investing in real estate is different. I know some investors, I have a student in my program and he’s a CFO, super high income earning guy. When he’s buying his short-term rentals, he’s not necessarily worried about getting a solid cash-on-cash return. His biggest concern is, “I want to offset my income as a CFO for this company.” And I have other students who are like, “Hey, I want to…” You guys met Olivia a few episodes ago. Olivia’s goal was, “I want cashflow. I want to generate that quickly.” So I think a lot of it comes down to what’s your personal goals. And if the goal’s tax benefit, you’re going to have maybe a lower cash-on-cash return and you want more expensive properties and markets where you can get better tax benefit if you want appreciation. Maybe you’re looking at markets where you can get that good year-over-year growth. And if you want cash flow, then that’s what you’re focused on.
So I think everyone’s goal going to be a little bit different. Us personally, we typically don’t even offer on a deal if it’s not at least a 30% cash-on-cash return. That’s kind of like the floor in our business. I can say last year our worst deal was a 40% cash-on-cash return. So we’re still kind of above that threshold. But for us, it’s 30% on the short-term rentals that we buy. What about for you guys in your business?

Ashley:
Yeah. And I think of that as something we need to make clear as to if someone says, “I have $100 cashflow per door” and someone else says, “Well, I have 300,” okay, you can’t go and look, “Oh, well that person who has 300 has a better deal” because you have to look at how the property was purchased and how it is financed. So that person could have put in a $20,000 down payment and they could have it amortized over 40 years their loan where their mortgage payment is a lot smaller so they have more cash flow where the other person could have done a BRRRR where they pulled all of their money out and they have none. So I think what Tony’s talking about is the cash-on-cash return is a way get better metric to compare apples to apples when looking at properties than actual cash flow. Unless the properties are being purchased the same exact way.
So if you’re looking at three different deals and you know you would have to buy each deal the same way, then yeah, you can look at the cash flow that way. But as to comparing especially to other people, I think the cash-on-cash return is a way better metric. For long-term rentals, I am looking at at least 15% cash-on-cash return for a long-term rental.

Tony:
And I just want to define really quickly cash-on-cash return because we’re talking about this as a metric. But for those that aren’t familiar with that metric, cash-on-cash return is a fraction. In the top of your fraction, you have profit for the year, how much profit did you generate over a 12-month timeframe. And in the bottom, in your denominator, you have your cash invested to acquire that property. So for us on the short term rental side, that’s your down payment, closing costs. And we typically try to enroll any startup costs into that as well. But typically, it’s your down payment and your closing costs, and then that top number is your profit.
So say that you invested $10 into a property. Over the course of that year you got back $1, that’d be a 10% cash-on-cash return. That number holds true if I invested $100 and got back 10 or if I got back $1,000 and got back 100. If I invested a million dollars and got back 100,000, that would be a 10% cash-on-cash return. So as you’re kind of analyzing these deals and thinking about it, make sure you’re setting up your framework and that fraction the right way. Cash investing on the bottom, profit for the year up top.
All right. So our next question here, this one comes from Osahan Abi. Osahan, I hope I got your name right there, but Osahan says, “Is it a good idea to use a line of credit as a down payment for an investment property and then use the cashflow to pay back the line of credit? If not, please explain why.”
I’ll give my quick take on this first because I actually haven’t used… Actually, I did use a line of credit once to buy a property. But yeah, so I’ll give my take and I’m curious to hear what your thoughts are. I typically only like to use lines of credit if it’s a short term source of funding. I personally wouldn’t want to tie up my line of credit into something where it’s like a down payment on a house that I’m going to be holding for 30 years. But if I’m doing it for a BRRRR or a flip, I feel like in those senses I know I’m going to be out in a few months and I can pay back that line of credit relatively quickly. Those are the situations where I typically like to use short-term debt like a line of credit. What about you, Ash? How does your use of lines of credits vary from that?

Ashley:
Yes, I’ve never used one as a down payment for an investment property. I have used it to pay for a property in full to partially fund it where I’m going to go and refinance it. Maybe I’m using part of my own cash and then part of the line of credit or I’m using the line of credit to fund the rehab. But as far as me going and getting a bank loan and purchasing a property where the down payment of that 20% or whatever amount, it is, it’s coming from a line of credit. So now I’ve purchased this property, I have my mortgage and I also now have that line of credit payment.
So here’s where I would say go for it. Say let’s use a rental property for example, long-term rental property. If your rent can sustain and can cover the payment on your line of credit… But remember usually typically a line of credit payment is interest only. So you want to make sure that you’re paying back some of that principle payment of that money that you borrowed too. So factor that in as to that you’re making a payment back.
Sometimes a bank will actually take your line of credit and roll it into a 15-year term loan for you if you need to and actually amortize it for you. And you can kind of lock in an interest rate. My one business partner did that on his house. He had a line of credit and then actually rolled it over into a loan that was amortized over 15 years and he could lock in that interest rate instead of having a variable interest rate. So if your cash flow can support having those two payments and your other expenses and you’re still cash flowing or breaking even or depending on what your strategy and your goals are, then I say yes, go ahead and go for it.
The next thing is if you are going to go and refinance. So with the BRRRR strategy, it’s typically recommended to buy with some kind of short-term funding, because if you go with a bank financing to purchase property, you go and do rehab and then you go and refinance with the bank again, you’re paying closing costs twice. But if the numbers work and that’s your only way to get into a property, then go ahead and do it. So then when you go and refinance, you would pay back your first lien, that mortgage on it, and then you would go and you would pay back your line of credit on the property and then make sure that you have enough to pay those two off.
So I think if you can cover the line of credit payment with your cashflow or if you can go and refinance within a short period of time, which I would say would be 12 to 18 months at the most for doing the refinance process. But it’d really just be like how long can you carry on that payment. And if it makes sense to you that you want to pay that out of pocket, factor that into your number. That’s still affecting your finances. If you’re saying, “Well, you know what? I actually have a great W2 job. I just haven’t saved and I want to buy now instead of saving for the next six months, so I’m just going to pull off my line of credit,” well if you can take your cash and you can throw, throw, throw at that line of credit, that might work for you then too over the next six months and you can pay it off that way and you just want to take action now.
Maybe you have the perfect deal that it has come up. But make sure you have a plan in place to pay back that line of credit. Because if you do use it for another property, say that line of credit is on your primary residence and one day you decide you want to sell your primary residence, hopefully you’re not maxed out when you’re not 95% leverage on your residence and now you can’t sell it because you still have that line of credit that’s not paid off and then your primary mortgage too.
So those are just some things to think about. I would say definitely don’t say no to using your line of credit, but think about what your exit strategy is to pay off your line of credit or to pay for those monthly payments.

Tony:
Something else to consider too, and this is true from my line of credit. I assume it’s true for all, but your rate is also variable. The one line of credit that I have, it was through my E*TRADE account and I was able to pledge my stocks as collateral for this line of credit. When I first started using that line of credit, my interest rate was ridiculously low. I think it was less than a percent when I started using it.

Ashley:
Tony, you have to talk about that because that is one of the best ways to get a line of credit. Can you talk about that, is your stocks as collateral?

Tony:
Yeah, let me expand on that. So if you have a brokerage account with an E*TRADE or Fidelity, I think all the big brokerages offer this service. But if you have stocks, you can actually pledge your stocks as collateral and your brokerage will give you a line of credit, so basically a loan that you can use to go out and do whatever you want with. So for me, I had a decent amount of stocks that I’d gotten from my job.

Ashley:
I think you have to have at least 100,000 though. I think there is a minimum. I don’t know exactly what it is.

Tony:
I do think it varies from broker to broker.

Ashley:
Oh really? Oh.

Tony:
Because I think at E*TRADE, I think it might have been 30,000 bucks or something like that was all you needed. So it varies from broker to broker. But basically it works just a traditional line of credit. So you move your stocks out of your general account into your line of credit account, they then say, “Here’s how much stock you have. Here’s how much line of credit we’re willing to give you.” And again, just a usual line of credit, you only get billed if you draw against that line.
Now on the flip side, they want you to maintain a certain amount of equity. So say you have $100,000 worth of stocks, maybe they’ll only give you 60% of that. So they’ll give you $60,000 in a line of credit. Say that the market shifts and your $100,000 drops down to 55,000, now you have to come out of pocket immediately to pay that $5,000 difference to keep your line of credit kind of above board. So there is some risk I think associated with a line of credit in that sense. But if you have a big enough amount and you’re keeping a really healthy margin in your equity, even as the market kind of ebbs and flows, you should be able to move forward without having to come out of pocket for it. Like I said, it was a really, really low cost way for me to purchase one of our properties.
But now rates have gone up quite a bit. And that was the point I was getting at, is that with these lines of credit, they’re not fixed. It’s not a fixed rate like you get with a traditional home mortgage. These are going to go up and down as the market shifts. And what we saw over the last couple of years is interest rates have gone up tremendously, and that same thing happens on these lines of credit. So you could go one month from paying sub 1% to 4, 5, 6, whatever that percentage is that brokerage feels is fair. So just something else to consider because maybe like you said Ashley, if your rent covers the payment at this super low interest rate and then rates double or triple over the next couple of months, now you have to make sure that you’re still able to cover that difference as well.

Ashley:
For that, what did your interest rate go to? Do you know what it is right now?

Tony:
I got to check. I don’t really use that line of credit as much anymore, but I mean it’s probably like 8% or something like that. I don’t know. Something a lot higher than what it was. It was literally below 1% when I first opened it up. It was crazy.

Ashley:
Yeah, crazy.

Tony:
It was like free money.

Ashley:
Mine is two duplexes as collateral, one of mine. And I know that went offhand has gone from 5.75, I think. It was starting out maybe two and a half years ago and now it’s at 9.25. And then I feel within the last year, every two months I’ve gotten a letter, “Hey, your rate is going up” and it’s slowly [inaudible 00:25:47].

Tony:
Just creeping up, yeah.

Ashley:
Yeah. Yeah.

Tony:
So it is something. And again, I think that’s why there’s a benefit of trying to keep that debt using the short run. That way you can anticipate or I guess adapt to some of those interest rate changes a little bit easier.

Ashley:
Because what does that translate to? Your monthly payment increases. So think about you going from a 1% interest rate to 9% as to what a difference that is in a monthly payment.

Tony:
It’s crazy.

Ashley:
I’m going to do the math on that real quick. So entertain everyone while I Google this real quick.

Tony:
All right, so I’ll just get my last little thought here. So I think if you are in a position where that’s the only course of action that you have and you’ve got a crazy good deal in front of you, it might be worth it to pull the trigger. But like Ashley said, I think you want to make sure you have some reserves set aside to deal with some of these fluctuations because the last thing you want is to be in a position where you can’t pay on that line of credit and now there’s issues that causes this domino effect of issues in your life. So hopefully, I was able to entertain you long enough for Ash to do that math.

Ashley:
I’m ready. Okay, so say you pull $50,000 off a line of credit and you’re going to use it as your down payment and say at the time your interest rate was 4%, okay? So your monthly payment would be $166, okay? Say that it jumped to 9%, which it’s very common right now. That’s what it is. Your payment now is $375. So think about if you were like, “$167? I can cover that.” And now it’s $375? That’s a car payment for a lot of people. That’s a big jump. So even now, think of interest rates keep going up. So say they’re at 9% right now and at 375, and they go up to 12%, that’s $500 a month if it continues to increase. So yeah, that’s a great point as to the variable because your payment will change and will it still be affordable to you.

Tony:
All right. Well I guess let’s go on to our next questionnaire, question number four. This one comes from Damon Hutchinson. Damon says, “This might be a dumb question, but how would I go about getting my house appraised?”
First, Damon, at the Real Estate Rookie podcast, there were no dumb questions. We are here to answer the questions that you feel like you can’t get answered anywhere else. So first let’s just talk, Ash, about what an appraisal is. What is the purpose of an appraisal in real estate?
So when a bank gives you a loan for a home purchase, when they give you a mortgage, banks want to make sure that they’re covering their own butts and that they’re not giving you a loan that’s in excess of what that house is actually worth. And typically, they won’t even give you the full 100% of what the home is worth. They only want to go up to maybe 70 or 80% of what that home is worth. So let’s say that you want to go out and buy a house, and I’m just going to use round numbers here, but say you want to go out and buy a house for $100,000. Most banks will say, “Okay, this house you think is worth $100,000. We will now give you a loan for up to 80% of that. So we’ll give you a loan for $80,000. You come up for the other $20,000.” So I think most of us understand that’s how mortgages work.
But the next step is, and you see a lot of deals fall apart when this step happens, is that banks want to make sure that whatever you’re agreeing to purchase that property for is what it’s actually worth. So they send out an appraiser. An appraiser is someone whose entire job is to give their opinion of value on whatever piece of real estate you’re buying.
There’s different ways to appraise a property, but the most common approaches you see, especially in the single family space, is they use the comp-based approach. They look for comparable sales. So what they’ll do is they’ll say, “Hey, your property on 123 Main street, we’re going to look at 122 Main Street, 124 Main Street, 12,5 Main Street, 126 Main Street, and we’re going to try and find properties that are similar in size and age and functionality to your home. And we want to find ones that have sold recently.” And they use all of those local homes to come up with an opinion of value for your property. And then once they kind of put all that together, they say, “Okay, your house is worth $100,000.” And that happens many times where your appraised value is spot on with your purchase price.
What can happen though is that sometimes your appraisal can come in low. So again, remember our example. Your under contract for $100,000. The bank has already agreed to give you a loan at 80% of what that home is worth. But say that your appraisal comes back instead of it being $100,000, what if the bank says, “Hey, your home is actually only worth…” Or the appraiser says, “Your home was actually only worth $75,000.” So now the bank is saying, “Hey, we’re not going to give you 80% of 100. We’re going to give you 80% of 75.” And 80% of 75 is only $60,000. So that means now you need to cover the gap between the $60,000 loan the bank has given you and the $100,000 that you’ve agreed to purchase this property for. It happens all the time in the world of real estate investing.
So super long explanation, but that’s what an appraisal is. To actually get an appraisal, it’s pretty simple, Damon, if you’re buying a house. Your lender’s probably going to order it for you. You typically don’t have to do anything. If you buy yourself or would just like to get your home appraised, which you can do, just find a local appraisal company and call them and say, “Hey, I’d like to get my house appraised. Can you come take a look at it?” So, different ways to do it.

Ashley:
Yeah. Or if you’re getting a line of credit or any kind of financing on it, the bank will usually take care of doing the appraisal for you. My question would be as to if you’re not going that route as to why you would want to get an appraisal done, is it just out of curiosity how much your house is worth? Because you can be spending 300 to $500 on the appraisal to be done. And that’s a couple hundred dollars, well more than a couple hundred, to your curiosity I guess. But maybe part of the reason is you want to see if there’s any equity in your house to go ahead and go to the bank, I would go to the bank first and I would say like, “This is what I would want to do.” And sometimes the bank will do an in-house appraisal for you first. So they’ll kind of look at it and say like, “Okay. You know what? We do think that there is some equity here, we could do a line of credit.” And you can kind of ask for almost like their opinion on that before going further.
And then of course making sure that you’re approved for the loan too before you go through and pay for the appraisal. The bank will charge you for the appraisal if it’s a mortgage. But I’ve been to a couple banks where if it is your primary residence and you’re getting a line of credit, they will not charge you any closing costs. So kind of watch out for that too. There’s also the loans where you can get the closing costs wrapped in to the mortgage where you’re not paying them out of pocket where they take the appraisal and just add it to your loan balance. So you’re still paying it, you’re just paying it over time or they increase the interest rate or they increase the points you’re paying upfront. Different strategies used like that. Either way, they’re making their money, and you’re paying it somehow.

Tony:
I think the only thing I’d add to the appraisal piece is also understand, and this is for all of you that are listening, that an appraisal is more art than science. You could have two different appraisers go to the same exact property and come up with two different opinions of value. And it’s happened to me multiple times throughout my investing career. I’m sure it’s happened to Ashley as well. Because there’s not a hard and fast rule that’s just like this nationally accepted way to appraise a home. Every appraiser kind of has their own flavor that they put to it and their own perception of the value of a home.
I recently ran into an issue where an appraisal came back low and I talked to my lender, he and I are good friends, and he kind of educated me on how things work in the world of appraising. What he said was that during 2008 in the big meltdown, there were a lot of appraisers who were inflating property values in order to get loans approved for folks that probably shouldn’t had no business getting approved for those loans. So there were some appraisers who were personally held liable when some of these loans went bad. The government was doing their thing and trying to hold people accountable. There were some appraisers that caught in the crossfires.
So ever since the 2008 meltdown, you’ve seen appraisers be a little bit more conservative in their opinions of value, especially in a shifting market like we’re in right now. So if you look at parts of California, different counties are down 5, 10, 12, 15% year over year. And as an appraiser in that type of environment, if you want to really cover your own bases, you’re probably going to be a little bit more conservative in what you think a property’s worth if you see the trend going down like this.
So just insight for you guys as you’re working through that. But if you ever have an appraisal that comes back low and you find yourself in that position, don’t be afraid to challenge it, right? See if you can find comps of your own that support a higher opinion of value. See if you can find holes in the logic that the appraiser used to come up with your opinion of value. Ashley, I know you talked about the whole land piece and how larger parcels are selling at a fraction more than smaller parcels. So just look for opportunities to really point out where you feel the appraiser might have missed something.

Ashley:
And that’s another reason if you are thinking of getting an appraisal to get some kind of bank financing on your property. The bank will not accept the appraisal you go out and get. Even if it is from a licensed appraiser, they will get their own appraisal order. So even if you just got one done, the bank most likely will not accept it and they’ll order a new one anyways to kind of go through their whole process and won’t accept the one you had just gotten done.

Tony:
I think this might be a national thing, but I’m pretty sure lenders actually can’t choose the exact appraiser that goes out and does it. Again, that’s like a 2008 reform thing. But basically, lenders have a panel of appraisers, they submit it and then kind of random choosing. I don’t know how it happens, but one of those appraisers gets sent out. Because I think what was happening before was that lenders and appraisers were buddy-buddies and lenders will be like, “Hey, I need you to get this property to be at this value. I’ll kick you a little something here to make it happen.” So the government’s trying to eliminate that from happening. So typically, I don’t even think you can choose who your appraiser is if you’re doing it for a loan.

Ashley:
Yeah. On the commercial side, I know for sure it’s definitely done like that where it’s kind of put out to three different appraisers and sometimes it’ll be like whichever appraiser can get it done the soonest.
Okay, so our next question is from Sarah Lucas. “Can someone help me understand the math for seller financing? Say you are offering $200,000 on a house, you’re going to put 5% down as the down payment and the seller is going to finance the rest. So 200,000, 5% down, that’d be $10,000 as your down payment and you’re going to seller finance 190,000. Meaning the seller is going to be the bank for you. You are not going to have to pay them a lump sum. The bank is not going to have to pay them a lump sum like if you went and got a traditional mortgage. You are going to pay them monthly payments instead of a bank. So the questions here are, “How long do you suggest the amortization for? What would be my monthly payment? How much would the seller be making?” And I’d like to show the seller how much they’ll be making and why would be beneficial to them, which I 100% do every single time I ask for seller financing, is printout the amortization schedule.”
So I actually pulled this up real quick. So I just google amortization schedule calculator. I usually end up clicking on the bankrate.com one. So I have it pulled up here and I put in the loan amount 190,000 and I put in the interest rate for five years. And then for the first loan term I put in a 15-year term. It shows that my monthly payment would be $1,503. It also shows you other information as to when your payoff date would be, the total cost of the loan as to even though you’re doing the loan for 190,000 with interest over those 15 years, you’d end up paying 270,000.
So as to far as the question as to how would I be making money and how much money would the seller be making, I like to highlight and show the seller the total interest paid to them. So in this case, if it’s over 15 years and you’re going to pay to them the whole 15 years, it would be $80,451 additional they are making. So if we go ahead and change the loan term to say 30 years, then your payment is 1,020. So remember the other payment was 1,500, so this is about $500 less. But the total interest now paid to the seller is $177,186 over those 30 years, so the time has doubled. So I think if you go to this calculator report and you plug it in and just play with it and then make sure… I thought there was a question on this, but I don’t think there is in there as to… Or yeah, “How long do you suggest the amortization for?” This is where you’ll want to see what works for your numbers.
So say you can rent the property out for $1,600 a month, so maybe that 15 year, $1,500 mortgage payment isn’t going to work for you because then you only have $100 left to pay your property taxes, your insurance, and all other expenses before your cashflow negative, so that you can go ahead and play with the loan term and figure out which makes sense for your numbers. Where are you still going to cashflow on the property? And that’s where you’re going to then present it to the seller. And then there may be some negotiating from there that you’ll have to do. But I think the biggest thing is to figure out what they want out of this. Why are they saying they want seller financing? Sometimes it may be because they want that mailbox money, they want that monthly income coming in, that steady check, especially if they’ve had rentals and they’re used to that and now they’re selling the rentals and they’ve always budgeted off of what guaranteed income they’re getting every single month.
And so like, “Okay. You know what? I can still hit that. You want $1,000 a month? How about we do it the 15-year term, but we decrease the interest rate or something like that. And then that way I can get you right to the 1,500.” So now you’re paying them less interest, but they’re still getting that monthly amount that they want. So really getting creative and playing around with the numbers will be very beneficial to you. You have to make sure it makes sense for you first though before you actually submit an offer to them saying, “Yeah, I’ll do a 10% interest in a balloon payment in two years and amortize it over 15 years” and then you actually run the numbers, and no, it doesn’t work for you. The property can’t support that.

Tony:
Yeah. I think the only thing I’d add, and you touched on this a little bit at the end there, Ash, but just differentiating or understanding the differences between your term and your amortization period. So your amortization is over how many years are you technically stretching out the schedule of the interest payments in the principal payments? Your term is when is that loan due in full? So what you could say is, “Hey, I want an amortization period of 30 years.” So that means I’m going to stretch out the payment over a timeframe of 30 years. So if I made payments until the very end, at the end of 30 years, it’ll be paid in full. However, you can set your term to be something shorter than your amortization period and say you want it set up to 10 years. So that means you pay as if you were going to pay it off for 30 years, but then at year 10 instead of you making another payment like you normally would, you’d have to pay the loan in full.
Typically, the way you get around that is, I mean if you have the cash saved up, then pay them out in cash. But typically you get around that balloon payment by refinancing the property. So just something to consider, Sarah, is that as you’re putting this together, you can have the amortization be something exceptionally long, three decades, and then have your turn be something shorter to give that seller peace of mind. They’re not going to have to be sitting around for 30 years to get their money back.

Ashley:
Well, thank you guys so much for submitting this week’s questions. If you guys would like to submit a question, you can go to biggerpockets.com/reply and post your question in there. Or you can also leave it in the real estate work Facebook group or you can send Tony or I a DM and we will add it to the list. Thank you guys so much. I’m Ashley, @wealthfromrentals, and he’s Tony, @tonyjrobinson. And we will be back on Wednesday with a guest.

 

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High mortgages and stubbornly elevated home prices are worsening the housing affordability crisis. A first-time homebuyer must earn roughly $64,500 per year to afford the typical U.S. “starter” home, up 13% from a year ago, according to a new report from Redfin. 

In June, the typical starter home sold for a record $243,000, up 2.1% from a year earlier and up more than 45% from before the pandemic. Average mortgage rates hit 6.7% in June, up from 5.5% the year before and just under 4% before the pandemic.

New listings of starter homes dropped 23% from a year earlier in June, the biggest drop since the start of the pandemic, the report found. Meanwhile, the total number of starter homes on the market is down 15%, also the biggest drop since the start of the pandemic. 

As a result of the limited supply, still-rising prices and elevated mortgage rates, sales activity for starter homes has stifled. It dropped 17% year over year in June.

The cost of financing a median-priced U.S. home, assuming a 20% downpayment, rose 12.4% from June 2022, according to Realtor.com economic researcher Hannah Jones.

Meanwhile, average U.S. wages have risen 4.4% from a year ago and roughly 20% from before the pandemic. It is not enough to make up for the jump in monthly mortgage payments and higher home prices.

To compound matters, rents remain elevated too, applying additional pressure on already challenged prospective first-time homebuyers.  The typical U.S. asking rent is just $24 shy of the $2,053 peak hit in 2022.

“Buyers searching for starter homes in today’s market are on a wild goose chase because in many parts of the country, there’s no such thing as a starter home anymore,” said Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari. “The most affordable homes for sale are no longer affordable to people with lower budgets due to the combination of rising prices and rising rates. That’s locking many Americans out of the housing market altogether, preventing them from building equity and ultimately building lasting wealth. People who are already homeowners are sitting pretty, comparatively, because most of them have benefited from home values soaring over the last few years. That could lead to the wealth gap in this country becoming even more drastic.”

San Francisco, Austin and Phoenix buck the trend

A homebuyer in San Francisco must earn $241,200 to afford the typical “starter” home, down 4.5% ($11,300) from a year earlier. Austin buyers must earn $92,000, down 3.3% year over year, and Phoenix buyers must earn $86,100, down about 1%. 

Those are also the metros where prices of starter homes have declined most, with median sale prices down 13.3% to $910,000 in San Francisco, down 12.2% to $347,300 in Austin, and down 9.7% to $325,000 in Phoenix.

The housing markets in Austin and Phoenix have fallen back down to earth since the remote-work relocations craze stopped. High mortgage rates and scarce listings brought down home prices as well. 

Florida is the state where the income necessary to buy a starter home has risen the most

The biggest uptick of the 50 most populous US metro goes to Fort Lauderdale, Florida. There, buyers need to earn $58,300 per year to purchase a $220,000 home, up 28% from a year earlier. Next comes Miami, where buyers need to earn $79,500 (up 24.8%) to afford the typical $300,000 starter home. Third is Newark, NJ, where buyers need $88,800 (up 21.1%) to afford a $335,000 home. The three metros also had the biggest starter-home price increases, with prices up 15.8% year over year, 13.2% and 9.8%, respectively.

Meanwhile, starter-home prices are down year over year in 13  metros, mostly expensive West Coast markets, with the next-biggest declines in San Jose, CA (-8.7% to $925,000), Sacramento, CA (-7.3% to $417,000) and Oakland, CA (-7.3% to $630,000). 

Starter-home prices also dropped in Las Vegas, Seattle, Denver, Los Angeles, Portland, OR, Anaheim, CA, San Diego, Riverside, CA, Pittsburgh and Minneapolis. However, in those places, lower prices often don’t make up for higher mortgage rates.

More than one-third (36.6%) of the country’s starter homes were purchased in cash in May, down just slightly from the previous month’s decade-high and up from 35.2% a year earlier.

Real estate investors are buying up a sizable chunk of today’s affordable homes. A record 41% of investor purchases were small homes–those with 1,400 or fewer square feet–in the first quarter. That’s up from 37% a year earlier.



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The importance of giving back to the community has never been more crucial or weighted with as much importance by the business world as right now. Real estate agents and business leaders play a pivotal role in improving the cities in which they operate, making community service an essential value to their professions. Not only does community service foster connection and belonging in the communities that agents serve, but it can also further develop and challenge agents to grow professionally and personally.

One of the best outcomes of volunteering is bettering the community. Whether through organizations that aid the unhoused, neighborhood cleanups or educational initiatives, agents that give their time contribute to tangible benefits that can include the following.  

Demonstrate your values to customers

Buyers and sellers want more than just transactional relationships with their agents. Many desire alignment with those who share their values. Participating in community service events can allow agents to showcase their commitments. Displaying involvement often resonates with clients who prioritize social responsibility. Further, agents that demonstrate their values are more likely to be seen as trusted and reliable partners, enhancing their overall reputation and attracting more like-minded clientele.

Learn neighborhood issues firsthand 

Community service allows agents to experience the community in a deep way. Volunteering agents may better understand civic issues, including schools and neighborhoods, in a way that’s not possible when staying squarely in their bubble. While legally an agent cannot provide their input on schools and neighborhoods, getting acquainted with the city’s educational landscape is a solid time investment. When client-facing, agents can point to online ratings and further sources of information for their clients to conduct their own due diligence.  

Garner aligned skills 

Where it makes sense, agents can focus volunteer and fundraising efforts with other organizations aligned with real estate. For example, Habitat for Humanity or other nonprofits affiliated with housing welcome real estate professionals’ valuable skills and offer unique experiences that can be taken back to the field. For instance, one team of agents in our firm regularly volunteer with Habitat for Humanity and, as they donate their time making a big impact, the agents are learning skills such as window installation as well, which sharpens their eyes for finer home details.  

Promotes agent team building 

From small teams to large brokerages, community service provides a platform for team building within firms. Most days, even though agents are on a team, they serve independently, only coming together with other agents for meetings. Collaborating on service projects fosters camaraderie, creating a positive and supportive environment. Working together for a common cause also strengthens relationships, boosts morale and enhances overall team performance. Studies show that employees stay longer at a company that they believe cares about them and others. Group volunteering promotes retention and engagement. 

Discover networking opportunities

By participating in events and initiatives that bring people together, agents can connect with potential clients, local business owners and influential community members. As all good agents know, networking can lead to referrals, partnerships and a broader network of contacts. For example, one agent in our firm is passionate about a cultural cause and focuses her time and efforts serving a volunteer organization that lines up with her values; in turn, 75% of her business comes directly from that community. 

Getting started with community service

To embark on a meaningful community service journey, real estate firms and individual agents can follow these steps.

Research 

Look into your community’s needs and identify areas where your firm can make an impact while aligning the service initiatives with your firm’s mission and values. 

Survey agents

Involve agents in the decision-making process of where to put resources by surveying their passions and interests. Encourage agents to share their ideas, then take these ideas into account to ensure agents are personally invested in the firm’s community service efforts.

Support agents’ service

A spirit of service comes from the top. Leaders must be philanthropic by example and support the efforts of their agents. They can provide a stipend for community service or implement a time-off plan that allows agents to engage in service without sacrificing work commitments. Leaders can also match the donations of their agents’ fundraising endeavors, organize a group volunteer day or recognize volunteer hours in company meetings. 

Engage buyers and sellers

Have meaningful conversations with buyers and sellers to understand their priorities and what they value in community service. Their feedback will guide the firm’s community service initiatives, allowing agents to connect with clients on a deeper level.

Involve clients in your service

Firms can do more than just ask what clients care about; they can involve them in their efforts. Host a client volunteer day and provide lunch. Undergo a fundraising campaign and match client’s donations so they have shared ownership, nicely furthering brand loyalty. 

Maximize your volunteer efforts and your spend

By engaging in a balanced approach of hands-on service hours and fundraising events, agents can contribute their time, skills and resources effectively.

When it comes to the broader brokerage’s philanthropic spend, it is often a part of the strategic marketing plan to sponsor one to two events — maybe more — with which the brokerage wants to be aligned. Agents often asked for donations to worthy causes, and it’s much easier to let people know that funds are already committed and focused towards the firm’s committed causes compared to just saying no. 

Keeping the above strategies in mind when it comes to volunteering and fundraising, every real estate agent stands to greatly impact their community for the better while aiding in their own personal and professional development. 



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