Real estate investing is changing. Builders aren’t building what buyers and renters want, insurance companies are pulling out of top investing states, and property threats are growing increasingly common. This may sound like doom and gloom to you, but in reality, it’s keeping your competition out of the game, and if you use the advice on today’s show, you could build wealth while most cower in fear.

Seeing Greene is back again as David is on to give his time-tested wisdom to every real estate investor on the planet. But he’s got backup. Rob hangs around on this episode, and special guest Dana Bull, the “know when to stop” investor, is here to drop some knowledge bombs. We take viewer questions like whether you should buy one pricey property or a handful of smaller rentals, what to do when a property you’re buying has an illegal ADU (accessory dwelling unit), why insurance companies are leaving states like California, Florida, and Texas, and what’s the BEST property type to buy in today’s market?

Want to ask David a question? If so, submit your question here so David can answer it on the next episode of Seeing Greene. Hop on the BiggerPockets forums and ask other investors their take, or follow David on Instagram to see when he’s going live so you can hop on a live Q&A and get your question answered on the spot!

David:
This is the BiggerPockets podcast show, 813.

Dana:
I was a recent college grad from UMass, and I had actually bought a little bit of real estate. I had a condo, I had a two family, but I was sort of just going through the motions. Had hired a real estate broker and he brought me into his office, and it was, I call it the corruption. And it was very much this matrix moment where he said, “You can take the red pill and see how far the rabbit hole goes, or you can take the blue pill and just kind of get out of this real estate thing and just keep going down the typical path.”

David:
What’s going on everyone? This is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets real estate podcast, here today with the Seeing Greene episode, and I brought back up. I’m joined today by my cohost, Rob Abasolo, as you can see, if you’re looking on YouTube, looking handsome and ever. As well as Dana Bull, who is featured on BiggerPockets podcast episode 187. We brought her back to give us a little bit of air support on the questions that you, our audience, has answered, and today’s show does not disappoint.
We’re about to get into questions that you asked and provide our answers that everybody can benefit from. Dana is a real estate agent, an investor. She basically has a strategy that was like, how can I get out of real estate investing, instead of how big can I get? Very interesting philosophy, and the answers that she provides are based on that philosophy. Rob, what are some things that you think investors should keep an eye out for in today’s episode?

Rob:
Is going to be a great episode. I can already tell you that. We’re going to talk about so many cool things from how big should your first investment be? Should you go all in? Should you maybe be a little bit conservative with your first investment? We’re going to talk about the logistics of adding to your property. We’re going to talk about seller financing. Today, we’re going to cover some pretty big topics that I know will change perspectives at home.

David:
Yeah. So, keep an eye out for that because we have a very good conversation about things to look for in different markets if you’re into long distance real estate investing, and things you might not have considered that can help you make that decision. And before we bring in Dana, today’s quick tip is brought to you by Batman. Don’t forget to make insurance part of your due diligence. For many years, insurance was such a small percentage of the overall monthly payment that it was sort of just something you tacked on, it wasn’t a big deal.
Across the country, insurance companies are going out of business. They’re fleeing certain states, and it’s getting much more expensive to find it. Rob and I recently had this problem with our Scottsdale property where my company was able to find us a policy, but it was much more expensive than what we were expecting. So, don’t consider insurance to be a small expense like it used to be. In some places, it’s doubling, tripling, or quadrupling. So, make sure you underwrite appropriately. Anything to add there, Rob?

Rob:
It hurts whenever your insurance rate doubles, triples, or quadruples. Can confirm.

David:
Yeah, because other things don’t. Property taxes don’t. If you have a fixed rate mortgage, that doesn’t double or triple, but insurance goes up in leaps and bounds. So, keep an eye on that, folks. All right, let’s bring in Dana and get to your questions.
Dana and Rob, thank you so much for joining me today. Quick recap of Dana. Her story is featured on BiggerPockets podcast episode 187. She thinks it’s a myth about how having a strong why is important.

Rob:
So Dana, tell us why is having an end goal more important than having a why when it comes to real estate investing?

Dana:
Well, I think one of the biggest unknowns for people is knowing when to stop. Real estate can be addicting, it can be fun, riding that roller coaster of emotions. And I just found that it was easier for me to come up with a plan, execute on that plan, and then give myself permission to be done and to move on to other things in life. So, I feel like you don’t always need to have a why, but you do need to have a will to be able to execute.

Rob:
I love it. We recently had a guest, Chad Carson, on the air, and he gave a very similar thing, right? Having an end goal, having a reason. Not just blindly stating it, right? Having a purpose, but not just having a super wide net cast out there, but actually having intention behind it. So, a lot of reminiscent things. And as I understand it, your original end goal was to hit $450,000 in gross rental income, and you hit that within five years. First of all, congratulations. That’s absolutely insane. Why did you pick that goal and how did you get there?

Dana:
Okay. So, let me tell you a little bit about how it all began. I was a recent college grad from UMass, and I had actually bought a little bit of real estate. I had a condo, I had a two family, but I was sort of just going through the motions. And I had hired a real estate broker who I met on Zillow. Zillow was this new platform at the time. And he brought me into his office and it was, I call it the corruption, and it was very much this matrix moment where he said, “You can take the red pill and see how far the rabbit hole goes, or you can take the blue pill and just kind of get out of this real estate thing and just keep going down the typical path.” And I was so curious. I didn’t have a why, but I was impressionable, and I frankly had nothing better to do at the time.
So, the next step was, my boyfriend and I, we were in Florida. After we had this conversation, we were all fired up. We were walking down the beach and we were just talking to each other, asking each other, “Should we go for it?” And we decided, yeah, let’s do it. So, we were out getting drinks at the restaurant bar, and we chicken scratched this plan. And we pulled the number, the original number was $400,000 gross, and we just pulled that out of thin air. And the rationale was, if we have a business that’s bringing in $400,000, we should be good. We should be set. We should be able to make that work. At some point, it actually creeped up to 450, but the original goal was $400,000.

David:
You don’t want to set your goal’s too low.

Dana:
Right.

Rob:
Let’s add another $50,000.

Dana:
Yeah, why not? Why not?

David:
Why shortchange ourselves?

Dana:
So, from there, we actually reverse engineered into it. The average rent at the time our market was $1,600 a month for a two bed, one bath. So now, I’m just taking $400,000, dividing it by $1,600 a month divided by 12 months in a year. So I need 21 units. 21. I can do that, right? And so then, I became obsessed with 21 units. It’s like, eat sleep, 21 units. The next step was, we came home from the trip in Florida and I created a business plan. And when I start talking about business plans, people, their eyes glaze over. But I think it is so helpful, even if you don’t feel like you’re super business savvy, my business plans are always just one page, and broke it down into where I’m at with real estate right now, the direction I need to go in, and then what are the goals, what are the next steps, what are my marching orders? And that’s how it started.

Rob:
Well, okay, so obviously big goal here of 400 to $450,000. At what point, because obviously that’s gross, right?

Dana:
Yes.

Rob:
Was there any moment where it sort of dawned on you that the actual profit of that $450,000 is different? Or was it just sort of big scary goal, doesn’t really matter, I just want to put something out there and I’ll figure it out as I go?

Dana:
Yeah, so that was actually the point of narrowing in on gross instead of net, because once I realized if I tied this to net, I would get so into the weeds with it. And for me, this is just all long-term. The idea is, I will be hopefully sitting pretty in 10, 20, 30 years. And that’s where my mindset was at the time, so that’s why it became more practical for me to narrow in on gross instead of net.

Rob:
Okay, so you were kind of thinking of it as, obviously you want the portfolio to make money, but even if it were breaking even theoretically, once it’s all paid off in 20 to 30 years, you’re effectively making $450,000 profit every single year.

Dana:
Right.

Rob:
Got it. Okay.

Dana:
Plus the benefits, the other benefits of investing, the write-offs. Boston, the Boston area is a huge appreciation play. So, with all my buildings, there needs to be cashflow. That’s a must. But what I’m really leaning into is appreciation. I just decided I’m not going to fight that. That’s the market where I live, that’s the market I’m knowledgeable in, so I want to lean into it as much as possible.

David:
Yeah, I think that’s the way that the savvy investors are adapting right now. First off, we want to highlight, appreciation is not the same as speculation. Those have become synonymous, and I think a lot of people get nervous whenever appreciation is mentioned because they assume that means hoping that the prices go up and you have no plan in place. There’s no cashflow, there’s no built-in equity, the loan to value is crazy. You’re just hoping that prices go up. That’s not what we’re talking about.
There actually is a mathematical approach to investing in real estate that will capitalize on how appreciation plays out. So, I think that’s wise. But even more wise is, why go against the grain? If your market is a cashflow market, you’re going to invest for cashflow. If your market is an appreciation market, you’re going to invest for appreciation. If there’s creative opportunities, you’re going to use that. So I think that’s wise that you just said, “Hey, why fight the flow just because everybody else talks about it a certain way? This is what my market’s good at, so I’ll take advantage of it.”

Rob:
So, what are some other mistakes you see people making today?

Dana:
So, a mistake that I made is compromising a bit on location. The location, location, location, we hear it all the time, but it’s hard to grasp. What does that really mean? And I think it’s all about understanding the context. So, if I were to buy a multifamily in some of the nicest neighborhoods of Boston, I’d be looking at $2 million entry price point, right? I can’t afford that. So, instead, I’m going to step out of that market, but I still want to purchase a property that is sort of premier for the location where I’m buying.
So, my strategy was built on buying properties in A and B locations in various towns. And I made the mistake of buying two properties in B minus locations. And the caliber is staggering. They’re my problem properties, just nonstop headaches. I don’t really understand what the correlation is, but it’s real. And now that I have 10 years worth of data, I don’t regret what I did, I don’t regret those purchases, I’m not going to sell them. But if I were to go for a second round, I would be very specific with my buy box, and I would only focus on the A location.

David:
Yeah, that is a mistake a lot of people make. When you look backwards 20 years and you say, “Hey, what properties performed the best?” Not just appreciation, but cashflow too. Rents go up way more in the best locations than they do in the shorter ones. And for some reason, we’ve gotten into what I think is an unhealthy habit of analyzing properties based on right now, year one, as soon as you buy it. We know that real estate is an organism that grows at different rates in different areas and different opportunities, but yet, we still only analyze a deal as tomorrow if I bought it, what would my cashflow be?
But we’re not going to own it for one day. We’re going to own it for a long period of time. So when you buy in these grade A areas, they can look like a poor investment when you compare it to some turnkey thing in the Midwest that has a 16% cash on cash return, and then 30 years later, it says a 16.5% cash on cash return, and those grade A areas have gone up 10 times in rent and you’re crushing it. So, I appreciate you sharing your wisdom on that.

Dana:
Yeah. The other thing that really blew my mind, and I learned this further into, about five years into my career, and I actually learned it through this property where I’m sitting right now for this recording. I’m sitting inside of a small cottage that was built in the late 1800s. It was a fishing shanty. So, this property, based on the assessment is, the overall real estate is worth about $500,000. The actual structure is $35,000. So, I just bought a minivan for $55,000, okay? I own a car that is more expensive than the structure.
All the value in this piece of real estate is tied up in the land. Just, it never really clicked until this slapped me in the face with owning this home. So now, when I’m working with clients, especially those who want to buy single family homes as investments, I really point this out and want them to be aware of the land value.

Rob:
Yeah. I mean, I think this is significant for a lot of reasons. I mean, it’s something that can be a plus or a minus, I’d say. But one reason to really think through that, I guess, to sum up what you’re saying, the real estate, the entire property, house, land, $500,000, the land is very valuable. The actual structure is just, it’s basically, I don’t want to say a tear down, but is insignificant compared to the land value, right? And that comes into play especially for cost segregations, depreciation, because you can only depreciate the actual improvements on a property. And so, if you go and you buy a property where the improvement is only worth 5% of the entire purchase price or the cost basis, then you actually won’t be able to depreciate very much on that property. Is that right?

Dana:
Yeah, that’s true.

David:
Well, we are going to take advantage of your insight, Dana, reading some questions from different listeners who have written into Seeing Greene, because they’ve got some problems and they want solutions. So, let’s dive into that. Question number one, this comes from Gabby in Los Angeles. So, as I start planning for my first investment property, I’ve been thinking about this question. Is it a better strategy to put all of my cashflow to get one best property I can afford or diversify into a few lower price properties?
So, this is the typical all my eggs in one basket or several smaller eggs over several smaller baskets. I wonder if it’s better for me to put 20% down in a $1.2 million-ish property in LA, or get three, $400K-ish property somewhere else? Or also get a lower price one first, then a more expensive one when I have some experience? What are some factors I should consider to make the best decision here?
Dana, what do you think so far?

Dana:
Oh my gosh, she took the words right out of my mouth with the putting all your eggs in one basket. I love this question and it comes up all the time in markets where, pricing markets. So, I probably tell this listener what they want to hear. These are both great options. I have two pieces of advice, two kind of overarching considerations. The first is, what do you want to buy? Because they both work, and I really sincerely mean this. I’m a advocate for buying properties that you are excited about, and I know most investors, they want to take the emotion out of it. And I just refuse. That’s a hill I will die on.
The reason being is that I truly feel the way to make significant wealth in real estate is to just hold onto it and to do whatever you need to do in order to hold onto it. So, if you end up buying a property that you’re not excited about when problems arise, you’re going to be very tempted to sell. When I was younger, my mom taught me something, which has nothing to do with real estate but also everything to do with real estate. When we go back to school shopping, she would make me try on all the clothes, and then she would evaluate, “Do these pants fit? Okay, they’re not too big, they’re not too small, they fit.” But then, the next question she would ask me is, “Do you love them?” And then she’d go a little bit deeper and she’d say, “How do they make you feel?”
And I’ve learned to apply that to everything that I purchase, especially real estate. So, this new investor is talking about putting 20% down on a $1.2 million property? That’s probably everything she has. So, I would encourage her to really think about what type of property is she going to be excited about. The other thing that I think this person needs, no matter which direction they take, is a jumpstart plan. So, some way to make this work. And Rob, you have a ton of experience here, but the first thing that I think about is probably a 12-month lease is not going to work on this $1.2 million place. It’s probably going to be negative cashflow. So, could she do a shorter term rental, a midterm rental, get those numbers up for the first few years? Because she’s going to need that to become confident and to also get the momentum going.

Rob:
Yeah, 100%. My LA property, I mean, it kind of happened accidentally, but it was a short-term rental. Actually, at one point, I had a short-term rental, midterm rental and long-term rental, all in the same property. But it was really nice to start off strong income-wise with the short-term rental, test out that property, see how I do, and then it did well. But then, when regulation hit, I converted it to a midterm rental and actually found that I really liked that strategy even more, and it was a great hybrid. And having done all three, I could experiment on that property and see, I could choose my own adventure basically. But I think it is really nice to have those contingency plans and see what are the different ways that you can make revenue from that same property.

Dana:
Right.

David:
So Rob, what’s your thoughts? Should somebody put all their eggs into one basket in one property or should they diversify over smaller ones?

Rob:
I don’t think anyone should put all their eggs into their first property. I think they should take a swing, but I don’t think they should swing for the fences, right? I think, real estate is a skill that you get better at, and I would rather, personally, scale accordingly. Learn how to do real estate before you get really, really crazy with it, right? So hit a couple base hits, load up the bases, and then go for the grand slam, right? That’s how I did it. Usually, if someone were approaching me with this exact same question, I’d honestly probably tell them to go somewhere in the six to $800,000 range. Don’t go so small that you actually can’t cashflow it, and then you find that it wasn’t worth it.
Similar to what you’re saying, Dana, we want to make sure that this property is something that you like. And if you’re only making $100 on it, I don’t really think it’s going to, I think a lot of people, especially for their first investment will say, “Well, I don’t know if this is worth my time.” So, I would definitely find that sweet spot in the middle. I would like to see this person sort of break it up into two purchases, and give them a bigger one maybe in that six to $800,000 range. Learn the ropes, learn how to do real estate, give themselves enough capital to get into that next property, if they really find that real estate is what they want to do.
What about you, Dave?

David:
I think, my advice to Gabby here is capital preservation. We only have so much time, we only have so much energy. We understand that, but it’s easy to forget how quickly you run out of capital, especially when you’re putting 20% down on every deal. So, the worst thing that can happen is you buy 3, 4, 5 bad deals. You go through the, “Oh, turnkey sounds easy, I’ll do that.” Works out bad. “Oh, this cheap area, I’ll go invest in there.” Turns out terrible, you don’t want to do it anymore. You finally figure out the right location, the right asset class, the right deal, how to find it, and you run out of money.
So as you’re learning, what I advise people to do is to try to keep as much of their capital as they can in the first couple of deals. No huge renovation or rehab projects where you seek hundreds of thousands of dollars into the deal. Don’t put 20 or 25% down just to try to buy cashflow because you’re obsessed with it. Try to do it with primary residence loan, 3.5% down, 5% down. Learn the basics, but keep as much of your capital as you can. Once you’ve done what both Dana and Rob said, you’re a little bit more comfortable with how this rhythm of investing works, now you have the money to really ramp up what you’re doing and you don’t run out of cash. So, start slow. Once you’ve got it down, then go big. Sound good to you guys?

Rob:
Yeah. My favorite part about this is that we’re all right. You know what I mean? All of these things are perfectly great answers. It definitely comes down to preference, and some people are just go-getters, and they’re like, “You know what? I’m ready to go. Let’s do this thing. I’m going to go big or go home.” And then some people are like, “Yeah, I sleep better at night knowing I have money in the bank, but I can take the small risk and see how it goes.” That’s totally fine too.

David:
All right. Our next question comes from Gregg Peterson, Gregg with two Gs, in Cape Coral, Florida. I was just in Fort Lauderdale, Florida not that long ago, and let tell you, you can cut the humidity with a knife. I’m planning to buy my first small multifamily within 90 to 100 days. I’m looking in Cape Coral, Florida. The one thing I hear constantly is to force equity build on or additions. Sounds like he’s been listening to me. I ran into a lot of listings that show potential, but how much of a headache is there for trying to legally add on or buy a property that has a non-legal addition already? This is good. There’s nothing that influencers like talking about more than legal issues, especially ones that could get people in trouble. So Dana, we brought you in to absorb all the liability. Rob and I aren’t going to say anything. Go.

Dana:
Rob, you want to take this one?

Rob:
Sure. Sure, sure. I’ll talk about it. Listen, I think that new construction and adding onto a property is an absolutely amazing way to build equity. I actually think that it is the best way to build equity. You can go and you can buy a property and you can rehab it. There’s a lot of risks, really, I mean, that goes into that because you don’t really know what’s behind the walls, right? But when you’re talking about new construction, there are no surprises. It’s not like you’re going to open up a wall and be like, “Oh my gosh, there’s mold here.” It all usually follows a pretty good plan and it just gives you so much equity once you’re done, because you’re basically building it at your cost, right?
Now, with that said, building is not something that is a cashflow play right now. It is an entire process, and if you’re talking about, let’s say, building an ADU, if you’re talking about building a new construction, if you’re talking about adding onto your property, could very, very easily be a 12 to 18 month process. And if you’re talking about a non-legal addition that you have to convert, I don’t even, I would never even tell someone to go that route because I don’t know enough about it, other than that it will probably be a very painful experience.
So with all that said, I think that if you have the time to wait and you don’t need the cashflow right now, and 12 to 18 months is not a big deal, then you should do it, because I think it’s a really great way to supercharge your cashflow on a property.

David:
What’s your thoughts on buying something that already has non-permitted additions in the property? Because that’s almost everything. Very few, in my experience as an agent, I don’t know if it’s the same for you, Dana, you hardly ever find ADUs or additions to houses where the people went and got permits because that’s just asking for your property taxes to get raised. So most people add onto their home but they don’t get it permitted. Is that a danger if you’re buying the property?

Dana:
This comes up all the time. Yeah.

David:
Well, we’ll start with Rob and then I’ll get Dana’s take on it.

Rob:
I’m iffy on it. I think it depends on how easy it would, because I think it’s going to be county by county, and then I’ve also had lenders that have kicked back that kind of stuff in the appraisal. Or, the one thing that really affected me not too long ago, maybe about a year ago, was that they valued the addition or the kind of other structure significantly less than the actual square footage of the home, so the house didn’t appraise and I fell out of escrow a week before. So, I’ve run into situations like that. So, usually, I’m more in the camp of start fresh and do it. But again, I think that’s going to be up to the individual investor. What about y’all?

David:
Dana?

Dana:
I agree to tread lightly. Where I see this is in the small multifamily space where you might have a two family property that’s zoned as a two family, building department has it as a two family, but it’s actively being used as a three family. And I always tell people, “Look, we have to analyze this and evaluate it as a two family, but this could be huge if we could get it approved.” And sometimes, there’s a pretty good chance. So, in my market, we can’t bank on it, but a lot of times it comes down to parking. So, does the property have adequate parking? Because in the Boston area, we don’t have enough housing, we just don’t have enough housing. So, it might not be a quick thing, but it is possible if you push on it. You just need to accept the risk that it may not pan out the way you hope.

Rob:
Yeah, like do you have the time and the budget for the upside and for the downside, I think is ultimately where I would land on that too.

Dana:
And also to your point, with financing, that is a huge snag. Usually they want the stove, I don’t know what it is with the stove, but you got to pull the stove out in order for the property to still go through financing.

David:
Yeah, I can tell you that’s why. It’s because one of the regulations that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have is that it can’t have more than one kitchen unless it’s zoned for multifamily. So, if it’s zoned for three units, you can have three kitchens. If it’s zoned for one, but the house is split into three pieces, it’s not a kitchen if it doesn’t have a stove. It can have a microwave, countertops, you can have as many fridges in your house as you want. They’re never going to come and say, “Who told you that you could have a second fridge?” Some garages have four fridges or freezers full of elk meat, if you’re a Joe Rogan fan.
But the stove is the big thing. So, you see, frequently, people take the stove out of the house. Now the appraiser will say, “This qualifies for financing because it’s not breaking a zoning regulation.” Then they just go put the stove right back in it. Nobody really ever talks about this, I just said it on the podcast. But this frequently happens, like stove removal. If someone can have a company that’s like, “We take your stove and we store it for seven days and bring it right back,” they’d have a really good business.

Rob:
Well, it’s really with the appraiser, right?

David:
Yeah, it’s the appraiser, and only for financing. That’s the other thing, because the person buying the house can’t get the loan if the appraiser says no because it’s the zoning laws. But people confuse that with the city is going to get all mad at you. Some cities don’t care at all. They could not care less that you have an extra kitchenette in your house or you’re renting it out. I will say this though, it really depends on what city you’re in. I’ve seen clients and I’ve had houses that no one takes a second look. When I got into short-term rental investing, this whole thing got turned over on its head. I have several properties in Florida that I bought and I did not add the units to them. I bought them with the units in them. And when I applied for the short-term rental permit, the city was angry about short-term rental investors.
They’re getting all kinds of angry phone calls from the neighbors who don’t want a short-term rental in their neighborhood. They came in and said, “I need to tear down the ADUs that are a part of the house.” One of them is literally a duplex on the same lot as the main house and they tried to say, “You have to tear down your duplex.” I didn’t build this duplex. It’s been there forever. All the other houses on the street also have ADUs. And I said, “Why do I have to do this, but all the other homes that you can clearly see driving down this alley, they have the same thing.” And the city told us, “Well, we don’t actually do anything until someone applies for a short-term rental permit. And when they do, we go in there and we make them tear them down. So, even though we know they have those ADUs, we’re not going to do anything to enforce it unless they apply for a short-term rental permit.”
So, it can be tricky, when in the past it wasn’t tricky. They weren’t looking to target people, but there’s certain scenarios that will bring it up as a red flag. Have you seen that, Dana, in your business as well?

Dana:
Yeah. So, the issue is the liability with an unpermitted unit, and then you can’t get a certificate of occupancy when you go and register it because most people are not registering their rental units. But eventually, you might get called in to do that. The other sticky point is, it becomes more difficult when the property is occupied. So now, how are you pulling out a stove, getting all this figured out while somebody’s living there, and then it’s triggering for the tenants. And they realize, “Oh, this place isn’t even legal? Does it have egresses?” All this kind of stuff. So, I would say, it’s pretty hard in my area to push it through just because it’s been there. It would need to go through all of the official, it would need to go through the official process for somebody, I think, to feel comfortable renting this moving forward.

David:
It’s a great big mess, isn’t it? We don’t have enough housing, so that makes housing super expensive, which sucks for tenants because we have to keep raising rents because we have to keep paying more for the houses. Then they make more regulations, so it’s harder to build more houses, so investors buy and then we try to add housing so that we can keep rents lower by increasing supply. Then the city comes in and charges us more, or makes us take away the existing housing that was already there, making rents even more expensive, all in name of protecting tenants. It is the most ridiculous, backwards, circular logic, and it’s happening in big cities near you, everywhere.

Rob:
Brought to you by your city. Yeah. This has all been, I’ve been trying not to shed a tear because I did have to pull the stove out for a cash-out refi many years ago for an appraiser while I had a tenant in there, who luckily was great and it was super easy to do. But, yeah.

David:
I love how you say you shed a tear because you pulled one stove out, while I’m literally having to destroy a duplex and turn it into a garage. It’s like, oh yeah, David had to-

Rob:
How insensitive of me, I’m sorry.

David:
… David’s arm had to be amputated. I can relate. I popped a pimple once and it was, it was so painful.

Rob:
I threw out my back, man. I’ve never recovered.

David:
I had to take a stove out for two days.

Rob:
I had to go rent a dolly,

David:
I had to rent a dolly. You threw your back out.

Rob:
You understand how much dolly rentals are? They’re $25.

David:
It’s because you do everything yourself. This is exactly why. Rob’s like, “Oh yeah, I had to fly to Tennessee and rent a dolly and take a U-Haul to move the stove because I couldn’t trust anyone else to do that right.” That’s funny. All right. Our next question here comes from James in Seattle. Do you think this is James Dainard who also is a James from Seattle? Is he sneaking into Seeing Greene?

Rob:
He’s asking for… He’s too nervous to text us for advice because he doesn’t want to seem green.

David:
He doesn’t want to seem green, that’s exactly right. I don’t want to admit I don’t know this. All right. From Jimmy Neutron himself. As a brand newbie considering markets outside of my hometown Seattle due to cost and competition, how do you decide to factor in future environmental impact on your investment? Okay, this isn’t James Dainard. He’s lost me right there. Florida and Texas look like great opportunities, but they’re under threat of hurricane and flooding, and insurance companies are going bankrupt or fleeing. Side note, that is actually a good point. We should talk about that later. Phoenix looks inviting, but they are out of drinking water. Insurance companies are refusing to insure California and Colorado due to wildfires, and Florida due to hurricane risk. BiggerPockets Ally Elle just wrote an article about this.
Do you try to keep your exit strategy short on markets like this, say, a five-year term, or avoid them entirely? Thanks for all the inspiring and sobering content. Listening to BiggerPockets has catapulted my confidence. Okay, this is a good question. Let me go sum up all the things he mentioned because I read a lot there for you, and then we’ll go to you, Dana. He’s trying to invest outside of Seattle because there’s so much competition, which is driving prices high, but he’s considered about the negative aspects like defensive investing here.
So, Florida and Texas would be good, but there’s threats of hurricanes and flooding. Insurance companies are leaving some of the top markets, which is true, like Florida and Texas. Phoenix is running out of drinking water, California and Colorado have issues with wildfires, and Florida has constant hurricanes. All true as well as all kinds of lizards everywhere, and alligators. It’s amazing how many people are moving to Florida with as wild as that place is. What are your thoughts, Dana, on when you’re picking a market, how much you should consider some of these environmental hazards?

Dana:
Oh, you should definitely consider it. This is coming from somebody who buys old properties. Knob-and-tube doesn’t scare me. Nothing scares me.

David:
Can you explain what knob-and-tube is for those of us that aren’t agents who have seen this destroy?

Dana:
Sure. So, knob-and-tube is old wiring. It’s risky.

David:
As far as electrical systems are concerned, it’s like an abacus.

Dana:
Yeah.

David:
Instead of a calculator.

Dana:
And I see it in properties all the time. That doesn’t scare me. We can fix that, we can fix property problems. Environmental threats, I think, are ultimately the biggest threat to your asset, to your real estate. I’ve been waving a red flag on this for a while with insurance. It’s definitely hitting me here. A couple months ago, I actually had to go out and procure all new policies because some of my policies were being dropped. Where I bump into this is with flooding, because I work in markets, coastal communities, and the FEMA flood maps are your friend.
You can Google FEMA flood map, search by address. It’s going to pull you to a website where you can type in an address and see how close you are to a flood zone. Pull up the GIS mapping, whether you’re in a flood zone, and this is a conversation I’m regularly having with people. It’s going to be a problem before it actually is a problem. And I won’t do it. I will not buy in a flood zone. The last four investments I’ve made are properties that are all perched up on hills, and I’m very specific about that because I want to, again, I’m a long-term investor. So if I am partnering with these properties for the next 30 years, I don’t want them to be underwater.

Rob:
It’s likely that, yeah, likely, if it’s in a flood zone, in 30 years from now, it will have faced at least a flood, in theory.

Dana:
Yeah. So, that’s how I feel. I know it’s doom and gloom and it does feel like, well, where can you invest where we don’t have this environmental threat? I guess I would position it, if it is a current known threat, why wouldn’t you avoid it? Why would you buy in a flood zone for an investment property? If you’re buying in a flood zone but it’s your primary residence, you’re going to get to wake up every day in your $3 million oceanfront home and enjoy the views. Okay, we can justify that potentially. But if this is really for investment purposes, maybe just try and find a property up on a cliff.

David:
What about mudslides? What about rainstorms?

Rob:
Yeah, I was going to say, that sounds like its own risk there too.

Dana:
On a cliff and back from the cliff, I don’t know where you’re going to find this property.

David:
What about lightning strikes? Have you considered that?

Dana:
So, that’s where it’s, it’s just, you have to assess your own risk tolerance, because yeah, we could pick apart so many markets. Yeah, Florida, we have hurricanes, we flooding. But flood, if it’s in a flood zone, it’s in a flood zone. It’s going to flood.

David:
That’s a pretty clear one, right? Absolutely. You know what my dream day would look like?

Rob:
Hanging out with me?

David:
Hanging out with you, but I get to just look at the negative side of everything you say. So you’re like, “Hey David, do you want to get Chipotle?” And like, “Oh, they charge extra for guac. It’s really not fair. They never give me enough cheese.” And you’re like, “Okay, what about Chinese food?” “Oh, I don’t like the MSG. If people just came to me and said, “Hey David, you should invest in real estate,” and I just got to come up with all the reasons it won’t work, like what we just did, God, that would be fun, because this is, I’m always on the other side of it all the time.

Dana:
Yeah.

David:
Like, “You should buy a house.” “Oh, but housing’s too expensive. Rates are too high.” “Okay, well your rents are going to go up too.” “Yeah, I would’ve bought before when rates were lower.” But when rates were lower, it was like every house got 20 offers. You couldn’t get anyone and they were complaining about that. You could just go back. Every single market had problems.
This is a funny thing I was just saying last night to my group. If prices dropped as much as we want them to, that means nobody wants to buy houses, right? So, if all these houses at $800,000 dropped to $300,000 and we’re like, “I’d buy all of them.” No, you wouldn’t, because the only reason they would drop that far if there was some serious massive problems with the industry. You couldn’t find tenants or insurance went up times 10. Something terrible has to happen for no one to want them, right? So, you keep getting these people that are, “I’m waiting for the next crash. I can’t wait.” Assuming that the crash is going to happen and real estate’s still going to be an attractive vehicle, and it will never, ever occur.

Rob:
Yeah. The moment it’s doomsday on their prices, everyone’s going to be like, “Oh, hey, you know what? Nevermind. Let’s just see how it goes for the next three months.”

David:
“This is a bad buck to invest in. It’s going to go down even more. Don’t catch a falling knife, blah, blah, blah.” They’re going to have a reason not to want to do it.

Rob:
Yeah, totally.

David:
So, I thought, Dana, you provided some good stuff there. What do you like about Boston? Is there a lack of environmental hazards that you feel comfortable investing there?

Dana:
Generally, yes. I would say that the rising sea levels is our big threat. But we have snowstorms, so it’s expensive. If you have parking, to make sure your driveways are plowed.

David:
Yes.

Rob:
Yeah, that’s a big one.

Dana:
We’ve been having freakier weather, for sure, more. We’ve had tornado warnings more commonly than in the past, so we are experiencing some change. Our winters are not as cold as they used to be as when I was a child, which is concerning. But yeah, I mean, in general, I’m with you, David. With real estate, it’s like we can pick apart and we can figure out why we shouldn’t do things, and I have a very high risk tolerance. This is my thing that gets me worked up is the environmental stuff. But yeah, overall, long-term, 30 years out from now, sure. I’m worried about it.

David:
Rob, you’re a local, or sorry, you’re a fellow out-of-state investor. You never read my book, but you did it anyways, which is cool. Not that I’m upset about you only have reading one book.

Rob:
I’ve listened to the podcast, which is kind of like-

David:
A functional equivalent. It saved you the $12 of getting the book?

Rob:
… Yeah, it’s the director’s cut of your book, the director’s commentary.

David:
Nice analogy. You have been hanging around me, man. That was very nicely done. But what do you think about when you’re picking these markets to invest in? And should we do an episode where all we do is find negative things about every single market? That could be a fun thing to do where you guys are like, “What about here?” And we just find everything we can wrong with it.

Rob:
Yeah. What about… Yeah, what Montana? It’s too beautiful. No.

David:
I don’t want a elk running through my house and trashing the whole thing, and I got to drive too far to get to a gas station, and Teslas would never be able to make it out there. That’d be funny.

Rob:
I don’t… I would say, honestly, the biggest thing that scares me is the insurance, especially in Florida. David, we have our Scottsdale property, which has been a bear with insurance on that too. Luxury properties are tough to get insured. So I think, that’s my first and foremost thing, because you sort of need that to be protected, from a liability standpoint. I kind of come from the mindset that everything is fixable, right? It doesn’t mean that I want to, but I have a beach house in Crystal Beach, and there will be a hurricane there again. I understand that. I know that.
It will likely need repairs, and that was sort of, that is my, both my personal home that I use whenever I want, and then I also rent it on Airbnb to help supplement the income. It’s fine. I understand the risk there. It’s very high, so I won’t get flooded. But I probably don’t, I don’t seek it out though. I’m not seeking out buying homes where natural disasters are, right? Probably not going to buy a house in Tornado Alley, per se.

David:
You don’t want to go into New Orleans and have another huge flood.

Rob:
Yeah, not really. It’s not really at the, it’s something I consider, but it’s not necessarily a deal breaker unless it’s clearly in the… If on Redfin it’s like, “Flood factor, 10 out of 10.” I’m like, “Yeah, probably not going to do that.” Right? But overall, everything else, I’m usually okay with if I really like the property or the deal.

David:
That’s really good. I love that I get to answer last because it’s like playing poker. You get to watch what everybody else’s bets were, and you always have the better position to be in, because I get to hear all your arguments and then sum them up and add one little thing on. Remember when we were interviewing Alex and Layla and he said, “I like to let Layla answer first because I could just take what she said, sum it up and add one extra piece.” And she was like, “Yeah, it sucks. I always have to be the…”

Dana:
Throw us under the rug.

David:
Yeah.

Dana:
Or your throat. Wait, what is that? What did I just say?

David:
Under the bus. You were saying sweep it under the rug and throw it under the bus, and you created a hybrid analogy there. I liked it.

Dana:
Well, let’s go with it. Let’s go with it.

David:
So, there’s two things that I would say when it comes to these concerns, which are valid. One, if you can develop the skill of quantifying risk, your crock brain that screams, “This is going to hurt me,” will quiet down. So, find some way to take the what if this happens and turn that into a number. Numbers aren’t as scary. The easiest way to do that is through insurance, because insurance people are way smarter than I will ever be. They’ve already quantified the risk of flood, the risk of hurricane, the risk of fire, the risk of earthquake, and they’ve turned that into a number that I can just use to protect myself.
So, like Rob said, luxury properties have more expensive insurance. That will cut into your overhead, so it needs to be priced into how you’re going to analyze the deal. But man, insurance is this awesome tool that I can use for all these, “Well, what if this happens?” Well, if I’m covered by insurance and I know how much it is, I can easily underwrite it and make the decision. The other thing is I’ve learned, changes will always happen. At some point, Arizona very well may run out of drinking water. So you got to ask yourself the question, what would happen if that happened? Would we all just say, “Well, there it goes. Time for everybody in the state of Arizona to go somewhere else.”

Rob:
Right.

David:
If you thought that buying the areas you think they’d go to, you’re going to get an influx of demand and you’re going to do well. But probably not. They’re probably going to find a different way to ship water from somewhere else. They’re probably going to change some rule to dig more wells to bring water up, or they’re going to put funding towards turning salt water into clean water, and we’re going to develop a technology, just like we did when we got scared of gas prices being high, and 10 years later, we have electric cars everywhere, right? When everyone’s talking about, “We’re going to run out of gas,” or, “It’s too expensive.” We’re like, “Okay, we’ll build electric cars.” We could do the same thing with drinking water. I don’t know exactly how it’d work out because I’m not that smart, but I do know it’s a problem that humans can solve.
That’s why I don’t freak out completely. I just think, if we do this, what would the result be? That’s one of the reasons I sort of understand economics when it comes to the housing market and why prices didn’t drop when everyone said they would. We shut down the country. We should have gone into a great depression, but we didn’t because we printed a bunch of money. Well, what would we expect the result to be? A lot of inflation. Things are going to become more expensive.
So, I adjusted my advice. Don’t quit your job right now. Things are going to get more expensive, and buy assets that rise with inflation, which real estate is one. The people who followed that, they did really well over the last five or six years. I think we’re going to consider to see it. If you could get into the mode of just saying, “How do I quantify the risk and what can I expect the reaction of humanity to be when these things happen?” You can make calculated decisions that aren’t that bad. But it stops you from getting into analysis paralysis, you guys agree with that?

Rob:
Alternatively, you could also buy assets that rise with the sea levels and only buy boats.

Dana:
There you go.

David:
House boats?

Rob:
Buy boats and rent them. House boats.

David:
It’s screaming real estate. It’s a houseboat.

Dana:
What’s the land value?

Rob:
Zero.

David:
Do you get the mineral rights?

Rob:
Exactly.

David:
Rob’s told two funny jokes today, man. He’s really stepped his game up here.

Rob:
Thank you. You told one, so you could still come out on top here.

David:
Dana, we got one more question, and Rob talked too long in the last one, so this is only going to you. While we have you here, do you have any insights on the current market that we haven’t talked about today?

Dana:
Yeah. So, there’s something that I feel like people aren’t talking about enough in general, which is this misalignment between what’s being built and what people actually want to buy. And if I were to get back into investing actively, this is where I would plug right in. It’s the fact that we’ve got the millennial buyers, they make up over 40% of buyers, and they want single family homes, these traditional homes. And what’s being built, I don’t know if this is just happening where I am or everywhere, but luxury townhouses. And I understand why, developers have to make their margins work.
But the result is, people are fighting over the little inventory for single family homes, the traditional properties. So, people ask me, once they hear that I stopped investing, they’re like, “Why?” They’re also confused why I never graduated into the commercial space, right? It’s very unusual for somebody to build their entire portfolio off of small multifamily homes. What’s ironic is, now that I’ve taken a step back, if I were to get back into it, I would actually go smaller than small multifamily. I would just go straight into single family homes because I do see this gap, and it’s significant.

David:
Awesome. I like that line that you said, there is a discrepancy between what people want and what is being built, which always creates opportunity in the market. So, I’ll wrap up by just asking you, Dana, if you were giving advice for people who can take advantage of the opportunity, the gap between what is wanted and what’s being provided, what would you tell?

Dana:
What would I tell them? Go for it.

David:
Yeah?

Dana:
Is that what the question was?

David:
Or specifics of where should they be looking based on what you see. Should people get into spec building? Should people be buying properties and converting them into something different? What should they convert them into?

Dana:
So, where I see the opportunity, and it’s this, at least I can speak to this market, the formula is location. Narrow in on the location. Quiet side, straight. Heck, I’ve just bought properties because they’re sunny, and I like the trees in the neighborhood, right? Finding that classic home, paying attention to something called neighborhood conformity. Are you familiar with this term?

David:
No.

Dana:
It’s where, sometimes we go down a street or we go down a neighborhood and we can’t really pinpoint what it is that we like about it. Oftentimes, it’s because the properties all play nice with each other and they’re a similar aesthetic. Maybe they’re all colonials, they’re all a mix of colonials and capes, and they play well. When you see a property that sort of sticks out like a sore thumb, that can be, I think, a higher risk investment. So this concept of neighborhood conformity is something I would pay close attention to if you’re buying a single family home.
And then the last bit is value add, and I know we sort of beat a dead horse with that one. But can you finish out a basement? Can you add livable square footage? Can you reconfigure the current layout to make it more functional for today’s living? All these sorts of ideas can create this power play.

David:
Awesome. Well, this is awesome. Dana, thank you for joining me on this Seeing Greene. We got to see green, and through the eyes of Dana and Rob today. Where can people find out more about you if they want to reach out?

Dana:
So, my website is just my name, danabull.com. I’m on Instagram. It’s a bit cringe-worthy, but you can check me out there. And I’m on LinkedIn.

David:
Wait, why is it cringe-worthy?

Dana:
I just don’t know what I’m doing. Social media is not my thing, but I’m sort of having fun with it.

David:
You’re talking to the person whose online handle is DavidGreene24, and Rob mercilessly calls me old and boring for having a handle. He thinks it should be like OfficialDavidGreene or DavidGreene_ [inaudible].

Rob:
TheRealDavidGreene.

David:
Yeah. He wants it to be like ThyRealDavidGreene or something, so I don’t think you’re as cringey as you think.

Dana:
The 24 works.

David:
DanaBull_Realtor. That’s awesome. Rob, where can people find out more about you?

Rob:
You can find me at Robuilt24 on Instagram, on YouTube, and on Threads. I’m going to add the 24 just for one day, just for you, in solidarity.

Dana:
How’s Threads?

Rob:
It’s the Instagram Twitter. You can find me at Robuilt. On YouTube, I make fun videos that teach you how to do this real estate thing every week.

David:
All right. Well, thank you Dana. If people want to follow me, they can do so here on BiggerPockets, or my social media is DavidGreene24 on Instagram, Facebook, TikTok, Twitter or YouTube. So, go check me out there. Great time with you, Dana. Thank you for coming back, and congratulations on your successful business and making real estate work for the life that you wanted for yourself. Very nice to see.

Rob:
So cool.

Dana:
Thank you.

David:
This is David Greene for Rob. No asky, no getty Abasolo. Signing off.

 

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Jobs week cleared up the skies for the Federal Reserve members, who are smiling — big time — after a series of data lines gave them what they wanted: a softer labor market! 

While the labor market isn’t breaking, it has become more pliant in the data lines the Fed focuses on. After Friday’s jobs report, which had some one-time variables, we can say that the economy is heading into an area where the Fed will feel much more comfortable, and we should not have any more rate hikes.

We need to focus on this week’s data to better understand the labor market. First, let’s take a look at Friday’s jobs report.

From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 187,000 in August, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.8 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in health care, leisure and hospitality, social assistance, and construction. Employment in transportation and warehousing declined.

The headline number beat estimates but had negative revisions in the previous months; we had a big jump in the labor force, which was the biggest reason the unemployment rate ticked up higher. We also had some one-time variables as one trucking company filing for bankruptcy, and the actors’ strike, which hit the data this month. Here is the breakdown of the jobs gained and lost:

In this job report, the unemployment rate for education levels:

  • Less than a high school diploma: 5.4% from 5.2% 
  • High school graduate and no college: 3.8% from 3.4% 
  • Some college or associate degree: 3.0% 
  • Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2% from 2.0%. 

The key to the unemployment rate jumping was a big move in the labor force, especially from ages 55 plus in this report.

The Federal Reserve’s fear of wages spiraling out of control like we saw in the 1970s wasn’t a valid concern. As the growth rate of inflation fades, so should their fear on this topic. Wage growth has been slowing down since January of 2022. It might still be too hot for the Federal Reserve, but anyone who isn’t blind can see it’s not spiraling out of control. As the chart below shows, average hourly wage growth data is slowing down from a hot level.

Job openings

The job openings data is one of the Fed’s favorite labor market indicators: They use it to talk about how tight the labor market is. I believe the Fed members want to see the job openings data return toward 7 million so they have to be very pleased with the job openings falling below 9 million this week. As we can see in the chart below, the labor market isn’t as tight as it used to be.

Quits rate

Another great data line for the Fed this week is that the quits rate has returned to pre-COVID-19 levels. With fewer people quitting for better-paying jobs, this makes the Fed much happier, especially in the lower-wage service sector, because people making more money on the low end isn’t something the Fed will tolerate. As Fed members have said recently, they want to see labor softness in the service sector.

This was an epic jobs week because the Fed can say that they’re really making progress on attacking the labor market. Once you get a trend in labor data, it’s tough to reverse course quickly, especially as the Fed is in restrictive territory with their rates. Let’s not forget that the student loan debt payments are about to go online, which means less disposable income in the economy. The 10-year yield is slightly below my peak forecast for 2023 of 4.25%, sitting currently at 4.18%.


The things to focus on for the next 12 months are: the Fed is in restrictive territory with rates, student loan debt payments are about to start again and the labor market is getting less tight. When I say Fed members are happy about this week, it’s an understatement. They are very excited that the economy has a lot of variables that will attack the labor market.



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The pace of hiring continued to cool in August, with job gains of 187,000, which is lower than both the 204,000 monthly average for the previous six months and the 399,000 average of 2022, said Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale.

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 187,000 jobs, just like in July, according to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Additionally, revised job numbers for July indicated that employment growth was slower last month than originally reported. 

Unemployment in August continued to hover near recent lows, rising to 3.8% from 3.5% in July. It is a low rate by historical standards, but is at its highest level since February 2022. The total number of unemployed persons climbed to 6.4 million.

“The jump in the unemployment rate to 3.8% was caused by an increase in the labor force participation rate. More people are actively looking for work, but new or re-entrants to the labor market in August were not having much luck, pushing up the numbers of those unemployed for less than five weeks,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA senior vice president and chief economist.

However, there are still many more job openings than unemployed individuals, he added.

The lion’s share of the job growth in August came from gains in health care (+71,000), leisure and hospitality (+40,000) and social assistance(+26,000), according to the report.

Employment in the construction industry continued to trend up in August, adding 22,000 jobs,  in line with the average monthly gain over the prior 12 months (+17,000). Within the industry, employment continued to trend up over the month, especially for trade contractors (+11,000) and in heavy and civil engineering construction (+7,000).

Furthermore, residential building construction employment increased by 2,400 jobs, according to First American Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi. While non-residential increased by 1,800 — a record high.

In such an environment, builders are cautiously optimistic as we saw with the builder’s confidence  declining for the first time in 2023 in August.  Demand remains steady in the housing market but with stubborn elevated mortgage rates, consumers are feeling the pinch of declining affordability, said Kushi. 

Inflation ticked up in July and the employment situation, while softening, remained stable. Meanwhile, households still have significant savings, which places them in a favorable financial position to keep on spending.

Wage growth slowed a bit in August to 4.3% on an annual basis, said Fratantoni. Also, average hourly earnings ticked up by 0.2% in August and up 4.3% from a year earlier, which is in line with expectations.

However, while wage growth and job openings are slowing, employers are not cutting jobs in big numbers and the labor market remains tight, noted Bright MLS Chief Economist Lisa Sturtevant. While the cooling of the job market is not a threat to workers, new macroeconomic trends will make consumers more cautious, she added.

“That caution—coupled with mortgage rates above 7%—will lead to a cooler housing market this fall,” said Sturtevant.

What will the Fed do ?

During its last meeting in July, the Federal Reserve said it would remain very attentive to incoming economic data ahead of the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. Economists have diverging opinions on what might happen later this month.

According to Sturtevant, a rate hike is expected in September.

“A rate hike is expected when the Fed meets later this month” said Sturtevant.  “Though we’ll have to wait for more economic data this fall to know if the Fed will take a pause on rate increases in November.”

On the other hand, Fratantoni and Hale were more optimistic. Fratantoni thinks that this report should be enough for the Fed to keep the federal funds target rate on hold at its next meeting. 

“We expect that they will hold here until next spring, and their next move should be cut. The combination of a still strong job market, and rates that should trend down over time, is positive for the housing market,” he said.

While another rate hike before the end of 2023 is not off the table, according to Hale, she doesn’t expect it to happen in September.

“Based on data before the jobs report, the market was not anticipating a hike in September, and I don’t expect that to change. Another hike before year-end isn’t off the table, but isn’t my base case,” she said.



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New York-based investment firm Cerberus Capital Management has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire home equity lender Spring EQ, the companies announced on Friday. The terms of the deal were not disclosed. 

The transaction will allow Cerberus executives to realize new opportunities as demand for home equity solutions in the U.S. accelerates. Meanwhile, Spring EQ will be able enhance its platform through further investments in technology, new commercial opportunities and growth-based operational initiatives, the company said.

Founded in 1996, Pennsylvania-based Spring EQ offers home equity, HELOCs, refis and purchase loans. It gives customers access to 95% of their home equity, at a maximum of $500,000, with terms from five to 30 years. 

Like its peers, however, higher rates put pressure on Spring EQ’s business model. According to mortgage tech platform Modex, the company originated $480 million over the last 12 months, with its monthly volume declining from about $60 million in 2022 to $28 million in 2023. The company has 76 active loan officers in four branches, according to Modex. 

Mortgage industry veteran Jerry Schiano, Spring EQ founder and CEO, and the current management team, will lead the company following the completion of the transaction, which is expected to happen in the fourth quarter of 2023. The deal is subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. 

Schiano has more than 30 years of entrepreneurial experience in the mortgage industry. Before Spring EQ, he founded New Penn Financial, which was sold to Shellpoint Partners and later acquired by New Residential Investment Corp., which was rebranded as Rithm Capital 

“The Cerberus team’s mortgage expertise, technology capabilities, and operational resources will help propel our growth, better positioning us to make an even greater impact,” Schiano said in a news release. 

Joe Steffa, managing director of Cerberus Residential Opportunities, said demand is rapidly increasing for home equity solutions “amid higher interest rates and record levels of untapped residential home equity in the United States.” 

Morgan Stanley & Co served as financial advisor to Cerberus and GreensLedge Capital Markets to Spring EQ.  



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Thousands of New York City Airbnb listings are vanishing from the market as the city introduces some of the strictest regulations in the U.S. for short-term rentals.

Starting on Sept. 5, hosts of short-term rentals will need to register with the city, The Wall Street Journal reported. Airbnb hosts will have to meet several new requirements, including not renting out an entire apartment or home; and being present during guests’ short-term stays. 

Airbnb estimates that 5,300 existing reservations would be affected during the first week of enforcement, according to an August legal filing. There are around 10,800 illegal short-term rentals across the city, per municipal government estimates.

New York City’s Short Term Rental registration Law took effect March 6, 2023. It prohibits rental companies like Airbnb, Vrbo and Booking.com from processing transactions for unregistered rentals.

Airbnb has called the rules a de facto ban on short-term rentals.

A ripple effect in other cities?

Some industry stakeholders believe other cities might follow suit. City councils in Dallas, Philadelphia and New Orleans have passed their own restrictions on short-term rentals.

There are about 38,500 Airbnb listings in the New York City, not counting hotels that list on the platform, the report said. The annual net revenue for these listings is $85 million. The city estimates there are about 10,800 illegal short-term rentals citywide.

Local politicians and housing advocates argue that the new rules will safeguard the availability of affordable housing, while some property owners say Airbnb rentals offer reliable supplementary income, the Gothamist reported.

“We’re trying to find a path forward with the city but for the moment, it’s going to be complicated,” Nathan Rotman, Senior Public Policy Manager at Airbnb, told the Gothamist. “Parts of the city are going to lose out on the economic opportunity these visitors bring, and a lot of hosts are going to lose what little income they make from the short-term renting that they do on an occasional basis.”



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The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is considering giving more financial firms, including nonbank mortgage lenders, access to the $1.4 trillion network of Federal Home Loan Banks (FHLBs), Bloomberg reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

The FHFA may stop short of explicitly calling for nonbank mortgage lenders to be included, but leave the door open to that result by not suggesting such a restriction, according to people who asked not to be identified discussing private deliberations. No final decisions were made, Bloomberg reported.

The FHFA, which is expected to release its findings in September, didn’t respond to requests for comment.  

The closed-door discussion by the FHFA, which is part of a regulatory review of the FHLB system, could be the first step to giving many more firms access to a coveted financial backstop currently reserved mostly for banks. 

Any expansion would require congressional actions and would need firms to agree to more government oversight, the outlet reported.

Established in 1932 during the Great Depression, the FHLBs have become a general liquidity provider for banks. 

FHLBs – 11 U.S. government-sponsored banks that provide liquidity to financial institutions to support housing finance and community investment – lent billions of dollars to Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank before its collapse. 

However, their importance in housing finance declined as nonbank mortgage firms grew in size.

Of the top 10 mortgage lenders in the first six months of 2023, six were nonbank lenders — including United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), Rocket Mortgage, PennyMac Financial and AmeriHome Mortgage, according to data from Inside Mortgage Finance.  

While proposals to include mortgage firms in the FHLB system have circulated for years, with proponents saying that granting nonbank lenders access would help strengthen FHLB’s connection to home loans, the regulation these firms could face remains a sticking point.

Unlike banks that are directly overseen by federal and state regulators, nonbank mortgage firms don’t have a designated regulatory authority, which could pose a potential risk to financial stability. 

In April, two advisers to the Biden administration suggested that nonbank mortgage lenders and real estate investment trusts be granted access to the FHLBs, in an Urban Institute report. 

Jim Parrott, a former Obama administration housing adviser, and Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, suggested FHFA as an overseer in exchange for getting access to the FHLB membership. 



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Pennymac Loan Services and RoundPoint Mortgage Servicing reported this week their customers were exposed to a data breach through the Sovos Compliance software, per filings with the Attorney General in California. 

Sovos, which provides services to financial companies, said that its vendor Progress Software had a vulnerability in its MOVEit Transfer application on May 31, 2023. Sovos uses the application to provide services to its customers, including Pennymac and RoundPoint.

Sovos said that when the company became aware of the incident, it immediately took the application offline, activated its incident response procedures, retained outside advisors and notified law enforcement.

However, the company recently determined that unauthorized actors exploited the then-unknown MOVEit vulnerability to download a file containing some Pennymac and RoundPoint customers’ personal information.

Pennymac Loan Services was ranked No. 5 five among the top U.S. primary mortgage servicers in the second quarter of 2023, according to Inside Mortgage Finance data.

Its servicing portfolio grew to $576.5 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB) as of June 30, up 2% from March 31. The company estimates its market share at 4.3% of the loan servicing market.

RoundPoint is a Two Harbors Investment Corp. company. Matrix Financial Services Corp., a leading mortgage servicer and a wholly owned subsidiary of the REIT, acquired RoundPoint from Freedom Mortgage Corp. in August 2022.

Two Harbors’ MSR portfolio was $224.3 billion as of June 30. The company said it completed transfers of approximately 63% of its MSR from the subservicing network to RoundPoint through June.

Regarding the data breach, Sovos said it has decided to offer two years of complementary credit monitoring and identity restoration services through Kroll Information Assurance to Pennymac and RoundPoint customers. 



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Mortgage rates ticked down modestly after job openings data for July came out yesterday, but rates remain elevated. 

Freddie Mac‘s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which focuses on conventional and conforming loans with a 20% down payment, shows the 30-year fixed rate averaged 7.18% as of Aug. 31, down from last week’s 7.23%. By contrast, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 5.66% a year ago at this time.

“Despite continued high rates, low inventory is keeping house prices steady,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Recent volatility makes it difficult to forecast where rates will go next, but we should have a better gauge in September as the Federal Reserve determines their next steps regarding interest rate hikes.”

Other indices showed lower mortgage rates.

HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center showed Optimal Blue’s 30-year fixed rate for conventional loans at 7.07% on Wednesday, compared to 7.22% the previous week. At Mortgage News Daily on Wednesday, the 30-year fixed rate for conventional loans was 7.06%, down from 7.36% the previous week.

What to expect with the Fed ?

At the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the importance of July’s core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for the Fed’s future path. The results came in today and the PCE price index jumped slightly from year-ago levels but grew at a mild monthly rate, which is more in line with the Fed’s 2% inflation target.

Meanwhile, the labor market is cooling as U.S. job openings dropped in July. However, more robust data points will be required to confidently assert that inflation is moving in the desired direction, said Realtor.com Economist Jiayi Xu.

“Despite mortgage rates hitting 20-year highs, we still expect them to reverse course and trend lower as we gather more solid evidence of inflation improvements in the coming months,” added Xu.

What does it mean for the housing market ?

Incentivized by return-to-office demands, some buyers have adjusted to the higher mortgage rate environment and are moving forward with their home search, according to Realtor.com’s 2023 Hottest Zip Codes report. However, first-time homebuyers are facing greater challenges to make such adjustments.

“Fortunately, new homes remain an option for many, as builders are continuing to add homes with a somewhat greater focus on affordable price points,” said Xu.

What to expect for the fall ?

Last fall when mortgage rates surged, homebuyers adjusted pretty quickly, noted Bright MLS Chief Economist  Lisa Sturtevant. First, they held back a little, only to come roaring back to the market in 2023. However, this time could be different, she said.

Rates above 7% are now coupled with home prices near record highs.

“The desire for homeownership is still strong, but there are going to be more and more prospective buyers for whom the numbers simply don’t pencil out anymore at 7%+ rates,” added Sturtevant.

That said, mortgage applications rose last week in spite of the rates being at a 22-year high. However, economists expect applications will decline significantly in the weeks ahead, bringing a shift in the housing market. 

“As demand contracts, supply will still remain low, so the slower market will not necessarily translate into significant price declines,” said Sturtevant.



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New York-based asset management firm Sculptor Capital Management said Wednesday it rejected an improved bid from a group of investors. Sculptor said it still prefers the deal with Rithm Capital due to the closing certainty.

“The Special Committee has not concluded that the Consortium’s most recent revised proposal constitutes a superior proposal or is reasonably expected to lead to a superior proposal (as defined in the Company’s merger agreement with Rithm Capital Corp.),” the company said in a statement. 

The consortium, which includes investors Boaz Weinstein, Bill Ackman, Marc Lasry and Jeff Yass, priced Sculptor at $12.76 per Class A share, an increase of 51 cents from its first proposal. 

The bid is higher than the $11.15 per share offered by Rithm Capital. However, Sculptor’s special committee of independent members said they could not support a transaction with “significantly less certainty of closing.” 

Sculptor, led by CEO Jimmy Levin, alleges in its statement that the consortium proposal requires its stockholders to take the risk of fund investors not approving changes in the company’s leadership. 

Regarding its financials, the proposal includes insufficient equity commitments to fund the transaction. Ultimately, it requires debt financing that is “substantially more conditional and creates greater risk to closing” compared to the Rithm’s proposal, the company said. 

In addition, if the group breaches and refuses to consummate the deal, its financial exposure in damages action is capped at $39.2 million. 

Meanwhile, Rithm is exposed to full damage. The real estate investment trust that operates NewRezCaliber and several other businesses announced a deal to acquire Sculptor for $639 million in July. If regulators approve, it will bring Sculptor’s $34 billion in assets under management to Rithm. The deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2023. 

The Sculptor and Rithm’s transaction is a key issue in a dispute between Daniel Och, the company’s founder, and Levin. Och and other shareholders demanded that Sculptor release books and records on Aug. 22.  

In a letter to the group of founders and shareholders, Sculptor said their request was “improper” and motivated by Och’s “long-standing resentment” of being exited from the company. 



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Jason Lee owns more rental properties than most full-time real estate investors. But, he didn’t do this by investing after the last housing crash, inheriting millions from his parents, or buying a hundred-unit apartment building at once. Actually, Jason seemed like the least likely person to end up as a big earner. He was raised in a household where finances were a constant source of contention, and he only went to college to play sports.

Jason’s parents gave him one choice: become a doctor, lawyer, or other high-skilled professional, so he wouldn’t have to struggle like they did. After scraping through pre-med classes, living in the library, and dedicating all his time to school, he thought what every real estate investor thinks, “Maybe this isn’t the right path.” After having a sudden mental breakthrough, Jason knew he couldn’t continue. So what did he do instead? Real estate.

He was working (for free) four days a week and going to school two just to level up his skills so that he could finally do what he loved when he graduated. His first deal almost blew up, he almost quit, and he got six figures stolen from him, but Jason is now back on top, only three years after graduating, with a portfolio in the eight figures. How’d he do it so fast? Stick around and find out.

David:
This is the BiggerPockets podcast coming at you from the Spotify Studios in downtown LA with episode 812.

Jason:
I think it took about a thousand conversations before I actually got a really good lead. You can’t take the rejection personally because every single person that gets in a real estate, you get rejected. Everyone’s going to tell you no in the beginning, and it’s just a part of getting into the game. It’s the gate you need to walk through in order to become a real estate salesperson or an investor.

David:
What’s going on everyone? This is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets Real Estate podcast here today with my co-host and partner in Multifamily Investing, also, one of the smartest guys I know, and incredibly funny for a smart guy, we’ll say that as well. In addition to being good-looking, you’ve sort of hit the trifecta of what we want in a podcast host. So thank you, Andrew Cushman, everybody.

Andrew:
I don’t know what to say after that, man. That’s untoppable.

David:
I left you speechless. That’s how I keep more mic time. I just say everything you were going to say, like Eminem and 8 Mile, and you have nothing you can do to reply.

Andrew:
Yeah. You’re out right now. I’m doing well. Glad to be here in person. Glad to be back in California. Been traveling a lot so good to be home, especially since they dropped the charges.

David:
Oh, good to know. And also thank you for pretending like you understood that Eminem joke, which I know you’re going to ask me later, what the hell that meant.
In today’s show, you and I are interviewing Jason, who’s sitting here with us right now who has an incredible story that has gone from being a very hardworking student in school, to a hardworking broker, to a successful broker, to a badass real estate investor, which is why you’re being interviewed on the biggest, the baddest, and the best real estate podcast in the world. So glad that you’re here.
Andrew, what should our listeners keep an eye out for to help them in their own investing journey?

Andrew:
There’s a whole lot. Throughout the entire show, Jason dropped all kinds of knowledge and just inspiring things, but I would say two that really stood out to me, was one he talks about he just worked his tail off to get that first deal, got it right to the finish line, and then it seemed like the whole thing blew up on him, and it almost took him out of the game. It almost emotionally crushed him.
And what he did, part of how he got past that is he zoomed out and looked at the big picture and the skills that he had learned in the business and the pipeline that he had built, and that helped him carry through and make sure you listened through to find out how he did eventually end up saving that deal.
And then also in line with that, is he focused on learning the skills. He wasn’t focused on, “Okay, I got to get this deal.” Or, “I have to go over here.” Or, “I have to get this partner.” Or, “I don’t have the money.” His focus was, “I am going to learn these skills necessary to become an investor, to become an entrepreneur, to learn real estate, and everything else will come from that.” I think that’s a huge part of why he’s so successful at such a young age in a very difficult market.

David:
There you go. So listen all the way to the end of today’s show. If you want to hear more about how Jason has been able to build a portfolio with a very impressive worth, which we’re not going to reveal here, you got to listen all the way to the end.
Before we get into the show with Jason, today’s quick tip. Pick up the phone, not once and not twice, but a lot of times by building in the reps that you need to get the deal. Andrew, how many phone calls did you have to make before you got your first flip?

Andrew:
4,576 rejections.

David:
And Andrew will tell you all why that is like taking the stairs, not the escalator in today’s episode.

Andrew:
That’s right.

David:
All right, my brother, let’s get into it.
Jason Lee, welcome to the podcast. For everybody listening, Jason has 119 units across 17 different properties. He’s been investing for just three years. He got started in 2020. So for everybody who says all of your guests made a bunch of money in the past, well, not this one, this has happened over the last three years.
Once lost a hundred thousand dollars to a terrible contractor. And as a fun fact, he loves dogs and plans to start a nonprofit that helps dogs who need homes and veterinary care. You just got a collective, “Aww.” From a huge percentage of our audience there. Well done, Jason. Welcome to the show.

Jason:
Thanks for having me, David.

David:
Yeah, so before we get into your backstory, tell us briefly how are you adapting or pivoting your strategy in today’s market?

Jason:
Yeah. Today’s market, it’s definitely tougher than it was in 2021 and 2022. It’s definitely slowed down considerably in my world. So I think to pivot, what I’ve been doing is reinvesting a lot of money into marketing, going all in on marketing because usually when things slow down, companies tend to shrink and lower their marketing budget. But I’ve been trying to reinvest my earnings into more marketing, to try to take more market share while some people might be claiming up while the market is slow.

David:
All right. And then what about the price of the properties? Are you kind of like, “Hey, whatever it is, is fine.” Or are you really narrowing down on what you’re paying?

Jason:
So definitely been a lot pickier lately with pricing. I think, I invest in San Diego. So in San Diego things are very economically sound. There’s a lot of great fundamentals to where nothing points to a big crash.
We’re over 70,000 homes behind on being the amount of demand of people that want to live in San Diego. We have no inventory. So in that sense, we’re not scared about our exit. But then again, interest rates is a huge question mark and some other global economic factors. So just because of that, we’ve been definitely put a bigger pad in our underwriting to make sure that the numbers will pencil no matter what.

David:
So before we move on, when you do that, that obviously means more deals won’t work. Have you found that that means nothing’s working or are you still finding something even with that bigger pad?

Jason:
So with the bigger pad, you’re 100% right. More deals are not working, but we’ve been able to do four deals in the last six months. So we’re still seeing deals that work in our newer, more strict underwriting.

David:
Okay. Excited to get more into this real estate success that you’ve been having, but before we do, let’s go back a bit in time first. What was life for you like, growing up?

Jason:
Yeah. So life growing up, I was born in Seoul, Korea. I was born in a US territory. My dad was in the army and my dad actually met my mom there. She spoke no English, was just Korean, grew up there. And then my dad, when he retired from the army, decided to move us to California, a small town in the East Bay. Clayton, California. I don’t know if you know where that is.

David:
Wow. I live in Brentwood, man. I’m very close to Clayton.

Jason:
Oh, no way.

David:
We sell houses out there.

Jason:
That’s awesome.

David:
I was a deputy in the county where Clayton is.

Jason:
Oh, cool. Yeah, so that’s where I grew up. I grew up in a little, you know where Ed’s Mudville Grill is?

David:
Yeah.

Jason:
I grew up right behind there. So I lived there until I was 18 and moved there when I was seven. And my dad was a full-time security guard. My mom jumped around from business to business and then eventually her last business failed, which was kind of like a small juice shop.
And then from there she started a house cleaning business, and from that, I think that really shaped how I wanted my financial future to look and how I wanted to give back to my family, because growing up, every single conversation or every fight that my parents had, it was always about-

David:
The money.

Jason:
“How are we going to pay the mortgage next month?” Every single month. And ever since I was eight years old, that’s kind of what was ingrained into my brain. So I actually was very fearful of money and was scared to actually even do anything to make money just because I knew that money was a big trigger for my anxiety.

David:
Very similar story for me. Sounds like Andrew might’ve been the same case for you, right?

Andrew:
A little bit different. We are solid middle class. We didn’t have struggles, but we also had a tight budget to fall and pay attention to.

David:
What I noticed in my childhood is that lack of money equals pain. That’s what the cause the fighting, is they’re scared, there’s fear. Where there’s fear, there’s pain. Little kids don’t like to be around their heroes who are supposed to keep them safe, being afraid. So you probably recognize money as the monster. If you don’t have it, you’re in trouble.

Andrew:
Everyone says money can’t buy happiness, and that absolutely is true, but it can eliminate a lot of the things that cause unhappiness.

David:
Good point.

Andrew:
And stress.

David:
Yeah. So did you make an inner vow, “I will never be broke?”

Jason:
No, I did not. I think the first thing that kind of really got me motivated was when I grew up and kind of grew my empathetic side of my brain, when I went to college and moved away, that’s when I actually got closest to my parents because I saw how other people grew up. I saw how good some people had it, and I saw how much my parents struggled compared to some of these other families at San Diego State University.
So I just really just made a pact one day, middle college that I was going to somehow give back to my family. And I’ve been able to do that, fortunately, still am, but that was kind of the first pact I made. I never wanted to be just rich for myself. That’s not how it started.

David:
So you mentioned going to college. What were your expectations when you first got there?

Jason:
It’s a great question. So when I first got to college, all I cared about was rugby. Rugby was my first passion. So in high school I started playing rugby. I played football as well, but I really fell in love with rugby. But I was excited to go to San Diego State to play for the rugby team there. And then that ended up not working out because I had about seven or eight diagnosed concussions in high school.
So I told the honest truth to the trainer at San Diego State and she couldn’t clear me. So that was gone right away. So I kind of had that loss of identity when I first got to college because I didn’t know what I wanted to do. I had been an athlete my whole life. All I cared about was eating right and working out and playing sports.
And when I got there, I knew no one. I just found out I can never play rugby again. And my parents were my ear saying, “No matter what happens, you’re going to go to grad school for whether it’s being a lawyer or a doctor or an engineer, whatever it is.” So I was just a very confused kid with a lot of bad and good influences, I guess you could say.
And my expectations, I really didn’t have high hopes of college. I just thought I was going to be studying all the time and going to grad school and have a normal life. So I thought I was just be going through the system like a usual person.

David:
What was your college experience like Andrew?

Andrew:
Mine? I was living in Texas at the time, and my parents suggested, “Hey, why don’t you go to Texas A&M?” And I quickly responded and said, “I won’t be caught dead at that redneck school.” Well, a couple of years later, guess where I was going? And I went there, and I knew in high school I wanted to be an entrepreneur, but I just didn’t know how or what that looked like, I had no clue.
And so I figured, “Well, I like chemistry and I like problem solving, so I’ll go get a chemical engineering degree, that’ll give me a job that’s tolerable and I’ll always have something to do until I can figure it out.” And so I did that. I went and got a chemical engineering degree, double majored in meteorology for a while, and then also decided, “You know what? If I complete this, they’re going to send me to an outpost in the Alaskan wilderness, and I don’t want to do that either.”
So I graduated with an engineering degree and I guess it was an amazing four and a half years, but the freedom and creativity that you get to do as an entrepreneur, I would never want to go back, of just being in that environment of studying to take the test and not really to necessarily learn, and I found I was really good at that.
I could study something, remember it for two hours, write it back down, and then leave and completely forget all of it. And just looking back, that kind of feels like an empty thing to do. And I love being in this environment. Jason, you’ve absorbed so much in a few years, and that’s all self-taught, right? And self-learned, and from mentors, and that to me is much more exciting. So I had a good college experience, but today like what you’re doing, what we’re doing is just so much better.

David:
Okay. So Jason, you show up at college, prepared to be a good son, get good grades, get into grad school. What was your experience like?

Jason:
So my experience in the beginning, I was basically completely lost, like I said, didn’t know what exactly, if I wanted be a doctor, going to med school, going to grad school, whatever it is. But I chose the path of going down biology and trying to be a doctor, a physician.
So I took all the core science classes and there’s a lot of pressure on me because you have to get an A or B minimum to get to grad school, to go to med school. So I was living in the library, I was studying all the time, and there was this one class that eventually broke me and that was organic chemistry and that, if anyone’s taken that class, it’s the worst class I ever, have you taken it?

Andrew:
I have.

Jason:
You have?

Andrew:
I have organic chemistry 1 and 2.

Jason:
That was 1 and 2. Yeah. I’ll tell you why it’s terrible. So all day long, you’re drawing shapes with just different chemicals like carbon and nitrogen, whatever it is.
And I just had a thought in my head one day when I was studying for four hours straight for a test like, “Why am I learning this stuff? I’m never going to use this when I’m trying to actually help a patient.” So eventually, and it was just hard. My brain doesn’t work like that. And the way that organic chemistry works, you have to just, I don’t know, put different puzzles and stuff together. I can’t really explain it, but-

David:
Did you hate geometry?

Jason:
I hated geometry, yep. It’s kind of the harder version-

David:
It’s the chemistry version of geometry.

Jason:
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Andrew:
It is. Yeah.

Jason:
I hated geometry.

David:
I’m guessing you liked geometry.

Andrew:
It was okay. Yeah. I mean, I was decent at it, but again, I kind of went into that stuff as something I could tolerate until discovering real estate.

David:
Did you also have a terrible teacher?

Jason:
No, my teacher wasn’t bad.

David:
Oh, that’s good.

Jason:
It was on the teacher, no?

David:
I had a horrible chemistry teacher in high school and I was like, “I just can’t do this.” I thought I was dumb. They were a terrible teacher. Then I found half the class failed. They were an intern that they stuck in there because they couldn’t find a real teacher. They was not good at teaching. And that whole time I thought I was terrible.
It was that, “Oh no, the teacher was really bad.” But sometimes that’s a blessing because this opened up doors for something else. So what was the light bulb moment after organic chemistry where you realized, “I hate this”?

Jason:
Yeah. So like you said, like Andrew said I could tolerate most of my classes, but that was the one thing I couldn’t tolerate. And that’s when I started looking around, like, “What else could be there, what other paths are there for me?” Because I never even thought about business going to college because my parents never really taught me much about business. I didn’t really know what that whole sales, real estate finance world was about. I knew absolutely nothing about it.
But every single, all of my friends in school, they were all business majors. They were all finance, marketing, entrepreneurship, every single one of them. And I just started asking questions, “What are you looking to do when you get out of college?” “I’m looking to go into real estate, be a financial advisor.” All that stuff. So I think just through networking and meeting people at San Diego State, that’s what kind of got me the light bulb running around, like, “What else could be there for me when I graduate?”

Andrew:
And is that how you discovered real estate? How did you, it sounds like they started kind of planting those seeds. Where did you go from there?

Jason:
I mean, to be honest with you, the huge moment where I eventually found real estate, I don’t know if this is PG enough for the show. It was-

Andrew:
I think they can bleep things out, right?

David:
I’m curious how on earth you’re going to turn real estate into something. PG-13, I think everybody wants to hear what you’re about to say.

Andrew:
Now we really want to know.

Jason:
Yeah, yeah. So it was finals week, my first semester of junior year for organic chemistry. And by this point I’d already been like, “I’m going to do something else. I have to do something else.” And I started investing in stocks, a little bit of finance stuff here and there, like Forex trading, bunch of BS.
And this one before finals, we go out to a concert in San Diego, and my friends and I decided to try magic mushrooms the first time. And we went to the concert, hit me like a train, and I became like a philosopher for the night. My whole world opened up. I started telling people what I was going to do with my life, “Dah, dah, dah, dah.”

Andrew:
Just like a Binance meetup.

Jason:
My left and right brain just connected. I swear. I got home. I gave my roommates a speech on how my parents are holding me back, on how science is a terrible path. I’m never going to be a doctor. And I woke up, changed my major to communication, and I went to every club on campus the next week and found real estate.

Andrew:
I think that’s one of the more unique paths to real estate I’ve ever heard.

David:
You just make it sound like psilocybin was, if everyone just took it, they’d immediately figure out what they want to do in life. There was nothing else that occurred in there. It was literally just left brain, right brain connect. You check every class or every course available, and then, a club you said, and then the real estate one just stood out, like, “That would be good”?

Jason:
Yeah. I joined the Real Estate Society. I joined the finance club, and my first event at the Real Estate Society was like a speed dating thing. So 20 professionals from San Diego met with 20 students, and we each had three minutes to meet every single professional.
And I connected really well with this guy named Brian, who was my old mentor, who hired me to be a commercial real estate agent. And he was talking numbers, talking about potential and what I’d be doing. And it just really resonated with me, my personality. I have a very type a go, go, personality. That’s what brokerage is. As you know David. So after that event, my first event at my school, I just started working in this company and that’s how I got into real estate.

Andrew:
How did you either convince him or get him, how did you go from a 3-minute meeting to working with him and his company?

Jason:
That’s a great question. Yeah, it didn’t just happen after a 3-minute meeting. So after 3-minute meeting, after the event ended, I was extremely scared to go talk to him after the meeting, but he said, “Feel free to come back and discuss more.” But I was in a corner thinking for four minutes on what I was going to say, because I knew nothing about real estate at the time. “What am I going to say to this guy when I come back?”
But I basically just came back and said, “Hey, I really enjoyed our conversation. I’d really like to work for you and see what you have going on.” And he told me it was a non-paid internship, no salary, no pay. Basically I’d give up my time for knowledge and skills. At the time, I didn’t understand that, but I said, “You know what? I really like this guy. I’m going to go for it anyway.”
So he invited me to his office and I met some of his employees, some of his agents, and I really liked the company culture there. I really liked what they were doing. There was guys that were doing very, very well at the company and the rest was history, I guess.

Andrew:
Awesome. Does he play any kind of role in your life or business today still?

Jason:
No. After I left the company, him and I haven’t really talked much. We ended on very good terms, but him and his partner, they’ve kind of taught me the whole business. But since we broke up, it was a good breakup, but we haven’t really talked to each other since.

David:
It’s a tricky thing, when it’s like you bring this person into the world and then they go and do their own thing. Sometimes if there are expectations where that’s going to happen, it’s okay, but it can hurt also, when you get an emotional connection with someone, that’s what no one talks about with partnerships. There’s an emotional component to them as well. So what time in history was this when you are moving up to be an intern?

Jason:
So, this was March of 2018. This was the second semester of my junior year. I just turned 21.

David:
Okay. And then when did you get your license?

Jason:
I got my license five months later, so in August.

David:
All right. And you’re still in college while this is going on?

Jason:
Yeah, still in college.

David:
Okay. So what are you doing there?

Andrew:
Failing organic chemistry?

Jason:
No. Yeah, no. Surprisingly I got a decent grade in that, but after that I changed to communication, like I said. So that was such a night and day shift from science. I didn’t study at all, just got through and got straight B’s. So I was focusing five hours a week on school, just going to class. And then Monday, Wednesday, Friday and Saturday, all day I would be at the office making calls.

David:
So you’re going to school, you’re studying, you’re doing your homework, and then when you have time, you’re just banging out stuff on the phone.

Jason:
Yeah. So I stacked all my classes on Tuesday and Thursdays, and then I would work four days a week.

David:
I did that too when I was in college. Same thing. Was it difficult to accept that you’re going to be making cold calls and getting rejected? How did you handle that?

Jason:
Yes. It was very tough at first. I had never ever gotten rejected like that before. I had no sales experience. So when I first came into it, I was the worst salesperson ever on the phone.
I got rejected really quick. People got me off the phone really fast. They knew how young I was just by my voice. So no one took me seriously and it took a lot of reps to eventually become good at what I was doing.

Andrew:
So that’s a really good point. So I’m in my mid-40s. I’m at the point where my once unlimited potential is starting to seem somewhat limited. You’re in your mid-20s, hopefully many decades ahead, which is a huge advantage, you’re starting early, but a lot of people in the audience, that’s one of the challenges is, “Well, hey, I’m young. I sound young. I have no experience. I barely know the language. How do I get people to take me seriously? How do I break into this?”
So could you speak a little bit more to that? So the person who’s listening who maybe just graduated college or just starting off, what did you do when you’re cold calling an owner of a 5-unit in San Diego? How did you get that person to take you seriously? And I’m sure a lot of them didn’t, right? And so that was part of what you were talking about, just pushing through.
But what would you say to the person who’s trying to do what you did in terms of having the internal strength to push through and to get people to take you seriously? Did you just own it and say, “Yep, I’m just getting started, but if you’re my first deal, you’re going to get more attention than anybody’s going to give you because your deal means everything to me.” Or was there, what tactics did you take?

Jason:
Yeah. So I think it took about a thousand conversations before I actually got a really good lead.

Andrew:
Been there.

David:
He knows his number. Ask him his number.

Jason:
What’s your number?

Andrew:
It took me 4,576 cold calls to get my first deal.

David:
Nice. That number makes it cameo in Long Distance Real Estate Investing, and if anybody wants to check that out. So you had to say a similar experience. You’re just getting rejected. Rejection sandwich every day for lunch, breakfast and dinner, with snacks.

Jason:
With snacks and dessert. Yeah, but eventually, I think the biggest thing that I want to mention is you can’t take the rejection personally because every single person that gets into real estate, you get rejected. So everyone’s going to tell you no in the beginning, and it’s just a part of getting into the game. It’s the gate you need to walk through in order to become a real estate salesperson or an investor.

David:
It’s like hell week, but it lasts for a lot longer than a week. It was dragged out for a 4-year period of life.

Jason:
Exactly, 100%.

David:
I was rejected by my own hairline. I got exposed to this earlier in life. I can relate.

Andrew:
Basically, it sounds like what you’re saying is, is just put in the reps and you’ll learn the language and you’ll be able to connect with people, and then you’re still going to get tons of rejection, but if you just hang in there eventually you’re going to make the connection and not get the rejection.

Jason:
Yeah. But there’s two more things that really helped me besides the reps. The first thing was I had a really good sales trainer. I had a really good broker that was teaching me on what to say, how to say it, teaching me how to be an expert in my market and how to analyze deals, how to understand the lingo, know what you’re talking about because if you sound like you know what you’re talking about, no matter how young you are, people are still going to take you seriously. And deal by deal, your track record gets better and better. So you can use that to your advantage, your testimonials.
But the thing that really moved the needle for me that I think is mandatory for anyone that’s young watching the show, that’s graduating out of college that wants to be in real estate is you got to have an older, wiser partner to go to meetings with you, to be on calls with you in the first year of your career no matter what.
Because if you go into real estate without a team just on your own and you’re trying to sell properties or buy properties and you have no guidance and no one by your side to go to those meetings to close sales with you or to close deals with you, you’re going to have a really hard time compared to the person like me that had that partner by my side.

Andrew:
Yeah. I mean, I would concur 100%. I had that too when I started off. It still took me 4,500 calls, but without that official mentor and my wife sitting next to me and I’d hang up and she’d be like, “Honey, that was good, but next time try this instead.” Yeah, you’re absolutely right.
Finding that person, whether it’s a paid mentor or you’re working for free or someone in your office or even a family member, is absolutely critical. It is so hard to see yourself objectively and fully enough and develop it all on your own.

Jason:
Commercial real estate brokerage is a revolving door and it’s a revolving door, not because of the lack of talent, it’s because the lack of mentorship, the lack of time people are willing to spend into these new agents, because if you just tell them to give them a script and a call and you don’t give them any guidance until they bring you a lead, which is what most commercial real estate brokers in the industry expect, a lot of your agents aren’t going to succeed.
And I’ve taken the opposite approach of my agents and give them a lot of guidance, a lot of training, being on every follow-up call to make sure that they know that I’m here and I care about them.

David:
So what came first? You’re banging the phones. Did you get your first deal or did you get a client first?

Jason:
So I got my first client from banging the phones. I didn’t buy my first property until I was three years in two brokerage.

David:
All right. So tell me about your first client. What type of a deal was it?

Jason:
I’m glad you asked. It’s a horror story. So the client was great. The client was amazing. It’s a horror story because of the circumstance. So this was six months into the business. Keep in mind I had no money in my bank account.
I had finally got a great lead and after doing my side hustles, going to school and trying to spend time into brokerage, I’d finally gotten my first really good listing appointment after six months and my senior broker crushed the meeting. We got the listing, I was on top of the world.
This was November of 2019, I want to say, no, 2018, sorry. November of 2018, four or five days after the appointment, the owner unexpectedly passes away and the owner didn’t have a trust for the property. So you know what’s coming next. It went into probate.

David:
It goes to the state, the state has to determine where it gets messy, process takes forever.

Jason:
Thank you.

Andrew:
Yeah, not fun at all.

Jason:
Not fun at all. So through a probate attorney, they told me it would take at least six months to a year to get it out of probate into the son’s hands and to be able to sell it. And when I got that news, I went home from the office that day, cried the entire way home, and I told myself I was going to quit real estate. I was done. “My family was right, my friends are right. I should not have gone into real estate. It’s way too risky. It’s a terrible business. I need to get out of this.” But something in my gut just told me to stay.
Something in my gut said, “You’ve learned so much in these last six months. You have a great team behind you. You have a lot of potential.” And for some reason I came in the office that day and just kept doing what I was doing, but I was very, very close to quitting the business forever.

David:
Those are some key linchpin moments in our lives. I can look back and remember several of them. And as you were talking, what I realized with a little bit more wisdom is it wasn’t just the experience that was so bad, it was my interpretation of the experience.
So what you were interpreting was, “I was told not to do this. I was told to take the safe route. I thought I knew better than everyone. I told them all, I know what I’m doing, get out of my way and now I’m wrong. I failed. I should have listened. Why did I trust my gut?” And that’s so dangerous because if you lose confidence in yourself, you’ll become a slave and live in the matrix for the rest of your life.
That’s why that was such a powerful moment that you didn’t quit because if you had quit, you would’ve been empowering the interpretation that you don’t have what it takes. And that would’ve become your identity and maybe the story of your life for a very long time, maybe 20 years before you give it another try. Maybe that’s why all these middle-aged guys end up getting Corvettes and it’s because they’re having to come out of that identity.

Andrew:
Finally, getting out of it. Yep.

David:
Yup. That they developed. But that didn’t happen with you. How did you respond instead?

Jason:
I showed up, put my big boy pants on and just said, “I’m going to keep doing what I’m doing.” I had a decent pipeline built, so I knew I wasn’t just like, “I had nothing going for me.” So I knew I had something going for me. And when I talked to my mentor about it and really just ran through what I was feeling, that it’s been six months I’ve made a single paycheck and I just lost any sort of chance I had of making one soon. And from that conversation and a lot of upbringing from my peers, I ended up just sticking with it.

David:
So your boys picked you up?

Jason:
My boys picked me up, the property went out of probate much faster. They did a really good job. It was actually out in two months. That ended up being my first deal. The check was a whopping $3,000. Huge check.

Andrew:
Still a check.

Jason:
Still a check.

David:
It’s funny that that’s what you were crying over, right? Like 3000 is nothing, but it’s the interpretation that was causing all the pain. It’s not the actual reality.

Andrew:
And Jason, you said something that I think it’s critical for everybody to listen to and remember and that you told yourself, a part of how you kept yourself going. You said, “Well, look, I know I’ve developed a pipeline. There’s more behind this.” And I think a lot of people underestimate the importance of that, is don’t focus on, “There’s just this one deal. I got to get this one deal.”

David:
It’s zooming in.

Andrew:
Yeah. You’re getting too far zoomed in. You were zoomed out in the big picture saying, “All right, you know what, this might fail. It’s like a gut punch, this sucks. But you know what? I’ve got more coming. I’m going to keep going and zooming out and keeping that perspective.” Is absolutely critical, especially when you’re getting started and is just build that pipeline out. So that was really good on your part.

Jason:
And I mentioned earlier, and this is when I got the best advice I ever got from my mentor is you’re learning the skills now, don’t worry about money. You’re learning the skills right now in your career to be able to become a great broker, a great agent, great investor in order to make more money in the future.
Because in commercial real estate brokerage or in any brokerage, when you’re an agent, David, your first year, it’s your toughest year, right? It’s the hardest year of your career, but your income can literally two x every single year just because of the skills you’ve learned in that first year.

David:
If you learn the skills.

Jason:
If you learn the skills.

David:
Yes, a lot of people focus on the money, not the skills. It’s like a leap of faith. You’re just constantly building skills and believing eventually that’s going to turn into money for you.

Andrew:
All right, so you told us the story of how you got your first brokerage deal. Tell us the story of your first investment deal, how you got it, what kind of deal it was, where it is, all those kinds of things or where it was.

Jason:
So like usual, day-to-day, I was calling people as a broker, as an agent, and this was three years into the business. And I finally saved up a little bit of money to go to buy my first property. And I called this owner who lived in San Jose. He just inherited a fourplex and a duplex in San Diego. And he told me that he was listing the properties with his property manager and I give him a call, gave the property manager a call, and the fourplex was extremely overpriced, but the duplex was actually extremely underpriced.
They listed it at $750,000 and it hadn’t gone to the market yet. It was a three bedroom, two bath house in the front and a little one bedroom, a studio house in the back with a two car garage in the front and a one car garage in the back. And at the time, the property was probably worth about 800, $900,000. So I knew it was a good deal and it had ADU potential because the garages can be converted into two units.
So I let the property manager represent me. He made an offer on my behalf because when the listing agent represents you, I believe at least that you have a much higher chance on getting the deal. So I let him do that and went into contract for 750. I went into contract and did my inspections, did my due diligence, and got some really tough news that the entire foundation basically had to be replaced. The electrical system was old knob and tube, which if you don’t know what old knob and tube is-

Andrew:
That’s not good. Yeah.

Jason:
Yeah. You can’t get insurance. It’s the worst kind of electrical, 1920s wiring and needing a new roof. It was ridden with termites and all the windows need to be replaced.
So when I got that news from my inspectors, my contractors, I almost backed out of the deal because this is the first deal I was going to buy. I was too scared to take on a massive renovation project. I was like, “There’s no way I can do this. I have no idea how to manage a contractor, how to run anything.” But took a risk like most investors do.

Andrew:
How did you get over that fear?

Jason:
I got over that fear of buying the first deal just because the numbers were so good. I just knew I trusted in the underwriting. I knew even if I was a 100K, 200K above budget, I still would make a lot of money on the deal.
So I think just the deal being so good itself made me feel comfortable that even if I screw everything up, make every mistake in the book, I can still come out of this a little bit positive.

Andrew:
Did you find a mentor or someone to help you manage the contracting element of it? How’d you get past that piece or did you just go for it?

Jason:
I just went for it. I never had a mentor for managing contractor. I had some clients who kind of gave me some info. I actually had a client who gave me the referral to the person that scammed me, which I’ll talk about later. But I have a lot of horror stories with contractors just because I learned the hard way.

Andrew:
And you said this thing’s in San Diego, I thought, you can’t make investments in California.

Jason:
I said that?

Andrew:
No, no, no, no, no. That’s the running narrative is can’t invest. And candidly, that’s one of the things I say is I love living in California and I love to live where I love to live, but invest where I get the best returns, and for me, that’s not in California, but to me… So you’re doing a different business model. You are making it work. And the reason I want to highlight that is because again, I think a lot of people say, “Oh, I live in San Diego. It’s too expensive. Well, I guess if I bought in San Diego 20 years ago.” Well, you live in San Diego and you just did this in the last few years.
So is there anything you think that’s different that, again, it sounds like you got it at a great price, but is there anything else that if someone is trying to invest in a market like that, that they should be pay attention to or that can say, “No, I can invest here.”

Jason:
Well, I think when most investors who are starting out think of California, first off, a lot of people like yourself probably say, California’s a bad place to invest. So they hear from all the YouTubers, people on podcasts that you want to buy in a red state. California’s a blue state.
And when people think of California, a lot of people think of the strict laws in the city of San Francisco and in the city of LA. Not all of California has extremely strict laws on displacing tenants, on doing a renovation, on executing on what you want to do. And investors do it every single day. And something that California has that no other state has is we have the best weather in the country. People still want to move here. We have a great economy. Companies are still coming here. Apple just invested millions into an office park in San Diego.
So if you’re not investing in the city of San Francisco and the city of LA, I think you’ll be just fine. And the thing that I look for when I buy properties even in California is that I make sure that no matter what, I understand that my basis is going to be significantly lower than what properties are going for right now in my location. And that’s how I’ve been able to scale pretty quickly.

Andrew:
So you’re looking at basis versus not to say you’re ignoring cashflow, but you’re looking at basis which is going to create equity, which as David you say, is really what builds your wealth, not necessarily cashflow.

David:
Yeah. Over a longer period of time.

Andrew:
Over a longer period of time. And so that’s how you’re making it work, so awesome. Thank you. Appreciate that.

David:
So, explain what that means by how you’re focusing on basis and why you feel that’s beneficial.

Jason:
Yeah. I mean I actually learned a lot about it from listening to you. So in a lot of shows you say your money’s built on gaining equity, not gaining cashflow. So you make your money on appreciation, and California arguably appreciates faster than any other estate in most cities.
So when I buy, I don’t buy for cashflow because I’m in a career that I love. You guys always talk about, you want to buy for cashflow if you’re in a career that you hate because you want to get out of the career as fast as possible, but that’s not the case for me. I love being a real estate broker, so I don’t need cashflow. So I don’t really pay attention to that as much.
I care about what am I buying it for and what can I sell it for or what can I refinance it for? What’s the appraisal value after I’m done? And the super simple rule of thumb that I use, is if I know I can sell a property for a million dollars, I want to buy it for 60 to 70% below that million dollar value. So I want to buy it for 700 grand or less. That’s my first stress test. And then I go deeper into things.

David:
So let’s break down. First we’ll talk about the area, then we’ll talk about the actual properties, little many economic lesson in supply and demand for people who are listening that have been told, California’s bad or expensive is bad because that’s the objection. “California is too expensive. I will go over here and buy something else.” But they don’t ask the question of, “Why is California expensive?” Okay, so let’s break into this. San Diego, is that a terrible place to live?

Jason:
Horrible.

David:
Do people hate it?

Jason:
They hate it so much.

David:
Absolutely. I don’t know anybody that sticks around in San Diego. They’re like, the running joke is I called the Bermuda Triangle, because all my buddies from high school that moved to San Diego to be bartenders and stuff, they never came back. I don’t know what they’re doing or where they are now, but no one does. You go to San Diego and you just get stuck there. It’s very, very difficult to live anywhere else.
It’s some of the best weather, some of the best locations of anywhere in the entire world, first off. There’s also only so much land out there. So you have a constricted supply because it’s a very small area, which is something people fail to look at when investing. Yes, you can get a cash-on-cash return if you go buy a single family house in Kansas, you’re never going to have a constricted supply in Kansas. They can just build houses ad nauseum forever. So the prices can’t go up.
One of the first things I like is a constricted supply. Austin, Texas has a constricted supply. They’ve got a river that runs through the city. There’s only so much within that river. It’s not shocking to me that you get appreciation there when everyone else talks about it, like “Appreciation is just luck. It might happen, but you can’t bank on it.”
Well, we can’t bank on cashflow either, but the odds are, if a property is newer, in a better location, has wages that are rising, in better condition, it’s going to cashflow better than a property that you have no idea. You can still put the odds in your favor. So constricted supply, you can build more, and a rising demand as more and more people want to go live in San Diego and people that go there don’t want to leave. That is a formula for appreciating assets, first off.
So you’re going to make money in equity investing in a market like that, but you might have to wait because everyone else wants to buy it. Cap rates are going to be very low in areas that everybody else wants to get into. If you look at that and say, “Oh, it’s too hard to make money here, I’ll go somewhere else.” You’re missing out on why everybody wants to be there.
The other area we have to look at is cashflow. Of course, it’s not going to cashflow super strong because cap rates are going to be low. Demand is going to be very high to get into that space. There’s going to be a lot of competition for every building because it’s desirable. But what do rents do in an area with constricted supply? It’s very difficult to find somewhere else to rent and wages keep rising because tech companies and other wealthy people keep moving there. Do they go down or up?

Jason:
Up.

David:
Right? So if you wait long enough, rents are going to be going up. The properties you buy in San Diego, 10 years ago have insane cashflow versus the stuff that everyone was saying, “It’s too expensive. You don’t get any cashflow. You have to go to Wichita, Kansas if you want to get cashflow.” Wichita, Kansas cashflow, and I’m generalizing right now, is roughly the same in 10 years as what it was when you bought it versus that San Diego property. You look like a brilliant genius.
It’s that to me, my perspective is how much gratification are you willing to delay? Does it need to make money now or can it make money later? Now, part of that’s the model. If you’re raising money as a syndicator, you’re on a timeline maybe five years before you got to pay back your LPs. You do not have the, what’s the word I’m looking?

Andrew:
Luxury?

David:
Yes, thank you. The luxury of delaying gratification for 10 years. So that property falls outside of your buy box to no fault of yourself, but if you’re buying it for yourself, you’ve got some other partners that are involved in this that don’t need to pay off really well, it can work. So are you using some of those ideas to find inefficiencies in the market to make these deals work that other people miss?

Jason:
I think one thing to note is that right now in the market, it’s much less competitive than it’s been in the past five years, six years I’ve been in the business in San Diego. So there’s a lot less buyers that are sharpening their pencil in San Diego right now.
Competition has gone down, but inventory’s still gone down. But the inefficiencies in San Diego are that everyone just looks on the market and thinks that that’s what San Diego is and there’s no better deals.

David:
Oh, I see where you’re going. You got that superpower of being able to call people on the phone.

Jason:
Yeah. And I’ve been able to find my clients some very good deals and myself by just picking up the phones, doing marketing, sending postcards, doing a lot of social media, digital marketing and bringing leads to me.
So you have to find leads in a competitive market before they get listed in order to have a chance at getting a deal that pencils, because I’m telling you right now, if you look at every property in San Diego right now, none of them are buys on the market, but there’s a lot of buys that are potentially off market right now.

David:
Buys by your metric of 70 cents on the dollar or buys period?

Jason:
I personally think buys period, I think a lot of I mean, no, I mean, everyone has different goals. So if you’re looking for a buy and hold, a very stable investment and you don’t need to get that uptick in equity right away, it’s a good investment.
So it’s a lot of old money. A lot of people are going to park cash into San Diego, but I’m not that kind of investor. I’m looking to grow the portfolio. I’m young, I don’t have that much money yet. So I’m looking to early quickly-

David:
That is a good clarification. And the reason I ask is when people hear that, “Oh, it doesn’t make sense to buy there.” And they just take it at face value, they expect prices will have to come down. Because if it’s not a buy, no one’s going to buy it. So they’re going to have to drop the price and then prices don’t drop.

Andrew:
Right. And I think another key point, and you mentioned this earlier Jason, is you have an income from something that you love to do. So you’re okay buying something that maybe doesn’t cashflow. So that helps enable you to do that.
One thing I don’t want to miss is you, I think you mentioned something about getting scammed by a contractor. Could you dive into that? Tell us about what that was, how it happened, what you learned?

Jason:
Yeah. So like I said, the contractor referral was a referral from a client of mine in the business. But after I bought that first property and a couple months went by and I actually bought four more properties in the span of three months when I bought my first one. And all five of those properties, me and my partner, they were complete full gut renovations and I was really dumb. I was young and stupid, still am young and stupid.
But I trusted this contractor to take on all of these five properties at once and no work was being done. He didn’t have a contractor’s license, he wouldn’t put anything in writing really, and I didn’t know if that was a good thing or a bad thing at the time. It’s the worst thing you can do is not put things in writing as you guys know.
So nothing was in writing, didn’t have his license. I later found out that he lived in, I mean we’re close to Mexico. He lived in Tijuana, so didn’t find that until deep into the process. So basically-

David:
Was he licensed in America?

Jason:
No.

David:
Okay. So he was using the phrase contractor, but he’s like a contractor in Mexico.

Jason:
He’s like a handyman.

David:
Yeah.

Andrew:
Yeah. Here you go.

Jason:
Yeah, he had a crew. He had a crew of people. Now they did do work. They did try to get things done but didn’t have the manpower, didn’t have the skill sets to do all the work that we required. And eventually I think he just blew up one day and just started covering up stuff.
Didn’t do the plumbing right, put drywall over it, kind of put crappy showers in. Didn’t do any of the plumbing, didn’t replace the electrical. He said he fixed the foundation, but all he did was stick a wooden post and pier under it. That’s all he did.

Andrew:
Might not pass code.

Jason:
Might not pass code. Yeah. It was actually worse than if he had just left it alone. It would’ve been better than what he did.

David:
He’s like, “Throw a two by four in there and we’ll say that it’s braced.”

Jason:
Yep. That’s what he was doing. He said everything was getting done. I didn’t know how to, at the time I didn’t know what was right and wrong. So I just kind of believed that at face value, I was just cutting him checks left and right. $25,000 check here, $40,000 check here.
And eventually if you add up the work he did versus what I paid him, I was probably at like 125, $130,000 loss on what he did before he just walked away and just ghosted me. So one day he just stopped answering his phone, stopped talking to me and just fled.

Andrew:
I bet a hundred grand goes pretty far in Tijuana.

Jason:
Probably does.

David:
That is a scary thing. You learned a lesson there. Definitely. When I wrote Long Distance Investing, one of the things I said is you can give your contractor a little bit of money up front to do the work, but then you don’t want to pay until it’s been done and you just probably didn’t have the experience to look and see that the work is being done right. You’re like, “Yeah, that looks like plumbing. I guess,” You had a person-

Andrew:
I wouldn’t know either, right?

David:
Most of us don’t. But if you had a person with a little more experience involved, kind of like you said, brokers that are helping out newer agents, they would’ve said, “Yeah, that rough and looks terrible. We’re not going to move forward with this.” Or you’d recognize you were scammed.
Luckily it didn’t stop you because you haven’t quit. That’s the story here is you just paid a hundred thousand dollars to get a very, very, very valuable education that you’ve now turned into much more money in the future, which has allowed you to help your parents out. So tell us about how you’ve been able to help your parents out with your success.

Jason:
Yeah. So that was the big why on why I got started in real estate and it’s amazing to say I’ve come full circle with it. It’s probably the biggest accomplishment in my life so far. Like I said, my mom was a struggling immigrant that came to America, had a lot of failed businesses. And the last two Christmases, I think altogether I’ve given them about over $200,000 just as like a thank you card, and also I bought them a triplex in Oceanside, North County San Diego.

David:
Awesome.

Jason:
So they cashflow a little bit off that each month too. But I’m looking to buy my mom a house here in San Diego next, coming up soon.

Andrew:
All right. So you told us about the first brokerage deal. You told us about your first investment deal. You certainly had some tough challenges in those first deals, which both cases you very much overcame.
Where are you today? My understanding is you’ve done quite a lot since then. So give us a snapshot of what your portfolio and investments and business looks like today.

Jason:
Yeah. So on the real estate portfolio side, I’ve acquired a total of 26 properties. I’ve sold off about-

Andrew:
All San Diego?

Jason:
All San Diego, yeah. When I first started it was all small, like two to 4-unit buildings, but a year or two went by and I 1031 those buildings into larger assets. So I’ve done about 26 acquisitions, sold a good amount of them to trade up into bigger assets.
Now we have 17, so we’ve never actually cashed out on a property except one. We’ve kept reinvesting the profits into larger assets. So that’s how I was able to grow pretty quickly. A lot of people ask me if I raised money to start and because I bought a lot of properties quick, but I’d actually just saved up a good chunk of change and I had the perfect partner to start with me.
So I was the deal guy, I was the front lines guy and my partner, he had a debt fund, like a private money, hard money fund. And me and him put 15% down, 50/50, got debt, renovated it quickly, and then refied out or sold it. So we just did that over and over again in 2020 and 2021 and eventually built our portfolio pretty quickly without outside capital from LPs.

Andrew:
Quick aside, how did you find that partner and how did you, for lack of a better term, convince them that you were investible?

Jason:
Yeah, so here’s why I think being a commercial real estate agent is so valuable. If you want to get into multifamily, if you specialize in selling multifamily investments to clients for a living, eventually you’re going to get pretty damn good at underwriting those assets and know your area pretty well.
And eventually you’ll develop some really good client relationships where you do deals with them over and over and over again. And when you build that trust with a client and you build a good friendship, like I did with my partner. After we built that friendship, I had four or five properties tied up in escrow that I couldn’t buy on my own.
And he actually offered me to, he asked me to partner with him. I didn’t even ask him because he knew I was a hard worker. I sent him deals every single day. I’m on the phone with him constantly, so he knew I’d get it done. So I built that relationship with my future partner just by being in the business as a broker.

Andrew:
What’s the, back to your portfolio, what’s the current value? What would you estimate is the current value in today’s adjusted market and cashflow?

Jason:
Yeah. I mean we’ve sold some stuff and prices are still steady, but right now it’s like I sent an REO to a lender. It was about 48.9 million portfolio value and we have 117 units, 119 units around town.

Andrew:
Nice. Well done. So you mentioned getting to know your market, underwriting deals as both a broker and an investor. Can you share your formula for underwriting deals?

Jason:
Yeah. I can share with anyone. It’s an easy one-page sheet. So if I’m buying a property, I want to know the current cap rate, what the cap rate can be after I’m done with it.
So I have the current rents, the pro forma rents, which is the market rents after I’m done rehabbing it. And then I have the GRM, which is a gross rent multiplier. And I like the gross rent multiplier a lot more than the cap rate just because a lot of brokers can mess with the cap rate because you can lower the expenses to make it look like the building’s actually operating-

Andrew:
David can do that.

Jason:
… better than it is. And a lot of the times when you get these offering memorandums and marketing packages from brokers, a lot of the times the expenses are estimated. So I like going off of GRM because it’s just the rents and that’s the metric that I go off of because you can’t really mess with it.
So I go off the GRM cap rate. If I can stabilize at a cap rate that’s two points above the going cap rate, I know it’s going to be a pretty good deal. And if it fits that 70% or 30% below market value stress test. So if I buy a property for a stabilized seven cap or I can get it to a seven cap and the market’s selling for a five cap or under, I know the deal is going to pencil. So I’ll make an offer at that point.

David:
All right, Jason, what advice would you give investors who are experiencing how hard it’s gotten to find a great deal right now?

Jason:
I think, I mean myself, a lot of people are struggling with this. Are you having a tough time finding deals?

Andrew:
Absolutely. We’ve only closed one large acquisition this year and we’ve underwritten probably 400.

Jason:
Got it. I’m excited. I want to hear your take too. But my take is I’m not super technologically fancy. I’m very simple and I just think for me to get more deals, just because there’s less inventory, the market’s not moving as much. You just got to put in twice as many reps as you were before.
And one of my mentors told me it was one of the best advice I ever got was in a great market, any average person can make money. But in a slow market, in a down market only the superstars can make money and the superstars emerge in markets like this. So I think that if you’re telling yourself there’s no deals, there’s deals closing every single day in every state, in every city.
So if you tell yourself that deals aren’t going to move, then that’s what the world’s going to give back to you. But if you tell yourself that the market’s still moving, I’m just going to work harder to get a deal and do what I’m doing because it works, eventually you’re going to make it happen.

Andrew:
Yeah. I was in the airport this weekend and cross country flight, got off the flight with tons of people and this is LAX coming back to California. You got off and you come to that place where you’re on the ground floor and there’s just this massive escalator up to the second floor, and for some reason the airports, each floor is 30 feet tall instead of the normal amount.
And so I’m standing there looking and I see seriously probably 120 people on the escalator and on the set of stairs right next to it, zero, not one person. And I stood there and I thought, I’m like, “Okay, that escalator represents the real estate market for the last 10 years.” If you basically had the courage to at least get on it, you probably had a fairly easy ride to the top.
Now, we’re in a market where you got to put in, you got to take the stairs, you can still get to the top, but it’s going to be a whole lot more work and a whole lot more effort and doing the kind of things that you’ve been doing and are still doing.

Jason:
It’s a really good analogy.

David:
Yeah. And you’ll be better off for it, right? Taking the stairs is healthier.

Andrew:
Absolutely.

David:
Even though you sweat a little bit.
All right, so any advice on turning leads into deals once you find a lead?

Jason:
I think one of the highest paying skill sets is being able to close a lead because you can hire people to find leads for you. You can have a marketing budget and get leads, but when you actually have to convert the leads that come through your door, that’s what separates a great business from a mediocre business.
And the thing that’s worked extremely well for converting leads in my brokerage business and in my investing business is that we always lead with credibility. So we always lead with, here’s what we’ve done, here’s our track record and we have a nice little package on our reviews, 5-star reviews work extremely well for us and our deal history works very well and we lead with that.
But then after we kind of say who we are, a huge mistake that a lot of salespeople make because in real estate we’re all in sales, is that they do a lot of the talking like me as the professional, a huge mistake that people make is you do 80% of the talking. But the University of Harvard did a study that the best salespeople actually only spoke 20 to 30% of the time and the client spoke way more. And it’s your ability to ask the right questions that actually lead you to your destination much faster than you just blabbering along.
Asking the client from a place of caring on how you can help them, what their goals are. “If we did this for you, what would your dream place be looking like?” So asking tactical questions. A question that works really well for me is when a client kind of comes to us and says, “I’ve been thinking about selling.” I always ask, “We don’t want to waste your time. What would be the perfect scenario for you if you were to sell your property? And what would you do with the money?”
Because in the real estate world, whenever you sell, no matter what, the biggest issue on why people don’t sell or do sell is, “What am I going to do when I sell? Am I going to cash out? Am I going to exchange? What am I going to do with it?” So if we can tailor the process to where their goal is matched with the actions we provide.
For example, if a client cashes out, they want that money as fast as possible. So we want to try to find a buyer listed as fast as possible and do a quick close. But if they want to do an exchange, which is a huge rebuttal, a lot of clients don’t want to sell because they’re scared of not finding a property, is that the huge thing that we do that benefits our clients is that we bill in two to four 30-day extensions after the close of escrow, after the actual close of escrow.
So if escrow is 30 days, if the buyer removes contingencies in 17 days, the seller can exercise two to four depending on what we can negotiate with the buyer, 30-day extensions to have more time to go shopping for a property.

David:
That’s smart.

Jason:
So that is just two examples of how we can cater a scenario to what our clients are looking to achieve. And that’s really helped me convert leads is coming from a place, like, “What can we do to help you?”

David:
Solving problems.

Jason:
Solving problems.

David:
That’s what we’re here to do.

Andrew:
That’s what you get paid for.

Jason:
Yeah.

David:
Awesome man. Well, we appreciate you sharing your story. I’m very glad you didn’t end up an organic chemist. We would all be worse off for it. Same for you Andrew. Glad that you’re not still a, you were a-

Andrew:
Chemical engineer.

David:
Thank you. I think word chem was in there, but I realize it wasn’t the same type. Yeah, chemical engineer, this is great.
Where can people find out more about you if they want to follow up?

Jason:
Easiest way is to find me on Instagram or YouTube. It’s just jasonjosephlee, and then I also have a free multifamily investing course if anyone’s interested in hearing about it as well.

Andrew:
And should also point out if anyone’s just trying to look up Jason Lee, this is not the Jason Lee who starred in My name is Earl back in the early 2000s.

David:
That was a great show though.

Andrew:
It was a great show.

David:
You don’t remember that, do you? Not old enough.

Andrew:
He doesn’t, he.

David:
It was funny.
All right, so reach out to Jason if you are in the Southern California area and want to buy commercial real estate and reach out to me if you’re in the Southern California area and want to buy residential real estate and reach out to Andrew Cushman, if you’re just in Southern California. Where can people find out about you?

Andrew:
Go to BiggerPockets and give me a colleague request so we can connect there and then follow me on LinkedIn and of course, just look up Vantage Point Acquisitions and there’s a handful of tabs there to connect with us that way.

David:
That’s such an Andrew thing to name your company. Vantage Point Acquisitions. Have I ever told you this?

Andrew:
No, but I have a follow-up comment. Go ahead.

David:
It’s so accurate but yet incredibly hard to spell. And you never thought about the fact that most people are not going to know how to spell acquisitions perfectly and they’re never going to find you.

Andrew:
Well, and also it shows that what shows when my early mistakes, and this is something I think most beginners make, I was too focused on. “I got to get a deal. I got to get a deal. I got to get a deal.” So I named the company, it should have been Vantage Point Capital, not acquisitions, right? But, so every time I say Vantage Point Acquisitions, I think I’m like, “Oh, it should be capital.”

David:
I made the same mistake with my social media. I called myself davidgreene24 because that was my high school basketball number and there was already a David Greene. Looking back, people are always like, “Why do you call yourself that?” I have no good answer. It was just pure laziness, because I had no idea that it was going to become this big of a thing.

Andrew:
Yeah, I just wanted to acquire deals, so there you go.

David:
So speaking of that, you can find me on social media @davidgreene24 or check out my website, davidgreene24.com. I put a chat feature on there. So people don’t realize this, but they can actually chat with me directly going to that site. I talked to some of them and then I’ll pass them off to the right team members.

Andrew:
So it’s not David GPT. It’s actually David?

David:
Yes. I am going to have some kind of a stamp of guarantee that you will never get. You may get a form of AI at some point. I can’t say it will never happen because it works into operations, it works into things. And I even think that that chat system has AI that starts the conversation, but I get a notification on my phone and I will talk.
So at some point I’m going to have a little cheesy seal that’s like, “It will always be a human that you talk to, not a bot pretending to be human.” Because-

Andrew:
I like it.

David:
… everyone’s excited about AI, saving them time and no one’s thinking about the customer. I’m not super excited for AI to take over all the conversations I wanted have with Jason and instead I’m talking to a computer that’s telling me what I want to hear. So you still talking to your own clients?

Jason:
I am.

David:
All right. You hear that. Andrew, Jason and David all talk to real people, so.

Andrew:
Yep. No chat functions here.

David:
There you go. So check out that site. Go give me a follow and check out BiggerPockets on YouTube. If you’re not listening to this on YouTube, you could be and you can see three very good-looking guys, or at least two good-looking guys and me on YouTube here for your viewing pleasure. Let us know in the comments what your favorite part of today’s show is.

Andrew:
Well, they say handsome guys are eye candy. I think that puts you and me more in the category of eye broccoli.

David:
That’s right. This get your visual vegetables here on BiggerPockets, cheese scoop. Jason, you’re like the cheese whiz to put on the broccoli man.

Andrew:
Yeah. There you go.

David:
You make us look good.

Andrew:
You make us look good.

David:
Yeah. That’s how we eat it.
This is David Greene for Andrew, my partner in Multifamily Investing, Cushman signing off.

 

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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