Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. Why is this so important to me? If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. I would say it’s savagely unhealthy to have that level and even though we’re not there yet, we are dangerously close.

To even get close to that level, we either have a massive housing credit boom, which will eventually turn into a bust, or we have a shortage of homes, meaning too many people are chasing too few homes.

We don’t have a massive credit boom as purchase application data is at historical lows; we haven’t had the same run-up in credit as we saw from 2002-2005. This is why I always draw the black line on the chart below — to show people that we haven’t had a credit boom for many years. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022. 

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Instead, active listings are near all-time lows, which wasn’t the case from 2012-2019.  This is why the days on the market are so low historically after 2020.

After the most significant home sales collapse recorded in U.S. history in 2022 and stabilization in sales data in 2023, total active listing NAR stands at 1.04 million, up from 1.03 million last year. The historical norm is between 2-2.5 million. In 2007, for context, we were a tad above 4 million.

NAR Total Inventory Data going back to 1982.

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In Thursday’s existing home sales report, the data line I once loved turned on me again. Now I have to contemplate that the days on market can return to a teenager level even with home sales trending at a 10-year low.

From NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 29% of sales in April; Individual investors purchased 17% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 28% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 1% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 22 days.

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As you can see in the chart above, days on the market falling isn’t a good thing, but it’s the reality of the world we live in after 2010. The U.S. housing market inventory channels have changed due to how the U.S. housing credit channels have changed. This is not, nor can it ever be, like 2008. If it was like 2008, you’re about four to six years too early in 2023. You would need years of credit stress building up, as we saw in 2005-2008, all before the job loss recession data.

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One of my themes for existing home sales has been that after a big bounce in one home sales report, we shouldn’t expect too much to happen. We had that bounce in the March report as we saw one of the most significant month-to-month sales reports ever recorded in U.S. history. However, after that bounce, I didn’t think we would see much growth because that was an abnormal event.

NAR: Total existing-home sales slid 3.4% from March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.28 million in April.

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When we saw that first jump in home sales from 4 million to 4.55 million, it was a historically abnormal giant sales print month to month. This is the tricky part of reading high-velocity economic data; when data historically moves slowly month to month, you have an easier trend to navigate.

However, when you have a collapse like we did in 2022 and then purchase application data started to improve starting from Nov. 9, 2022, that was a setup for a giant one-month sales print, and after that we should be in a range between 4 million and 4.6 million. While purchase application data has had more positive prints than negative prints this year, there isn’t the real net volume growth this year to break above 4.6 million with duration or break under 4 million with duration.

Since purchase application is very seasonal, and that seasonality is almost done after May, we should now be watching mortgage rates. Mortgage rates moving up and down have moved the market. Currently, rates have been rising; we saw that impact in this week’s purchase application data report, which was down 4.8% weekly.

However, everything still looks right regarding the 10-year yield and mortgage rates. My 2023 forecast was based on where I believe the 10-year yield will range, between 3.21%-4.25%,and so far the range has stayed true. That range means mortgage rates will be between 5.75%-7.25%. If jobless claims break over 323,000 on the four-week moving average, the 10-year yield break should be under 3.21% and send mortgage rates lower. However, we aren’t close to breaking that level on jobless claims.

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The recent banking crisis has put more pressure on the spreads, and the debt ceiling issues has put some market stress on shorter-duration bonds. We must watch this because mortgage rates in the 7% plus range have cooled the housing market noticeably last year and this year. Once rates moved from 5.99% to 7.10%, we saw three straight hardcore declines in the purchase application data.

One thing about all housing data going ahead, the year-over-year comps are going to get a lot easier because of the historic collapse in demand last year. This will occur in the second half of 2023 and get especially easy to see in the last two months of the year. So, when we see better year-over-year data in home sales and purchase application data, you need to put an asterisk on it and know this is primarily due to demand stabilizing and easier comps.

NAR: Year-over-year, sales slumped 23.2% (down from 5.57 million in April 2022).

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All in all, the existing home sales report didn’t have too many surprises today, but a harsh reality is that because active listing growth is negative year to date, as we have shown in our weekly Housing Market Tracker, the days on the market are starting to fall again. 

From NAR: “Roughly half of the country is experiencing price gains,” Yun noted. “Even in markets with lower prices, multiple-offer situations have returned in the spring buying season following the calmer winter market. Distressed & forced property sales are virtually nonexistent.”

For the rest of the year, it will all be about mortgage rates and that will be where the 10-year yield is going. Remember, higher rates impact the sales data just as much as lower mortgage rates have; this is why we keep track every week for you with the Housing Market Tracker.





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America is strongest when her people are strong. Therefore, when considering policy to improve our nation, we should always incentivize striving with an emphasis on equality of opportunity, understanding that a rising tide lifts all boats.

In my role as president of the Jack Kemp Foundation, I moderated an “Innovations in Affordable Housing” webinar.  The webinar featured a panel of nationally known affordable housing experts, hosted by affordable housing developer National CORE, with the Sarasota Housing Authority, the National Multi Housing Council (NMHC) and the Housing Partnership Network (HPN) as panelists.

These policy leaders highlighted innovative solutions being pursued across the country to combat homelessness, house low-income families, and use affordable housing as a tool to improve the lives of those who need a hand up, not a handout.

What did we learn?

First, skyrocketing rents are placing a severe strain on families, seniors, and disabled persons of limited financial means as they seek affordable places to live. The most obvious impact is an increase in homelessness – which creates a host of additional community challenges. But this crisis also saps families’ resources for basic necessities and limits economic mobility.

We learned that the costs to build affordable housing rental units are also soaring. This makes it more difficult than ever to meet housing demand for lower-income families, since the rents they can afford do not cover the capital and operating costs of building new housing.

But one thing we have learned over the last 50 years is that we cannot just throw money at the problem. The cost of having federal taxpayers fund the full cost of needed affordable housing units – or subsidizing rents – is prohibitive and unrealistic. So, we need to be wise. We need to leverage our limited federal funding sources to access private sources of capital, using market-based approaches that maximize efficiency of the federal dollars being spent.

We need to prioritize local solutions.

Top-down federal grant programs, in silos separated by federal agencies and hampered by cumbersome rules, are not the answer. The housing tax credit program is a good model. Funds are competitively allocated by states to individual developments, ongoing accountability is maximized by the need to maintain tax eligibility for investor tax deductions and local developers compete for scarce dollars based on need and the merit of their proposals.

We also need to focus on people, not just buildings. Our affordable housing programs cannot just be about warehousing people living in poverty. They need to be about promoting the health, well-being and economic mobility of low-income families living in affordable housing. Our policies should focus on root causes of homelessness, such as mental health and addiction, as well as accessing health care and other community services.

Unfortunately, our housing policies are often grounded in the distant past.

HUD funds over $200 million a year for service coordinators to help families and seniors access services in their local communities. But these programs are arbitrarily limited to public and Section 8 housing units. This means that almost 100% of the new affordable housing built in the last 50 years – and the residents they serve – are ineligible for these grants. And there are no federal programs that directly fund resident services in federally funded affordable housing.

Congress should expand eligibility for resident services for low-income families – a good investment of federal funds. Accessing local health care services can help seniors avoid the alternative of nursing homes, which cost taxpayers considerably more as they pick up the tab through Medicaid.

Family self-sufficiency resident services are also a good investment. Such programs help low-income residents gain educational and occupational skills – which can help them take the step to affording market-price homes. Each time this happens, it’s the equivalent of building a new affordable housing unit for another low-income family.

The April 13 panel also explored other priorities that Congress should pursue. There is an almost universal consensus among housing advocates that the volume of low-income housing tax credits must be boosted. One panelist argued for adoption of the Neighborhood Homes Act, which would establish a federal tax credit for new construction or substantial rehabilitation of affordable, owner-occupied housing in distressed urban, suburban, and rural neighborhoods.

Another panelist suggested creating tax incentives for the long-term preservation of affordable housing units owned by qualified nonprofits, a far more cost-effective approach than building new units.

There is no shortage of ideas for meeting the modern-day challenges of affordable housing. I hope the ideas circulating in our webinar can spur further national discussion and debate in Congress about the most effective ways to modernize policy prescriptions and meet that challenge in a way that helps all Americans flourish.

Jimmy Kemp is the President of the Jack Kemp Foundation.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of HousingWire’s editorial department and its owners.

To contact the author of this story:
Jimmy Kemp at jkemp@jackkempfoundation.org

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Sarah Wheeler at swheeler@housingwire.com



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Denver, Colorado-based Incenter Mortgage Advisors (IMA) on Thursday announced the launch of a new digital mortgage servicing rights exchange. The marketplace, known as eMSR Exchange, connects buyers and sellers of co-issue flow offerings online and provides pricing 24/7. 

Co-issue loan sales, also known as flow-based mortgage servicing rights sales, are three-way transactions involving the sale of loans to one of the agencies, with a simultaneous sale of the MSRs to a separate third party. These transactions gain momentum when markets are difficult – with lower volume and tighter margins – and cash flow management becomes essential to originators. 

However, trading MSRs in the co-issue market can take up to 90 days from the first communication between the parties around pricing to the moment the loan is committed, according to Tom Piercy, managing director at IMA. The fact that it takes so long can be challenging for originators seeking liquidity, mainly small and mid-size companies. 

“With the exchange, participants have a daily commitment of MSRs that will settle at the end of each month,” Piercy said. “We are now coming as close as we can to commoditizing the MSR asset.” 

Other companies are also developing new platforms as the agencies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, have been pushing for co-issue loan sales in recent years. In November, Mortgage Capital Trading, Inc. released a marketplace for co-issue loan sales dubbed BAMCO. At that time, MCT said that co-issue transactions represented 16% of all loan sale types by MCT’s lender client base in 2022.

Trading an MSR in the traditional co-issue market requires resources from the parties. Buyers face the process of communicating with the sellers, creating pricing strategies and going through diligence and agreements. Meanwhile, sellers have to find buyers but typically do not gain access to the entire market because they don’t have resources or don’t fit the buyers’ criteria, such as the volume level or the loan profile.  

“It’s a very cumbersome process. It’s not very efficient. But it’s the manner in which this market has worked,” Piercy said. 

Incenter’s exchange allows buyers to access the MSRs that match their characteristics with loan-level precision instead of bidding on the rights to more heterogeneous asset pools.  Buyers provide their pricing and required standards to the exchange, which works as a ‘one-stop shopping.’

In turn, sellers can upload their MSRs and the platform will show the pricing grids from multiple buyers within seconds, stepping in as an intermediary and acting as the one counterparty to the buyers on the back end.  

Incenter’s eMSR Exchange provides the optimum allocation of MSRs among multiple buyers. Each loan is matched with buyers’ pricing grids and “directed” to the most desirable buyer based on the loan characteristics acquirers seek, according to IMA. 

Piercy said buyers will offer price matrices and only pay that price, which is calculated off of their pricing grids. To sellers, there’s a fee per loan netted out of the funds reconciled at the end of each month. The exchange’s fee is comparable to the one paid in the traditional market, Piercy added. 

Two buyers are already committed to Incenter’s platform, but it can handle an unlimited number, according to Piercy. The exchange can also take 50 sellers as it exists today because it has to go through compliance processes, such as diligence and counterparty analysis. 

Incenter’s marketplace suits any buyers, including banks, non-banks, private equity and real estate investment trusts of any size. On the sell side, it’s appealing to small and mid-size originators, Piercy said.



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Despite a marked improvement from the fourth quarter of 2022, independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks still lost a mountain of money in the first quarter.

On average, IMBs reported a net loss of $1,972 on each loan originated from January to March, a 35% improvement from the reported loss of $2,812 per loan in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).

A net production loss of 68 basis points in the first quarter is a sober reminder that conditions remain extraordinarily challenging for the industry, even if losses narrowed from the record 99 bps loss recorded in Q4.

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Chart courtesy of the Mortgage Bankers Association

The industry has experienced four consecutive quarters of production losses and nine consecutive quarters of volume declines, according to Marina Walsh, the MBA’s vice president of industry analysis. 

The average production volume was $398 million per company in the first quarter, down from $436 million per company in the fourth quarter of 2022. The volume by count per company averaged 1,264 loans, a drop from 1,395 loans during the same period. 

All in all, including both the production and servicing business lines, 32% of companies were profitable in Q1, up from 25% in the last quarter of 2022.

Another silver lining for IMBs was improved production revenue of 40 bps in the first quarter from the previous quarter.

However, costs continued to escalate with the further drop in volume and reached a study high of $13,171 per loan despite substantial personnel reductions, Walsh noted. 

Loan production expenses averaged $7,172 per loan from the third quarter of 2008 to the last quarter of 2022. The average number of production employees per company also declined to 374 between January and March from 413 from the previous quarter. 

Servicing operating income — which excludes MSR amortization, gains or loss in the valuation of servicing rights net of hedging gains or losses, and gains or losses on the bulk sale of MSRs — slightly declined to $102 per loan in the first quarter from the previous quarter’s $104. 

The sale of MSRs does not directly impact earnings as a revenue stream, but the conversion of MSRs into cash via sales deals bolsters a lender’s cash flow and overall liquidity.

It’s not all bad news, however. The MBA expects mortgage origination volume for one- to four-family homes to post $461 billion in Q2, a rise from $333 billion in Q1 2023, according to its latest forecast.

The MBA also projected the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to trend down to an average of 6.2% in the second quarter, ultimately declining to 5.5% by the fourth quarter of 2023.



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Existing home sales declined yet again in April, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), released Thursday.

After posting a surprise 14.5% monthly increase in February, existing home sales were back down again in March, a trend that continued into April, with existing home sales posting a 3.4% monthly decline to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.28 million. On a year-over-year basis, sales were down 23.3%.

“Home sales are bouncing back and forth but remain above recent cyclical lows,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said in a statement. “The combination of job gains, limited inventory and fluctuating mortgage rates over the last several months have created an environment of push-pull housing demand.”

Industry economists believe that the drop in existing home sales is two pronged: Higher mortgage rates are making purchasing a home less affordable for many buyers; and for the buyers who are able to afford a home, there are very few homes to choose from as inventory is so constrained.

“While it’s true that there are fewer buyers who can afford to compete in today’s housing market, a key piece of the story is that there are fewer homes for those buyers to shop for,” Nicole Bachaud, the senior economist at Zillow, said in a statement. “The severe lack of new inventory coming onto the market is restricting home sales more so than the pull back in demand. And as mortgage rates are staying relatively high and experiencing a degree of volatility, existing homeowners are feeling locked into their low rates and monthly payments. This tension will continue to limit inventory and thus suppress sales.”

At the end of April, the inventory of unsold existing homes stood a 1.04 million, up 7.2% from the month prior and representing 2.9 months’ of supply at the current sales pace.

With mortgage rates continuing to remain in the mid-to-high 6% range, the median sales price of an existing home fell slightly compared to a year ago, dropping 1.7% to $388,800. This is the third month in a row of year-over-year sale price declines. Median sales prices rose slightly in the Northeast and Midwest but fell in the South and West.

“Roughly half of the country is experiencing price gains,” Yun noted. “Even in markets with lower prices, primarily the expensive West region, multiple-offer situations have returned in the spring buying season following the calmer winter market.”

Despite the volatility and uncertainty in the economy, distressed sales represented just 1% of all sales in April, the same as in March and a year prior.

Regionally, existing home sales fell in all of the four regions month over month, with the West recording the largest monthly drop at 6.1% to a sales pace of 770,000 homes.

On a yearly basis, all four regions also recorded decreases in the existing home sales pace, with the Midwest (annual rate of 1.02 million) falling 21.5 %, the South (annual rate of 1.98 million) dropping 20.2%, the Northeast (annual rate of 510,000) falling 23.9% and the West dropping 31.3%

The West also recorded the largest year over year price change, falling 8.0% from a year prior to a median sale price of $578,200.



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The multifamily market is about to buckle. With sellers still riding the highs of 2022, buyers are at a crossroads; keep pursuing deals or wait for the market to go south. And, with mortgage rates rising and short-term financing coming due, many multifamily owners could be forced to sell their properties to the highest bidder. While some of this may sound like speculation, we’ve got a multifamily forecast straight from an expert in the industry, Angie Smith, from Strategic Management Partners.

Angie and her company manage 25,000 rental units at a time. Yes, you read that right! For the past decade, Angie has been the go-to manager for top apartment complexes across Georgia, dealing with everything from noisy tenants to in-unit farms and goat grilling operations (seriously). She knows the ins and outs of property management, what makes a good property manager, and why self-managing isn’t always the wisest move.

In this episode, Angie gives her take on the 2023 housing market and when she thinks multifamily will start to get shaky, why most investors are wrong about property management, how to choose a property manager, and the questions you should ask ANY management company before you hire them. If you want TRULY passive income through real estate, you DON’T want to manage your rentals alone.

Andrew:
This is the BiggerPockets podcast show 767.

Angie:
The management company knows what they’re doing. They are the professionals, they’re the ones with the experience. When you have a client that’s overly involved, case study after case study, the property does not succeed. When you have clients that are hands off and you have a weekly call with them, you send your weekly report, your owner’s report. Those properties time and time again are hugely successful.

Andrew:
Andrew Cushman here with our buddy Matt Faircloth. David Greene has left the recording studio vacant once again, and we thought he might have learned his lesson from the last time, so we are taking over.

Matt:
Glad to be here with you, Andrew. I’m grateful that I get to do the takeover with you. You’ve got an exciting conversation coming up today and people are like, Why are you excited about property management? This is so boring. Let me tell you guys, shame on you for thinking property management’s boring. Property management is, it is what will make or break your profitability on a deal. A good property manager will take a mediocre deal and make it amazing and they’ll take an amazing deal and make it complete crap. And guys, one last thing. If you guys want to hear more about what makes deals profitable, property management and asset management, you guys have to listen to show number 739 where myself, Andrew, and David go deep dive into what asset management is, what it’s not, and how it correlates with property management. So after you listen to this one, check that episode out. Number 739.

Andrew:
Today we’ve got a multifamily market expert with us. We are going to first get into a bit of a market update because things are changing rapidly and we want to try to keep everyone up to date on what we are seeing in real time out there in the markets. Then we’re going to talk about property management and we’re going to talk about a lot of stuff. But a couple things that are real important to watch out for is the key traits that an investor should look for in a third party property management company. What are the top mistakes that new investors make when bringing on third party property management? And we’re also going to hear a story about a tenant who had a vertically integrated farm butcher shop and barbecue that they were running inside their unit. So stay tuned for all of that. Matt, do you got a quick tip for us? You ready?

Matt:
Quick tip. Okay, guys, here is your quick tip of the day. Andrew and I have assembled a phenomenal resource for you guys to use when you’re interviewing property management companies. These are 27, not one, not two, not three, 27 questions you need to be asking a property manager when you’re considering hiring them guys. And this is capital F free, something that Andrew and I put together as a nice gift, a nice thank you. Back to you guys. Go to biggerpockets.com/resources.

Andrew:
Yes, go grab that, make it your own. Add some additional questions and let us know in the comments on YouTube, what you think of it. All right, I’m excited. So let’s go ahead and jump into that market update.

Matt:
So guys, let’s talk about the market, man. Things are changing daily. What do you guys think? Where we at?

Andrew:
Well, it’s interesting as everyone listening knows it has been, I can definitely give some insight, we’ve been pretty active in this last quarter. Deal volume, we’re seeing a slight uptick in what’s available to look at. We’re underwriting more deals than we have been, not getting more offers accepted, but we at least have more properties to look at. There’s a lot of headlines out there. I’ve seen stuff like rent drops six time in the last six months and all that. We’re not seeing that. Our rents are up at all of our properties. Almost every one of our properties had record collections in March. I think it’s really important to differentiate what markets you’re talking about. Remember, real estate’s local, not national.
So yeah, rent’s probably down if you got A class property in San Francisco, but if you’ve got a B class property in a strong growing submarket, it’s probably still doing pretty well. Don’t let headlines scare you off. Lots of properties still doing fantastic. We also just closed an acquisition at the end of March. It was the largest equity raise we’ve ever done. It sold out in a week. So again, there’s lots of talk about, you can’t raise equity these days. And yes, it is harder, but if you have the right deal and the right investors and you put those two together, you still can get a deal done. And then finally, on the flip side of that, we just listed a property for sale and right out the gate we got actually a pretty strong offer with hard money. We’re not going to accept it just yet.
But what we’re finding is properties that require bank or bridge loans are pretty tough to sell right now because those lenders are tightening their sphincters and financing is really tough. But if you’ve got a property that’s stabilized in a good market that qualifies for agency financing, the agencies are still very active and they’re out there putting loans on stabilized properties. So because there’s so little inventory for sale, properties are actually doing quite well. That’s the four things that I would hit on and dispel some of the myths and doom and gloom that’s out there. But Angie, Matt, anything you guys would add or want to comment to flush that out a bit?

Matt:
Interesting stuff, Andrew.But first of all, I can’t help but say it, congrats on the purchase and listing a property for sale, can’t help but high five you on that. I’m also seeing a lot for sale. And unfortunately, if you look at the properties that are for sale that I’ve seen, a lot of them are things that people bought a year ago, two years ago. You’ve probably seen a lot of those where folks have bought something, the seller bought it two years ago and they’re selling it for double what they paid for it, or the brokers that has it on the market for double what they paid for it. It’s a pocket listing, right? Meaning the broker doesn’t even have a signed listing agreement. They’re just going around. The seller said, well, if you can get me this number, I’ll sell.
I’ve seen a bunch of those and I don’t know, I don’t want to go buying somebody else’s problem. And I get leery for buying anything that was owned for less than 18 months to two years. Because the problem with that, that I’ve seen it firsthand, you can’t address real capital improvements. You can’t address real deferred maintenance in that short of an ownership cycle. You need to own a property a little bit longer to deal with all the things that need to get dealt with. And so these are all just properties that have just been polished up a little teeny bit and her back on the market. So that’s what I’ve seen a lot of these days. But I don’t know if it’s really an indication of the market. I just think that a lot of folks are just hanging on waiting.

Andrew:
I’d agree. And those ones aren’t going to trade. Those are the sellers that will end up riding the market down. The market will drop five, 10%, then they’ll drop their price five, 10%. Well, guess what? They’re still behind the eight-ball and they’re going to be chasing it down and holding on forever. So yeah, the property that we bought was long-term ownership, like six years. And the one we’re selling we’ve owned for six years.

Matt:
There you go.

Andrew:
So that actually makes it work. So now Angie, you have a little bit of a different insight because you see the nitty-gritty on the other side of this, on close to what? 25, 26,000 units.

Angie:
Yes, 25,000 units. It’s a little bit different. Our clients or what we’re seeing is our clients are actually not buying anything right now. Number one, prices are still ridiculous. Interest rates are up. And we also have clients that have concerns because they have bridge loans out there and they’re worried that they’re going to lose their properties and they’re going to go into receivership. We’re seeing a whole mixed bag of things. And with regard to the rents, certain markets, you’re absolutely right, Andrew, there are markets, the secondary and tertiary markets that the rents are still going strong. But in the major cities, exactly what you said, you referenced San Francisco and all, because we’re a Georgia-based management company, I’m going to reference Atlanta.
We’re we are starting to see the ramps drop. We’re seeing concessions being offered. And so you are starting to see that weakness in the market on the A and the B. And historically A starts to fall, then the B gets the A residents, and then it’s a vicious cycle and it goes down to the B, the C. There’s some concerns out there, and I think it’s going to be tough. And I think we’re going to see a lot of properties in the latter part of the summer, early fall going to receivership and foreclosure.

Andrew:
And so for those who are listening who aren’t familiar with the receivership, could you just real quickly define that?

Angie:
Yes. If a property’s going into receivership, the finance lender takes it to what we call a special servicer. So there’s a lot of special servicers in the US and so the loan goes to what’s called a special servicer. And then the special servicer actually takes the property owner to court because they’re not paying the mortgage and they take the property owner to court and the court appoints a receiver. So your court appointed receiver, which means bringing in a management company to manage the asset. For the receiver, the receiver’s actually managing for the lender, we manage for the receiver, and it stays in receivership until such time the special servicer decides to sell the asset.

Andrew:
And the special servicer typically puts it up for sale relatively quickly from that? Or is there a lag or?

Angie:
It depends on the condition of the asset. So if it’s a very distressed asset, and so you think about a property where the mortgage isn’t being paid, generally other things aren’t being paid, there’s a lot of deferred maintenance and the water bill may not be being paid. And a lot of times you see these properties end up on the news. It’s like, wait, 200 unit apartment community, the water’s been shut off because there’s no money to pay anything. And so you end up with generally a very distressed asset. So being appointed a receiver, the manager comes in, the management company comes in and turns the property around. The special servicer actually gives you the money, which is phenomenal, to turn the property around, get it in a condition to which it can be sold.
So it depends on the condition of the asset when we get it. They’re not always bad, but generally they are because by the time it goes from default on the loan all the way through the courts to appoint a receiver can be up to a year of distress for the asset.

Andrew:
And it’s funny you mentioned them being on a news, in a decade and a half of being this business I don’t think I’ve ever seen a piece of real estate being in the news for a good reason. That’s almost universally not something that you want to happen to a property you own. And then no investor left behind. Let’s dive in. Just quick definition. What is a special servicer?

Angie:
A special servicer is a company, and I’ll give you a few examples. CWCapital, LNR Partners in Miami who we work a lot with. Rialto Capital, those are special servicers and they literally focus on distressed loans.

Andrew:
So they basically come in and take over regardless of whether or not the owner wants them to?

Angie:
Yes.

Andrew:
And then the final question for those who, there’s a lot of us out there and especially those who have been trying to get into the business the last few years, it has been so tough to get a deal the last few years. Prices are high. There’s tons of competition. You are seeing behind the curtain, right? Because you’re managing thousands and thousands of assets. Matt and I only have a couple thousand. You have a much broader view than we do. I’ve been hearing stories of properties where they can’t make the mortgage payment. And then like you said, they’re not paying vendors, they’re doing capital calls. There’s no more distributions. They’ve got a balloon loan due in six months. For somebody listening, when do you think some of these things are going to become opportunities for a new investor to get in at the bottom of the next cycle?
How much longer can some of these property owners kick the can down the road before they end up in special servicing and then for sale, before they become an opportunity for the next person?

Angie:
Well, our prediction is late summer, early fall, that we’re going to start seeing the process start and that we’ll build from there. Because as you know, Andrew, so many of these people have overpaid for these assets and it just can’t continue. So you get into the vicious cycle that happened in 2008 and nine where you’ve overpaid for this asset, you underwrote it to have these astronomical rents and you can’t obtain the rents because the market’s falling apart, concessions are being offered, and it’s just that vicious downhill cycle. Oops, now we can’t pay the mortgage. Oops, now we can’t pay this. I think we’re going to see the beginning of it, especially on these balloon loans, again, late summer, early fall is our prediction.

Andrew:
All right, so late summer, early fall. And then final question, and I’m really interested to hear your thoughts on this. Some folks that I talk to and that I listen to are saying, hey, this is just going to be a slice of the multifamily market. Others are like, this is going to take the whole market down like 2008. I have my thoughts, but I’d like to hear what you think in terms of, is this going to be more like select opportunities for those who are looking to buy or is this going to be just a widespread distress it was in the great financial crisis?

Angie:
No, in my opinion it’s not going to be, because I think there’s so many property owners out there that have good solid loans at a reasonable interest rate. They’re cash flowing now. So they can take a little bit of rent drop and some tough times and tighten the belt, let’s say. So in my opinion, I don’t think it’s going to be mass destruction. I think it’s going to be, again, the people that have overpaid for the real estate that were not smart purchasers, that had to get the money out there. And those are the ones that are going to suffer, in my opinion.

Andrew:
Okay. All right, good. Well, that’s hopefully some good relevant information for everybody who’s out there looking for deals and maybe even have some of your own properties. Matt, do you have anything to add before we transition on?

Matt:
I agree that a lot of properties are going to maybe have issues, but I’m not a doomsday foreseer either. I think a lot of folks are going to find a way out or find a way to make it work. I don’t think there’s going to be blood in the streets by any stretch. I do think there’ll be plenty of deals to be had, maybe more. And I think that those that are going to win in this game or those that got into this game to play the long game. Those that got in that wanted to flip an apartment building like a hot potato and get in, get out in a year, two years as they see people on social media doing, are going to maybe have to either change their plan or they might end up losing a property. Who knows?
But I think that those that are getting into the game or expanding in a multifamily, Andrew’s a case in point, Andrew just did a deal, just closed a property or just put a property under contract and closed it just recently. It can be done. Good deals still can be had in that. I think that those that are sitting on their hands and waiting for the sky to fall are going to be sitting on their hands for a while. You might as well just get out there and try and find opportunities. Just be scrutinous and bid on deals that with an understanding that you want to make cash flow and that appreciation, because appreciation might not be a thing for a while. I think cash flow is going to be the king for a very long time in multifamily.

Angie:
I keep telling clients too, be careful in your underwriting because the market literally with inflation and everything else, the breaks have to go on. You just cannot continue at this pace. And there’s going to be a time where people are going to say, I can’t afford this. And you can’t keep affording these massive price increases. So underwriting to me, even though there might be some good deals out there, you can’t underwrite and expect 30, 40% rent increases. The market cannot bear it. And that’s what we continually advise clients of, do not over project your rents because it’s not going to happen. And we’ve seen it. People are just like, I’ve had enough. No. So you have to be very, very careful and we continue to advise clients of the same. If you have to underwrite these massive rent increases, don’t buy the deal because it will fail.

Matt:
So before you move on from our market analysis, I want to just let everybody know that the crystal balls owned by Matt, Andrew, and Angie are in the shop. We cannot seem to get them out of the shop. So make your own market decisions based on your own market data. You make your own offers at your own risk. So that is our Matt, Andrew, and Angie disclaimer for the day. But I hope that you found this market conversation informative. Moving on, Angie, you are someone that Andrew and I both think a lot of them have interacted with in the industry, but for those that have not heard of you, don’t know you in that, could you give us a brief intro and tell us who Angie Smith is and we’ll jump into an awesome conversation about property management and multifamily.

Angie:
Okay. Yeah, great. My business partner, Cindy Batey and I started Strategic Management Partners, or SMP, as everyone knows us, in 2010. We literally started the company with zero assets. And we worked for companies that were going bankrupt or were distressed. And Cindy and I looked at each other and said, what are we going to do? And we either going to go to work for someone else or we’re going to start our own company. And so we started SMP in 2010, 0 units and literally we called it dialing for dollars. Cindy was calling attorneys and brokers that she knew from her past. I was actually calling special servicers. So it leads into this. And it was when the market was falling apart. And finally a gentleman in his name, and I have to say it because I think the world of this man, his name is Hector Gomez, and he said, “Angie, I give you a chance.”

Matt:
Nice.

Angie:
And I was like, yes. We finally got a deal from a special servicer and it worked out beautifully. And he gave us the most distressed asset you can even imagined giving someone. And he gave us his asset. We turned it around and we became known at in LNR as the Georgia girls. And the Georgia girls, we got to give them more, we got to give them more. And literally LNR gave us 18 properties in one day throughout the state of Georgia though we had to go take over. And so between brokers, attorneys believing in us and Hector Gomez at LNR, that’s really how SMP got their start. And we did such a good job on those distressed assets and it just built our reputation with the brokers because they saw these assets in distress, couldn’t believe that we had the ability to turn them around and they were able to sell them at great prices for the special servicer. And there you go. And that’s how SMP really started.

Andrew:
We’re going to take a slight diversion into the juicy stuff here. So what you’re telling everybody is you started off your company managing the most unmanageable assets out there, during one of the most unmanageable times in multifamily in recent history. So tell us, give us one of your most interesting property management stories that you’ve encountered over the life of SMP.

Angie:
Well, it’s a Hector Gomez LNR story. There you go. And it wasn’t the property that he gave us our chances on. It was another one. And it was a multicultural property. And when we took over, there would be, and I’m not exaggerating, I’m not kidding, there would be goats on patios or chickens. And then we started walking the units and there were holes in the carpet in the living rooms and we’re all going, what? And they were actually taking care of the animals.

Matt:
There we go.

Angie:
They were taking care of the animals.

Matt:
Well, they weren’t vegans is what you’re saying.

Angie:
They were not vegan at all. And then they would cook the said animals in the floor in the apartment because they did not know how to use appliances, American appliances, because you have to think a lot of these people came from places where they did not have modern equipment, electricity, anything. So we had to deal with that. And we actually had to post signs, this property had a retention pond that had ducks and geese, and we actually had to post a sign, habitat not for human consumption because they would take the creatures out of the retention pond and have them for dinner as well.

Matt:
Now Angie, were they paying pet rent for the goats and chickens?

Angie:
Do you know Matt, we actually kidded about that. It became a joke even with our asset manager, are you charging pet rent? We can make a lot of money here.

Matt:
That’s a revenue stream, man.

Angie:
Revenue stream. But no, we had to stop the practices. There you go.

Matt:
Oh man. Different strokes, right?

Angie:
It was a total educational situation too, that we had to help people truly learn how to cook and use modern appliances. It was a wild time, it was fun. That’s probably my wildest story.

Matt:
There you go. Every landlord’s got stories that at the cocktail party, they’re the one that you got to stop the music and everybody huddles around the landlord, you hear them tell some crazy landlord stories. So thank you for sharing that.

Angie:
Exactly.

Matt:
Here’s an interesting thing, right? Because some folks listen to this podcast that maybe are just getting into the real estate game or some folks that are listening that may be self-manage or whatever it is. Property management, believe it or not, Angie, some folks don’t find it to be that interesting. And some folks might even say, I don’t even need to talk about property management or even listen to that podcast episode because it’s not that important. Right? What would you say, to say that why is a third party management using a separate PM company, aside from managing in-house, why is it, I’m throwing you a softball here because I think Andrew and I both agree it’s imperative, but why is it important for a real estate investor, why can’t they just buy the property and let the winds of the market take the property where it’s going to go?

Angie:
Good question. And a lot of people, you’re right, Matt, do not understand it, but it’s the boots on the ground day in and day out that make it happen. You have to deal with the resident, you have to lease the apartment, you have to collect the rent, and you have to understand the market you’re in. So let’s just say someone from San Francisco, California buys a property in Savannah, Georgia. What does that person from San Francisco know about Savannah? 99% of the time little to nothing. You need to hire someone that is market knowledgeable, that knows what they’re doing, knows the laws of the city and state in which they’re operating, to be successful and is hard to manage a property from thousands of miles away. You need a professional management company on the ground, running your asset.

Andrew:
Let’s step back a little bit. How exactly do you define, what is third party property management?

Angie:
And there’s really, I’ll say three different types of management companies. There’s a third party management company, which is 100% fee managed. We SMP for example owns no real estate. And then there’s an owner manager where they may own some real estate, but also they’re a management company. Then you strictly have the owner that manages, and I know that just sounds crazy, but you can have an owner manage a real estate company that they own and manage third party and then the owner that has their own management company and manages. So for someone that’s out there looking for a management company, and my career prior to SMP was an owner manager management company, and a lot of the clients would say, hey Angie, how do I know Mr. Owner of the management company?
He’s getting all the attention, he’s getting all the best employees, he’s getting all of this. So it created a lot of friction, so not to say that they’re not good management companies or they won’t do a good job for you, but to have a third party 100% management company is appealing to a lot of people.

Matt:
I want to highlight something, because you don’t only work for individuals like myself and Andrew that are either syndicators or larger corporations that are hedge funds, whatever, that are owning multifamily. There’s also a concept called receivership. And you mentioned it when we were talking about the markets. You mentioned it here. I’m realizing that to some folks we might just be throwing around real estate slang, right? What is receivership? Let’s define that term and talk about how it’s different than working for a direct operator like myself or Andrew.

Angie:
Right. Well, as a special servicer or being a receiver, actually if you’re appointed receiver, you’re appointed by the courts in the county in which that property’s located. And the court literally appoints you receiver and you report to the court. So you work with the special servicer, they’re the ones that fund you money to operate the asset, but it’s the court you actually report to.

Matt:
Is this like a bank owned property? Because a lot of people in other lanes of real estate might call that a foreclosure where the property’s now owned by the bank. But a receivership arrangement could be, correct me if I’m wrong, Angie, where it’s still owned by the owner, but the bank has taken over the responsibility measures and turned in, you turned it over to your company to act in their best interest, if you will, even though they’re not the owner.

Angie:
Correct. And the foreclosure. So you have receiverships and foreclosures. So if a property goes into foreclosure, the lender has taken it back and then they hire a management company to operate it. And under the same really pretty much premise as you do a receivership. So they fund, you operate until such time the lender wants to sell the asset. So in a receivership, technically, yes, Matt, the owner still owns the property, but the lender goes in, gives it to a special servicer who takes it to court to appoint a receiver because they’re in default of the loan. And a lot of times a receivership property keen or generally does go into foreclosure. So it gets the owner out of it. So it will go into foreclosure. But there are times, and we had it during the years that we managed so many of these, that it stayed in receivership the entire time.

Matt:
Have you ever seen a situation where a property in receivership ended up getting out of receivership and going back to the owner?

Angie:
Never.

Matt:
Okay.

Angie:
Never.

Andrew:
I’ve heard stories of owners trying that, but they generally get found out, and that’s not allowed. One of the key things for investors, especially those who are looking to move to another market or get in for the first time, is picking a property management company. I live in California, I’m going to invest in Georgia. There’s all these property management companies. How do I figure out which one is the right one for me and my business and how I operate it? So could you, Angie, explain a little bit, how does someone go about picking a property management company? And then in that, actually tell us a little bit more about SMP, how many units do you guys have? Who’s a good fit for you? Who isn’t? And maybe use SMP as an example of how someone would go about that selection process when they are building their third party property management team?

Angie:
It’s a good thing for a property owner to interview more than one management company because a lot of times, and I’m going to start this and this will throughout our entire conversation today, this will be the key. It’s a people business. It’s all about the people, it’s about the property owners, it’s about the property management company, it’s about the vendors, it’s about the residents. So everything we do in property management is a people business. And so a lot of times it’s personalities. How is the personality between the owner and the property manager? Then, does the property management company have the expertise? So do they have the expertise in the asset class of what’s being purchased? Do they have the market ability? Do they understand the market and do they have the right accounting software?
Are they agreeable? Okay, I want my property on accrual. Oh no, I want my property on a cash. Is the management company accommodating to that? So really it’s a relationship. And that is why Cindy and I named our company’s Strategic Management Partners. We wanted to strategically manage with our clients. And that’s how we came up with the name, because we wanted it to be a partnership. Here’s another thing that’s interesting, and again, you asked me to use SMP, so I will. So when Cindy and I started the business and we started meeting with potential clients and doing our dog and pony show, we literally had to tell people we are not going to be a buy the policy 100% cookie cutter company. So property, like Andrew has two properties in the same city. I’ll use that for example. We don’t operate those two properties exactly the same. I don’t care if they’re a mile down the road from each other, they’re different assets with different residents, different everything.
I’m not going to run property A exactly the way I’m going to run property B. Of course you have generalities, you collect the rent the same, you try to get everybody to pay their rent online, et cetera, et cetera. But the marketing of the asset or what you do can be totally different. And I think that is also besides us getting started in the receivership business and proving to the world that we could manage stuff that nobody thought could be managed. It was our commitment to our client not to run everything exactly the same because no two assets are exactly the same.

Andrew:
One quick thing to ask before we move on to another topic. Where is SMP now? Because when we met, I think you guys were at about 3000 units. So where are you now and where does that put SMP on the scale or spectrum of management companies that investors have to choose from?

Angie:
Right. Dang Andrew, we’ve known each other way too long. If we started at 3000 units, we currently, we run between 24 and 26,000 units. Again, being a fee management company solely, clients buy, clients sell. So our numbers from month to month literally are up and down. But we generally run between the 24 and 26,000 unit range is where we’ve leveled out at. And there’s larger management companies, there’s smaller management companies. I just think we fit in a good, I’ll say a good niche. And we do not operate in every state. So if a client asks us to go to Kentucky, for example, the answer would be no. Number one, we would be doing a major disservice to that client because we don’t know flip about Kentucky besides the names of the city and they race horses there. So it is just not our forte. Or to go to Arkansas or Andrew, California.

Matt:
I wouldn’t go to California either.

Angie:
I wouldn’t go.

Matt:
Not for investments, no.

Angie:
So you don’t want to go where you’re going to do a disservice to your clients. And if a client is buying a bad deal and we don’t agree with it, we will also tell our clients, no, this is not for SMP. And we have probably lost more business. We could probably be at 50 or 60,000 units now. We’re not going to do it if it’s not the right fit. So it has to be, again, a mutual partnership and agreement because we don’t want to set our client up to fail and we don’t want fail for our client. Are we perfect and have we failed? Absolutely. Will we do it in the future? Absolutely. It’s part of life. Sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn’t and it’s okay. And that’s why we have a 30-day out in our management agreement.
If you’re not happy with us or we’re not happy with you, let’s part friends. Life’s too short. And again, this business is 100% about people and relationships.

Matt:
Absolutely. And going further on that, let’s talk about people, right? Because there’s two different people, there’s the owner and the property manager. And let’s discuss that relationship for a little bit in that. What is the most misunderstood part of the owner, PM relationship, that you see over and over and over again and you wish, you’re talking to lots and lots of real estate owners right now, so this is your chance to preach from the pulpit and tell all these owners, what is a big misunderstanding that owners have, either about something a PM should be doing, that they think owners should be doing that they’re not? Or just a common misconception that you think owners have between the PM and owner relationship?

Angie:
Well, that’s a tough question, Matt, but I’ll answer it this way. The management company knows what they’re doing. They are the professionals, they’re the ones with the experience. So when an owner, especially new ones are too involved in the day-to-day operations and want to say, oh my gosh, we just had a unit come vacant, raise the rent $250. Well Mr. Client, no, you’re going to price it out of the market and it’s unreasonable to expect that rent. Do it anyway. So when you have a client that’s overly involved, the chances of success of the management company, and this just is not SMP, it’s every management company in the United States, you’ve hired them for a reason, let them do their job.
And for those clients that are overly engaged, case study after case study, the property does not succeed. When you have clients that are hands off and you have a weekly call with them, you send your weekly report, your owner’s report, you’re engaged in good conversation with them. Those properties time and time again, are hugely successful.

Andrew:
I’m going to play devil advocate for a second here, Angie. I own the property, I care about it more than anybody else, therefore I’m going to do the best job managing it.

Matt:
It’s my money.

Andrew:
It’s my money, it’s my property. I’ve got my own thoughts on that. But what would you just say to an investor who says they want to self-manage because of that reason?

Angie:
And we’re going to keep this show PG, I was pre-warned about that. So we are going to keep it PG. Well, Mr. Client, you don’t flip and know everything and I’m sorry. We try to professionally tell our clients that, please, we have the market expertise. We understand. We do this day in, day out. We have done this for a living. You haven’t. Please let us do it. And sometimes they do, sometimes they don’t. But a good management company, and Cindy and I tell our clients this all the time, Cindy and I, we’re going to go to past lives. We had major ownership in real estate. We understand what it’s like to own a property and want that property to succeed. We instill that in our executive team.
When we tell them time and time again, you treat this asset like it’s your own. So Andrew and Matt, there you go. We instill in our people, pretend like this is your asset, that you own it. And that’s what we try to always give our people.

Matt:
Going off of that, right? There is a line though of things the owners should be doing and maybe they expect a PM company to do. So what are some common things that an owner really ought to be doing themselves and they maybe expect, an untrained owner would expect their PM company to do, but it’s really the owner’s task?

Angie:
I’ll just give a couple of examples, because there’s many. But like tax appeals, a management company is not a wizard in tax appeals. We don’t do that. That’s not our forte. So there’s tax appeal companies out there. Mr. Owner we’ll get you the tax appeal company, but your manager is not going to go file a tax bill for you. I need to get a refi done. Will you work on this? No, it’s not our job to do your refinance. It’s your job to do your refinance. It’s our job to manage the property. So those are just a couple quick examples of stuff that sometimes we get asked and they’re like, well, why can’t you just do the appeal? Tax appeal companies they get a fee for doing this. And the client says, oh no, you can just do it. No, we can’t.

Matt:
I can’t believe you’ve had owners ask you to handle your refinance. I’ve also heard of owners asking their PM company now to handle their investor distributions for us. Like, hey, can you just pay my investors direct and send them there quarterly, just send it to them direct from the company. Right?

Angie:
Happens all the time.

Matt:
The reason why you can’t do that, there’s a fiduciary duty there. That’s not an end of the stick that you want to pick up in dealing direct with investors. And that’s probably something that ought to get handled by this syndicator or by the operator themselves and investor relations and everything. Yeah. Great. Thank you. Well, what are some things that keep you up at night, about just things that go wrong on these properties and things like that where you’ve got, just what keeps you up at night as a PM, as a good property manager that really cares? And I can tell you do. So as a PM that really cares, what is something that just really concerns you on a day-to-day basis as a property manager?

Angie:
Number one. And it’s number one, number two, number three, crime and lawsuits. It’s very simple. That is the hardest thing that any management company will ever deal with, is crime and lawsuits. It’s no fun. You can have a drowning, you can have a shooting, you can have a kid fall out of a tree and you’re getting sued. Somebody falls off of a ladder. The legal aspect of this. And everybody is so litigious today, so we can go into insurance from here and I can talk to you for hours about the insurance and how hard it is to get insurance now. But the litigious society that we live in today makes it very hard to be a property manager. And it’s actually scary. And then yes, it can’t keep us up at night, especially if we have one of those situations happen.

Matt:
Well, let’s go there, because a lot of things you talked about, crime and lawsuits are driving up the cost of insurance for owners. It’s not just because we’re getting more hurricanes or whatever, because not every area is getting that. The cost of insurance is going up drastically on multifamily. Why is that? You already comment on why that is. What is something that you recommend owners can do? Are there ways that we can navigate insurance costs and that multifamily owners can just be prepared for with regards to cost of insurance?

Angie:
No. And there’s really no simple answer, Matt. I just can’t say, wave this magic wand or do this or do that. Because if you go to an insurance broker and they take it out to market and you don’t like those quotes and you go to another insurance broker, well, the next insurance broker’s going to be blocked out of the market. So they can’t go get those quotes because they’re already blocked out of the market for that piece of real estate. So you literally have to trust in your broker to shop every aspect to get the best insurance possible. But is there just a simple snap your finger solution to insurance these days? No. And again, we’re primarily based in Georgia, getting insurance in the state of Georgia, especially in Atlanta, I’ll leave it like that, Metro Atlanta.
It’s almost impossible because the laws in Georgia have changed and so many high awards have been awarded to people from juries that the insurance company’s just, life’s too short, we’re out of Georgia. And so owners are having a very difficult time in Georgia getting insurance.

Matt:
Trouble all around. Good insight. It is what it is. A lot of folks I talk to either talk about, they look at property management as believe it, and you can scream, don’t do it right now if you want, they talk about either self-managing or even gasp, starting their own property management company and managing on behalf of other people. Drinking the Kool-Aid that you drank many years ago and doing it themselves as a revenue stream, as a business to own. What would you say to folks that are considering getting into the business as you and Cindy did many years ago and starting their own PM company?

Angie:
The difference is, Cindy and I grew up in this industry. So I started out as the leasing consultant, worked my way up to owner of a management company. It didn’t happen overnight. We had the big hits and the fall down and hurt your knee along the way. So we had the experience of learning the industry versus an owner that they just bought their first property and they think they’re going to go in and manage it. They don’t have a clue. They don’t know, number one, you need a software program. Well, some people go in and try to use QuickBooks when they buy their first property. And how to hire people. What do you hire for? Where do you get the vendors from? And that is the experience that comes from a management company to know that.
Now, there are owners out there that have started their own management companies quite successfully, but it’s understanding the business and it didn’t happen overnight either. You don’t buy your first property and then start a management company. It generally just doesn’t work.

Andrew:
I would certainly agree with that. And then also, so there’s a lot of people listening who are like, okay, that’s great, but I still need to pick a management company. So what would you say are some of the most important, if you were to pick the top three most important questions that somebody interviewing property management companies should ask, what would those three questions be? And then for your bonus question, what is the question that everybody asks that really isn’t that important, even though they think it is?

Angie:
What’s my astrological sign, I guess? So important things to ask. Again, I have to go back. Do you understand, know the market and can you operate in that market? Because if you hire a management company that doesn’t know the market, they’re going to be starting behind the curveball. Can it be done? Yes, it can be done. But if they don’t know, again, let’s go to Lexington, Kentucky where SMP does not operate, you would be making a huge mistake. So they need to know, do you know the market in which we’re purchasing our asset? What kind of software do you use? Do you have the bandwidth to take on our property? Is another good question.

Matt:
That’s a great question. And I bet you nobody asks that.

Angie:
Very rarely. Every once in a while, but very rarely does that get asked. And what kind of billbacks or hidden fees are there? A lot of people don’t ask that. And Cindy and I, when we started SMP, again, we came from very large companies in our past lives that some of them had or they had billbacks. And when the client saw some of it, they’re like screaming. So Cindy and I are full disclosure, we tell you exactly what you pay for with SMP and you see every check that’s written, everything, there’s no hidden agenda. And when Cindy and I started, because I did come from the fee side with an owner portion, and she was totally from a company that was owner managed, so she didn’t understand what I was saying. But I was like, no, billbacks, full disclosure to our clients and we live with that integrity every day.

Matt:
Can you just real quick, what is a billback? Just to help educate here. What is a billback?

Angie:
A billback could be like if there’s a marketing department or a portion of the accounting fees would be billed back to the client, and that is not disclosed in the management agreement.

Matt:
Like charges up and above and beyond the PM fee.

Angie:
Yeah. Or portion of the regional manager or whatever that is being charged to the client, unbeknownst to them.

Andrew:
I want to highlight two of the things you said, Angie, that in my experience and observation are two of the biggest reasons that owner and third party management relationships fail. And that is, number one, you said make sure you hire a management company that knows the market. That right there is absolutely key, because unfortunately there’s two mistakes there. One, an owner hired a property management company that didn’t know the market. The second mistake was the property management company agreed to take the job. They shouldn’t have done that. And then that leads to failure because they don’t know the market and that owner is not really going to get better service than if they did it themselves because the property management company doesn’t know that market either. I think that that’s real important for everybody to make note of.
The second one is bandwidth. A lot of companies, not just in real estate, but across the board, are growth at any and all expense. And especially in property management that’s a huge mistake, because if you’ve got a regional that’s already managing 27 properties and yours is going to be the 28th, you’re probably not going to get that much good oversight and things just aren’t going to work well. So for those listening, those are two absolute key questions. Is does the property management company you’re talking to truly know the market, have experience in the market? And if they do, ask them if they can help you underwrite and look at deals, right? Because like Angie mentioned, she has said to the clients, no, we’re not going to take that deal. Well, if you’re talking to a property management company and they’re willing to take anything you’re throwing at them, that’s a red flag, right? That’s growth at all costs.

Angie:
Number one red flag probably.

Andrew:
You don’t want that. And then also, yeah, do they have the bandwidth? Do they have the people in place? Do they have the systems? Do they have the capability to hire and bring on and attract new staff? Does a property manager who’s going to come run your property want to work for that company? So again, Angie brought up two really, really good things. Make sure they know the market, make sure they have the bandwidth. And then also for those who missed the previous episode we did on property management, we did provide everybody a list of 27 questions to ask. So if you missed that last time around, there’ll be a link in the show notes, go get that, and that will definitely help you out. Matt.

Matt:
Great, great, great stuff. Andrew and Angie, this has been a phenomenal conversation. Angie, thank you for coming on, on behalf of everybody, for coming on and joining us.

Angie:
It’s been fun.

Matt:
Always fun. So real quick, for those that want to hear more about you or SMP or get connected in one way or another, how would folks do that?

Angie:
Go to our website at www.smpmgt and you can find us.

Matt:
Smpmgt. Angie, thank you. Thank you so much. And congrats on the growth and success of SMP. Looking forward to talking to you again soon.

Angie:
Yep. Sounds good. It’s been fun, guys. Thanks.

Andrew:
All right, take care. Well, that was our interview conversation with Angie Smith on property management. We only got to a fraction of the stuff we would’ve liked to talk about, but this isn’t a six-hour podcast. So for the stuff we did talk about, Matt, what would you pick out as one of your top highlights or most important things that we talked about?

Matt:
First of all, phenomenal interview. Angie is an industry expert. She’s been doing this for a very long time and manages thousands and thousands, thousands of units. So it’s such a great conversation to have with someone that’s got that much seasoning and industry experience. A few highlights for me is towards the end where you had talked about asking a property manager to underwrite deals for you. And I don’t think enough people realize that a property manager can give you, not just, this is the way we would run the property, but a really good or even great property manager is going to be able to look at your financials and validate them and say, well, rents in this market should be X. You have them as Y, or we think we can manage for a lighter expense load or probably more likely a heavier expense load.
They can give you guidance on payroll for folks you’re going to have to hire. A good way to know if a property manager really has their finger on the pulse or not is their ability to give you a good financial analysis for deals. And so I think that asking a PM for their underwriting, their performer is what they’re going to call it, for your property, is I think really, really paramount. And I’m glad you brought that up during the interviewing. That was a good reminder for me as well.

Andrew:
One of the things that she said that I thought was really important to highlight, is that one of the biggest new investor mistakes is picking out the perfect property management company saying, all right, hiring them, putting them on the property and then micromanaging them to death. Just diving into the little details of, well, this unit I want to rent for this, and this unit should be this. And is the lady in 6A, has she paid her pet rent? Step back a little bit and let the property management company handle the day-to-day details. That is what they are there for. And if you hired the right company, they’re going to be better at that than you are.
Now, that doesn’t mean you hand the property over to them and say, all right, I’ll talk to you in a month when you send me the report. You still want to be involved. You still want to be given the big picture vision and direction for the property, but let them do their job, don’t micromanage. And you know what? If you let them do their job and they don’t, well, that’s a different conversation and you can go find another property management company. But if you go third party, let them do the job. So that’s definitely one of the things I would highlight. Matt, for those who are maybe just new to BiggerPockets and somehow have missed you, how do people find you?

Matt:
Folks can get ahold of me real easy, Andrew, just by going to our company website, that is derosagroup.com. Derosagroup.com. They can hear all kinds of cool stuff we’re up to right there at that website.

Andrew:
I’m Andrew Cushman. You can just google my name or find me at Vantage Point Acquisitions, vpacq.com. And there’s a handful of ways to connect with me there. And of course, I’m a BiggerPockets pro member, so make sure you connect with me first on BiggerPockets. So this is Andrew Cushman for Matt, Captain America, Faircloth, signing off.

 

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Transactions in the fix and flip market have been booming in recent years, with more than 407,000 homes flipped in 2022, up 14% over 2021 and up 58% over 2020, according to a recent report by real estate data firm ATTOM.

In fact, ATTOM reports that one in 12 home sales in the nation last year, or 8.4%, involved fix and flip investors — whose strategy is to acquire, renovate (fix) and then resell (flip) the properties.

Although the number of flips last year was the highest since at least 2005, ATTOM reports that “profit margins on the typical flip in 2022, which took an average of 5 ½ months to complete, slumped to just 26.9%.”

At that margin, ATTOM notes, the cost of renovations, property taxes, mortgage interest and other expenses — which in total  consume 20% to 33% of the resale value — could easily cancel out any return on investment for the flipper.

Keith Lind, CEO of Acra Lending, which launched a fix and flip lending program last year, said there are a lot of “compounding issues” now facing investors in the space. 

“A year ago for us, fix and flip [loan interest] was probably 6.5%, but today, you’re probably getting between 10% and 12%,” Lind said. “When you’re paying that much debt service, it’s harder to make a project work, on top of the fact that originators like us and others, like Kiavi, have tightened our advance rates. 

“A year ago, we were offering to lend 85% loan-to-cost or 90% loan-to-cost, and that’s down to like 75% loan-to-cost. So, now, not only does the investor need to come in with more money to close the deal, but they also are paying a much higher interest rate … and then you have home prices coming down or flattening out [as renovations are underway] … so it’s harder to make that deal work today.”

ATTOM notes that the fall-off in the typical return on investment (ROI) for a fix and flip deal in 2022 represents the fifth decline in the past six years. The 2022 margin for a median-priced flip was down 6 percentage points compared to 2021’s mark of 32.6%, and it was off 15 percentage points from 2020 — and at barely half the peak ROI of 51% hit in 2016.

“More investors keep looking to flip homes … but are making less and less in the process “ ATTOM CEO Rob Barber said. “How long that can continue is hard to say.”

Catching the headwinds

Brandon Lwowski, director of research at HouseCanary, a proptech firm that provides institutional investors, lenders and other clients with residential real estate analysis, said the 2021-2022 time frame was an “optimal market for flippers” because of strong home-price appreciation, tight home inventory and “huge demand.”

Today, he said we still have strong home prices, which have been trending upward again since the start of the year; limited for-sale inventory; and solid demand, though not at the level we experienced in 2021-2022, when 30-year fixed interest rates were in the 3% range or less — versus more than twice that today.

“The deep-pocket cash buyers definitely can find some deals and make a good ROI, but for the people depending on debt to purchase their flip, they are really going to have to be careful and strategic … because the financing is becoming so expensive in this high interest-rate environment,” Lwowski said. “The big thing is the carrying cost that a lot of [smaller] investors don’t realize.  

“If you’re taking three, four months to flip this house, that’s four more months of a mortgage that you’re going to have to pay at a high interest rate, [plus dealing with rising labor and material prices due to inflation]. It’s really going to take a piece out of your return when you start to calculate your carrying cost on that property [while the renovations are happening].”

ATTOM’s Barber points out that home-flipping activity in 2022 hit a 17-year high even as ROI hit a 14-year low — “with returns dropping in three-quarters of the metro areas analyzed in 2022.”

“It shows competing trends that will hit a breaking point at some time in the near future,” Barber said, “dictating whether home-flipping keeps growing or recedes as a small, but important niche in the U.S. housing market.”

Arvind Mohan is CEO of Kiavi, a fix and flip lender that has originated some $12.3 billion in loans over the past nine years and completed a dozen securitization deals to date involving fix and flip loans, including three transactions last year and one so far this year. Mohan added that Kiavi plans ideally to do three to four securitization deals a year, an outlet that creates liquidity for the company that helps to fund future loans in the space.

Mohan agrees that the market is tough right now, favoring well-capitalized lenders like Kiavi because it allows them to increase market share as other smaller lenders in the space pull back. He said Kiavi’s fix and flip business is basically flat so far this year versus 2022, but its market share is rising, and he does see signs of a recent “pickup” in the market.

“Comparing Q1 2022 to Q1 2023, we’re seeing [fix and flip transaction volume nationally] roughly 45% to 50% lower,” he said. “Then, if you look at the entire year of 2022 relative to what we are projecting through our data models for 2023, it will be down roughly like 25% to 30% in transaction volume … so we do think there’s some normalization happening right now.

“… As of late February to early March [2023], we’re definitely seeing participants come back into the market [after a late-year lull in 2022 sparked by uncertainty],” Mohan added. “It’s not by leaps and bounds by any means, but people are definitely trickling back into the market, getting confidence that things are moving [in a better direction].”

Acra’s Lind said moving forward, it will be the “larger, well-capitalized originators,” like Kiavi, Acra and others, such as Roc Capital, that will dominate the fix and flip sector. He said those originators that have managed their balance sheets well over the last year and into this year will be the ones to gain market share in the fix and flip space.

“The fact is,” Lind added, “there’s a lot of originators still not making money, and you can only do that for so long. … There’s smaller companies or even midsize companies that now have two choices: Either go out of business or find a partner to buy them, and I think no one wants to go to business.”

Lind added that he expects to see consolidation ahead, with “some of the bigger guys starting to acquire some of the smaller guys” both fix and flip lenders and mortgage lenders generally.

“We’re already starting to see opportunities that we’re looking at,” he added.

Betting on boomers

Some 75% of the mortgage universe is now locked in at rates less than 5%, which is “creating a huge supply crunch” due to higher prevailing rates, according to Lind. Despite that existing challenge, a bright spot ahead for the fix and flip market, he added, is that a significant number of current homeowners are aging baby boomers (born between 1946-1964).

“In the current market, there are a lot of baby boomers who are now starting to and will continue to downsize [their homes],” Lind said. “Their homes will go on the market, and that creates more opportunity, including for fix and flip in areas where baby boomers want to live.” 

Those areas, Lind said, include the U.S. Southeast and Southwest — i.e., North Carolina, Florida, Texas and Arizona. “They [baby boomers] want to probably be in the Southeast or Southwest, which is another reason why we’re planting our foot down there because we do think there’s a ton of opportunities,” Lind said.

Another tailwind ahead for the fix and flip market stems from the nation’s aging housing stock. Kurt Carlton, co-founder and president of New Western, a private real estate investment marketplace serving some 165,000 investors, said there is a huge number of homes in the nation that were built 20 to 40 years ago, which is important because at that point homes start to need major repairs.

“There’s 25 million homes approaching [or in] that age group, so there’s a big glut of homes hitting this point in their life,” Carlton said. “There’s going to be a lot more distressed inventory, not because of foreclosures, but just because of that [the aging of the property].

“People are calling it the Great Renovation. …I think that will be good for the real estate investors [flippers] because they’re going to have a lot of work to do.”

Lind agrees that longer-term, the outlook for the fix and flip market remains strong.

“We think there’s definitely room for it to run over the next five to 10 years,” he said. “We think it’s going to be significant lending product.”



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A bipartisan group of legislators from the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives have introduced a new bill, the Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act (AHCIA), which could help spur the construction of two million affordable housing units over the next 10 years.

The bill has been introduced in both chambers and seeks to expand the low-income housing tax credit.

If passed, the bill would accomplish these goals through three primary methods: by increasing the number of credits allowed to each state by 50% over the next two years; by increasing the number of affordable housing projects that can be built using private activity bonds; and improving the Housing Credit program to better serve at-risk and underserved communities.

Communities that could qualify as “at-risk” or “underserved” include veterans, domestic violence victims, formerly homeless students, certain Native American communities and rural residents.

The effort is being led by House members Darin LaHood (R-Ill.), Suzan DelBene (D-Wash.), Brad Wenstrup (R-Ohio), Don Beyer (D-Va.), Claudia Tenney (R-N.Y.), and Jimmy Panetta (D-Calif.). In the House, the bill has more than 60 bipartisan co-sponsors. Taking point on the measure in the Senate is Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.), Todd Young (R-Ind.), Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) and Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.).

In the House, the bill is designated as H.R. 3238 while the Senate version is S. 1557.

“Affordable housing is vital for families throughout Illinois and the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit continues to be an important tool to drive investment in the affordable rental housing market,” said Rep. LaHood in a statement. “This bipartisan bill will modernize the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit and help expand our housing supply, strengthening communities and supporting economic development in Illinois and across the county.”

Sen. Cantwell — whose state recently took action on its housing priorities through state-level legislation — added that the core priority is to address housing costs.

“This legislation would increase the federal resources allocated to each state, cut the red tape that hinders financing for workforce housing, better serve people most in need, and ultimately add more than 64,000 affordable units to Washington’s housing stock over the next decade,” she said.

According to a brief by the ACTION Campaign, the AHCIA has been introduced in each of the previous four U.S. Congresses and earned bipartisan support each time. Portions of the bill have been enacted over the years, but it has not made it into law in a comprehensive fashion.

Both the Senate and House versions were introduced into their respective chambers on May 11.



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Rocket Mortgage‘s top executives believe the mortgage market is near the bottom, which means a recovery may be on the horizon soon. 

“If we’re at historic refinance lows and if we’re at secular purchase lows, you largely can paint a picture over the coming years that we’ll see both of those expand. So yes, we’re toward the bottom in that,” Bob Walters, CEO at Rocket Mortgage and president and COO at Rocket Companies, said. 

How does it change the company strategy? 

With regard to the mortgage business, Walters said the company will be competitive in pricing and opportunistic on M&A deals since some competitors are struggling and excess capacity is exiting the industry. Meanwhile, Rocket is as committed as ever to becoming a fintech company and reducing its customer acquisition cost by adding more consumer-focused products, such as the app Rocket Money.

“In some ways, the strategy is similar to a bank, but it’s quite different in other ways. Because the end game for us is to provide the mortgage and we want to provide it well. For most banks, it may be an afterthought. They’re pursuing deposits. We’re all-in on mortgages,” Tim Birkmeier, president at Rocket Mortgage, said. 

In an interview with HousingWire at the company’s Detroit offices last week, Walters and Birkmeier offered new details into the company’s strategy. 

This interview has been condensed and lightly edited for clarity.

Flávia Furlan Nunes: Where is Rocket in its journey of becoming a fintech and reducing the cost to acquire a client?

Bob Walters: We’ve repositioned and added many more products that our clients can take advantage of. We’re becoming a holistic solution as it pertains to financial services. Because one of the challenges for our business ­– mortgages – is it’s an infrequent purchase. You may get a mortgage once every 10 years. As such, there are two challenges: you’re not revisiting those clients as often as you would like and it’s expensive to acquire new clients.

So, for us, there’s this mutually beneficial reality that takes place when we have products like Rocket Money. Many people, especially if they have multiple accounts, don’t always have a real day-to-day understanding of what’s happening from a cash-flow perspective. That’s always relevant day in and day out to 2 million Rocket Money clients. A credit card is always relevant. And if you can have a credit card with benefits, cash back and, even more, the option to offset closing costs, that’s valuable. Then you add 2.5 million service clients that make almost half a trillion dollars of mortgage balances and you see a picture of a fintech powerhouse emerging.

Rocket Money has been acquired and doubled in size in the last 18 months. There are different client acquisition costs based on different products. If we pay for a lead, it costs X dollars. If a client is in the Rocket Money ecosystem, the acquisition cost is zero. If you’re a baseball fan, there are nine innings in baseball. I’d say we’re in the seventh inning. 

Nunes: Rocket paid $1.275 billion for Truebill, now Rocket Money. Has it already paid off?

Tim Birkmeier: Whether or not we believe that Rocket Money has paid off, Rocket Money will pay off. The majority of the people who visit there are relatively young. Many are not yet homebuyers, which is fine. We primarily purchase Rocket Money to introduce us to clients further up the funnel. And that’s really what this has done. 

We have access to a lot of data. We want to help clients get ready to buy a house and there’s nothing better to do that than this budgeting tool. Also, visualize a world where many of these folks have now decided to buy a home with us. We monitor their mortgage rate because we know exactly what it is and where the market is at any given time. Now we have a unique way to communicate with them at a relatively low cost. Every day, we could let them know how much money they could save by refinancing their house. This is not just an opportunity for a one-time client. This is an opportunity to do multiple transactions. 

In some ways, the strategy is similar to a bank, but it’s quite different in other ways. Because the end game for us is to provide the mortgage and we want to provide it well. For most banks, it may be an afterthought. They’re pursuing deposits. We’re all-in on mortgages.

Nunes: How relevant will all these other businesses be to the company? Do you consider adding more services and products organically or by mergers and acquisitions? 

Walters: Mortgage is still the flagship and a huge component. We won’t get into the cotton candy business. But we’ll continue to invest in areas where it makes sense for clients. 

Both are the answers [Rocket will add solutions organically and via M&As]. We have a couple thousand technologists. Many of them are software engineers building things. But with Rocket Money, we see the value of buying things. You’re not only buying the product. You’re also buying smart, talented people who built that product and learning from those folks. 

And that’s also where our balance sheet comes into play [Rocket had $900 million in cash at the end of March]. We’re very fortunate when you look at our balance sheet, cash position, and ability to use stock as currency. We’re in a position to take advantage, especially in the mortgage space. It’s been a challenging year or two. That’s the sad part of it. The good part is that if you have this balance sheet, you can take advantage and be opportunistic when things may become cheap.

Nunes: Where are we in the mortgage market cycle? And relatedly, what’s Rocket’s priority now: profitability or market share?

Walters: If we’re not at or near a bottom, we’re getting close. Refinancing activities are at 20-year lows. No matter how high the interest rates go, there is a systemic need for cash-out refinances and other things independent of interest rates. And then with purchases, this is a down year for a couple of reasons: interest rates have risen, home values have risen, and supply is low. I don’t see them getting worse. They will gradually get better. So, if we’re at historic refinance lows and if we’re at secular purchase lows, you largely can paint a picture over the coming years that we’ll see both of those expand. So yes, we’re toward the bottom in that. 

The other thing is that capacity in our industry grew tremendously during the pandemic. That is coming out. It’s painful. And we’re even seeing an acceleration of companies that are either going under, consolidating, people exiting the industry. Things will continue to get better going into the future. So, it is still difficult. 

I always think about long-term enterprise value, meaning volume – for volume’s sake – that has no value. But we’re also not like: “Oh, it’s just how much money we’ll make tomorrow.” In business, money and numbers follow delighted clients. 

Birkmeier: If you believe the MBA [Mortgage Bankers Association] projections, and they’re prone to change, we will probably have a $1.8 trillion market this year, with activity probably picking up in the fourth quarter to next year at a $2.2-$2.3 trillion market. But also exciting is you go from maybe $300 billion in refinance volume to $600 billion or $650 billion. So if we’re not at the bottom, we got to be pretty close.

There are folks out there cutting to the bone. They’re going to pay a price for that at some point. We talked about all the things representing a massive investment: technologists, product strategists, and people working to bring forth Rocket Money. These are world-class technologies, world-class capabilities that don’t come cheap. But if you think about the long-term value of a company, then you think differently about the exact headcount relative to the way other places may think about it.

Nunes: What can we expect from Rocket in terms of price?

Walters: Certainly, in any industry, when things get challenging, people often lean towards price. And we saw that now, it got difficult. That’s where I go back to our balance sheet. We’re going to be competitive. Margin pressure is still high. It’s abated some. But it still takes a while. That’s where I talked about capacity in the industry that continues to come out. We’re starting to see it now. A lot of people were hesitant to capitulate. But you’ve seen companies sell. You saw Homepoint, for example, sold their operations to The Loan Store. Other people are downsizing substantially. Many companies have 10% of the employees they had two years ago. It’s only a matter of time before many of those exit the industry. That’s a natural cleansing that takes place. 

Nunes: Is the banking crisis over?

Walters: The financial crisis was about bad loans – loans that were improperly made that ended up defaulting. The problem that some banks have today is about mismatches: their deposits are at a higher rate than their investments because the Federal Reserve raised rates so quickly in one year. Plus, some of these banks have highly concentrated deposits. From our perspective, the backbone is Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. Those are rock-solid data that there’s no concern. 

Regarding our financing sources, we’ve worked tirelessly over the last 13-14 years to diversify those funding sources. So quite frankly, if things were to get worse – and I don’t want that to happen by any means – the effect actually would be positive because there’s a high likelihood that you’ll see long-term interest rates fall in response, which would be beneficial to us and to people getting mortgages.  



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Ann Arbor, Michigan-based Home Point Capital did not experience the traditional ceremony to ring the Nasdaq Stock Market bell when the company went public in early 2021. 

Open and closed ceremonies usually occur at the Nasdaq MarketSite Studio in Times Square, but that changed in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Instead, Home Point had a virtual ceremony, with pictures of smiling employees and a message from CEO and founder Willie Newman transmitted onto an enormous screen in Times Square. 

“I started at the company a month before its IPO with Nasdaq,” a former loan coordinator said. “It was a big deal. We all watched the live stream from Times Square. It just seemed so awesome working at a company that just came public.” 

At that time, historically low rates spurred the mortgage market to $4 trillion in volume — and the perception among the rank-and-file was that Home Point Capital‘s wholesale lending business Homepoint was a great place to work. 

“Homepoint was fantastic. It was basically the best company I’ve ever worked at,” a former underwriter, who joined the company in January 2021, said. “It was a booming mortgage market, everybody was making money and there were a lot of pros in this company.”

Leading a growing and profitable business, executives decided to capitalize on the mortgage boom that saw its larger rivals Rocket Companies and United Wholesale Mortgage tap the public markets in splashy IPOs. On January 29, 2021, Home Point Capital carried the momentum to Wall Street, debuting with a share price of $13. 

“We believe we have established a solid leadership position as a wholesale lender, as evidenced by the fact that we were able to double our market share in 2020 during a year when the market also doubled in size,” Newman said in March 2021 during the first call with analysts after the initial public offering. 

“At the core of Home Point’s business is our origination platform, which has been designed to capitalize on the large and growing wholesale channel in a way that leverages scale and optimizes returns with a lower fixed cost,” Newman added. 

The origination platform that Home Point was so proud of helped Homepoint become the third-largest wholesale mortgage lender in America in 2021 and 2022. But it also contributed to the company to losing money — and, in turn, laying off thousands of employees in 2022. 

Ultimately, Home Point Capital decided to sell the origination business to The Loan Store for a song on April 7, 2023, exiting the mortgage lending business entirely. On May 10, Home Point Capital – at that point a mortgage servicing rights shop – announced it was selling the company to Mr. Cooper Group for $324 million in cash, which will result in the company shutting down.

Homepoint is the largest mortgage originator to go bust this cycle, and only two years after it went public.

HousingWire interviewed former employees and analysts over the last month to understand the company’s downfall. Our reporting found that Home Point Capital was relatively under-capitalized from decisions that stemmed from a disappointing IPO; Homepoint struggled with chronic underwriting issues; never solved a myriad of technical problems with its semi-customized loan origination system; and couldn’t compete with the heft of its larger rivals, which squeezed the noose that ultimately led to the shutdown and sale.

A spokesperson for Home Point did not return a request for comments.

Problems early on

Analysts said Home Point struggled out of the gate, starting with its IPO valuation. Its private equity backers planned to raise $250 million by selling 12.5 million shares priced between $19 and $21. However, they only pocketed $94.25 million, less than 40% of their goal. 

“In 2020 and 2021, the entire football team tried to hit the door at once and go public almost simultaneously,” Brock Vandervliet, a mortgage expert who was an analyst at investment bank UBS, said. “There was a rush to capitalize on the valuations because the participants in the market knew that in 2021, we’re going to be best for a while in terms of gain on sale margins and earnings.”

Funds affiliated with its private equity backer, Stone Point Capital, benefited from the raise, but Home Point itself did not. Analysts argued it was an early misstep.

“Home Point was struggling from the moment they launched their IPO, which was well below the price range,” Vandervliet said. “There was just too much stock on the street; there were uncertainties. And yet, these deals were just being pushed out.” 

On the one hand, Home Point’s shareholders did not raise the capital they intended with the IPO. On the other hand, as a public company, it was in the spotlight and subject to a higher degree of scrutiny, quite different from the smaller competitors that were private. 

Warren Kornfeld, senior vice president of the financial institutions’ group at Moody’s, noticed that right before its IPO, Home Point made a capital distribution to existing shareholders, including private equity funds and management. 

“Right after they went public, the capital levels were a little bit low compared to its peers,” Kornfeld said. 

At the end of 2020, Home Point’s total shareholders’ equity comprised 12.5% of its assets, compared to over 20% for UWM and Rocket, according to filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 

“But we were expecting at that time, in early 2021, to see profitability. That didn’t happen. Instead of that, Home Point started showing earnings weaknesses. Unfortunately, they went into the downturn with a weaker level of capital, on top of not having the efficiency that some of the stronger competitors have,” Kornfeld said.

Home Point delivered non-GAAP adjusted net losses in six out of eight quarterly earnings in 2021 and 2022. It also took a $28 million loss in the first quarter of 2023, its last quarter as a mortgage lender. 

A challenging cost structure at Homepoint

Analysts soon noticed that Home Point was struggling due to, among other reasons, its high cost structure. The topic was frequently discussed among analysts and executives in earnings calls. On several occasions, executives set goals to reduce expenses. 

On May 6, 2021, Mark Elbaum, Home Point’s then-CFO, told analysts the goal was to drive the direct cost to originate a wholesale loan down from the run rate of $1,700 to $1,000 by the fourth quarter of 2021. Three months later, the company set a target of $900 by the end of 2022 – at that time, it was at $1,500 per loan. 

The issue became urgent when origination volumes were in free fall in 2022. Home Point announced in February 2022 that ServiceMac, a First American company, was chosen to handle its servicing operations. Home Point had over 300 employees in servicing and all of them were laid off and given the option to be hired by ServiceMac. 

In addition, Home Point sold its delegated correspondent business to Planet Home Lending. These moves account for several thousand workers transitioning to new firms.

Those working at the company say they immediately felt the consequences of the cost-cutting initiatives. 

A former processor, who moved from a loan coordinator to a junior underwriter job position in February 2021, quickly noticed the changes. 

“As time went on, they started taking bonuses away. They would set the bar extremely high for the number of loans to get a bonus, so we would never hit it. Then they started telling us we couldn’t work overtime. After that, they started limiting the number of files we were working on,” the former processor said under the condition of anonymity. She said speaking publicly would harm her prospects of finding a job

“They took away a lot of the stuff they were giving us, a lot of cash. We couldn’t do overtime anymore. Bonuses and compensation started to shrink,” the former underwriter said. “Then, of course, the layoffs started… every time a layoff comes around, it was an incredibly nerve-racking situation to work there.”

Home Point shrunk its workforce from about 4,000 workers in the summer of 2021 to about 1,000 by the fall of 2022. (The lender had only about 450 employees when the originations business was sold to TLS.) 

Newman told HousingWire the executive team was resetting the company.  

“In an environment like this, there’s not as much volume as we were doing before,” he said in an interview during the Association of Independent Mortgage Experts (AIME) Fuse conference in Las Vegas in 2022. “We’re not as much focused on volume and velocity as we are making sure that we improve processes, the interactions with broker partners, and ultimately to the consumers, in a way that, as we evolve from this cycle to the next cycle, we have an opportunity to grow.” 

Amid the cost-cutting initiatives, Home Point’s gain-on-sale margin attributable to correspondent and wholesale channels prior to the impact of capital markets and other activity was 97 basis points in the first quarter of 2023, compared to 86 bps in the previous quarter and 61 bps in the same quarter in 2022. However, after the impact of capital markets and other activity, it was just 12 bps in Q1 2023. 

To compare, a Home Point executive told Housingwire that the company’s cost structure was at 90 basis points. If margins were below that, the company was in the red. 

[90 basis points] It’s high. And again, if you look at it, it wasn’t ops, it wasn’t production, it was bloated corporate support. And despite our best efforts, it was impossible to change it.”  

Declining quality of service 

Layoffs resulted in Home Point being less effective as an originator, according to former employees. Former workers told HousingWire that Homepoint laid off hundreds of seasoned professionals as it tried to contain rising costs. When veterans were replaced, it was typically by staffers who had no experience in mortgage.

Ultimately, its service quality deteriorated, which resulted in loan underwriting problems with government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs). Fannie Mae declined to comment on the topic. Freddie Mac did not respond to a request to comment. 

“It was like nobody could get anything done. No one was communicating. The morale completely shifted. Every time they would restructure, they would let go of their best people,” the former loan coordinator said. “Therefore, our quality went down, and we started having issues with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

In fact, HousingWire reported in early May that IMBs have been facing a still-surging wave of loan-repurchase requests from the GSEs. The huge volume of low-rate loans originated in 2020 and 2021 resulted in a higher rate of underwriting errors than in more normal time. 

At Homepoint, executives created a specific role called’ ‘underwriter support specialist,” working between the loan coordinator and underwriter to review the loans and reduce mistakes. This included things like borrowers’ income and jobs not matching or making sense, former employees said.  

One highly placed source told HousingWire that the firm had to buy back Fannie and Freddie loans and ended up building “audit functions” inside the company. 

“Loans started to get tougher and tougher because the rates started to go up. The quality of loans we’re getting from files was definitely going down, and it was taking longer and longer to underwrite,” the former underwriter said. The time to underwrite a loan went from five to 10 days, she said. 

The problems were noticed across the company’s network of about 9,260 brokers. Several mortgage brokers told HousingWire they stopped sending loans to the company and complained about the level of service, which was considered good in the past.

“I went from having, on average, 250 loans in my pipeline to 60 in three months. That affected me too because I got paid on how many loans I closed,” the former loan coordinator said. “I don’t want to blame it all on UWM because we struggled before UWM came in with their aggressive pricing. We were already having quality issues.”

The former loan coordinator is referring to UWM’s Game On initiative, which slashed prices across all loans by 50 to 100 basis points in June 2022. In response, Homepoint offered a 75 basis point pricing bonus for conforming conventional loans, with no additional cost to borrowers, in September 2022. But the offer was available in specified ZIP codes in 20 states where the lender identified a high percentage of loans originated to people below the area median income. 

Homepoint’s chronic tech issues 

Technology was also a challenge at the company. A Homepoint executive told HousingWire that the company had a tech team of 160 employees, but problems were frequent. To compare, when it sold its operations to The Loan Store, Homepoint had 450 employees, which means tech would have represented 35% of the total. 

“The issue was not ops. It was not sales. It was 160 people in IT. It was all these layers that were created to manage a publicly traded company that we didn’t necessarily have the ability to maintain the scale we needed to justify those layers,” the executive said.   

Karthik Kumar, executive vice president and COO at mortgage consulting firm LendArch, said that given the digitization scope and transformation appetite within the home lending industry today, around 20% of a company’s tech spend should be there to run the business. 

“The other 80% should be on the transformation and innovation roadmap, whether you are a company with 400 or 4,000 employees. If everyone’s there trying to keep the lights on, then you have to change the bulbs soon,” Kumar said. 

Multiple former workers said that Homepoint used a white label version of Encompass as its tech solution, but added customized layers for new functionalities. The software often had problems, the workers said. A spokesperson for ICE Mortgage Technology, Encompass’s owner, declined to comment on this story. 

“Some days it would go down and we literally couldn’t even get in all day,” the former loan coordinator, who was laid off in February 2023, said.  

The same source added: “There were times where I would get like one or two days’ clear to close and it was amazing. But that would very rarely happen. Our turn time was, on average, two to three weeks, which is absurdly long. Some of them would be in my pipeline for six-plus weeks. That would also be because it constantly went back and forth between the broker and the underwriter.” 

Because the mortgage market is unique in that the mortgage originators don’t set pricing – it comes from the interest rate, the MBS spread, the guarantee fees – and they don’t set underwriting standards, winning or losing largely comes down to finding customers and being efficient. 

“Efficiency obviously comes through scale and it comes from technology. But then there’s also one other element, which is a franchise,” Kornfeld said. 

Homepoint did not have the same brand strength as Rocket in retail lending, UWM in the wholesale channel, or Pennymac in the correspondent space. However, it reached the position of the country’s 18th largest U.S. mortgage lender last year. The company was number three in the wholesale channel, with 6.5% market share in 2022. 

In the end, analysts and former workers said, Home Point was unable to achieve the efficiencies needed to overcome a relatively weak capital position and the huge drop in business stemming from the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes.

The former processor, who was laid off in September 2022, said she has been facing the worst time in her career. “I’m probably at one of the hardest and longest times I’ve ever gone without a job,” she said.

James Kleimann contributed reporting to this story.



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