Michigan-based lender United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) has introduced a construction-to-permanent loan that covers the cost of building a home and then converts to a permanent mortgage once construction is complete.

Starting February 1, UWM’s one-time close construction loans will be available on eligible 15- and 30-year fixed conventional loans and 7- and 10-year adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), the firm said Wednesday. 

The loan will cover an 11-month maximum build period with a one-month modification. It is available for investment, primary and second home purchases as well as rate/term refinances. 

“The streamlined process and certainty One-Time Close New Construction loans offer is unmatched and will set brokers up to be the hero with builders, real estate agents and contractors, and get their borrowers in their dream home,” Mat Ishbia, president and CEO of UWM, said in a statement. 

This type of loan only has one set of closing costs to pay, reducing the borrower’s overall fees. It also has one interest rate with an automatic modification if the market improves once construction is complete, along with one down payment, one full credit report to order and one approval, according to the firm. 

UWM will enable all involved parties to communicate information throughout the approval process, providing checklists for the project and builder approvals.

Once the loan is closed, UWM claims it will handle the rest of the process by staying in direct communication with the builder on subsequent draws, as well as subsequent inspections, to confirm the project is on pace.

The loan product is the latest offering from UWM, which has been ramping up its efforts to increase market share in a margin-compressing environment. 

UWM – which took the origination crown from competitor Rocket Mortgage in the third quarter thanks to its aggressive pricing strategy – also took another big step recently to reduce prices in 2023.

The lender is offering a maximum of 40 basis points per loan to its brokers, with a total access to 125 bps, to gain market share.

While mortgage attorneys said the “Control your Price” initiative doesn’t appear to clearly cross the legal line, they raised compliance concerns — including rules that govern loan officers’ compensation; fair lending; and unfair, deceptive and abusive acts. These areas of compliance fall under the umbrella of regulators such as the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), according to lawyers.

UWM’s deputy general counsel and chief compliance officer said there are “no unique regulatory risks with this program.”

UWM, which originated $33.5 billion in the third quarter, launched 2-1 and 1-0 temporary buydowns before expanding it to jumbo loans and recently announced a flat fee of $37.35 for credit reports



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Lack of inventory is an issue builders and mortgage loan originators alike are dealing with across the nation. It’s also what keeps Andrew Marquis, regional vice president at CrossCountry Mortgage and Scotsman Guide’s seventh top LO, up at night, especially as he sees more buyers entering the market.

A recent combination of lower property value appreciation in Boston, which is Marquis’ main market, and declining mortgage rates have resulted in bidding wars — but there aren’t as many deals to be done due to low inventory levels, Marquis said in an interview with HousingWire

“Even if I write seven pre-approvals a day, when there is one house and there’s 20 people that want to buy the same house, we still can’t do a lot of deals,” Marquis said. “Rates are clearly not at a level where refinance businesses started up again. That’s our biggest issue in Boston.”

The inventory put a cap on how much business Marquis’ team can do, which is one of the reasons why Marquis is now licensed in 22 states. Mainly a reciprocal business of vacation homes or referrals in states outside of Massachusetts, the LO plans to increase marketing efforts beyond his main Boston market. 

Marquis, whose production volume dropped by nearly one-third to $351 million in 2022 from the previous year’s $951 million, is cautiously optimistic about the mortgage industry. His goal is to bring his sales numbers up to $450 to $500 million, with origination coming from different states, and potentially capitalizing on a little refinance boom in the latter part of 2023. 

Read on for more about Marquis’s perspective on the housing market, business strategies for 2023, and his take on the loan level pricing adjustment (LLPA) fees.

This interview has been condensed and lightly edited for clarity.

Connie Kim: We’ve seen a lot of optimism for the mortgage industry, mainly due to rates on a declining trend. How has business been in the Boston market?

Andrew Marquis: Markets are very different from city to city and state to state. In our market here in Boston, we have incredibly low inventory. I know that that’s sort of a cry nationwide, but I think it’s arguably the worst here.

We also have high wages, [and] our [prices of] properties didn’t go up as much as some other areas during COVID. So what we’re seeing now is, we’re kind of back to bidding wars again. I know that sounds crazy, but we have a lot of clients reaching out for pre-approvals. They’re looking for fully underwritten approvals so that they can potentially waive contingencies again.

We did have a short stint in the fall where people were doing temporary buydowns, 2-1 buydowns, [and] they were getting properties under the asking price. There was a little hint of a buyers’ market, but I would say, with the rates going from 6% to 7% down to four, five and 6% depending on the product, and with our low inventory, we’re starting to see bidding wars again here in the Boston area.

Kim: How does this compare to last year?

Marquis: Activity this month is up about 100% versus November and December. We are locking a lot more loans and we’re doing basically twice as many pre-approvals that we were doing in the fall. So from that perspective, it does look favorable. The issue is that there’s no inventory.

Even if I write seven pre-approvals a day, when there is one house and there’s 20 people that want to buy the same house, we still can’t do a lot of deals. Rates are clearly not at a level where refinance businesses started up again. That’s our biggest issue in Boston.

We are working very hard in terms of doing events, meeting with realtors, reinventing ourselves, [and] talking about programs so that when the inventory does improve, we’ll be able to really excel. But that’s really what the market is here, at least at this moment.

The problem is as rates go lower, the bidding war just gets worse. When you look at it nationally, Boston is really in a challenging spot from that inventory standpoint. 

Kim: A term we heard a lot when rates were high was a mortgage rate lockdown. Existing homeowners didn’t have an incentive to give up their low mortgage rates to buy a new home and lock in rates at a higher level. Is this still the case, and what is the demand like from first-time buyers?

Marquis: I would say half and half. The problem we have with the people that already own a home is you cannot buy with sales contingencies here. I can’t tell that seller, ‘I’ll buy your house contingent on me selling mine.’ They won’t accept that offer.

So that’s a real issue, because as a lender, we offer ways to finance a new home for selling — and it could be a bridge loan, it could be a home equity line of credit. We have loan programs where we only have to debt the buyer for one of the two mortgages, so they don’t have enough income to carry both. We can just hit their debt ratio for the new property. So we (Cross Country) have creative programs – ways to work around that.

But I think that there’s a lot of lenders that do not, and I think there’s a lot of people that are kind of stuck for that reason. We work around a lot of those. 

Then there is still a decent amount of first-time homebuyers. I think a lot of them were freaked out because those buyers only saw 2%, 3% rates. They’ve only really been looking at the market for three, four years. They haven’t seen 5%, 6% mortgage rates before.

But I do think a decent amount of those buyers are now saying, You know what, I gotta buy something.’ The rates are better than they were at the end of last year, and they’re tired of paying $3,500 a month for rent.

Kim: There’s expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by about 25 basis points in February. I’m curious how this will impact potential buyers.

Marquis: I think consumers generally feel like the federal funds rate controls interest rates, and rates are going to go up another quarter. You and I both know [that] there’s sort of an indirect correlation. But I haven’t heard a lot about that.

It’s a very tough market. There’s no question about it — for different reasons in every market. I think other markets probably have a glut of inventory, and prices are falling and sellers are trying to provide buyer incentives to purchase a home, and we’re just not in that kind of market. 

I’m excited that rates are a little better, and we’re doing a ton of pre-approvals. But [production] levels are not pre-pandemic.

Let’s say our business doubled during COVID. I’d at least like to get back to where we were in 2018 [or] 2019. I almost feel like we’re paying the price because we had such a good two years during COVID as a mortgage lender.

Kim: When inventory is low, doesn’t that mean there’s a limited amount of production volume you can do?

Marquis: Correct. It’s a hard challenge because we don’t have a lot of land here. It’s not like people can build wherever. Half of our city is on the coast, so all you can really do is move further away from Boston.

The inventory puts a cap on how much business we can do. When loan officers don’t have refinance business, half of their businesses are gone.

Then you have the purchase market, which is probably down 25-30% because of the inventory and the interest rates. You now have as many loan officers as you had before fighting for 30% of the overall business. So there’s less volume, there’s more compression.

It’s a conundrum. It’s a challenging one, for sure.

Kim: Then are you potentially looking to expand further out from Boston to get more sales?

Marquis: My team and I are now licensed in 22 states, so we are doing a lot of that. We do need to market better in those states. Right now, a lot of it is reciprocal business of vacation homes or referrals. So we really could market better in those other states. That’s definitely one tactic for sure.

It’s scary to say this, but it’s hard to say when the inventory is really going to get better. It almost seems like every year it just gets worse.

Kim: I’m curious how your team works. Are you the sole person closing sales? What does your team look like?

Marquis: I’m sort of like the rainmaker. I bring in all the leads and the relationships, and then I have three sales assistants. I have two executive assistants and I have a team of about seven processors. 

Kim: Where do you get your leads from? 

Marquis: I’d say it’s half and half. It’s half referral partners and the other half would be past clients, repeat business, referrals of real estate agents, financial advisors, [and] accountants. 

Kim: How do you keep up with these agents and financial advisors? Do you make cold calls? How do you manage your relationships?

Marquis: I haven’t done a cold call in probably 15 years. We work off the relationships we already have. We make sure to nurture those. Then, when we’re doing transactions with new agents, we really kind of shine on those transactions.

And we look to follow up with those agents, invite them to lunches or dinners, coffee, etc. It’s all about the referral partner positioning. How you can make them look good in their business? Because really, ultimately, they want to be able to close more business, and you have to be an ally in that process. That’s the tactic that we take.

Kim: You came close to closing $1 billion in sales in 2021. What was your production volume for 2022?

Marquis: $351 million with 85% of the volume coming from purchase mortgages.

Kim: Starting last year, LOs strategies have pivoted to targeting the purchase mortgages. How have your business tactics changed from the pandemic years?

Marquis: We’ve always been more of a purchase team. I pivoted to that strategy in like 2009. We’ve always chased the purchase [mortgages] and treated refis as bonus income. When it comes, it comes great, but we don’t rely on it.

When it turns into a refi market, my ranking on Scotsman Guide is usually not as good because we’re not really geared to chase refis. But when we move into more of a sideways or a down market where refis are less prevalent, we seem to do better in the rankings, because that’s more of the type of market that we excel in.

Kim: I want to switch gears to the LLPA changes made by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. There have been concerns that the tweaks will hurt qualified borrowers amid an existing affordability crisis — or make it harder to get accurate quotes unless borrowers completed a full application. Are you concerned about the changes?

Marquis: Yeah, that makes sense in terms of the debt ratio and some of the other factors they’re taking into consideration. I think it will be a little bit more difficult to provide accurate quotes, but we can have people pre-approved with a soft credit check. So that’s one way we could work through that.

Kim: Which borrower types do you think will be affected the most?

Marquis: It looks like the high credit borrowers are going to get more pricing hits, but it also looks like the low credit borrowers are going to get less pricing hits. So it’s more going to even the playing field.

My theory on it is[that] it’s trying to point more people away from FHA. So the way I look at it, they’re trying to make conventional financing more affordable to those folks with lower credit scores.

Kim: What are your sales goals for 2023?

Marquis: This market is so unpredictable right now. I would like to see us at $450 to $500 million. I’d like to see us up by 25-30% versus where we were last year.

Kim: Your main concern for 2023 is the lack of inventory in the Boston market. Are there any silver linings that you look forward to?

Marquis: We’re off to a really encouraging start, so I would say I’m cautiously optimistic. We’re pulling a lot of credit reports, we’re taking a lot of applications. So things are looking up.

I think we’re going to get a little refi run this year, too. I do think if rates go down another half point, it opens up some refi opportunities, which we can add on to the purchase business.



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Scott Miller, a former mortgage loan originator at Sprout Mortgage, knew the clock was ticking when the non-qualified mortgage (non-QM) lender abruptly closed doors in July 2022. The decision left more than 400 employees without a job, and Miller had two urgent tasks — to find a lender that would close his clients’ loans in the pipeline and would also help him close more sales in an industry that is projected to further downsize

“I spoke with 13 or 14 people that were at different companies – people I had known in the industry, people I had connected with, and probably had about 100 people reach out to me on LinkedIn that I had known from the past saying, ‘Why don’t you work here, we have great rates’,” Miller recalled about the day Sprout announced the shutdown.

“I didn’t want to just jump for money,” Miller said, noting that some lenders with lower rates have complexities of putting together a loan — and transferring over existing clients’ loans is a different process for every company.

Miller, who ultimately decided to place his bet with Sun West Mortgage Company, was one of the thousands of loan officers who lost their jobs with a lender that failed to stay afloat. 

When looking for new lenders, the mortgage product mix, compensation, speed to close the loans already in the pipelines and the cultural fit are all factors that go into consideration, LOs that interviewed with HousingWire said. 

Up to 30% of the 1,000 largest independent mortgage banks projected to disappear by the end of 2023 via sales, or failures. In turn, thousands of loan originators could soon be looking for a new lender to hang their license.

But not every LO will find a new workplace. They will have to pass lenders’ picky standards – with the most crucial question being, do they have the client base to bring over in an industry that is still on the course of rightsizing? 

The right product mix

When Finance of America Companies closed its forward mortgage origination unit in October, Steven Reich, a former COO at Finance of America Mortgage, and some branch managers wanted to stick together as a pack.

Stronger as a group than individually, about 200 LOs presented themselves as a package deal when finding a lender.

Reich and others explored opportunities for transitioning to different lenders, and narrowed it down to a small handful of companies that were looking to hire employees from Finance of America. 

“Go [Mortgage] was on that list,” Reich said. “They were the right size company; they weren’t too big where there is a lot of red tape. They weren’t so small that they couldn’t handle us.”

Go Mortgage, a boutique Ohio lender that originated $1.1 billion in loan production in 2022, saw potential to expand in local markets by scooping up LOs that could bring over their network of local clients. 

Almost three months after Finance of America Mortgage shut down, Reich brought over 21 retail branches to form his own retail division at Go Mortgage.

Reich’s division has a goal of closing $1 billion in loan origination volume this year at Go Mortgage. To do so, they plan on capitalizing on single close construction loans in addition to the conventional, government, and jumbo loans. 

“We have a one-time close construction-to-permanent loan, and we are the largest seller of that product to the agencies. So, we are constantly communicating with builders, and even calling Realtors telling them we have builder products,” Reich said.  

In a margin-compressed environment, where loan originators need to get creative to close deals, LOs are increasingly leaning toward lenders with a niche.

For Miller, who specializes in bank statement loans and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) loans for investment properties, Sun West’s artificial intelligence platform, Morgan, won him over.

Morgan, launched in September 2022, enables the lender to convert pre-approved, property-specific home loans into tradable non-fungible tokens (NFTs). It also  underwrites conventional loans and works as a marketing tool for LOs. 

“With the AI, I’m no longer having to babysit the more conventional type loans — conventional, VA, FHA loans. I can plug them in with asset income documentation, Morgan figures it out, underwrites it, and provides an approval for me so I can work on some of the complex ones,” Miller said.

His day-to-day schedule is more focused on building relationships with brokers. To do so, he talks about how Sun West can make their systems more efficient and allow brokers to be notified during the loan process. 

“As I looked at the ability to lever the AI, [to] be able to offload more babysitting work onto the leadership team as well as the operations team, I may have left money on the table immediately — but I think it was a better decision long term because I didn’t make the jump for the capital and end up leaving again,” Miller said.

A process of trial and error

Finding the right lender can be a process of trial and error.

After Sprout closed its doors without warning, Michael J.  Barnes spent about six months at AmeriFirst Financial Inc before landing as a branch manager at Mann Mortgage.

The former vice president of mortgage lending and origination branch manager made the transition to AmeriFirst in July, a company that had the local support to close Barnes’ existing clients’ loans in the pipeline. 

“Because I had clients that needed to get their loans closed, I didn’t have a tremendous amount of time to make a decision,” Barnes said. However, had said he kept his ears open for an opportunity to move over to Mann Mortgage, which closed construction and renovation loans in-house.

“One of the things that they do well is construction and renovation loans in-house,” Barnes said. “For an independent mortgage bank, they did 192 construction loans in-house last year. In-house is key. Many companies either have to broker it out or they only have the process in-house.”

Barnes finally made the jump to Mann Mortgage following a short stint at AmeriFirst Financial, which stopped funding loans in December. American Pacific Mortgage hired about 150 employees from AmeriFirst Financial, which consisted primarily of LOs, as HousingWire reported in January. 

The employment terms

Lenders see recruiting LOs from shuttered firms as an efficient and cost-effective way to expand market share. 

After learning in December that AmeriFirst Financial’s branches were ceasing originations, APM spotted an opportunity to recruit branch managers and loan originators to make up for the lost production in 2022.

The California-based lender, which has 445 branches and 2,587 loan officers across the country, saw production volume fall by more than 55% to $12.13 billion in 2022 from the previous year’s $23.6 billion.

“When their companies are ceasing originations, you don’t really have non-compete issues,” Bill Lowman, CEO of APM, said regarding the benefits of bringing over LOs that shut down. 

When a lender shuts down, the company releases the loan originator’s license and a new entity can sponsor the LO, a process that could take up to 30 days. 

The standard for scooping up employees from AmeriFirst Financial was “high-producing and profitable branches,” according to Lowman. Loan officers who were part of those branches were brought over, he said. 

Expansion-hungry California-based lender APM acquired Arizona-based lender Sunstreet Mortgage in July 2022. It then brought over 35 to 40 retail branches from Finance of America Mortgage in October and purchased more than two dozen retail branches of Minnesota-based Lend Smart Mortgage in January 2023.

When it comes to scooping the high-producing LOs, everything is negotiable – from LO compensation, signing bonuses and clauses for additional pay, a public retail lender executive said. Bottom line is that a lot of lenders are still willing to pay for top talent. 

However, the general consensus for LO comp seems to be similar to what they were getting at their previous lenders.

“It’s essentially the same,” Barnes said. “The higher the LOs’ comp, the higher the rate is for the customer, so we have to keep it in check. We have to be paid, but we also have to be fair to the consumer.”

“To the extent possible, as long as it’s compliant, we try to bring them as close to the comp as they were at their previous company,” Lowman said. 

The cultural fit

Making sure every loan originator closes a minimum of two loans every month is an important standard that Nick Suwanvichit, senior managing director of national production at Sun West, has when recruiting LOs. 

Sun West, a California lender with a production of $1.49 billion in 2022, is in expansion mode. Despite origination volume declining 75% from 2021, the firm launched branches in New Orleans, South Carolina and Florida last year.

“We’ve been pretty picky on who we bring on,” Suwanvichit said. 

As former senior vice president at Sprout and head of the distributed retail channel, Suwanvichit brought over about 30 LOs from Sprout’s retail channel in July. He noted cultural fit is as important as bringing on a high producing LO. 

“It’s got to be a cultural fit. We were able to find people with high drive, drive for results, empathy, problem solving and patience –  all the core competencies to successful loan officers especially in this market,” Suwanvichit said. 

The cultural fit is often the most overlooked factor, but in the end, it comes down to how long an LO will stay with the lender. 

“Really look into the leadership team, being able to give you direction is I think key,” Miller said of his advice for LOs looking for a new firm. 

Every lender underwrites differently, and asking questions on the process of closing loans — and how the firm will help close certain loans — is more important than how low the firm’s rates are, according to Miller.

 “When you first make that move, every lender has their nuance, and if you don’t have the ability to understand those nuances, you’re going to get frustrated and leave,” Miller said. 



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How important are mortgage rates to real estate investing? Should I take out as much depreciation as possible to lower my taxes? And what should I do when my DTI (debt-to-income) ratio is too high? You’ve got the questions, and David Greene has the answers! On this episode of Seeing Greene, David goes high-level, getting into the topics like real estate tax benefits, return on equity (ROE), and why loans and leverage are riskier than most rookies think!

We’ve got questions from house hackers, BRRRRers, multifamily and commercial investors, and more on this week’s Seeing Greene. First, we hear from a college student trying to house hack in an expensive housing market. Then, a family who has outgrown their space and wants to use creative financing to buy their next primary residence. And finally, a mother concerned that real estate investing could affect her children’s stability. Don’t know what you’d do in these situations? Then, stick around! David’s got the answers!

Want to ask David a question? If so, submit your question here so David can answer it on the next episode of Seeing Greene. Hop on the BiggerPockets forums and ask other investors their take, or follow David on Instagram to see when he’s going live so you can hop on a live Q&A and get your question answered on the spot!

David:
This is the BiggerPockets Podcast show 720. Leverage is great. It’s not great for everybody. It’s meant for people that understand how to use it. There’s a lot of things in life that are like this. Okay. Cars are great, but we don’t let nine-year-olds drive them. We don’t even let 25-year-olds drive them if they haven’t passed a driver’s safety course and passed the test and understand the rules of the road. You got to earn the right to drive. You got to earn the right to play with fire, right. There’s people that use fire in their jobs. There’s welders. There’s different types of people that use heat to conduct certain things, but you don’t just give them the tool and let them go play with it right off the bat. You got to earn that right. Leverage is very similar.
What’s up, everyone? This is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast, here today with a Seeing Greene episode for your viewing and listening pleasure. If you’re listening [inaudible 00:00:50] on a podcast, that’s awesome. I appreciate that. But you can also check us out on YouTube, if you want to see what I look like. I’m often told that I am taller in real life than what people thought. I don’t know if that’s a compliment or if what they’re trying to say is I have a shrill tiny voice that makes me sound like I’m four foot two. Not sure which way to take it. So let me know, when you watch me on YouTube, do I look like what you pictured in your head? It’s always fun when you see what someone looks like, and it’s very, very different than what you were expecting, and you can never really look at them the same way again.
In today’s show, we’ve got some really cool stuff. We talk about how to continue house hacking even when your debt-to-income ratio can start to shrink from owning all the new real estate. We talk about if a property that is currently owned should be rented out or if they should stay in that property and not buy a new one. We get into if someone should save $300,000 in taxes or if they should avoid that and save that money in the future, all that and more in today’s Seeing Greene episode. Now, if you’ve never listened to one of these episodes, let me just break it down for you real quick. In these shows, we take questions from you, our listeners, we play them, and then I answer them for everybody to hear with the goal of helping increase your knowledge base and real estate so that you can be more successful on your own path to financial freedom through real estate.
Before we get into today’s show, one last order of business are Quick Tip, and that is 2023 is now here. 2024 is not going to be better than 2023 if you don’t make intentional changes to do so. And 2023 is not going to be any different than 2022 if you don’t make intentional changes to make it that way. So spend some time meditating on what you would like your life to look like. And more importantly, who you would have to be to make that happen. Sometimes we make the mistake of asking, “What do I have to do, or what do I need to accumulate to get what I want?” It’s much better to ask, “Who do I need to become?” Because when you become that person, those things will find you. All right, let’s get to our first question.

Shalom:
Hi, David. Excited to have you answer my question. My name is Shalom, and I’m an avid listener of BiggerPockets. My question is as follows. So currently, I’m a college student in New York City, and I will be graduating soon with an income of $85,000 a year. I’m wondering how I can start house hacking or how I can continue my real estate journey. So currently I have one parking space, which I do arbitrage on. I lease it out for 275, and then arbitrages sublease it to someone else for 335 a month.
Now I’m looking to expand, but I don’t know how to house hack or how I can grow without… because my market is so expensive. So in New York City or in Brooklyn or in the outskirts in New Jersey, duplexes go for a million and a half, two million plus. So how can I house hack or expand in this market with such limiting constraints with… of income and other kinds of things? Thanks.

David:
All right, Shalom. Thank you very much for asking that question. I appreciate it. Let’s dive into this because there is an answer to what you’re asking. You’re talking about house hacking, which is probably my favorite topic in all of real estate to get into. There’s so many ways to do it. It’s such a superior investing strategy. It could be a… It’s flexible. It should be a part of everybody’s strategy, even if they buy properties using different means. House hacking is great.
What you’re talking about is a commonly encountered problem in high-priced areas, more expensive stuff. Like what you’re talking about, New Jersey, New York, you’ll frequently see this. The reason that duplexes sell for so much is someone will buy it, and I know that sounds silly, but think about it. If you’re normally going to be paying four grand a month for your mortgage, but you could buy a duplex and rent out one side for 2,500, it’s a huge win if you only have to pay 1,500.
So if you’re trying to get cash flow, it’s not going to work, but if you’re trying to save on your mortgage, it is going to work. So, unfortunately, all your competition is okay not getting cash flow, which creates more demand. The supply stays the same. Prices go up. That’s what you’re facing with. So if you want a house hack in an expensive market, which you should, there’s two things to think about. The first, well, are you currently paying rent right now?
If you factor in the rent that you’re paying and include that as income in the investment, you might find the numbers look a lot better than what you’re thinking of not doing that. The second thing is you probably aren’t going to be able to buy a duplex because the higher the unit count in the property, the more likely you’re going to make the numbers look better.
The other thing is that you could look into non-traditional house hacks. So we always describe the strategy of house hacking. Brandon Turner and I would do this all the time by talking about, “Buy a duplex, buy a triplex, live in one unit, run out the others,” because it’s very simple to understand the concept. But that doesn’t mean that the execution needs to actually be done like that. It’s kind of hard to make it work that way, to be frank.
It’s easier to go buy a five-bedroom house with three bathrooms, add another bedroom or two to it, so you have six or seven bedrooms, rent out those rooms and live in one of the rooms yourself. Now, this isn’t as comfortable, but that’s what you’re giving up. You’re giving up comfort in order to be able to make money. Now you’re a young guy. You’re making 85K a year, which is not bad at all.
You can take some risk by buying real estate. I think that’s a smart move. You should be investing your money but sacrifice your comfort. You don’t have to just buy a duplex and rent in one side of it. If you were going to do that, I’d buy a duplex that had two to three bedrooms on each side and rent those out individually. You’re always going to increase the revenue a property brings in by increasing the number of units that can be rented out.
This can be done by going from a duplex to a triplex or a triplex to a fourplex or a fourplex that has two bedrooms instead of one bedroom and renting the bedrooms out individually or converting a family room into a bedroom and renting that out. Now, this doesn’t work at scale. It is very difficult to build a large portfolio doing this because now you’re renting out 10 to 12 bedrooms on every single unit. It’s very hard to manage that.
But when you’re new, and you’re just trying to get traction, and you’re going to be building appreciation, buying an expensive market, this is probably the best way to do it. You’re also going to decrease your risk while learning a little bit of the fundamentals of investing in real estate. So that’s the advice that I’d have for you. Stop looking at duplexes.
You got to look at triplexes or fourplexes, and you got to look at single-family homes that have a lot of bedrooms and a lot of bathrooms with sufficient parking and neighbors that aren’t super close because you don’t want them complaining and putting your tenant’s parks in front of their house. So you’re going to have to be looking on the MLS and looking more frequently for the right deal, but be looking for a different kind of deal, and you’ll find that house hacking works a lot better.
All right. Our next question comes from Jesse Goldstein. “Hey, David. Thank you for creating what is clearly the best source of real estate content available. Your show is packed more full of real estate protein than my family after Thanksgiving dinner. My question is about how to apply creative financing strategies used for investment deals to the residential real estate space. As a background, my wife and I are expecting our fourth child and are quickly outgrowing our 2300-square-foot townhome.
Our plan is to rent it out if we can find a bigger place, but since we have not been able to find one price right in the few months since we have been looking, a colleague is relocating out of state in December, recently listed her beautiful home, but with today’s interest rates, it is significantly more than I feel comfortable spending. I was chatting with her a few weeks ago after I heard her saying they had no bites after two price reductions and were considering renting the property out.
It seems both of us have been hurt by higher interest rates. I think we may now be in a situation where they might entertain some creative financing ideas to potentially solve both of our problems. They are set on their 1.3 million market price but currently have a very low-interest rate in the twos and are now getting quite motivated rather than renting it out. We have spoken briefly about a subject to loan installment, land sale contract, lease option, or potentially holding a second mortgage, and we are both seeking advice from real estate attorneys.
What is your impression on employing these strategies in the residential space? None of the local Pennsylvania realtors have been speaking with have heard of this approach. If we proceed down these paths, how might both parties compensate our respective agents for their hard work over the last several months? Thank you.” Okay, let’s dive into this one, Jesse.
First off, when it comes to compensating the agents, that’s something that the seller is going to be responsible for. That needs to come from the seller side regardless of how the transaction is structured. Now, the title and escrow company can handle this for you. They’ll just take out the commissions that would’ve gone to the agents and pay them even if you’re not doing the transaction at what we call an arms lengths deal where you didn’t put on the MLS. They didn’t just find a buyer they don’t know. They’re selling it to you.
Your question comes down to structuring this creatively, and it sounds like what you’re thinking is you can get a better deal if you do that. Based on everything that I’ve seen here, the only part of the deal that sounds better is the interest rate you’ll be getting. You’ll get it in the twos and not in the sevens or the sixes or wherever they are.
You’re not actually getting a better price. They want that 1.3 million. One thing to be aware of is if you take this over and you’re not getting your own loan, there’s a little less due diligence that’s done. So you’re going to want to get an appraisal to make sure you’re not overpaying for that property unless you’re okay paying 1.3 and you don’t care what it appraises for. But odds are, if it’s not selling, they probably have it listed too high, and they’re considering selling to you because they want to get the same money.
Now they’re not actually losing anything here other than they’re keeping that debt on their own book so to speak. So they’re still going to be responsible for making the payment even though you’re the one making it for them, and if they try to buy their next house, they’re going to find that that’s difficult. So, sometimes because the sellers don’t understand the downsides of a subject to, you do all the work, you put it together, maybe you even close on the home, they go to buy their next one, and their lender says, “You can’t buy a house. You still have this mortgage on your name.”
And they say, “Well, no. So-and-so’s paying it.” Doesn’t matter. Still shows up as lean on the property under you. Subject to is not this like catch-all that fixes every single problem. It can work in a lot of cases, but in other cases, it doesn’t. I don’t know that this sounds like one where it says an immediate, “Oh, subject to will make the deal work.” You didn’t mention what the numbers are running it at an interest rate in the twos. Okay, people fall in love with the interest rate. It’s an ego thing. “My rate is high. My rate is low. I’m in the twos.” That doesn’t mean anything.
If the property loses money every month or you could have a cheaper payment if you bought somebody else’s house that you didn’t do subject to. It doesn’t matter what your rate is. It matters what the property’s actually producing. You could theoretically buy a house with a interest rate in the 40% if it cash flowed. If it brought in enough money, that’s what really matters. So you need to do a little bit of homework here, run some numbers and see, “If I buy this property with their mortgage, is it going to perform the way that I want it to perform?”
If it doesn’t just stop looking at it. The purchase price is going to be the problem here, not just the interest rate. If it does work, there’s your answer. Now all you have to do is figure out how to structure it if you’re going to buy it. Part of the problem is you’re going to have to come up with the difference between what they owe and what they’re asking for. So let’s say that there’s a mortgage on this thing for 700,000, and they want to sell it for 1.3.
Well, that $600,000 difference you would have to put as the down payment, or you’d have to pay as a note to them, or you’d have to get from another lender, and that lender’s not going to want to give you the loan because they’re going to be in second position behind the loan that’s already there. See, when we get a loan to purchase a property, we’re paying off the existing liens with the money from the new loan, which puts the new loan back in first position, which is where they’re always going to want to be. This is another complication that comes up with the subject to strategy.
So if they only owe 1.1 million, and they’re trying to sell it for 1.3 million, and you have the $200,000 that you were going to put as a down payment anyways, that could work. But everything’s got to line up for you perfectly if you’re going to make something like this work. My advice is to not look at creative financing as a way to make a bad deal seem like a good deal. It almost sounds like you’re trying to talk yourself into this deal because their rate is in the twos, or you’re like, “Hey, we know each other. Here’s my chance to use all the cool stuff I learned on BiggerPockets.”
I really like the excitement, but that’s not what creative financing is ideally designed to be. It’s more when someone’s in an incredibly distressed situation, and they are very motivated to sell, and they’re willing to do creative financing even though it’s usually not in their best interest. Now, if you’re looking to buy this house for yourself because you mentioned replacing your townhome, so maybe this is a primary residence, then your due diligence is even easier. Look at what your mortgage would be on this house, if you assume their mortgage.
Compare that to what your mortgage would be on a similar house that you might buy if you bought it with today’s interest rates and see which of those situations feels better to you. Do you like this one more at this price, or do you like that one more at that price? And if you like this house more, the only thing you got to work out is that situation with the seller where there may be the discrepancy between how much they owe in their old mortgage that you’re taking over and how much the purchase price is that you’re going to have to pay the difference. Good luck with that.

Guy:
Hey David, thanks for taking the question. My name is Guy Baxter. I’m 26 from San Diego, California. I’ve been listening to the podcast for almost three years now and just this year bought my first property in San Diego. I bought it in May.
I’m coming up on the sixth-month mark and have a few questions about BRRRRing, just with the current market conditions. Since I purchased the property, interest rates have gone up quite a bit, and I’m just trying to decide if I should continue on the path of the BRRRR and kind of bite the bullet with the higher interest rates and pull all of my cash out so I can put it and deploy it somewhere else, or if I should maintain the lower monthly payment and just save up a little bit more for next year to house hack again.
Luckily, with the rising interest rates in San Diego, the prices haven’t quite dropped yet, so I should be able to get most, are all of my money back, maybe a little bit more, and yeah, hopefully, that makes sense. I can’t wait to hear the answer. Thanks.

David:
Hey, thank you for that, Guy. All right. This is a commonly asked question, and I’m going to do my best job to break it down in a way that will help everyone. When trying to decide, “Should I refinance out of my low rate into a higher rate,” which is what you’d have to do to get your money out of the deal to buy the next deal. The wrong question to ask is, “Should I keep my low rate or get a higher rate?”
The right question to ask is, “How much money would I have to spend every month if I refinance to pull my money out more than what I’m spending now?” So let’s say that your debt is at three grand a month, and if you refinance, it’s going to go up to 3,500 at the higher rate with the higher loan balance because you’re pulling the money out. Okay. So now you have a $500 loss if you do this.
You want to compare that to how much money you can make if you reinvest the money that you pulled out. So if you’re pulling out $250,000, can you invest $250,000 in a way that will earn you more than the $500 that it costs you every month extra to take out the new loan? So now you’re comparing 500 extra to what I can get extra somewhere else. That’s the right way to look at this problem. Now, of course, this is only looking at cash flow, whereas real estate makes you money in a lot of different ways.
But if you can get the cash flow somewhat close, it’s a no-brainer to buy the new real estate because you’re going to eventually get appreciation. You’re going to get a loan pay down on a new property. You’re going to get rents that go up on the new property while your mortgage stays the same. So every year, it’s going to theoretically become more valuable to you, and over a 5, 10, 15, 20-year period, having two properties instead of one is almost always going to be a superior investing strategy. So most of the time, most of the time, pulling the money out to buy more real estate, in the long run, will be better, but it’s not always the case.
All right. If you’re cash flowing incredibly well on the San Diego property, maybe it’s a better quality-of-life move for you to just live off of that and not reinvest. If you’ve got a bunch of real estate and you don’t want to buy more, maybe it’s a better move to just stick with where you’re at. But what I want to get at is don’t ask the question of, “Should I get out of the 4% to get into a six and a half percent?” It just doesn’t matter. It matters what the cost of that capital is.
How much does it cost you to pull that money out, and how much can you make with the money if you go reinvest it, or are you going to lose money if you go reinvest it? What if there’s just no opportunities out there? That’s a realistic scenario for a lot of people. There’s nothing to buy that they like. In that case, it doesn’t do you good to do a cash-out refinance and have capital if you’re not going to go spend it on anything. Okay.
So ask yourself the right questions. Think through this. Maybe give us another video submission with some different investment opportunities that I could compare. And then, I can give you a better answer on if you should take the money out of the San Diego house and put it back into the market in a different property.
All right. Thank you, everybody, for submitting your questions. If you didn’t do that, we wouldn’t have a show, and I really appreciate the fact that we’re able to have one. And I want to ask, “Do you like the show?” At this segment of the show is where I read comments from YouTube videos on previous shows, so you get to hear what other people are saying. And here’s also where I would ask if you would please like and subscribe to this video and this channel and leave your comments on YouTube for us to read possibly on a future episode.
All right, this comes from episode 699, tip from a listener regarding an unsafe tenant from Ariel Eve. On question two, call Adult Protective Services to voice your concerns. They will conduct an investigation regarding her safety to live alone. Our next comment comes from Iceman Ant. Ariel’s comment there was from a person who had a tenant and they were concerned about their safety. They were afraid that the person might pass out or possibly even die in the unit that they had, and they wanted to know if they had any actual obligation to care for the person or any liability in that scenario.
Our next comment comes from Iceman Ant. “LOL. He said, programs. It’s cool, David. I also grew up in the VHS area.” All right, this is some criticism that I deserve. I made a comment when referring to old TV shows, and I called him programs because that’s what my grandma used to call them, and it was stuck in my head, and it came out when I was talking. And Iceman called me out on it. It used to be, “Are you watching your favorite program?” I know somebody out there remembers that people used to call TV shows, programs.
There’s certain things like that that we just still say. Like someone will say, “Are you filming?” And I’m like, well, we don’t really use film anymore. Nobody’s used film for a long time. Like now, we would probably say recording, but you’ll still hear people say filming. All right. Our next comment comes from Brie. “I’m concerned about the first viewer’s question as serial house hacking was also going to be my strategy getting started. However, if you cannot apply rental income from the property you’re currently occupying to debt’s income ratios, that presents a huge barrier to qualifying for that second house. This is my first time hearing of this. So the alternative is to move out by either renting or increasing W2 income to afford the two houses without counting the rental income. Any other tips?”
All right. Brie comment and question have to do with the fact that when you’re house hacking, you can’t take the income that you’re being paid and use that towards income for your next property. You’re not allowed to use income from a primary residence to qualify for more properties and your next property in most cases. Now, I believe if it has an ADU or sometimes if it’s a duplex or you’re living in one unit renting out the other, you might be able to. But many times, lenders say, “Nope, that’s your primary. You can’t count the income that’s coming in from it because we can’t verify it.”
This is also a problem when people don’t claim that income on their taxes. If you’re not claiming the income on your taxes, you’re definitely not going to be able to use it to qualify for the next house. And I’m frequently telling people to house hack every single year. The key is when you move out of the last house, it now no longer is a primary residence. It does not matter if your loan is a primary residence loan.
And by the way, if you are wondering, no. If you move out of a house, it’s your primary residence, it doesn’t just automatically adjust to a investment property loan with a higher rate. The bank doesn’t know, doesn’t care, doesn’t matter. You got that loan as a primary residence and those loan terms, if you got a fixed rate, will not change for the next period of time, usually 30 years that you have that loan.
So when you move out of it, you still get a loan that’s a primary residence loan, but now on your taxes, it is now claimed as an income property. You’re now claiming the income that it makes, and you can now use that income to buy additional properties. So sometimes you buy a house, you house hack it, you move out of it into something else, then you start claiming that income on your taxes as an investment property, which won’t hurt your DTI. Then you can buy your next house. You can repeat that process indefinitely. So it slows down how quickly you can acquire new house hacks.
But in a worst-case scenario, you can still do it every two years, right. And once you get to a certain point, you’re not going to need the extra income to qualify. Your debt-to-income ratio is going to be good from the rent that you have of all the previous houses that you bought being counted towards your income. So it can make it a little bit slower to get started, but long-term, it’s not going to hurt you all that much. Thank you for that, Brie.
Next comment comes from Austin. “I think there is something Eli, who asked the house hacking question, could do. You can buy a primary house once every year. So if he’s coming up on that year, let’s say his one year into his house is 12/11/22, he can get the roommates to sign a new lease that just isn’t a rent-by-the-room lease, but the entire house lease. Then get the roommates to sign it for, let’s say, January 1st, 2022. Even though it’s December now, they can agree to a new lease now. So he can be living in the house from 12/11 to 12/31, trying to find a new house.
He can go to his lender now and show his January 1st lease, and they will count 75 or 80% of the rent as income. Or if all his roommates want to move out December 31st, he could just rent, pre-lease the entire house to a family and get a signed lease. Take that signed lease to lender, and they will count 75 or 80% of the rent as income to help the DTI. The other thing Eli could do is to try to buy a duplex. Let’s say the duplex has side A rented at a thousand and side B is vacant. The lender would count 75 or 80% of the rental income from side A towards his DTI. Curious if anyone has other ideas. I am house hacking as well and looking to scale.”
All right. Well, thank you, Austin, for your contribution there. I would… It may be right, but we would need to verify this before we assume that any of the advice you’re getting would just work. So whenever I’m in a scenario like this, I just go to a loan officer, and I say, “Hey, how does this work?” Now, most of the time, the loan officers aren’t going to know either. This is just way too granular. So they’re going to go to the lender, and they’re going to say, “Hey, I need to talk to an account executive. What are your rules for underwriting when it comes to these scenarios?”
And they’re going to go talk to an underwriter. They’re going to wait to hear back. The underwriter’s going to look up the conditions that they have for all the different loan programs and let you know can it work, or can it not work, or what would work. And then we get back to you. This is why I have a loan company, the one brokerage, and this is why I go to them and say, “Hey, this is my problem. How can we fix it?” And I let the professionals work it out. It is tempting to try to figure all this out on a YouTube column, but it’s not wise. There’s no way that anybody here is going to be able to know, and these rules shift all the time.
So your best bet, if you have questions, is to actually contact a loan officer or a loan broker and ask them, “Hey, this is my problem. How can I fix it?” Let them come back to you with some answers. And our last comment comes from Kelly Olson. “David, you keep saying, accountability partner. Try saying accountabilabuddy. It rolls off the tongue and is fun to say.” Accountabilabuddy. Okay, that is easier to say, and it is also a little cheesier, and I don’t know how well green cheese is going to come across. So, for now, I am going to use the very square-ish accountability partner, but I will say, Kelly, accountabilabuddy is probably going to take off. It’s going to be very popular.
And if you guys prefer accountabilabuddy, please let us know in the comments by just writing in accountabilabuddy. All right. We love and we appreciate your engagement. Please continue to do so. Like, subscribe, and comment on this YouTube channel. And if you’re listening on a podcast app, take some time to give us a five-star review. We want to get better and to stay relevant, so please, drop us the line if you’re at Apple Podcast, if you’re on Spotify, Stitcher, whatever it is. We will not stay the top real estate-related podcast in the world if you guys don’t give us those reviews. So that’s why I’m asking for it. Thank you very much. All right. Let’s get back into the show. Our next video comes from JJ Williams in St. Louis, Missouri.

JJ:
Hey David. I’m under contract with a seller finance property. It’s a historic home that we’re going to look into turning into… It’d be three units in the main house, and then there’s also a tiny home associated with it. It is zone multi-family and commercial. So we’re looking to do two Airbnbs on the lower level as well as the tiny home. And then we’re looking to do either an office space or long-term rental in the upper level.
The deal it’s 125 doing 10% down seller finance, and then it’s going to cost about between 70 and $80,000 to rehab everything. I’m just curious. I have stocks to pull all the money out of to do the rehab. Is it smarter to take out a loan against those stocks, or should I just pull them out, use the money, and then, that way, my cash flow’s a little bit better? Let me know what you think. Appreciate you.

David:
Wow, JJ, this is a very interesting question. I don’t get these very often, which is funny because you started off your question giving me all the details of the deal itself, and then when you ask the real question at the end, I realize none of those details are actually relevant. But congratulations on the deal you’re putting together and for explaining how it’s going to work. That’s pretty cool.
All right. The real question here is, “I have stocks. Should I sell the stocks and use the money towards the down payment, or should I take a loan against the stocks to do this?” This is going to come down to how strong your financial position is. If your position is strong, it might be better to take the loan against the stocks. Now, of course, this is assuming the stocks hold their value or go up. If the stocks drop and you take a loan against them, you just went into double jeopardy there. You lost money on the stocks, and you’re losing money on the loan you’re having to pay, right.
And we don’t ever know exactly how it’s going to work out. So most financial gurus like myself are going to give you advice that’s conservative. Almost everyone’s going to say, “Don’t do it.” Okay. This is put on my little Dave Ramsey hat here. “Don’t ever leverage against stocks. In fact, you shouldn’t have leverage on anything. Sell it all and pay cash for the house, sell it all and pay cash for the house. Don’t be stupid.” Now, he might be right because I don’t know enough about your situation to be able to tell you. But I will say if you’re in a strong financial position and you believe in the stocks, it’s not a terrible idea, in my opinion, to take a loan against him to go buy the property.
It is a terrible idea if you can’t make both the house payment and the payment on the loan against your stocks, assuming everything goes wrong with this rental. All right. Now, this is advice I would give to everybody. Assume the worst-case advantage. You can’t rent the property out, nine months go by where it’s vacant. You have to make the loan payment to the person that sold you the property, and you got to make the loan payment against the stocks, and the rehab goes high. Can you still cover all of your debt obligations with the money you have saved up and the money you’re making at work?
If the answer is no, don’t borrow against the stocks. Don’t do anything extra risky if you don’t have that extra money. If the answer is, “Yes, David, I’ve been living beneath my beans for five years. I save a lot of money every month. I work really hard. I’m good with cash.” Well then, my friend have earned the right to use leverage, and that’s just the way that I look at it. Leverage is great. It’s not great for everybody. It’s meant for people that understand how to use it. There’s a lot of things in life that are like this.
Okay. Cars are great, but we don’t let nine-year-olds drive them. We don’t even let 25-year-olds drive them if they haven’t passed a driver’s safety course and pass the test and understand the rules of the road. You got to earn the right to drive. You got to earn the right to play with fire, right. There’s people that use fire in their jobs. There’s welders. There’s different types of people that use heat to conduct certain things. But you don’t just give them the tool and let them go play with it right off the bat. You got to earn that right. Leverage is very similar. Be wise about it. If you can handle it, use it. If you can’t, just wait and use it in the future.
Let me know in the comments what you guys think about my approach to using leverage. All right. Our next question is rad, and it comes from Claudia Dominguez in Coral Springs, Florida. “I purchased a property in late 2021 serving as my primary residence until I can rent it out later in 2022, one-year owner occupancy requirement per the association.” So it sounds like Claudia here bought a property in HOA. “Being that this will be my first rental property, I have several questions I would love help with.”
All right. It’s a three bed, two bathroom, 1800 square foot house. It is a corner unit, single-level townhome with a two-car garage purchased for 322 with 10% down on a 30-year mortgage. Claudia believes that it could rent for 2,500 to 2,800 per month. “Our monthly expenses, including association fees, are 2100.” So what we’re really looking at is 400 to $700 a month in cash flow before we look into maintenance and everything else. All right. Question. “How would I calculate my potential ROI on the property? Our down payment and closing costs came to 50,000. We spent another 5,000 on new floors after move-in before there was damage to laminate that was there before.”
All right, let’s start with that. You don’t calculate the ROI because you’ve been living in it for a year, and it doesn’t matter what you put down. It matters how much equity you have in the property right now. So subtract the realtor fees, the closing costs, any cost of sale from selling this home, and find out how much money you’d have left. All right. You’re then going to take the 400 a month that you’d get if it rented for 2,500. We’re going to go conservative. We’re going to multiply that times 12. Okay. 12 months times 400 a month is $4,800 in a year.
All right. You’re going to divide that by the amount of equity that you have in the house right now. So it’s purchased for 322 with 10% down. So you really don’t have hardly any equity at all, most likely. Okay. Because if you sold the house, your closing costs are probably going to be close to 6%. So that leaves you with only 4% equity in this property, which is probably 12 grand. So let’s say it’s gone up a little bit, and let’s say that you have say… Man, let’s be helpful to you here because Florida had a good year, and let’s say you’ve got $40,000 in equity in this property.
So if we divide the 4,800 by 40,000, that gives us a return on equity of 12%, which is pretty good in today’s market. Okay. But let’s say that you don’t even have 40,000 of equity. If we divide that 4,800 by… Let’s say your house hasn’t got up at all, and you only have about $12,000 in there. Well, now the return on your equity is going to be 40%. So the less equity you have in the deal, the higher the return on your equity is, which means the more sense it makes to rent it out rather than sell it and put the money somewhere else.
So, before I get deeper into your question, it’s already looking like moving out of this property and renting it out is going to be a no-brainer for you, but let’s keep going. “How can I confirm if it makes financial sense to update the bathrooms?” It probably won’t. Just the amount of money you’re going to have to spend update bathrooms isn’t going to increase your rent by as much as you’re thinking. But your question wasn’t, “Should I?” It was, “How could I know?” And so my answer to you is going to be if updating the bathrooms is going to increase the rent that you can bring in by a positive return on investment, it makes sense to do it.
So if you could bump up the rent from 2,400 to 2,800 just by updating the bathrooms, and it was only going to cost you, say, 15 grand to update the bathrooms, and you’re going to hold it as a rental for enough period of time to make back the 15 grand, that’s how you determine that question. “I’m struggling with my own bias that I would not rent a property outdated bathrooms. I’m considering a low-budget remodel because I can get more modern used vanities, and I found that tubs can be painted. I’m just not sure if I should keep spending money on this.”
Okay, first off, good job on you for recognizing your own bias. It probably isn’t as big a deal as you think. However, you’ve swayed me. If you’re looking at doing a low-budget remodel, some of it yourself, where you’re just getting new vanities and painting a tub, yes, that can actually make sense for you to do. I assume this was an entire bathroom remodel that we were talking about.
“If the market continues as it has been the last few quarters, it will mean spending considerably more on the next property I purchased with the intent to rent it out. What criteria should I take into consideration to assure I am purchasing a good investment at what feels like inflated prices? I believe I’ve heard that appreciation should not be an immediate, or do I rate factor for long-term holds? I’m not sure how to estimate the increase in rental rates that might otherwise support purchasing the next property in a tight market.”
Again, the interest rates don’t matter when you’re making this decision. I know that feels weird to hear, and the purchase prices don’t matter. What matters is it going to go up in value from when I paid for it and is it going to cash flow? Now, interest rates and purchase prices do affect cash flow, and they’re relevant for that purpose only. Meaning the higher the purchase price and the higher the rate, the harder it is to cash flow. But in and of themselves, they’re not important. So the criteria that I think you should take into consideration is it will be more of your time and more of your effort spent looking for another deal to replace the one you have.
And this is not uncommon in real estate. In fact, this is probably closer to a healthier market than what we’ve been seeing since the last crash. I know that sounds crazy, but we got spoiled. We got used to buying a property that appreciated every single year that needed very little work that wasn’t intended to cash flow in the first place. This was mostly residential real estate. We’ve all been buying. That cash flowed from day one, and not only cash flow, but cash flowed in double digits. That’s just us being spoiled. And now that we’re not spoiled anymore, we’re angry about it.
But traditionally, the way that real estate is structured, it’s meant to make you money over the long term, not over the short term. So it’s okay if it’s harder than what we thought to make it work. Real estate is still a good investing decision. Question two of three loan options. “What are the best loan options for purchasing a property? I have a W2 job that pays above average for my area. And I have good credit, but I only have enough for about a 10% down payment on the next property. Since I already own one property, I believe that will be forced a conventional loan requiring 10% down.”
All right. So the best loan option for you is to do the same thing on your next house as this first one that you did that we just talked about. You want to use a primary residence loan and put as little down as possible. You don’t have to put down 10%. You can actually put down 5% in a lot of instances or three and a half percent if you don’t already have an FHA loan. If you’re not buying it as a primary residence, meaning you’re moving out of the one you’re in and you’re not going to buy another house to live in, you’re going to go live somewhere else. You can put 10% down many times as a vacation home. Okay.
So these are like a house that you’re going to rent out some of the time. But you’re going to rent out to other people, or you’re not going to live there as your primary resident. So hit us up if you want us to look into finding a vacation home loan for you or go to somebody on BiggerPockets, use their tools there and find a person that’s a member that does mortgages and ask them, “Hey, what options do I have if I don’t want to burn my vacation home loan? I want to buy a primary residence.” But I don’t assume you got to put 10% down. You can very likely get into something for three and a half to 5% since you’re moving out of your current primary residence.
A lot of people think you can only have one primary residence loan at a time. That is not true. You can usually only have one FHA loan or one VA loan at a time. But you can have more than one primary residence loan at a time because not all primary residence loans are VAs and FHAs. You can get a conventional loan, often with 5% down on a primary residence. Question three of three. This is a family-related question.
“I’m house’s hacking to start. I live with my kids in the property that will be rented. We just moved from an apartment that we were only in for seven months after moving from the house we sold in 2021. My intent is to purchase another property and live in it for a bit before renting that one out and then ultimately purchasing my long-term home. I feel as if forcing my children to move every one to two years might negatively affect them, but I don’t want to use my kids an excuse for not carrying out my goals. How do you reconcile some of the demands of real estate investing, in my case, house hacking, where I move my kids around every year to a new place with what feels like shortcomings while raising family?”
Ooh, this is a good question here. And, of course, you’re asking a guy that doesn’t have a family and doesn’t have any kids, and yet I’m still going to sit here and do my best to mansplain away this difficult conversation. First off, I just want to say I understand actually, I can’t literally understand, but I empathize with what you’re going through, and I think you’re a good person for even asking this question. Because, on podcasts like this, we always talk about the financial components to real estate. It is why people are here to listen. However, we’d be foolish to not acknowledge that there’s an emotional component to real estate as well.
This is a part of the process, and if you want your subconscious to get behind what you’re doing and support you in it, you got to satisfy the emotional side of you. So I’m glad you’re asking this, and if other people have been wondering the same thing, don’t feel bad about it. This is totally normal and something that all of us have to work through as investors. In fact, one of the reasons I think I took longer in life to go start a family was because I knew how difficult my law enforcement career, my hundred-hour work weeks, my commitment to building businesses and making money through real estate would affect a family negatively. It is harder, and I think that was in the back of my head, and I just pushed off starting the family because I wanted to build success in this arena first.
It’s obviously a different position I’m in now. So now, if I wanted to start a family, I think I could without some of that guilt. But you’re right there, smack dab in the middle of some of this mom guilt. So let’s work our way through this one. Claudia, the first thing I think about is you want to have an honest conversation with your kids and share why the decision will be a benefit to the family in the future. It’s a teaching tool, right.
So maybe your kids aren’t old enough to understand math, but if they are, you could explain to them, “This is what our house payment is. Now, if we move into the second house, it’s only going to be this much. That means mommy doesn’t have to work as much at work, and I’m able to be home with you more if we move again.” I wouldn’t say, “This means mommy makes this much more money,” because if I was a kid, I heard that, I’d be like, “Oh, cool, so you can buy me more toys now,” which isn’t where you want the conversation to go. So make the correlation between the more money you save, the more that you could be with them.
The next thing that I would do is I would try to find a way to make it fun. Nobody likes moving. It’s a pain, right. So can you make it fun? Can there be some kind of reward that you could give these kids that doesn’t cost money, that will make this less of a… I don’t know if traumatic is the right word, but less of a negative experience. Can you guys all get together and have pizza or popcorn on the floor when moving, sit on bean bags, and share stories of your favorite part of the new house?
Can you take an adventure as a family and walk around the neighborhood and point out the houses that you like the most or see how far away the restaurants are, the ice cream shop, or the movie theater? Can you take them to the new movies and say, “Hey, kids, let’s compare this to the other movie theater and see what about this one might be better.” Right. Can you turn it into a game or a system or a pattern where, every time they move, they learn what it takes to move and so they get better at doing it? Now, I don’t know that if it’s a moving that’s super hard on kids as much as it is changing schools, that’s what I would think. It’s having to lose some of their friends.
So if you’re able to house hack in the same school district, that would definitely be better. If not, I would have a lot of conversations about what they’re going through at school. A lot of parents make the mistake of assuming that everything is good for their kids because their kids aren’t saying anything. But when I was a kid, I wasn’t going to go home and talk to my mom or my dad if I was getting bullied or if I had a issue going on. That didn’t happen very often, but I definitely wasn’t going to go talk about it. And the times I did try to talk about it with my parents, they sort of dismissed it because they had other stuff going on in their lives that they were more stressed about.
So I was like when we did move, it was a very, very, very hard move for me. I was going into seventh grade, so I went into junior high at a new school with a bunch of kids that had way more money than the kids at the last school. And I didn’t dress very good, and I was getting teased, and I had never been teased because I was very popular at my first school. I just didn’t know how do you handle this type of a situation. And there was no one to talk to.
So I would be open with them about are they extroverted? Do they make new friends? Are they introverted? Are they having a hard time making friends? And just give them some advice of what they can do to be more likable in general so that the transition isn’t as difficult for them. Of course, I want to recognize you’re making some sacrifices here. It’s going to be harder on them because you’re doing this. So kudos to you for putting your family first, even though it’s going to be difficult in the short term. All right, our next question comes from Jack Graham.

Jack:
Hey, David. My name is Jack Graham, and I have a big question for you, which is, should I bonus cost segregate some of my properties, so I don’t have to pay income taxes on my regular income? And just for context, I have about five properties worth about 2.5 million in value total. About 40% of that is in equity, and I’m trying to get some of these properties, which two of them I purchased this year, and I looked into YouTube, some videos, everybody brings up a bonus cost segregation.
Being a full-time realtor and ultra investor, I do work more than 75 hours a month in real estate. So I could technically use that part of the tax code to offset my personal income. And this year, I’m supposed to pay about probably 300 to $350,000 in taxes, and I really don’t want to. So my question was for you, “Hey, should I do this? Should I use those two properties that I purchased this year to bonus cost segregate them so I can keep the money in my bank and hopefully purchase new properties in the future, and I could make better use of my money right now versus keeping it… giving it to the government?
And what are the consequences? Do I pay more taxes in the future? If that’s the case, is that something I should still do?” Let me know what your thoughts are. Big fan of BiggerPockets, big fan of you and what you guys do. So thank you so much for everything, and looking forward to your response.

David:
All right, Jack, thank you very much for this. What a great question here. So I’ll give a gist of what you’re describing for anyone that’s unfamiliar with bonus depreciation, then I’ll do my best to answer your question. What Jack is talking about here is, normally, when you buy a property, let’s call it a residential property, the government lets you write off a portion of that property every 27 and a half years because it’s going to be falling apart. So they’re saying the useful life of this property is going to go over 27 and a half years. So you take the total price of the property, divide it by 27.5, and you get to write that off against the income that property generates. So if it makes 500 bucks a month, but the number that I just described is 400 bucks a month, you only pay taxes on $100 a month.
If you are a full-time real estate professional, they will let you take the losses. So sometimes what happens is you get to write off 700 a month, but it only makes 500 a month. So you have $200 a month that is extra that isn’t being covered. If you’re a full-time real estate professional, you can take that $200 and apply it against other ways that you made money through real estate, commissions, income-flipping houses, I believe. Pretty much all the ways that you make income, you can shelter against that 200%. Now, when you combine that allowance with bonus depreciation, you’re actually able to not wait 27 and a half years to take that money. You can do a study where they let you take it all in year one. It’s called a cost segregation study. It’s a little bit more complicated than I’m describing, but I’d be here all day trying to talk about it.
So without giving you the details, the overall strategy is that you look at a property. You determine, “Okay. Well, this much of it is going to wear out much quicker than 27 and a half years, so I’m going to take the loss from that all off the upfront in year one.” When you combine the strategy of taking all your losses into year one with the fact that you’re now able to shelter income from other things full-time real estate professionals can end up avoid paying income taxes. Now, this is how people like Robert Kiyosaki and Donald Trump and me when we say, “I don’t pay any income taxes. I don’t pay taxes at all. I’m not stupid.” This is really what they’re getting at. Okay. It’s not that they’re avoiding taxes like they’re breaking the law is that they’ve reinvested all of their money into new real estate, so they have all these new losses to take against the money that they’re making.
Now, it sounds great, and that’s why we do it because we don’t want to pay taxes. Jack here, you don’t want to pay taxes either, but there is a downside. There’s actually a couple of downsides that I’m going to describe before we know if this is the right move. First off, you can never stop buying real estate when you do this. I say it’s like taking the wolf by the years. As long as you’re buying new real estate… Like I got to buy real estate every single year to offset the money that I made, and sometimes I have to spend close to or sometimes more than 100% of the money that I earned has to go back into real estate to not pay taxes on it. Okay. So if your goal is to save up a big nest egg, this doesn’t always work. Sometimes if you just want cash in the bank, it’s better to pay the taxes.
Second off. It’s not free. Actually, when you take it all upfront, you lose the ability to take it over the next 27 and a half years because you took it all in year one, so that depreciation is gone. You don’t get to shelter any of that income after you’ve taken it right off the bat, which means you’re going to pay higher taxes on the future income that that property makes. Now, as long as you take that future income, included in all the money that you’re making as a real estate professional, and keep buying more real estate, you won’t pay taxes on it. But do you see what I’m talking about here? You’re getting sucked deeper and deeper into this world where you can never stop buying more real estate.
And when you do stop buying more real estate, you’re going to pay taxes on the money you make, and you’re going to make taxes on the income that those properties are making, and that income is not going to be sheltered by depreciation. The last downside that I can think of off the top of my head is the fact that this isn’t free. You actually have to pay for cost segregation studies, which can be anywhere between six and $10,000 a study in my experience. So not only are you not getting to take the depreciation forever, you’re only getting to take it right off the bat. You had to spend six to $10,000 for the luxury of doing that. So yes, you will save $350,000, but you will also take some losses in some of these other ways I describe.
That all being said, if we’re going into a market like right now where I’m expecting to see better opportunities than we’ve been able to see, that extra 300 to 350,000 that you would be spending in taxes is going to do you more good than it normally would. If we were going into a market where prices just kept going up, up, up, up, up. And it didn’t matter how much money you had. You just weren’t going to be able to buy anything, and if you did, you were going to lose money when you bought it, or it might be crashing. That’s a different story. But we’re in a situation now where you could take that 350,000 and wait out to see is it going to dip more. Is it going to, quote-unquote, crash? Having capital right now is more beneficial than having capital in other scenarios where real estate just keeps exploding because of all the money that the government is printing.
So I kind of do lean towards the fact that I think that you should do this, right. Another thing to think about is that if you’re investing for the future wisely and you are growing your equity, there’s ways to make money in real estate that are not taxable, that are not cash flow. So you have to report your cash flow as income because it is. This is why when people are like, “Cash flow, cash flow, cash flow,” and they just get the little dollar signs in their eyes like Scrooge McDuck, and they’re just obsessed with cash flow because it’s going to solve all their problems. It doesn’t. It doesn’t. Now, it’s great. I’m not saying avoid it, but I’m saying it’s not as good as we hype it up to be.
When you get equity, you can do cash-out refinances that are not taxed, not at all. And the cool thing about a cash-out refinance is usually it takes you a long time to build up equity. So usually, during the time you’ve been building that equity, the rents have been going up on the thing you bought. So by the time you do a cash-out refinance, the rents have increased enough to support the additional debt you’re taking out on the cash-out refinance. So you don’t actually take any danger. You don’t lose money when you do it. The property continues to pay for the loan that you took out. You get a cash-out refinance, which is not taxed. You can either live on that money, or you can reinvest that money into the future real estate that you have to keep buying if you’re going to use cost segregation studies and bonus depreciations.
The very last point that I just thought of that I’m going to throw as a little cherry on top for this for you, Mr. Jack Graham is that bonus depreciation will not be around forever. In fact, I believe in 2023, it is set to scale back to where you can only take 80% of the value and in 2024, only 60%, and so forth, until eventually, it’s at zero. So if you’re thinking about doing this, I would say you should do it now because every year, it’s going to get progressively less beneficial until it’s not there at all. Thank you very much for your question. Please let us know what you decide.
All right, and that was our show for today. But what you guys got a little bit of high-level stuff right there at the end with some fancy words like cost segregation, bonus depreciation, some cool stuff there, and then you also got some stuff from beginners like, “Hey, what loan can I use to buy my next house, and should I buy a house at all? How can I keep my debt to income high if I keep house hacking?” And that is what we’re here for. We want to give you as much value as we possibly can so you can find financial freedom through real estate just like many of us, including me, did. And we would love to sit here and root for you guys, guys to watch you on the way.
So thank you very much for following. If you want to know more about me particularly, you could follow me on social media @davidgreene24. Go follow me on Instagram right now. You could also find me on YouTube if you go to youtube.com/@, little @ sign, davidgreene24, and subscribe to my channel and check out the videos that I have there where I do a little bit more personal stuff. You can also follow us at BiggerPockets on YouTube as well. You can follow us on Instagram. You can follow us all over social media. So look us up there and follow as well.
Look, get rid of some of the crap in your life. Okay. Get rid of some of the stuff that isn’t helping you with anything. Just the mindless scrolling or the doom scrolling that you do, and start actually listening to stuff that’s going to give you a better future than what you have right now. Thank you very much for your time and attention. I love you guys. If you have some time, check out another video, and if not, I will see you next week.

 

 

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Most retail lenders are desperately seeking high producing loan originators to make up for the losses that occurred in 2022. The majority of lenders easily lost half of the volume last year that they originated in 2021, and LOs who have their own databases to tap into are highly sought after. 

California-based retail lender JVM Lending plans to drum up business this year — but by doing the exact opposite. The lender runs its business based on a “no-loan-officer” model in which all of its 45 employees are licensed and delegated to a specific role in closing a loan. 

After the 2008 mortgage meltdown, JVM let go of all its loan originators and trained its employees to target the jumbo loan market in the San Francisco Bay area instead.

“Back in the 2007-2009 meltdown, we had loan officers with us at that time. We would feed them leads, but they came back to us because they didn’t know how to structure the full document deals,” Jay Voohees, co-founder at JVM Lending, said in an interview with HousingWire.

Under the revamped mode, business development officers build relationships with real estate agents to get leads and client advisors take incoming leads from borrowers. Mortgage analysts are in charge of pre-approving buyers, contract desk employees take in incoming contracts and send it to the underwriting team, and closing specialists process the loans and take over all communication with escrow, real estate agents and buyers to close loans. 

“In the Bay area, where we are located, we are primarily in a jumbo market and loans are very complex (…) We still have the expertise niche that comes in a complex environment,” Voohees said.   

A lender with $624.6 million in production volume in 2022, JVM saw its origination decline by 51% from the previous year’s $1.28 billion, primarily due to banks’ aggressive price cuts — which led to losing 70% of its jumbo loan business.

“They undercut us by 75 basis points on every single product, and suddenly we started losing borrowers (…) About a month ago, the banks started to push up their rates, probably because their cost of funds increased,” Voheess said.

This year, JVM Lending plans on diversifying their business to closing loans for investment properties rather than being heavily dependent on jumbo loans. The goal for the lender is to have half of its production volume come from investment properties in 2023 — up from the current 10 to 15%. 

JVM, which has also had a market presence in Texas since 2017, saw opportunity for investment properties and plans to capitalize on the growing market. 

“Last five years, we focused in Texas, we never focused on investment property realtors,” Heejin Kim, co-founder of JVM said. “I thought it was sparse. We are going to pursue the investor niche aggressively, meeting very specific realtors. We have our virtual assistants and our team looking for realtors who focus heavily on investment properties.” 

JVM Lending is optimistic about the idea of reaching its sales goal of $1 billion in 2023 based on increased request leads starting from December, which were up 10% compared to the same period in 2021.  

“We got a huge upsurge in business in late January, which we haven’t seen in years. We have this week alone one of our best lock-ins, [which] we haven’t had in a long time. I’ve never expected to see it this early, so we’re extremely optimistic right now,” Voohees said.



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From skyrocketing interest rates to market pullbacks, increased rental demand, and everything in between — 2022 was a bumpy ride for real estate investors across the country. It was enough to make anyone’s head spin. 

But it’s a new year, and you’re putting pen to paper and setting new goals for your real estate investing in 2023. While you may be focusing on what you’re going to do to drive your real estate investment strategy into 2023 successfully, it’s also a great time to take a hard look at what not to do. 

Here are three things that every savvy real estate investor should consider adding to their not-to-do list.

1. Don’t Sit On The Sidelines

“Some people want it to happen, some wish it would happen, others make it happen.” – Michael Jordan, NBA Superstar

As we embark on 2023, interest rates will likely be higher than you’d like for longer than you’d like. Does that mean you should sit it out and wait to jump into your next deal? No — actually, quite the opposite. Some real estate investors are finding less competition than they have in several years! Shifting strategies and finding new markets is a great way to remain active as affordability continues to worsen.

Your moves may be emboldened by factors like homebuyers pushing pause on their purchasing plans because they’re worried about how a possible recession could affect their job security. This factor, coupled with other market dynamics, such as high mortgage rates, could keep demand for rentals strong in 2023.

The best deal you can get is the deal you have in hand, given the math makes sense. We can sit here and play the “what if” game until we’re blue in the face, but the simple fact is that none of us can predict the future. So, do the deal now if it still pencils — it’s all about the math. 

Focus on the trusted lender relationships you know can get the deal done. While you may potentially pay a little bit more with the rate, the certainty of execution and action is going to be your strongest form of currency in the current market.

2. Don’t Get Burned

Education is when you read the fine print. Experience is what you get if you don’t.” – Pete Seeger, American folk singer and social activist

As a real estate investor, you most likely work with hard money lenders to finance some, if not all, your deals. Hard money loans are quick, flexible, and can be relatively easy to secure, but it’s essential to do your due diligence and understand the fine print before jumping in. 

Make sure to discuss any prepayment penalties that might be lurking in the fine print. If you find the penalties to be excessive, stay away. Instead, try to focus on flexible prepayment penalties. After all, the goal of a hard money loan is to provide short-term financing. As such, if you can, avoid any lending option with a severe prepayment penalty that could lock you into a high interest rate payment for an extended time.

Another thing to be on the lookout for is a forward rate lock or a guarantee that the lender will honor a specific interest rate at a specific cost for a set period. This strategy may insulate you from market fluctuations, which is essential, especially if you’re financing or refinancing into a long-term agreement for a rental investment. If your current lender is quoting you a rate that floats during underwriting, run away — fast. 

Why? Failing to lock your rate can be costly in a rising-rate environment. Imagine signing up at today’s rate, and a few days before closing, you realize your rate has moved by 25-50 basis points! Your debt service could then be constrained to a lower loan-to-value (LTV), not looking at the same cash-out proceeds, not to mention the impacts this will have on your monthly cash flow. 

Look for lenders that offer forward rate locks on their rental investment loans. This will allow you to maximize cash flow and grow your business in the current market. 

3. Don’t Wait To Get Your House In Order

Circumstances change, and you have to be proactive about changing with those circumstances.”  Paul DePodesta, Chief Strategy Officer of the Cleveland Browns

Pay off your revolving debt and get your FICO® Score as high as possible. The FICO® Score is one of the leading tools for measuring your creditworthiness and accessing the financing needed to maximize your ROI. Lenders require an efficient way to decide whether or not to qualify you for a loan and what interest rates to offer. In most cases, they will look at your FICO® Score before pre-qualifying your application and approving your loan. There’s no better time than now to start the work to improve your score. 

Having liquid funds available can be vital because of the flexibility it provides. Cash on hand can be invaluable in times of financial uncertainty — thus the phrase, “cash is king.” So, build your coffers for those opportunities that will present themselves. And trust me — they will present themselves. 

Consider holding off on discretionary personal spending to raise liquidity levels and have cash sitting on the sidelines for when the right investment opportunities come along. Get your deals done now and take some cash out — that way, you can buy with cash if you need to in 2023. Since those deals will be at the deepest discounts, you can figure out a refinance to take the equity out and recapitalize it.

Final Thoughts

Fortunes can be made in real estate during a down market — look at some publicly traded real estate investment trusts as an example — and 2023 has all the signs for a decelerating housing market that may or may not be accompanied by a recession. Distressed sellers can emerge during times like these, creating an opportunity for real estate investors to buy low and generate cash flow to help ride out the storm.

Rental vacancies and home-buying demand went to one of their lowest points in history during the crash of 2008. Yet, some real estate investors were able to exponentially grow their wealth by planning ahead, and the years following were among the best times in history for real estate investing. Experts are predicting we’re a long way off from a major housing correction like we saw from 2008 to 2012, but there will undoubtedly be opportunities out there this go around. 

The bottom line? As you move into 2023, keep your eyes open for opportunities as they present themselves.

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Affordability has improved in the mortgage market since December, thanks to declines in mortgage rates and a slowdown in home price appreciation

Here’s a spoiler: Industry experts believe this trend will continue for months, signaling that a good spring is ahead. 

“It’s been the rise in prices [and] interest rates that have constrained affordability,” Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae, said in an interview. 

However, if the U.S. economy goes through a mild recession, as the economist expects, mortgage rates are likely to come down as a function of the job losses, causing home price appreciation to remain slow. 

“Those things will improve affordability,” Duncan said.  

Regarding mortgage rates, Freddie Mac’s latest report showed on Thursday morning that the 30-year fixed mortgages dropped to 6.13% as of January 26, down two basis points from the previous week. Rates were at 3.55% one year ago. At Mortgage News Daily, rates were at 6.18%, down three basis points from the previous day. 

According to industry experts, rates will continue to go down, reaching the high 5s at the end of the year. 

“Mortgage rates continue to tick down and, as a result, home purchase demand is thawing from the months-long freeze that gripped the housing market,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement. “Potential homebuyers remain sensitive to changes in mortgage rates, but ample demand remains, fueled by first-time homebuyers.”

Regarding home prices, Holden Lewis, a home and mortgage expert at NerdWallet, said some home builders reduced prices to stimulate sales

“In December, the typical new home costs almost $50,000 less than in October. The combination of lower rates and lower prices boosted sales in December and might be doing the same in January,” Lewis said in a statement.  

A good spring ahead? 

Affordability deteriorated in 2022. Overall, mortgage payments increased by about 40%, or $534, according to the MBA purchase applications payment index (PAPI). 

However, the national median payment applied for by purchase applicants decreased to $1,920 in December, down from $1,977 in November and $2,012 in October, the data shows. 

“There was a slight improvement in homebuyer affordability last month as mortgage rates fell by 37 basis points from November,” Edward Seiler, MBA’s associate vice president for housing economics and executive director at the Research Institute for Housing America, said in a statement. 

Seiler added, “With inflation cooling slightly, MBA expects both mortgage rates and home-price growth to soften, which along with cooling inflation, should help bring more prospective buyers into the market during the spring homebuying season.”



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New home sales increased in December — a sign that new residential sales have continued to rebound in recent months. Last month, new home sales increased by 2.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 616,000, according to data published by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).

But while mortgage rates have been tumbling down, and while builders have been offering incentives to buyers, it wasn’t enough to prop up new residential sales across 2022. 

In addition, the median sales price of new houses that were sold in December dropped to $442,100, and the average sales price dipped to $528,400. In November, the median sales price for new houses was $471,200 and the average sales price was $543,600, according to the data.

The uptick in new home sales last month was largely due to mortgage rates dropping in December — which occurred after the 30-year mortgage rate peaked at above 7% in October and November. Incentives from builders also played a role, according to Holden Lewis, home and mortgage expert at NerdWallet.

“Home builders reduced prices to stimulate sales,” Lewis said in a statement. “In December, the typical new home cost almost $50,000 less than in October. The combination of lower rates and lower prices boosted sales in December and might be doing the same in January.”

The seasonally adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of December was 461,000, which represents nine months of supply at the current sales rate.

While new home sales have been on an upward trend in the recent months, the rate lags behind 2021 levels. Compared to sales of 771,000 in 2021, about 644,000 new residential homes were sold in 2022 — a 16.4% decline year over year. 

“The housing market cooled off during the fall and early winter of 2022 , and new home sales followed suit with new sales lagging far behind 2021 and setting back closer to pre-pandemic levels,” Nicole Bachaud, senior economist at Zillow, said in a statement. 

Despite homebuilders’ attempts to attract buyers, affordability challenges made it harder for buyers to enter the market, Fannie noted.

And, the small dips in rates and home prices may not produce sufficient buying power for buyers, both of which are expected to limit buyers from entering the market.

“Builders are all but throwing incentives at buyers to attract them back to the new home market, but that doesn’t seem like enough to combat high mortgage rates and prices,” Bachaud said. 

Mortgage applications for new homes in December decreased by 5% from November and 25.2% year over year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association

The decline in activity was in line with single-family housing starts, which were 32% lower than a year ago, and were indicative of higher mortgage rates and the weakening economy holding back buyers at the end of last year, according to Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist.

However, improved builder sentiment, declining rates and increased demand for mortgages offer optimism in January, according to economists. 

“The housing market is still in need of more starter and entry. About 644,000 new residential homes were sold in 2022, a decline of 16.4% from 2021-level homes, especially when current demographic trends point to the potential for more younger households to enter homeownership in the near future. New construction of these units will help these buyers entering the housing market,” Kan said. 

“We might see the market thaw out before the spring shopping season sets up, which will hopefully translate into more construction to add much needed housing supply when it’s needed the most,” Bachaud noted. 



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Chicago-based mortgage lender Guaranteed Rate launched a new program this week that will provide up to $8,000 in assistance to potential first-time homebuyers from underserved communities.

The initiative, called the Special Purpose Credit Program, aims to help homebuyers with down payments, deposit minimums, and move-in repair and maintenance costs.

“This program helps tear down these barriers and open more doors to the houses, neighborhoods, and lifestyles of our customers’ dreams, an investment that will help build a foundation for generations to come,” Kasey Marty, executive vice president of secondary marketing at Guaranteed Rate, said in a statement.

Among some of the benefits the initiative claims to offer are a minimum of $5,000 for down payment and closing cost assistance and up to an additional 1% of the sales price — or $3,000 — for a maximum of $8,000 in homebuyer assistance.

The program includes provisions for “improved” pricing for nontraditional credit loans, a title insurance credit applicable to certain properties and will remove the requirement for area median incomes, according to a statement from Guaranteed Rate.

In addition, the company will offer zero- and low-down-payment options to expand access to VA, USDA, HomeOne, HomeReady, Home Possible loans and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs).

First-time homebuyers in Atlanta, Baltimore, Chicago, Detroit, Memphis, and Philadelphia currently have access to this program. Buyers who qualify in these metro areas can use the assistance to purchase a house anywhere in the U.S., however.

“For many properties, a mortgage payment is not too much different than monthly rent; the difference being who benefits from home equity as it builds,” Marty said.

Guaranteed Rate specializes in streamlined loan applications and closing windows through its AI-generated task list and personalized mortgage dashboard, MyAccount, for which the company was featured among HousingWire’s 2022 Tech100 Mortgage Honorees. The platform provides a secure way to upload sensitive documents and automates underwriting.

The company has more than 850 branches across the country, serving customers in all 50 states and Washington, D.C. Its total loan volume amounted to $116 billion in 2021.

Guaranteed Rate renewed its contract with translation company TransPerfect on Tuesday to provide homebuyers with Spanish-speaking agents and other resources.



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Goldman Sachs’ latest home price predictions could be cause for concern. The multinational investment bank and financial services company says home prices, which have been on the decline since June 2022, will fall further this year than previously predicted.

The company notified its clients earlier this month that based on the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price NSA Index’s projected decline, the housing market has fallen out of favor with Goldman Sachs. The index projected a decline of 6.1% year over year by the fourth quarter of 2023, an increase from its previous prediction of 4.1%.

The company is eyeing the San Jose, Austin, Phoenix, and San Diego markets in particular. These “overheated” housing markets will see “peak-to-trough declines” of more than 25%, according to Goldman Sachs. This, in turn, will lead to risks of higher delinquencies for mortgages originated last year or late 2021, according to the company.

The expected declines in these markets are not far from what occurred during the 2008 housing crash, when home prices in the U.S. fell by approximately 27%, according to the index.

The national decline, on the other hand, is expected to balance out the decline in these four markets — and is predicted to be enough to avoid mortgage credit stress and a sudden hike in foreclosures across the U.S.

According to Redfin, San Diego and Phoenix are among the most popular markets for seller concessions. These concessions include offering buyers money for home repairs and mortgage-rate buydowns as homeowners continue to sell homes for below the asking price.

Lotfi Karoui, Goldman Sachs’ chief credit strategist, fixed income strategist Vinay Viswanathan and economist Ronnie Walker told Business Insider that since home prices peaked in June 2022, “the total decline on a national basis will end up being about 10%” and that prices will grow again in 2024.

Mortgage rates will also stay higher for longer than investors expected.

“Our 2023 revised forecast primarily reflects our view that interest rates will remain at elevated levels longer than currently priced in, with 10-year Treasury yields peaking in 2023 Q3,” company strategists wrote to clients. “As a result, we are raising our forecast for the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 6.5% for year-end 2023 (representing a 30 bp increase from our prior expectation).”

This will worsen housing affordability, which has been dipping since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Among other predictions mentioned in the company’s note is an expectation of “milder corrections” in Northeastern, Southeastern and Midwestern markets to better meet supply and demand.

However, not all hope is lost.

“Assuming the economy remains on the path to a soft landing, avoiding a recession, and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate falls back to 6.15% by year-end 2024, home price growth will likely shift from depreciation to below-trend appreciation in 2024,” it added.

Although Goldman Sachs’ predictions are likely to concern real estate investors, a New Western report states that investors are confident going into 2023, despite the current housing market trends.



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