{"id":4386,"date":"2023-07-25T19:10:27","date_gmt":"2023-07-25T19:10:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/insurance-carrier-exodus-rattles-california-and-florida-housing-markets\/"},"modified":"2023-07-25T19:10:27","modified_gmt":"2023-07-25T19:10:27","slug":"insurance-carrier-exodus-rattles-california-and-florida-housing-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/insurance-carrier-exodus-rattles-california-and-florida-housing-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Insurance carrier exodus rattles California and Florida housing markets"},"content":{"rendered":"


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In late June, Susan Gregory received an estimate for a new homeowner\u2019s insurance policy on her 120-year-old St. Augustine, Florida<\/a> property, after her previous insurer, United Property and Casualty,<\/strong> went insolvent earlier in the year. Gregory was shocked to find out that her yearly payment would go from $8,800 to nearly $36,000 if she signed on with the new company.<\/p>\n

“I thought this was my forever home,” Gregory told First Coast News<\/a>, which first reported the story. “It can’t be my forever home if I can’t afford it.”<\/p>\n

And Gregory\u2019s story is becoming commonplace in flood-prone areas<\/a> of the United States, especially in Florida. According to Sandy Williams, an eXp Realty<\/strong><\/a> agent in Sarasota, homeowners\u2019 insurance costs<\/a> have doubled for many in her metro area (flood insurance<\/a> costs have also risen dramatically).<\/p>\n

\u201cI do a lot with new construction and homeowners\u2019 insurance is cheaper on new builds because they are brand new,\u201d Williams said. \u201cWith material and labor shortages, and supply chain issues it is taking a year-and-a-half to two years to complete a property. A lot of my clients will get insurance quotes three months into the project and then about a year later they are getting their final quote. One of my recent new home buyers got their final quote on a property a 30-minute drive from the coast<\/a> and it had gone up 40% from a year ago. This is one of the easiest parts of Florida to insure and costs have gone up over 40%.\u201d<\/p>\n

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As soon as we find a house that our clients love and we think they are going to write an offer on it, we immediately reach out to an insurance agent to see the insurability of the house because it is becoming more and more of a problem.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Todd Armstrong, A COMPASS AGENT IN SAN DIEGO<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n

Since early 2022 many insurers and reinsurers who back insurance policies have either left the state, scaled back operations or fallen into insolvency. As a result, the Insurance Information Institute<\/strong> estimates that Floridian homeowners<\/a> are on track to pay an average of $4,000 a year in insurance in the near future, nearly three times the U.S. average. The rising costs and lack of availability of homeowners insurance has forced many homeowners and buyers to turn to Citizens<\/strong> Property Insurance Corporation<\/strong>, the state\u2019s insurer of last resort.<\/p>\n

\u201cRight now, Citizens is the largest insurance company in Florida, and they are supposed to be for the last resort,\u201d said Matthew Ekberg, an agency owner at the St. Petersburg, Florida-based insurer Erb and Young<\/strong>. \u201cWe are doing a lot of Citizens policies, unfortunately, because for most properties the next best option is maybe $2,000 to $4,000 more a year.\u201d<\/p>\n

The increased severity of hurricanes and the rising costs of repair and reinsurance have driven some insurers to insolvency, and convinced others to end offering homeowners insurance coverage in Florida. <\/p>\n

But Ekberg said there\u2019s also another reason \u2013 the roofing hustle.<\/p>\n

\u201cA number of years ago, roofers started to knock on people\u2019s doors after storms and pretty much promised them that they could get them a free roof<\/a>,\u201d Ekberg said. \u201cThey would target the old looking shingle roofs, and if the claim was denied they would have an attorney in their back pocket. So they would file a lawsuit if the claim was denied, and, at the threat of a lawsuit, the insurance companies would just roll over and pay the claim. Word started to spread about this and then everyone was doing it, costing insurers millions.\u201d<\/p>\n

In addition, litigation costs on insurance claims have risen dramatically in the wake of a 2017 State Supreme Court decision<\/a> that allowed courts to award plaintiff\u2019s attorneys up to 2.5 times their hourly billing rate should the court rule in favor of the policy holder. The number of property insurance lawsuits in the state skyrocketed \u2013 in 2023 alone, the state is on track to have more than 130,000 property policy lawsuits, accounting for 79% of all property insurance lawsuits filed nationwide.<\/p>\n

Several pieces of legislation were passed in Florida last year that should ease rising insurance costs, including one that reduces “frivolous litigation,” another that reduces the amount of time policyholders have to submit a claim to 12 months, and scrapping the assignment of benefits, in which a homeowner signs insurance benefits to a third-party like a contractor. <\/p>\n

Still, there\u2019s no denying that from coast to coast, hurricane risks and flash floods are becoming more costly.<\/p>\n

According to an analysis using CoreLogic\u2019s Climate Risk Analytics: Composite Risk Score (CRA)<\/a>, Florida\u2019s Miami-Dade County is forecast to have the highest climate change-related risk in the United States, with estimated annual losses of $988 million per year through 2050. Louisiana\u2019s Jefferson Parish ranks second, with $476 million in annual losses, followed by Florida\u2019s Palm Beach County, where annual loss estimates are $442 million.<\/p>\n

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The risk in California is too hot for insurers<\/strong><\/p>\n

Florida may be the tip of the spear, but California, America\u2019s most populous and prosperous state, is also facing a homeowners insurance crisis. In the past six weeks, State Farm<\/strong><\/a> and Allstate<\/strong><\/a> announced that they would no longer be accepting new applications for business and personal lines of property and casualty insurance in California.<\/a><\/p>\n

In announcing their departure from the Golden State, the two major insurers cited the increased wildfire risks<\/a> in the state and rising construction costs.<\/p>\n

\u201cState Farm General Insurance Company made this decision due to historic increases in construction costs outpacing inflation, rapidly growing catastrophe exposure, and a challenging reinsurance market,\u201d the company wrote on its website.<\/a><\/p>\n

The III<\/a> said 1.265 million California homes were at risk for extreme wildfires<\/a> in 2022, more than 400,000 than the next highest state. However, data from CoreLogic<\/strong> <\/a>shows that the number of homes built in the Very High Fire Hazard Severity Zone (FHSZ) has declined from 5.5% to 3.5% over the past 15 years, but building in Moderate FHSZ has nearly doubled since 2008, and while the fire risk in this zone is less severe, it is still present.<\/p>\n

\"California-CoreLogic
Credit: CoreLogic<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Since the start of 2023, CAL FIRE and the US Forest Service<\/strong><\/a> have recorded 2,584 wildland fires in the state, which have burned a total of 8,418 acres. <\/p>\n

\u201cThe number of acres burned in California has grown steadily in recent years, as more people are moving into fire-prone areas of the state,\u201d the III said in a statement on the companies\u2019 departures from California. \u201cMore homes in harm\u2019s way \u2014 combined with rising costs of repairing or replacing houses either damaged or lost to fire \u2014 leads to increased insured losses.\u201d<\/p>\n

With insurers leaving the state, the California FAIR Plan<\/strong>, the state\u2019s insurer of last resort, saw enrollment jump to 272,846 homes in 2022.<\/p>\n

\u201cYear over year, I have written more and more business with the California FAIR Plan,\u201d said Paul Scalone, a San Diego-based Compass<\/strong><\/a> agent and the owner of Dignified Insurance Services<\/strong>. \u201cWhen we start getting into the catastrophe and wildfire conversation with homes, and homes being harder to insure, over the course of the last few years I have seen a drastic uptick in the number of policies that I have had to write with the FAIR plan.\u201d<\/p>\n

Like in Florida, insurers in California are facing more than just climate related challenges. In 1988, California voters approved Proposition 103<\/a>, which allows the state insurance commissioner to reject proposed rate increases and order refunds be paid to policyholders. Though the policy has been credited with saving consumers billions of dollars, the insurance industry says it comes at the expense of accurate underwriting and actual pricing risks.<\/p>\n

\u201cThey have to submit requests to the [state] department of insurance to raise prices and that take a lot of time to review, so carriers want to leave,\u201d Scalone said. \u201cEverything is so expensive and they can\u2019t move their rates up fast enough to keep up with the demand for insurance and reinsurance.\u201d  <\/p>\n

Impact on home values and sales<\/h2>\n

In the meantime, real estate agents in Florida and California are concerned that the rising homeowners\u2019 insurance costs in their states will have a negative impact on homeownership.<\/p>\n

Entry level homebuyers are getting hit hardest. <\/p>\n

\u201cIf we start looking at debt-to-income ratios when they are trying to get a loan, before it was easy to assume if they are buying a small home or a condo that it would be $100 a month for homeowners\u2019 insurance, but that is not the case anymore,\u201d Scalone said. \u201cA lot of first-time buyers<\/a> can\u2019t afford to buy in San Diego proper, so they look out in Alpine or Escondido, where the houses are a bit cheaper, but now you are looking at insurance costing way more a year and if you are in a fire zone, you might not even find a carrier that will cover you.\u201d<\/p>\n

Additionally, wildfire proofing or building a wildfire resistant home in California can cost an additional $2,800 to $27,100, according to Wildfire Today<\/strong><\/a>, an added financial burden many homeowners and buyers cannot easily afford. <\/p>\n

\"California-wild-fire-price-proximity\"
California home price changes based on proximity to wildfires in 2020, by percent change. Credit: CoreLogic<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In Florida, Jacob Watkins, the broker-owner of Corcoran Reverie<\/strong><\/a> in the state\u2019s 30A region along the Gulf of Mexico, is witnessing a similar trend.<\/p>\n

\u201cPrior to now we never really had to pay all that much attention,\u201d Watkins said. \u201cInsurance was typically not a big factor in the decision making process, but given the cost now and even the availability of what properties can easily be insured and what cannot is definitely a factor in what properties our customers are looking at and considering.\u201d<\/p>\n

Agents in both California and Florida said that while homebuyers are increasingly highlighting risks of flooding or fire in their home search parameters, climate-related concerns aren’t stopping many would-be buyers or existing homeowners.<\/p>\n

\u201cI don\u2019t think we will see a flood of people leaving or anything like that,\u201d Anne Marie W\u00fcrzel, an Orlando-based Mainframe Real Estate<\/strong> agent, said. \u201cPeople really do like to have this Florida lifestyle and people that are on the coast inherently know the risks of living there and choose to do so anyway because the ocean is gorgeous, and people love the beach and people will continue to go to the beach whether or not they live on it. Florida beaches are just a huge attraction for people, and I don\u2019t really see how climate change will impact that.\u201d<\/p>\n

Data<\/a> from Redfin<\/strong> shows that between over the past two years, nearly 60,000 more people have moved into than out of Lee County, Florida, home to Fort Myers and Cape Coral, which were both nearly destroyed by Hurricane Ian. According to Redfin\u2019s analysis, Florida is home to eight of the 10 high-flood risk counties that experienced the largest net inflows of people over the past two years. <\/p>\n

\"redfin<\/figure>\n

Agents in California similarly don’t believe climate risks will stop people from scooping up houses.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe haven\u2019t really seen climate risks impact transactions too much yet, but I am guessing it will come up in the future,\u201d Tracy Do, a Los Angeles-based Coldwell Banker<\/strong><\/a> agent, said. \u201cRight after something occurs like a big fire or a week of bad air quality in Los Angeles then people are more concerned, but after it is out of the news then we don\u2019t hear as much about it from buyers.\u201d<\/p>\n

Again, data from Redfin supports Do\u2019s assertion. Riverside County, which is home to nearly 600,000 properties facing high wildfire risk, has experienced a net migration increase of 40,000 people over the past two years.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe consequences of climate change haven\u2019t fully sunk in for many Americans because oftentimes, homeowners and renters don\u2019t foot the whole bill when disaster strikes,\u201d Daryl Fairweather, Redfin\u2019s deputy chief economist, said in a statement. \u201cInsurers and government programs frequently subsidize the cost of rebuilding after storms hit, and mortgages mean homeowners are ceding some risk to lenders\u2014especially if their house goes into foreclosure after a storm.\u201d<\/p>\n

Agents get proactive<\/h2>\n

While just a handful of buyers are using climate risks to narrow their search areas, many others are using insurance costs to pinpoint areas within their budgets. In order to prevent unexpected sticker shock, agents like San Diego-based Compass agent Todd Armstrong work with an insurance broker to price out homeowners\u2019 and fire insurance costs in the different fire zones in a homebuyer\u2019s preferred home search areas.<\/p>\n

\u201cAs soon as we find a house that our clients love and we think they are going to write an offer on it, we immediately reach out to an insurance agent to see the insurability of the house because it is becoming more and more of a problem,\u201d Armstrong said.<\/p>\n

In addition to impacting homebuyers, in Florida, Williams believes rising insurance costs may lead to lower home values.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf you look just three miles inland, insurance is a lot cheaper, so I think what you are going to start to see is the resale values of properties hit hard by rising insurance costs are going to drop,\u201d Williams said. \u201cSomeone is going to have to pay for these rising costs one way or another and I think the sellers are going to start taking a hit on some of this because it becomes less desirable to live there.\u201d<\/p>\n

In California, CoreLogic data<\/a> shows that the wildfires themselves have already had a negative impact on property values. In a study examining the 19 counties impacted by the five largest fires recorded in the state\u2019s history (all of which occurred in 2020), between June 2021 and May 2023, the price of properties in the fire perimeter decline 0.64%. In contrast, the average price appreciation during the same two year time period for the state as a whole was 12.3%. <\/p>\n

Agents in California, however, are not too concerned about property values in harder-to-insure areas. They are more worried about how challenging it is becoming to insure a property.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is definitely a lot more difficult now than it has been in the past,\u201d Scalone said. \u201cThe underwriting requirements for homes are getting a lot more strict. California still has over 100 carriers, but they are scrutinizing the risks a lot more.\u201d <\/p>\n

Scalone said he recently wrote a policy for clients buying a home in Claremont, the Serra Mesa area of San Diego, which is an urban environment. <\/p>\n

\u201cA year or two ago that would have been a slam dunk, no questions asked,\u201d he told HousingWire. \u201cBut it probably took me two or three weeks of back and forth with multiple carriers, answering an array of different questions and submitting documentation and photos of the home before we got a carrier to agree to take the risk. It is just a sign of the times here in California.\u201d<\/p>\n


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In late June, Susan Gregory received an estimate for a new homeowner\u2019s insurance policy on her 120-year-old St. Augustine, Florida property, after her previous insurer, United Property and Casualty, went insolvent earlier in the year. Gregory was shocked to find out that her yearly payment would go from $8,800 to nearly $36,000 if she signed […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4387,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4386"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4386"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4386\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4386"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4386"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/frankbuysphilly.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4386"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}